Defense Social Media and Updates

US Tone on Iran's Uranium Softens, From Acquisition to Observation
SocialMay 10, 2026

US Tone on Iran's Uranium Softens, From Acquisition to Observation

On Iran’s enriched uranium, “We’ll get that at some point…” and the US is “watching it” from space is actually a pretty big step-down from even his [latest] position earlier this past week that the US would “get it” (which...

By Rory Johnston
Flawed Strategy, Not Troops, Undermines Trump's Iran Campaign
SocialMay 10, 2026

Flawed Strategy, Not Troops, Undermines Trump's Iran Campaign

Trump is not losing the Iran conflict because of bad soldiers or bad weapons. He is losing it because the strategy was wrong from the start. The Strait of Hormuz is still not secured. Iran’s nuclear programme is not contained. The supply...

By David Murrin
Merchant Mariners Power Multi‑Group Naval Operations in Gulf
SocialMay 10, 2026

Merchant Mariners Power Multi‑Group Naval Operations in Gulf

Big shout out to the hardest working merchant mariners on board @MSCSealift USNS Carl Brashear. The ship was in the Persian Gulf in February and came out, and had worked non-stop to support not one, but two carrier strike groups, along...

By Sal Mercogliano
Iran Sends Formal Response to US Deal Through Pakistan
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran Sends Formal Response to US Deal Through Pakistan

Iran has just officially delivered its response to the U.S. peace deal via Pakistani mediators. https://t.co/kaRWWytha7

By That Martini Guy
Putin Claims Ukraine War Ending, but Statement Falls Flat
SocialMay 10, 2026

Putin Claims Ukraine War Ending, but Statement Falls Flat

This would seem a bigger story--not that he should be taken seriously but that he is sounding weak. It's all but ignored in the Times & Post. Vladimir Putin suggests Ukraine war is ‘coming to an end’ https://t.co/kasexetJPk

By Jeff Jarvis
Russian Advance Stalls; 30‑year Timeline to Capture Donbas
SocialMay 10, 2026

Russian Advance Stalls; 30‑year Timeline to Capture Donbas

‘After making gains late last year, the Russian military has slowed to a crawl. In some parts of Ukraine, it has lost territory. At its average monthly rate of advance so far this year, it would take Russia more than...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
Iran Responds to US Proposal to End 10‑Week War
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran Responds to US Proposal to End 10‑Week War

Iran has submitted its response to the latest US proposal to end 10 weeks of war, the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency reported on Sunday.

By Javier Blas
Iran Blockade Lowers Oil Prices, Confirming Original Prediction
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran Blockade Lowers Oil Prices, Confirming Original Prediction

When I first started pushing for an Iran blockade, my main point was that the big rise in oil prices already priced the incremental disruption to supply, so the pros outweighed the cons. That's been borne out. Oil prices are...

By Robin Brooks
Israel Targets Iran Energy, Threatening $150 Oil Spike
SocialMay 10, 2026

Israel Targets Iran Energy, Threatening $150 Oil Spike

🚨 IRAN CONFLICT EXPLODES Israel is now pushing to strike all of Iran’s energy infrastructure within the next 24 hours. Multiple Arab countries are backing the move. According to Israel, the US-Iran peace deal is dead. ...

By That Martini Guy
Iran Misses US Deadline, Vows Own Timeline Amid Rising Tensions
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran Misses US Deadline, Vows Own Timeline Amid Rising Tensions

IRAN IGNORES DEADLINE: Iran just exceeded the US deadline to reply to the peace proposal. Tehran says it will respond on its own timeline. Tensions are rising fast after recent tanker strikes. https://t.co/Y850F7Xc9i

By That Martini Guy
Iran Threatens Heavy Assault if More Ships Hit
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran Threatens Heavy Assault if More Ships Hit

🚨UPDATE Iran has warned the US of “Heavy assault” if any more ships get hit during the ceasefire. https://t.co/aJChQWiWa8

By That Martini Guy
Iran-US Talks May Resume in Islamabad Amid Ongoing Ceasefire Violations
SocialMay 10, 2026

Iran-US Talks May Resume in Islamabad Amid Ongoing Ceasefire Violations

🚨 UPDATE Iran-US talks could restart next week in Islamabad. The US is still waiting for Iran’s answer to the peace proposal. The ceasefire has now been repeatedly violated. It’s not looking like things will be resolved anytime...

By That Martini Guy
Nuclear Deal Demands Experts, Not Politicians' Nephews
SocialMay 10, 2026

Nuclear Deal Demands Experts, Not Politicians' Nephews

"A nuclear agreement requires expertise in nuclear engineering, sanctions architecture, intelligence collection, verification systems, export controls, and arms control law." Surely, messrs Witkoff and Kushner are more than qualified?!

