
A new study documents 270 harassment, assault and ICAD incidents by China’s People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia (PAFMM) in the South China Sea between 2012 and 2025. The research shows that nearly half of these events occurred alongside Chinese Coast Guard vessels, with a seasonal spike from May to July during China’s fishing ban. Incidents are concentrated around flashpoints such as Second Thomas Shoal, Scarborough Shoal and the Paracel Islands. The findings expose the systematic, state‑backed gray‑zone campaign China uses to reinforce its maritime claims while preserving deniability.

Dutch Defence Secretary Gijs Tuinman told Dutch radio that the F‑35’s software could potentially be “jailbroken,” hinting at a future where the Netherlands might operate the jet without U.S. approval. He stopped short of confirming any concrete plan, noting the...

The Ukrainian army has swapped the 65th and 151st Mechanized Brigades between the 12th and 17th Army Corps. The 65th, seasoned on the Zaporizhzhia front and the 2023 Robotyne offensive, now supports the 12th Corps defending Kyiv. The 151st, formed...

Richard “Butch” Sheffield, a B‑58 Hustler navigator, recounts a night Mach‑2 training run over Dallas that ended in a nose‑high stall when the altitude‑hold was left on. The stall caused a loss of power, autopilot lock‑out, and a rapid descent,...

This weekend’s reads dissect the shifting geopolitics of NATO under Trump’s “quiet‑quit” strategy, the erosion of U.S. reliability among European allies, and Germany’s push to become Europe’s new defense hegemon. They also examine the economic fallout of Trump’s expansive tariff...
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The Defense & Aerospace Report podcast highlighted a turbulent week on Wall Street, where a tech sell‑off produced the market's worst performance since November despite softer inflation and stronger jobs data. Canada announced a down payment for an additional 14...

This episode of Week Signals examines why Europe, often dismissed as stagnant, is actually a strong investment "unicorn" despite its self‑deprecating narrative. It contrasts the bleak rhetoric from Munich Security Conference speakers with data showing European equities outperforming US markets,...

The Department of Justice announced an indictment of eleven individuals accused of operating a marriage‑fraud and bribery ring that targeted U.S. service members, primarily at Jacksonville Naval Air Station. The scheme paired Chinese nationals with servicemen to secure permanent residency,...
![CAVASSHIPS Podcast [Feb 13, ’26] Ep: 230 Bryan Clark Unpacks CNO’s New Fighting Instructions](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://hixhlmpcokxhartfkpyi.supabase.co/storage/v1/object/public/images/articles/ba86ce863899c728fbaf1c1ad33f586e.webp)
The CAVASSHIPS podcast episode 230 features Bryan Clark dissecting the U.S. Navy Chief of Naval Operations’ new Fighting Instructions released by Adm. Daryl Caudle. The guidance reshapes force posture, unit training, doctrine, capability development, and future naval investments. Clark explains...

Italy’s air force is assessing the use of highway strips to land and operate its F‑35A fighters if traditional bases become vulnerable. The idea, voiced by Lt. Gen. Silvano Frigerio at a Rome geopolitics forum, mirrors Cold‑War dispersal tactics and...

NATO has moved to operationalize its Task Force X Baltic, signing a letter of intent with eight member states to launch the second phase of the programme. The initiative demonstrated the rapid fielding of a fleet of over 50 commercially‑available...

Labour MP Graeme Downie argues NATO’s consensus‑based decision‑making is too slow for modern crises. He proposes a “neighbourhood” model that empowers regional allies, especially those closest to a theatre, to act quickly. Downie cites the UK’s anti‑submarine capabilities in the...

The Small Wars Journal roundup highlights a surge of geopolitical flashpoints, from the United States covertly shipping thousands of Starlink terminals into Iran and deploying its largest warship to the Middle East, to Germany’s preparation for offensive cyber operations and...

The Trump administration is deploying a second aircraft carrier, the USS Gerald R. Ford, to join the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Middle East, intensifying pressure on Iran over its nuclear, missile and regional proxy activities. Former intelligence manager Norman...

The article argues that the United States’ national‑security decision‑making suffers from a systemic confidence illusion: analysts routinely express 80‑90 percent confidence that only materializes at 50‑70 percent accuracy. This mis‑calibration stems not from data scarcity but from institutional architectures that...

