Strait Closure Likely if Conflict with Iran Escalates
Closure of the strait is one of the most obvious possible consequences of conflict with Iran...
Gulf Ship Attacks Lack Western Target Pattern, Disrupt All Vessels
Gulf Ship Attacks Show No Pattern of Western Targeting as Strikes Spread Beyond Hormuz. Any ships attacked bring things to a standstill. https://t.co/h4vsx1OV11
New Cyber Strategy Emphasizes Deterrence for National Security
Cyber Focus: Cybersecurity, National Security, and Critical Infrastructure S3E10 - Deterrence and the New Cyber Strategy with White House National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross | McCrary Institute https://t.co/PmPdYTO5Zq
US Uses Mostly Air‑Launched Munitions, Standoff Missiles 1%
In presser this morning, @PeteHegseth says that "only 1 percent" of the munitions the U.S. is dropping on Iran today are "standoff munitions," meaning Tomahawk missiles and the like. They've shifted almost exclusively, he says, to munitions launched from aircraft...
US May Approve Taiwan Weapons After Trump's China Visit
Exclusive: New US weapons for Taiwan could be approved after Trump's China trip, sources say https://t.co/cAFv0baooU
Japan’s Oil Move Exposes Vulnerability, Boosts China’s Leverage
Japan taps oil reserves as Iran war spreads. Could it give China leverage? With Tokyo and Beijing still at loggerheads over Taiwan, analysts warn Japan’s decision exposes its economic vulnerability Yet another "Iran war gives Beijing leverage' piece, short answer....no... https://t.co/nx95uxzmnh
Iran Conflict Won’t Boost China; US Needs Rare Earths
How the War in Iran Could Help China and Change Asia Sorry but pretty superficial analysis here of the obvious. Not clear that China somehow benefits or that the US is distracted. Taiwan is a much more complex issue than...
U.S. Targets Iran’s Mine‑Laying Threat in Hormuz
Separate messages today from Secretary Hegseth and Gen. Caine about the Strait of Hormuz. Hegseth disputed recent reporting that administration officials had underestimated the war’s likely impact on the strait, saying Iran “always” tries to hold the waterway “hostage.” “As the world...
Russian Assassin Arrested in Bogotá Thanks to Google Translate
Denis Alimov, FSB Alfa veteran and senior operative of Russia's new and "most secretive" assassination unit, walked into El Dorado Airport in Bogotá on Feb 24 looking like a tourist heading to Cartagena. He walked out in handcuffs. He was undone...
Ukraine Shows Airpower's Limits for Iran Conflict
The limits of airpower - what are the lessons from #Ukraine in #Iran ? #avgeek #defence #Iranwar https://t.co/qhtkN3j2VB https://t.co/h0v6Nal4fT
Nobel Laureate Warns Iran Conflict Will Have Grim Fallout
'That looks low to me': Nobel Prize winner issues grim warning on Iran war consequences https://t.co/NYGEg5JWU3
UAE's Defense Spend Dwarfs Iran's Attack Budget
Context matters Iran spent: Ballistic missiles: ~$165–330M Drones: ~$11–27M Total: ~$177–360M UAE spent: Ballistic missile defense: ~$1.2–1.52B Drone defense: ~$253–759M Total: ~$1.45–2.28B "UAE spent 5-10x more defending than Iran spent attacking" https://t.co/36WBaQgePE
U.S. Defense Secretary Says No Clear Evidence of Iranian Mines
US Defence Secretary Hegseth says there is "not clear evidence" that Iran is laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz
EU Proposes Long‑overlooked Solution to Hormuz Crisis
EU has a solution for the Hormuz issue Why wasnt this considered before? @realDonaldTrump @WhiteHouse
Hegseth
At presser this morning, @PeteHegseth complained about CNN reporting that the war against Iran is intensifying. Then he and Gen. Caine both said more munitions would be dropped today than at any other time in the conflict.
Treasury, SEC Crack Down on Fake Charities Funding Terrorists
Treasury + @SecScottBessent have intel and are taking action on fake charities that send cash to Islamist terrorists. Hopefully nobody you know has given money to these + others.
