INVADING IRAN IS A "STRATEGIC NIGHTMARE" This video demonstrates the immense challenges for the US to get boots on the ground in Iran It may continue to be a war battled in the skies for this reason https://t.co/wuxyeRdCRT

Iran has successfully broken through Qatari air defenses for the second day in a row, this time striking the globally significant Ras Laffan energy complex. The strikes come after Iran’s own natural gas processing plants along the shared North Dome/South Pars...

“.. it is up to the US to fix the problem it created .. It cannot be up to others .. “.. Yes, the US will threaten not to come to the rescue of its Nato allies in a crisis. But...
Turning Iran into Yemen isn't the strategic victory some people may expect if Red Sea shipping is anything to go by.
The problem with "declaring victory & ending the war" is that the loser decides when the war is over. U.S. victory declaration or not, if Iran continues to decide who goes through the SoH unmolested, or continues to attack U.S. bases...

Qatars industrial complex housing the world’s largest LNG export plant suffered “extensive damage” after an Iranian missile strike 🇶🇦 ⚠️ The plant provides 20% of global LNG supply, and was shut earlier this month. But a delayed restart (due to...
Starting to hit poorer countires. Egypt's PM announces emergency in anticipation of the regional conflict: All shops, malls, restaurants must close 9:00 pm daily. Government District in New Capital will close fully at 6:00 pm daily. https://t.co/ViWYEGtJlQ
This is the US off-ramp plan. However the best solution for the west is a joint securitization of Hormuz (secures the strait, makes control over Iran permanent, and creates leverage towards China) US is unlikely to do this alone, thus they...
Kabul 2021 to invasion of Ukraine 2022 to October 7, 2023. Connecting the dots on geopolitical decisions/ leader perceptions/ conflicts/ interconnectedness. A master class as always from LTG (ret) McMaster @LTGHRMcMaster https://t.co/j4By3sDoOD Because looking at history, the biggest conflicts often...
It's not overhyped. The MCMVs, though old, were still "modern" in terms of their hunting capabilities and also could sweep much more effectively than an LCS. What is more, the could operate within the minefield. Even so, MCM is not a...
AI companies, for some reason: "AI must be trusted with chemical weapons and high-yield explosives"
We chased commercial tankers half way across the world and called it maritime dominance but can’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz?
i’ve yet to hear a workable near term (next 4-6 weeks) plan for how to open the strait that doesn’t involve us boots on the ground.
Israel is cutting the Russia-Iran weapons pipeline. Ukraine is defending Arabian oil fields from Iranian drones. Meanwhile, Europe's great powers are... monitoring the situation.

Several "dogs that didn't bark" in one headline: -Iran warned ahead of time it would hit Ras Laffan. -It fired five missiles (which it is said to be running out of.) -Four were reportedly intercepted, but one got through. -Investor consensus remains...
Israel has hit Iranian energy infrastructure for the first time; the strike hit a processing facility tied to the South Pars gas field, which could lead to major electricity shortages in Iran within days. Access my daily coverage of the...

NightBeacon Assist rolled out today to our SOC analysts. Can ask specific questions or to do automation workflow to enrich data even more if needed. Allows analyst to ask the assistant questions about the ticket if they don't understand or...

Iran is firing MORE and they are hitting MORE per shot than during the first days of the conflict. Not good.. https://t.co/IWj7Szy0jL
Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on the US-Israeli war on Iran: “This war is to nobody's advantage. It's a pure lose, lose, lose all around. Lose for Israel, lose for the United States, and lose for the rest of the...
U.S. Navy Minesweepers Stationed In Middle East Are Now In Singapore Two of three Littoral Combat Ships assigned to Middle Eastern minesweeping duties have made another move in the opposite direction. https://t.co/1Koe7fWqrr
For the geopolitical experts out there - what are the odds that the US was keen to start this war due to intel that China was looking to make a move on Taiwan and that an energy crisis / Strait...
#Venezuela’s acting President Delcy Rodríguez ousted defense chief Vladimir Padrino López in a SWEEPING shake-up of the armed forces. https://t.co/Fo5Ft4JE8x
Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on regime change in Iran: “It's hard to get regime change or impossible to get regime change using air power alone…If you want regime change in Iran, you're going to have to invade that country. And...

