Allied Production Needed as U.S. Defense Gears for Short Wars
U.S. defense industry is built for short, sharp wars not long ones. New from @jlmcardle01 in the @CNASdc New American DIB series: allied manufacturing can close the gaps domestic industry can't fill fast enough. Timely w/expenditure rates against Iran. https://t.co/TInxSDERsE
Iran Could Spark Global Oil Crisis via Hormuz
I’ve been on the bearish end of the spectrum on Iran. The Straits of Hormuz are a big chokepoint. Iran just has to blow up one oil tanker to cause a global crisis. Thanks to @SoumayaKeynes for having me on...
Orban Seizes Ukrainian Hostages to Sway Election
Hungary has taken seven Ukrainians hostage in another attempt to prevent Orban from losing the election
U.S. Wins Iran Fight, Yet Readiness for China Falters
@PhilSheers & I in a new @CNASdc insight: The U.S. is defeating Iran militarily. But military success doesn't guarantee strategic success & Epic Fury is draining the readiness we'd need most against China. https://t.co/6opfwY0d7o
Iran's Threat to Oil Tankers Could Trigger Market Crash
Iran is getting bombed to smithereens. If oil tanker traffic through the Straits of Hormuz resumes in any meaningful fashion, Iran has every incentive to blow up a ship. All it takes is one oil tanker and global markets will...
Aging Sub, Modern Tech Sinks Iranian Ship After WWII
USS Charlotte (SSN 766) may have been in service for ~32 years but—thanks to the U.S. submarine force's ARCI program—like all U.S. SSNs it will have received regular updates to sonar and fire control systems. In fact, those systems may...
Friendly Fire Chaos: Mis‑ID Leads to F‑18 Shooting Down F‑15
Terrible case of mis-ID, but given Qatari AF had splashed a couple of Su-24s- wonder if the uppermost threat was Iranian Fencers, Fulcrums or even Tomcats rather than drones, in pilots' mind?
Low‑Cost Autonomous Munitions Could Restore Combat Mass
With #Ukraine and #Iran burning through stocks of missiles and drones at a staggering pace - can low-cost autonomous munitions bring back 'combat mass'? #avgeek https://t.co/6BD5jEJqW4 https://t.co/TCHXSbGlBW
Russia Shares US Target Data with Iran, Expanding Conflict
“Russia is providing Iran with targeting information to attack American forces in the Middle East, the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is participating — even indirectly — in the war, according to three officials familiar with the intelligence. The...
US Ignored Ukraine’s Drone‑War Expertise Before Middle East Conflict
Strange that the US did not consult Ukraine, whose army knows how to counter attacks from thousands of cheap drones, before starting a war in the Middle East From @shustry and Nancy Youssef https://t.co/coBQlEyvzU
AVON Lands $12.7m Order,
#AVON won a $12.7m order for Filters for a middle east customer. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 20.5 falling to 18.3 and fwd Divvy 1.3% rising to 1.5%; not a crazy rating for a defence stock and seems to be on...
US Temporarily Relaxes Russian Oil Sanctions for India
The US is temporarily easing sanctions on Russian oil sales to India to address supply shortages and reduce the impact of the surge in prices in the wake of US and Israeli attacks on Iran. The decision to ease sanctions...
Flashy Strikes Replace Strategy, Myth of Leader Decapitation Fails
‚What emerges is…the “strike-as-strategy” paradox: the substitution of impressive tactical actions for comprehensive strategic design. Under Trump, this tendency is reinforced by a political culture that demands televised displays of military prowess. The Maduro raid will encourage the dangerous notion that...
Kurdish Peshmerga Will Fight Vigorously Against Iran
When my unit jumped into Northern Iraq in 2003 during the invasion of Iraq, we linked up with the Kurdish Peshmerga, who fought alongside American forces all the way south to Kirkuk. The Kurds are a proud people and a warrior...