International courts are increasingly handling wars as they unfold, moving from traditional dispute settlement to real‑time adjudication. The Balkan conflicts set a precedent, while recent cases involving Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Israel‑Hamas hostilities illustrate both the ambition and limits...
Julian Pawlak and Deniz Kocak explore the persistent threat of piracy, armed robbery, and kidnapping in the Gulf of Guinea, contrasting it with past successes off the Horn of Africa. They argue that counting incidents is insufficient and advocate for...

Iran’s strategic trajectory now depends on how the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the regular armed forces (Artesh) negotiate power. The IRGC’s performance in the 2024‑25 conflict with Israel exposed operational weaknesses, eroding its dominance. This vacuum has allowed...

In 1941 RAF Coastal Command introduced the Bristol Beaufighter TF.X, the definitive torpedo‑fighter derived from the Beaufort bomber’s wing and tail assemblies. The TF.X replaced the interim Mk VIC “Torbeau” with 60 conversions and featured the low‑level Hercules XVII engines, a torpedo...

The Indian Ministry of Defence cleared the purchase of six additional Boeing P‑8I maritime reconnaissance and anti‑submarine aircraft during the Defence Acquisition Council meeting on Feb 12, ending a seven‑year delay. The new aircraft will augment the Navy’s existing fleet of...

The U.S. Navy is moving the nuclear‑powered aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford from the Caribbean to the Middle East, joining the already‑deployed USS Abraham Lincoln and its destroyer escorts. This redeployment creates two carrier strike groups operating in the...

The episode examines Australia’s upcoming 2026 National Defence Strategy, arguing that its greatest priority must be building adaptive capacity across political, strategic, and tactical levels rather than focusing solely on budgets or technology. It highlights how the rapid learning cycles...

In this episode, the host discusses President Trump's recent statements indicating a willingness to negotiate a new nuclear deal with Iran, including a timeline of about a month for talks. The conversation highlights the contrasting positions of Israeli Prime Minister...

NATO defence ministers met in Brussels and, according to Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte, delivered a "productive" session that marked a turning point for the Alliance. The meeting highlighted that several European states are already meeting the 5% of GDP...

NATO completed its first focused Operation Sea Guardian deployment of 2026, patrolling the Eastern Mediterranean from 21 January to 9 February. The Turkish frigate TCG Gaziantep led a mixed force of surface ships, submarines and air assets, delivering over 300 hours of ISR and...

The article argues that war crimes and other international atrocities function as lucrative enterprises, yet they are rarely pursued through financial investigations. It calls for extending the global anti‑money‑laundering (AML) framework to treat the proceeds of war crimes as predicate...

The column argues that military autonomy should augment, not replace, commander authority by delegating specific tasks while retaining legal and ethical responsibility. It highlights three pillars—low‑cost, near‑exquisite systems, cross‑vendor interoperability, and a DevOps‑style hardware development model—as essential for trust and...

In 1993 a mid‑level CIA analyst refused to approve a Counter‑Narcotics conference in the Caucasus, citing security and logistical risks. The analyst’s objection drew the ire of senior officer Aldrich Ames, who repeatedly confronted him despite the analyst’s credentials. Months later...

The 157th Air Refueling Wing of the New Hampshire National Guard conducted a four‑day nuclear operational readiness exercise from Feb. 5‑8. The drill simulated strategic deterrence missions, testing the wing’s ability to generate and sustain aerial refueling for nuclear‑focused operations. Central to...

The United States released its 2026 National Defense Strategy after internal debate, marking a notable shift from earlier documents that labeled China as the foremost security threat. The strategy coincides with a record $901 billion defense budget, with President Trump promising...

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius rejected calls for an independent European nuclear deterrent, reaffirming that NATO’s US nuclear umbrella remains non‑negotiable. He warned against premature speculation that the alliance is dying and cited the U.S. National Defense Strategy’s guarantee of...

The U.S. Department of War unveiled the National Defense Strategy 2026 (NDS‑26), shifting emphasis from pure deterrence to an "offensive defense" posture. The doctrine calls for rapid, homeland‑based power projection, citing operations against Venezuela and Iran as proof points. It...

On August 21, 1967, VA‑196’s A‑6 Intruder squadron suffered its worst day of the Vietnam War when four aircraft attacked the Duc Noi railway yard under heavy clouds and intense SAM/AAA fire. Two planes were hit by surface‑to‑air missiles and three...