By Vandana Hari
White House Understates Iran War Cost, Families Face Thousands
SocialMay 9, 2026

White House Understates Iran War Cost, Families Face Thousands

My latest @NYTimes oped shows that the White House is dramatically understating the cost of the war in Iran. By my calculations—and I show my work—it will cost the typical American family thousands, and it could cost them tens of...

By Justin Wolfers
Trump's Potential Navy Withdrawal Threatens Global Supply Chains
SocialMay 9, 2026

Trump's Potential Navy Withdrawal Threatens Global Supply Chains

Is Trump going to have the Navy get out of the Strait? Or not? The longer this drags on, the harder on economies. Even the US. Will there be supply shortages meeting demand destructions?

By Tom Craig
Trump Anticipates Iran's Prompt Reply to US Peace Offer
SocialMay 9, 2026

Trump Anticipates Iran's Prompt Reply to US Peace Offer

JUST IN: President Donald Trump expects a response from Iran very soon on the US peace proposal.

By David Gokhshtein
China Gains Strategic Edge as US Stumbles in Iran War
SocialMay 9, 2026

China Gains Strategic Edge as US Stumbles in Iran War

China is a winner from the Iran War, says @DanielYergin Beijing stayed on the sidelines & preserved optionality It watched Washington absorb the costs & exhaust munitions & credibility It has reserves while everyone else panicked. #IranWar #Geopolitics #China #Energy #OilMarkets #GlobalPower

By Art Berman Blog
UK Deploys Warship to Middle East for Hormuz Mission
SocialMay 9, 2026

UK Deploys Warship to Middle East for Hormuz Mission

JUST IN: The UK is sending a warship to the Middle East for a possible Hormuz mission.

By David Gokhshtein
Putin Says Ukraine War Nearing End, Names Schroeder for Talks
SocialMay 9, 2026

Putin Says Ukraine War Nearing End, Names Schroeder for Talks

MOSCOW, May 9 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Saturday that he thought the Ukraine conflict was coming to an end. Asked if he was willing to engage in talks with the Europeans, he said the preferable figure was...

By Guy Faulconbridge
Former SecNav Delivered Flawed Frigate and Unwanted Battleship
SocialMay 9, 2026

Former SecNav Delivered Flawed Frigate and Unwanted Battleship

The last SecNav gave us the frigate with no VLS and a white elephant battleship nobody wanted. Good riddance.

By Tyler Rogoway
DARPA Pursues Containerized Drone Swarms for Hidden Assaults
SocialMay 9, 2026

DARPA Pursues Containerized Drone Swarms for Hidden Assaults

Drone Swarms Packed Into Unassuming Containers Sought By DARPA Remotely triggered containerized drone swarms, potentially placed behind enemy lines, create a hard-to-defend-against threat from pretty much everywhere. https://t.co/FM9CGkPtr5

By Tyler Rogoway
Questioning Whether CENTCOM Struck More Than Three Tankers
SocialMay 9, 2026

Questioning Whether CENTCOM Struck More Than Three Tankers

Has @CENTCOM hit more than the three acknowledged tankers: Sea Star III, Sevda and Hasna?

By Sal Mercogliano
Trump Must Renounce Taiwan Support to Pressure Iran
SocialMay 9, 2026

Trump Must Renounce Taiwan Support to Pressure Iran

My good friend Chris Wood on Trump’s planned visit to China on May 14: "If Donald Trump wants Beijing to put real pressure on Iran, he may need to agree to make a statement on Taiwan that China has long sought....

By Steve Hanke
Censoring Nuclear Designs Ignores Publicly Accessible Patents
SocialMay 9, 2026

Censoring Nuclear Designs Ignores Publicly Accessible Patents

@p_maverick_b now they wanna sensor nuke design as if the papers and patents are not easily searchable. Same vibe as the agent refusal for bio. This is getting silly...

By Sebastian Cocioba
US Sanctions Chinese Firms for Supplying Iran Satellite Imagery
SocialMay 9, 2026

US Sanctions Chinese Firms for Supplying Iran Satellite Imagery

US imposes sanctions on Chinese companies for allegedly helping Iran State department says groups provided satellite imagery that enabled Tehran to strike American forces in Middle East https://t.co/c8jjE8jwP8 via @ft

By Paul Triolo
Unidentified Attack on Chinese‑crewed Tanker Highlights Global War Spillover
SocialMay 9, 2026

Unidentified Attack on Chinese‑crewed Tanker Highlights Global War Spillover

A Marshall island flagged oil tanker manned by a Chinese crew was attacked in the Strait. China has kept fairly quiet on the matter and seems no one knows who hit the vessel. Nations are really trying to keep out...