The first week of the US-Israeli war in Iran cost more than the annual budgets of major government agencies. WAR = A TRUMP TAX. https://t.co/ioXw5U0cVU

Looks like Iran struck the abandoned Safeen Prestige, a 23k ton, Malta-flagged container ship, previously hit on March 4th and abandoned. https://t.co/gs0BwcrHY2
We break on China/Taiwan-- buried in IC Worldwide Threat Assessment: “Chinese leaders do not currently plan to execute an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, nor do they have a fixed timeline for achieving unification,” said the annual threat assessment, released...
Let's jump in on the build plan and replace our LHAs with these. (follow me for more impractical naval solutions)

@MDA_space to build/maintain 3 ground-based optical space surveillance sensors by 2028 to complement current 150-kg Sapphire sat, launched in 2013. Valued at CAD 32M ($23.4M), it's part of CAD 375M @NationalDefence Surveillance of Space 2 program, to include Sapphire successor....
Iran’s Energy Infrastructure Is Now On The Targeting List The attack on the South Pars gas field puts Iran's energy production, which is critical to funding the Iranian government, in the crosshairs. https://t.co/wO4BOtxxHy
Axios Future of Defense event in DC on March 23 Guests include @MarkTEsper and @jacobhelberg. Request an invite: https://t.co/G6Ks6HED8O
What if the United States doesn’t care about reopening the strait for Europe? My latest gCaptain Op-Ed 👇

Israel's reckless escalation in attacking Iran's South Pars gas facilities - hitting onshore processing facilities for Phases 3-6, gives Iran plausible excuse (if it needed it) to hit back against regional energy facilities Neutrals & world energy consumers will suffer https://t.co/Kx7MytxmEn
russia sending two shipments of oil. and gas to…cuba. will president trump order interdiction? i’d say pretty good chance he will.

Iran’s arsenal has taken a hit, but it likely isn’t exhausted. Launches are sustained and Saudi Arabia is increasingly in focus. The pattern suggests recalibration, not depletion: Iran can impose costs by causing just enough pain. My analysis @business: https://t.co/BVJUzCttTS...
Let's unpack this.. What if the White House has no intention of reopening the Strait of Hormuz? What if this war is really about ships & tariffs? I had a long discussion with senior DOE official yesterday on background. I can’t share...
"Gulf States Want the U.S. to Cripple Iran's Regime Before Ending the War." @WSJ https://t.co/twMeku5of8 “Any long-term political settlement must address the full spectrum of threats, including Iran’s nuclear program, ballistic missile capabilities, and their network of regional proxies,” added Sultan...
Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on Iran’s strategy: “As time goes by, our ability to shoot down those missiles, shoot down drones decreases. It doesn't flatline, and it certainly doesn't increase… The Iranians have a serious set of military options against...
"What is Strategy in War?" There are a TON of people that need to read this right now. Words have meaning. Strategy. Political goals. Levels of War. Tactics. Ends, Ways, Means. With @LiamSCollins in @smallwars https://t.co/o27njmt7mI
Anyone can doubt where the drones are coming from, but when ballistic missiles are fired, you know it is Iran.
U.S. Used Its New 5,000-Pound Bunker Busters To Hit Iranian Anti-Ship Missile Sites: Reports The GBU-72/B sits between the common 2,000lb bunker buster and the far more powerful 30,000lb GBU-57/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator. https://t.co/oOKanwJgEB

“Russia retains the capability to selectively challenge U.S. interests globally by military and nonmilitary means. Its robust, advanced conventional and nuclear forces are an enduring threat to the Homeland, U.S. allies and partners, and U.S. forces abroad. The most dangerous threat posed by...

In some of Russia's harshest criticism of the US war in Iran, which Putin has tried not to say much on, top aide Nikolai Patrushev calls it a "tragedy" that will "set global trade and economics back years" and "has...
I work up thinking about this and think I’m going to update my agent framework to use traffic inspection proxy that only allows specific domain names for DNS. There are other reasons you might want to do that which I’ve...
How China Is Quietly Helping an Isolated Iran Survive—From buying oil to selling rocket parts, China gives Iran critical support @austinramzy @RoryWSJ https://t.co/xCbI1lO7VO https://t.co/xCbI1lO7VO
Headquarters of the US Navy’s 5th Fleet is on the Persian Gulf side of the Strait.
It’s genuinely astonishing: Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022 began along the lines of late-Soviet large-scale land warfare: with armored thrusts and insane massive artillery barrages. Then the war became the stage for a drone revolution that reshaped combat everywhere --...
I’ve worked inside the system. I know how this goes. When the White House overrides national security professionals, DHS stops serving the mission & starts serving politics. The real question for Sen. Markwayne Mullin today isn’t just about competence. It’s...
Disingenuous. Israel has closed Al-Aqsa and the Church of the Holy Sepulchre during the holiest time for both faiths. And it "justifies" this with a war that it started.

Iraq says Iran gas supplies have completely halted after attack on offshore field, INA reports https://t.co/tZ53tmRYVt
The United Nations nuclear watchdog urged the US and #Iran to resume negotiations, saying concern over Tehran’s nuclear program can’t be solved by military action alone. @virtualnomad https://t.co/PKWhMPuQaw