The United States has intensified its embargo on Cuba, cutting oil shipments and tightening sanctions under President Trump and Senator Rubio. The fuel shortage has reduced electricity to three‑to‑six hours a day and halted public transport, forcing Cubans onto bicycles...

The Armed Services Board of Contract Appeals ruled in Wolverine Tube, Inc. that the Air Force’s stop‑work order, issued under FAR 52.242‑15, automatically expired after its 90‑day limit because the government never cancelled or extended it. The Board rejected the Air...
The episode explains the Civilian Board of Contract Appeals' (CBCA) new procedural rules for handling cases under the Administrative False Claims Act (AFCA), which replaces the old PFCRA. It outlines how the AFCA differs from the False Claims Act, notably...

China has invoked its Export Control Law to ban dual‑use exports to Japan and tighten rare‑earth licensing, signaling a new escalation in its diplomatic dispute with Tokyo. The move follows a broader trend of Beijing building offensive economic statecraft tools,...

President Trump signaled a possible second U.S. carrier strike group to the Middle East if talks with Iran collapse, while U.S. forces in Qatar have mounted Patriot missiles on mobile launchers for rapid response. Washington also issued a draft demanding...

Russia is increasingly turning to the Global South to replenish its dwindling ranks in Ukraine, recruiting thousands of migrants with promises of work, money, or citizenship and then sending them to the front lines. Ukrainian intelligence has identified over 18,000...

Congressional hearings on Feb. 9, 2026 highlighted a steep decline in V‑22 Osprey readiness, with mission‑capable rates hovering between 40 % and 50 % across the Marine, Navy and Air Force fleets. Accident rates have surged to nearly 90 % above historical averages, resulting in...

This episode examines the growing push for digital sovereignty in Europe, spotlighting the Dutch dilemma over US‑owned cloud providers, France’s decision to replace Zoom and Teams with a home‑grown video platform, and broader AI‑driven public‑service reforms. It highlights how the...

The article examines how Taiwan could incorporate foreign volunteers into a resistance movement if the island were occupied by the PLA, drawing lessons from Ukraine’s International Legion. It outlines recruitment channels, clandestine infiltration methods, and integration challenges such as language...

In this episode, Dr. Frank Hoffman discusses the intersection of artificial intelligence and critical thinking within military education and decision‑making. He defines critical thinking as a disciplined, self‑aware process essential for sound command, and warns that pervasive use of generative...

Security analyst David Maxwell discussed North Korea’s hybrid strategy, combining conventional forces with social‑warfare tactics, in a recent podcast. He examined the Pentagon’s new report, highlighting its impact on South Korea’s defense posture and the broader alliance framework. Maxwell warned...

Cognitive warfare expands conflict into the human mind, targeting perception, judgment, and belief formation. The paper argues the United States is unprepared for adversaries leveraging AI‑driven disinformation, deepfakes, and social‑media algorithms. It highlights China and Iran’s use of cognitive contagions...

U.S. forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, prompting comparisons to the 1989 U.S. operation that removed Panamanian leader Manuel Noriega. Scheffer’s brief outlines Justice Department memoranda that justify extraterritorial arrests under a self‑defense rationale against narcotics trafficking. The analysis highlights...

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, speaking at Davos, warned that the international system is experiencing a rupture rather than a gradual transition, urging middle powers to reduce reliance on the United States. He called for diversified partnerships and collective action...
On February 19, the Irregular Warfare Initiative and CACI DarkBlue will host a half‑day convening in Reston, Virginia titled “Turning OSINT Chaos into Strategic Clarity: Countering Malign Chinese Influence.” The event gathers senior irregular‑warfare practitioners from government, intelligence, and the...
Steve Grundman appeared on the DEFAERO Strategy Series to outline the Pentagon’s latest acquisition reform push, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s forthcoming list of underperforming contractors. He highlighted the Trump administration’s new equity stakes in key defense suppliers and the...
The UK Defence Select Committee highlighted a growing under‑sea threat, chiefly from Russia’s deep‑sea capabilities and expanding Chinese activity. Around 120 international cables and extensive subsea infrastructure make the seabed a critical vulnerability for communications, energy and finance. Witnesses warned...