Today, Ukrainian drone strikes SET FIRE to Russia’s major oil export terminals in Novorossiysk. The port handles over half of Russia’s crude and petroleum product shipments. YOU DON'T WANT TO BE SHORT OIL. https://t.co/XlgmcpVhsH

“the 1950s-to-1990s decline in defense production explains roughly one-quarter of the decline in manufacturing employment and nearly one-tenth of the rise of top-ten income share.” https://t.co/UrqjdGuEIk
IRGC. Strait of Hormuz. Previous state. What will it be for all except the US and Israel? And the supply of supply chains?

Serbian police found explosives near the Balkan Stream gas pipeline. It supplies Serbia and Hungary with gas from Russia. PRIME SUSPECT = UKRAINE. Stay tuned. https://t.co/AHjq0mZhzB
US reportedly committing nearly its entire JASSM-ER inventory to the Iran war. Per @Bloomberg: ~2,300 pre-war stockpile, 1,000+ already fired, & after repositioning remaining missiles to CENTCOM/UK bases, only ~425 left for rest of the world 👇 https://t.co/qqkf8ERauf
catching up on the news after the holiday week, seems like the US-Iran negotiations are going well
Added to which, a single first-rate warship in Nelson's fleet had more heavy artillery firepower than several Napoleonic corps.
JUST IN: Trump's team is texting Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi to push forward negotiations, with Pakistani, Egyptian, and Turkish mediators also in play.
If I had a nickel for every time a US military aircraft that got stranded in Iran during a rescue attempt because we’ve botched foreign policy had to be blown up by friendly forces Id have two nickels which isn’t...
Using A VPN Could Subject You To Government Surveillance, Senators Warn [Roundup] - View from the Wing https://t.co/hJwQPvAsyq
Yes, despite all the Xperts on the law of armed conflict, targeting bridges, power plants, oil and gas facilities, airfields, and other dual-use infrastructure like factories, communications nodes, and rail lines that serve both civilian and military needs may be...

I'll be on CNN Sunday night at 7:30ET discussing the Iran rescue and my embedding with PJs and rescue units of the Alaska National Guard.
Trump says don’t think troops on ground needed right now: ABC Trump says ‘whole country is gone’ if Iran makes no deal: ABC
“All warfare is based on deception.” He was not describing battlefield tricks. He was describing a way of thinking about war. Deception, for him, meant shaping the enemy’s perception of reality. It meant influencing what the enemy believed about your...
US President Trump appears to have delayed (again) the deadline to Iran by one day. And in an interview with ABC News, Trump said the conflict should end in “days, not weeks.”
Sorry, we don't have Donald Trump's dementia. The pilot was shot down BECAUSE of a war that Israel started. No one other than Donald Trump is stupid enough to believe this crap.
Iran’s Charming Kitten group relies on deception, insider access, and low-tech methods to steal trade secrets and compromise systems. https://t.co/8jKdiH2bzt
and we were supposed to be worried that some time, some day Iran COULD develop nuclear weapons.
JUST IN: Iran is now requiring cryptocurrency payments as tolls for ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump's $1.5T military budget request is MASSIVE. $1.5T is larger than the entire economies of Saudi Arabia, the Netherlands, & Türkiye. It’s almost the entire size of Indonesia’s economy & roughly HALF the size of France's entire economy. TRUMP = PLOWSHARES INTO SWORDS....
JUST IN: Trump's ultimatum: Iran must reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday night, per WSJ.
JUST IN: Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson states Iran will retaliate against infrastructure attacks by striking similar U.S.-owned or affiliated targets.

The US-Iran war is a chess game. In the rain. With one party more engaged than the other. (what do you think @Kasparov63?) https://t.co/9Wt6VCSOrh