Israel Destroys World’s Sole KC‑747 Tanker, 55‑year‑old Legend
The world’s only KC-747 tanker (Boeing 747-131F 5-8107) was destroyed by an Israeli airstrike at Mehrabad Airport in Tehran on March 7. This 55-year-old legend refueled IRIAF F-4E Phantoms during the daring 1981 Operation H-3 attack on Iraq’s H-3 base.
Block Iran's Oil Ports to Cripple Regime, Open Hormuz
Iran is a one-trick pony. It exports oil. Those exports pay for everything else, including its military. Shut down its oil exports and Iran implodes. Iran's ports need to be blockaded immediately. That's the fastest way to open up the...
Ukraine Foils Russian Drone Plot to Kill Corps Commander
"Ukrainian security officials thwarted a Russian-ordered assassination plot against Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Army Corps, by detaining a drone operator who planned a missile or bomb strike during Biletsky's frontline visit, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) reported. The...
AI, 5G, IoT, Quantum Redefine Privacy and Security
Inside Cyber: How AI, 5G, IoT, and Quantum Computing Will Transform Privacy and Our Security https://t.co/P5qqtToeX8 #cybersecurity #ArtificialIntelligence #quantum #tech #book
U.S. Depletes Years of Tomahawks Amid Iran Conflict
The US has burned through "years" of Tomahawk missiles in just days of the Iran war, per @FT. This was entirely predictable. @CNASdc data shows the Navy bought ZERO new TLAMs in FY2019, FY2024, and FY2025. Thread 🧵 https://t.co/MOTOIV1iJp
Depleted Munitions Undermine Deterrence, Destabilizing Europe and Asia
Precision-strike warfare is in part only as credible as your stockpiles. Waste munitions in a war of choice that in some categories take years to replace, and conventional deterrence in Europe and Asia degrades by default. So it’s fair to...
Trump Era Depleted Critical Munitions, Raising Conflict Cost Concerns
‘The Trump administration has burned through “years” of critical munitions since the start of the war with Iran, said three people familiar with the matter, fuelling concerns about the rising cost of the conflict and the US’s ability to replenish...
Ukraine Holds World's Most Advanced Drone Technology
Ukraine, as it turns out, has cards: the most advanced drone technology in the world
Iranian Missiles, Drones, and Mines Strain US War Effort
Missiles and mines are stressing the US war effort against Iran. Tehran’s drones and missiles are draining costly US munitions stockpiles. Now mines threaten to close the Strait of Hormuz—and hurt the global economy. I joined @bloombergtv to discuss: https://t.co/VN4egUfKmJ
Trump Pushes Russia Into Deeper Dependence on China
“Trump’s choices are pushing Russia into unprecedented vassalage to China. Energy trade in renminbi, sanctions and China’s industrial dominance will leave the Kremlin with few options but to crawl even further into Beijing’s pocket,” writes @AlexGabuev https://t.co/ZQonXr6p8v
AI Targeting Must Remain Human‑Supervised to Prevent Tragedy
My view of the US bombing of the school in Iran being possibly (probably?) due to selection by Claude: 1. It's a tragedy. I hate seeing my country cause civilian deaths, especially kids. 2. LLMs are not 100% accurate or anything close...
Hypocritical: Dismissing Iran's Lies, yet Fearing Hormuz Threat
The most annoying people now are those who keep saying the Iranian regime lies about everything, yet believe it when it says it will block the Strait of Hormuz—simply because it serves their agenda.
Pentagon Blindsided by Iran's Strait Closure, Planning Oversight
The stories that the admin/pentagon was blind sided by Iran closing the strait is the most outrageous oversight I have ever seen in war planning if true.
Regime Change Impossible; Short‑Term Pain Required for Strategy
A discussion with @CondoleezzaRice — she visited the White house a week ago. Very helpful as she makes it clear that regime change is not only not the goal, but not even feasible, pointing out that autocratic regimes are...
Netanyahu's Long‑standing Claim: Iran Days From Bomb
Here’s decades of Netanyahu saying Iran is days away from making a nuclear bomb. https://t.co/i5X0wYscGm
Generals Stuck in Past, Ignore Emerging Drone Threats
He learned little/nothing from the drone warfare between Russia and Ukraine. Or the Houthis in the Red Sea. Or Hamas in Gaza against Israel. They ignored the Ukrainians when they said they have a defensive option against drones. Generals always prepare for the last...