By David J. Doherty
IDF Limits Casualties While Hamas Amplifies Them
SocialMay 9, 2026

IDF Limits Casualties While Hamas Amplifies Them

As an urban warfare scholar, researching, documenting, and writing case studies on the history of urban battles for over a decade as well as conducting hundreds of interviews of Israel political and military leaders (From the prime minister, minister of...

By John Spencer
US Strikes Hit Tankers Beyond Established Blockade Line
SocialMay 9, 2026

US Strikes Hit Tankers Beyond Established Blockade Line

The US strikes against the tankers Sevda and Sea Strike III were well past the blockade line set up by the US. According to @TankerTrackers, the ships were spotted to the east of Bandar-e Jask (the ships are dark on AIS)....

By Sal Mercogliano
Putin Boosts Security, Eyes War Exit Amid Drone Threat
SocialMay 9, 2026

Putin Boosts Security, Eyes War Exit Amid Drone Threat

Former Russian prime minister saying that chances of a coup are basically non existent but Putin is increasing security regardless According to him Putin will likely start looking for an exit to the war but in his terms. States that Ukraine’s...

By David J. Doherty
352,000 Russian Men Killed in Ukraine War by 2025
SocialMay 9, 2026

352,000 Russian Men Killed in Ukraine War by 2025

"For the first time this year, Mediazona and Meduza have updated the overall estimate of the actual number of Russia’s losses in its war against Ukraine. It is based on the Probate Registry and reflects the number of male Russian...

By Rob Lee
Rubio's Hoped Iran Peace Offer Fails to Materialize
SocialMay 9, 2026

Rubio's Hoped Iran Peace Offer Fails to Materialize

Rubio had said he hoped to receive “a serious offer” from Iran regarding a peace deal by late Friday, but the day ended without a public update. https://t.co/mxnWRYVD8q

By Bryan Clagett
US Prioritization Assumption in Hormuz Conflict Proven Wrong
SocialMay 9, 2026

US Prioritization Assumption in Hormuz Conflict Proven Wrong

I agree 100% with @ProfTalmadge and noted this major misstep in my recent @AtlanticCouncil column on the energy security lessons so far from the Iran war. @RapidanEnergy's pre-war modeling of a Hormuz conflict assumed the US military would...

By Bob McNally
China Unveils First Ternary Mixed‑gas Tunneling System
SocialMay 9, 2026

China Unveils First Ternary Mixed‑gas Tunneling System

Something to keep an eye on. China continues underground tunneling advancements. - "China develops world’s first ‘ternary mixed gas’ shield tunneling system, helps overcome high-pressure construction challenge," https://t.co/craIYIbKjH

By John Spencer
Operation Sindoor: Narrative Battle Equals Military Action
SocialMay 9, 2026

Operation Sindoor: Narrative Battle Equals Military Action

"Operation Sindoor was as much a narrative war as a military operation, American military expert John Spencer tells @firstpost " https://t.co/eYWrTHo0ht

By John Spencer
India Invests $9 B to Secure Malacca Strait, Bolstering US Partnership
SocialMay 9, 2026

India Invests $9 B to Secure Malacca Strait, Bolstering US Partnership

India to build $9 billion strategic outpost near key shipping lane [The Malacca Strait] in Indo-Pacific. Another major reason India is an important U.S. strategic partner and ally. https://t.co/dg2lzaYN3S https://t.co/MghbwNcDxx

By John Spencer
Russia’s Revived Commodity Wealth Fuels Putin’s Renewed Aggression
SocialMay 9, 2026

Russia’s Revived Commodity Wealth Fuels Putin’s Renewed Aggression

Putin didn’t suddenly become belligerent because of NATO. The real shift was power. As commodity revenues returned, Russia regained options, confidence and leverage. And with that came the re-emergence of much older ambitions. That was the moment the trajectory changed. #Geopolitics #Russia #Putin #Ukraine...

By David Murrin
Russia Poised to Arm Iran with Cheap, Jam‑proof Drones
SocialMay 9, 2026

Russia Poised to Arm Iran with Cheap, Jam‑proof Drones

Russia reportedly wants to give Iran thousands of FIBER OPTIC drones Cheap, precise, hard-to-jam THE REAL PHASE OF THE CONFLICT IS STILL AHEAD #Drones #Iran #Russia #Geopolitics #Warfare

By Art Berman Blog
Russia Weaponizes Nuclear Supply Chain, Sparking Global Vulnerability
SocialMay 9, 2026

Russia Weaponizes Nuclear Supply Chain, Sparking Global Vulnerability

It is strange how little attention is broadly directed towards how Russia uses nuclear supply chain dominance as a weapon of war and harm. Good piece: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05-08/russia-nuclear-power-diplomacy-and-dependence/106647598

By Ketan Joshi
Applied Aerospace & Defense Sees 25% Revenue Surge
SocialMay 9, 2026

Applied Aerospace & Defense Sees 25% Revenue Surge

JUST IN: Applied Aerospace & Defense reports a 25% revenue jump in its US IPO filing.