🚨 JUST IN President Trump has given Iran until Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET to make a deal or he will blow up Iranian power plants and bridges. https://t.co/igAUxQgRum
Iran threatens ‘complete and utter annihilation’ of OpenAI's $30B Stargate AI data center in Abu Dhabi — regime posts video with satellite imagery of ChatGPT-maker's premier 1GW data center https://t.co/wv34v1VIlQ
President Trump says we sent guns to the protestors in Iran back in January, an option the U.S. could still be doing.
My friend and Johns Hopkins colleague Vali Nasr on Iranian nuclear proliferation: “Rather than preventing [Iranian] nuclear proliferation, the US may have actually accelerated it — and has no way of stopping it.” https://t.co/UctRpvmg1s
Iran to strike Saudi electric power and oil? That's coercive messaging, not reality. Iran escalates in steps, not countdown clocks. #Iran #Geopolitics #Warfare #EnergyCrisis
Are North Korean state actors behind the Drift Protocol attack? @omeragoldberg says the markings are there, while sharing what it would take to confirm the speculation 👇 https://t.co/8SgvDYy6Lx
On the one hand, Trump has gotten NATO members to increase their defense spending. On the other hand, they are war gaming against the United States. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Every Saturday. David Murrin’s key predictions from the week’s latest insight. This week — the Strait of Hormuz. And what’s really at stake.
Hopefully we get a brief from @CENTCOM about the operation at some point but early reports show why it is being considered “one of the most challenging and complex in the history of U.S. Special Operations.” War is the realm of...
China Creates New Aviation Mystery With Offshore Warning Zones—Beijing reserves airspace for 40 days, suggesting possible military activity ahead @joyuwang https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03 https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03

Strongly suspect this daring CSAR rescue mission would make for a gripping new chapter in @scottiebateman 's book on the legendary Herc. #acgeek https://t.co/tpqNxNXX6u
Shocked at completeness of destruction of stranded US military hardware in Iran. I would love to know this entails/influences of EP-3 incident?
North Korea is protected for a few reasons: it holds Seoul hostage with conventional weapons giving it a second strike deterrent, it’s protected by China, etc. Iran has none of those dynamics. This makes no sense.
Wild - both that it has been the first time ever that multiple cloud data centers were knocked out by military strikes (never happened before thru the history of the cloud) and for a region to seemingly permanently go offline...
Not detracting from the sheer bravery of the USAF MC-130J/PaveHawk crews & PJs - but a valid Q - given it was Eagle Claw/Desert One that spawned the Osprey.
Tomorrow at 8 PM ET, Trump's pause on striking Iranian energy infrastructure expires. Iran just hit Kuwait's oil complex and power plants with drones overnight. Israel says it's ready to strike Iranian energy sites, waiting for the green light. Russia...
Actually an example of how bad-ass the US military is: Downed pilots? No worries. We'll mobilize hundreds of millions of dollars worth of assets to get them back, whatever the cost. On, some C-130's had mechanical problems? No worries. We'll send...
One would think the US had there eye on this potential landing site for other contingencies related to the nuclear program prior to this happening.
Night Stalker Little Bird Helicopter Destroyed At Forward Landing Site In Iran At least one burned-out AH/MH-6 Little Bird can be seen in photos of the austere airfield that served as a hub for the rescue of the F-15E WSO. https://t.co/lcnCzgE2hY
“Strategic Assessment: If Iran does not receive a credible signal by tomorrow of Trump reconsidering an attack on Iran's infrastructure, it will preemptively, irreversibly, and on a massive scale target the Saudi electricity and oil production infrastructure, as well as...
This is why it is so important for Europa to help create a stabil situation. European participation would make it politically hard for China to support Iran with missiles and drones. Chinese support could make it impossible for USA to...
I have been saying for weeks that the reason EU should participate in a coalition was NOT for defense reasons, but to create a strong political alliance, that China would have to respect for economic reasons. Now France has begun...
Hours ahead of Trump’s ultimatum on attacks on Iranian infrastructure, Iranian drones attacked (and set on fire) the headquarters of the Kuwait state-owned oil company KPC and the country’s oil ministry, located in Kuwait City. The message seems clear.

From Relentless Strike by @SeanDNaylor, about history of JSOC, quoting commander ".... after the third or fourth one he said, 'We are not putting any FARPs [forward arming refueling point] in – FARPs are dangerous.'" https://t.co/amzS7911en

MC-130J during a CSAR training mission at an austere airfield. These aircraft and aircrews don't get enough credit, nor to the Combat Controllers that can activate an airfield out of nowhere to make operations like these possible. https://t.co/Fn32HRwCJA

This isn’t a war you can end quickly. Not with air power alone. Not with short-term thinking. Because the objective on the other side isn’t to win fast — it’s to drag it out. Disrupt flows. Stretch time. Apply pressure. And in that kind of conflict, there’s no easy...

Update: Al Jazeera reports the missing U.S. service member has been safely rescued after two days.