Trump's Cuba Plan Would Turn US Into Island Patron
Trump’s Plan for #Cuba Would Make the US the Island’s Patron My story tonight https://t.co/XiwNVUwIPt
US Ignores Hormuz Closure Risk Amid Iran Bombings
How does the US not plan on the closing of the Strait of Hormuz when it executes a multi-week bombing campaign against Iran. https://t.co/PD1g7fvdte
White House Flips: War to Keep Hormuz Open
I kid you not... The same White House that forgot that didn't realize that Iran might close the Strait of Hormuz, is now arguing (through Ron Vara) that the war is a good idea because it'll prevent Iran from closing...
Ukraine War Reveals Future Drone‑Fiber Battlefield
Ukraine war is a glimpse into the future of warfare and everyone should be paying attention Photo of the year candidate here. (Jamming means drones increasingly use fiber optic wire, leaving frontline towns enveloped in a web of fiber)
Missile Destruction Won’t End Iran’s Strategic Threat
12 days into Trump’s war and we get an objective. Also - “destroying Iran’s missiles”isn’t going to solve anything when they still have: -drones -control over the strait -nuclear fuel -khamenei leader (just more hardline)
Hegseth’s “Lethality” Comment Actually Meant Plane Collisions
Who knew that when Hegseth was talking about lethality he meant our planes crashing into each other?
US Navy to Escort Ships Once Strait Cleared
Yes, I think the message is now loud and clear. The US Navy will escort vessels through the Strait as soon as the Strait is safe for navigation. 😅😅😅
Europe Likely to See Multiple New Nuclear Programs
While France wants to extend its nuclear umbrella, the far more likely outcome is a Europe where multiple countries build their own nukes. #eu #nuclear #geopolitics https://t.co/Msz4bhjb8H
US Military Propaganda Masks Iran‑Hit Refueling Plane
The amount of war PROPAGANDA from the US military in 2026 is staggering….. a whole refuelling aircraft can’t just go missing, it was hit by Iran
Unsure About Hormuz? Check This Detailed Analysis
Lots of people asking me my opinion on the Hormuz situation. The truth is I don’t really know what to think. But my inclination is to direct everyone to this link: https://t.co/YQsMAPHfJr
KC-135 Tanker Crashes in Iraq; Rescue Ongoing
KC-135 Tanker Crashes In Iraq During Operation Epic Fury Sortie U.S. Central Command says two aircraft were involved in the incident and that a search and rescue effort is currently underway. https://t.co/kNmwYcORgp
Navy Revives Railgun on New Trump‑class Battleship
Navy Is Firing Its Railgun Again After Abandoning It For Years The Trump class "battleship" has breathed new life into the Navy's railgun ambitions, which it previously shelved after hitting technical hurdles. https://t.co/vUjsBEgcLx
Drone Strike Injures Six French Soldiers in Iraq
6 French soldiers injured in a drone attack on their joint base with Peshmerga forces in Makhmour, northern Iraq.
IEA's One-Month Oil Buffer Signals Looming Global Rationing
The International Energy Agency (IEA) just authorized a 400 million barrel reserve release to offset oil disruptions caused by the Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. That stabilizes markets—for now. However, with global demand at around 100 million...
U.S. Moves to End 47‑Year Iran Conflict
The objectives are in fact clear and restated almost daily. Personally, I appreciate the U.S. taking steps to stop a 47 year war against the U.S., our troops, our interests so my son and my daughters do not have to...
Losing the CDS Jeopard
Must read thread. Is CDS being stitched up? (Lose this CDS over a current conflict & what happens to preparing/procurement for a more serious punch-up a few years down the line if equipment/readiness has got worse?)
Iran Keeps Flooding Strait of Hormuz with Oil
VIDEO EXPLAINER: The most important map of the Third Gulf War — the oilfields, the Strait of Hormuz, and the bypass pipelines. Plus a look at how, two weeks into the war, Iran is still exporting lots of its oil,...
Pentagon Lacks Data to Assess Hypersonic Missile Until 2025
We break on DOD DOT&E report: The Pentagon testing office said it won’t get enough data to evaluate the combat effectiveness of the US’s first hypersonic missile until early next year https://t.co/GKrTRVb6BX