By David Gokhshtein
Greece Probes Ukrainian Naval Drone Discovered in Lefkada Cave
SocialMay 9, 2026

Greece Probes Ukrainian Naval Drone Discovered in Lefkada Cave

JUST IN: Greece is investigating a Ukrainian-made naval drone found in a cave on the island of Lefkada.

By David Gokhshtein
Erdoğan Warns Against Being Used in Regional Bloodshed
SocialMay 9, 2026

Erdoğan Warns Against Being Used in Regional Bloodshed

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: President Erdoğan’s warning is worth revisiting: “We must not fall for the Zionist massacre network’s game of 'killing the bird with someone else’s stone'. We are taking the necessary precautions against bloody scenarios that some want to stage in...

By Steve Hanke
War Department UFO Files Reveal Unprecedented Transparency
SocialMay 9, 2026

War Department UFO Files Reveal Unprecedented Transparency

The Department of War UFO files are absolutely jaw dropping. This level of transparency is unprecedented. https://t.co/v9f6rmcUga

By Bilawal Sidhu
Blocking Iranian Tankers Is Unrealistic, Like Policing Tiny Waters
SocialMay 9, 2026

Blocking Iranian Tankers Is Unrealistic, Like Policing Tiny Waters

It’s not stupid to “let” Iranian tankers get thru the blockade if you’re powerless to stop them @BrettErickson28 This is not like guarding a canal. It’s closer to trying to police a small U.S. state’s worth of water https://t.co/o7uBWIKrky

By Art Berman Blog
US Freedom‑of‑Navigation Test in Hormuz Avoids Casualties
SocialMay 9, 2026

US Freedom‑of‑Navigation Test in Hormuz Avoids Casualties

Calling the destroyers “bait” is click bait @MarioNawfal They were a visible test of U.S. freedom-of-navigation claims No U.S. ships were hit No U.S. personnel were reported killed The attacks were intercepted Not a major Iranian escalation. #Hormuz #Iran #Oil #Geopolitics

By Art Berman Blog
Anduril's Upcoming Products Could Each Become Billion-Dollar Startups
SocialMay 8, 2026

Anduril's Upcoming Products Could Each Become Billion-Dollar Startups

Anduril is so much cooler than people think Anduril is cool. You think Anduril is cool? Okay. Wait till you see the products we haven't even started to hint at. Half a dozen game-changers in their...

By Palmer Luckey
Trump Prioritizes Strait of Hormuz Over Iran Negotiations
SocialMay 8, 2026

Trump Prioritizes Strait of Hormuz Over Iran Negotiations

President Donald Trump has changed his approach as he tries to end the war against #Iran: reopen the Strait of Hormuz at all costs, and leave thorny negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs until later. My story with @Magdalena_971 https://t.co/WbDdDDfzjA

By Eric Martin
Population Tripled, Yet WWII Shipbuilding Was Feasible
SocialMay 8, 2026

Population Tripled, Yet WWII Shipbuilding Was Feasible

US Population 1941: 133 million 2026: 350 million During WW2 we built 8 battleships, 27 fleet carriers, 110 escort carriers, 400+ cruisers & destroyers, 500 escorts, 200 submarines, 5,500+ merchants DO NOT tell me we don’t have enough labor to build 3...

By John Konrad
War's High Cost, No Regime Change Achieved
SocialMay 8, 2026

War's High Cost, No Regime Change Achieved

It’s all for nothing. 13 dead American soldiers. Thousands of dead Iranian civilians. Hundreds of billions in direct and indirect costs. No regime change. Obama-lite nuke deal. All for status quo ante. At best. https://t.co/59S1MSZUpQ

By Ben Hunt
UK’s Integrated Warfare Centre Aims to Secure Multi‑Domain Edge
SocialMay 8, 2026

UK’s Integrated Warfare Centre Aims to Secure Multi‑Domain Edge

Can the UK's new Integrated Warfare Centre (IWC) help give Britain's armed forces the edge in future Multi-Domain Warfare? #avgeek https://t.co/NZIUR3xSaL https://t.co/EPQ5Su9xq2

By Tim Robinson