Naval Supremacy Decides Wars in Days, Not Years
THIS But the bigger lesson here: naval wars are decided quickly. Sometimes in hours. Japan knew this. That’s why they attacked Pearl Harbor. They just missed the carriers and fuel tanks. That war was decided at Midway. Doesn’t mean the war will be short....
U.S. Admiral Calls Kamikaze Drones Indispensable in Iran Conflict
LUCAS Kamikaze Drones Lauded As “Indispensable” By U.S. Admiral In Charge Of Iran War Cloned from the Iranian Shahed-136, CENTCOM commander Admiral Brad Cooper praised the drones and their performance so far. https://t.co/1jrLntEJUb
AI Trusted for War, Ignored for Everyday Queries
Overheard in Silicon Valley: “The current brainiac position is that AI *should* dictate war policy to the government but *should not* answer questions about your hangnail.”
Planet Labs Imposes 96‑hour Delay on Middle East Imagery
Just got this from Planet Labs, they are delaying posting imagery from specific areas in the Middle East 96 hours due to operational security concerns: Reads in part: As part of Planet’s commitment to responsible data practices and the safety of personnel...
Should the U.S. Navy Rescue IRGC Sailors?
Ship captain here. I’ve spent more time being tracked, followed, hunted, and observed by submarines than 99.999% of people on this app… and I’ve read dozens of books on how those encounters end. So should the U.S. Navy have rescued those IRGC...
Iranian Navy Ship Seeks Asylum in Sri Lanka Amid War
It seems like this is now happening, with the news that the Iranian Navy auxiliary ship Bandar Abbas is now seeking shelter in port in Sri Lanka to wait out the war in an interned status.
Mark 48 Ranks Among US Navy’s Deadliest Anti‑ship Weapons
“"The Mark 48 is one of the most lethal anti-ship weapons in the U.S. inventory," Thomas Shugart, an adjunct senior fellow at [@cnasdc], told Fox News Digital.” https://t.co/B4fV7Sgz82
Helios Laser Claims Debunked: It’s Actually ODIN Dazzler
I don't believe any of this is true. I have seen on big outlets and influencers hyping this up. I don't believe HELIOS is even deployed to the region nor has it downed a drone in combat nor would it...
CENTCOM Calls LUCAS Drones Indispensable Amid Inquiry
Our Howard Altman asking about the use and efficacy of LUCAS drones at the CENTCOM presser today.
US Neglects Red Sea Defenses While Sending Aid Abroad
"failure to beef up relevant defensive measures in a facility located so close to Iran is a curious lapse in planning." Lapse in planning? The major of the veterans on X were screaming and yelling about Biden sending so many of...
Total Air Supremacy over Iran Not yet Achieved
The Misconception That Air Supremacy Has Been Achieved Over Iran While there are areas where air superiority exists over Iran, total air supremacy has not been achieved, which should be no surprise. https://t.co/jOLoFEFr1r
New AI‑Driven Weapons Define Future Warfare
AI-enabled kill chains, swarming drones, high-energy lasers and stealth clusters...the weapons pummeling Iran," my latest @DailyMail https://t.co/5DPTssFCRC World War I introduced the tank and large-scale air combat. World War II debuted radar, jet aircraft, and the atomic bomb. The Gulf War...
Iran War Day 6: Energy Crises, Regime Splits, Ukraine Links
The Iran War - Day 6: Energy Disruption, Regime Fragmentation, and Ukraine You are watching a full preview of Peter's coverage of the Iran War. Join our Analyst Tier on Patreon to access daily videos and analysis of...
Interceptors Primarily Target Missiles, Not OWA Drones
It’s an important point to raise. Most of the interceptors folks are concerned with are likely used on ballistic missiles not OWA drones.
Iran’s Underground Missile Bases Exposed, Become Strategic Liabilities
"Iran’s Underground ‘Missile Cities’ Have Become One of Its Biggest Vulnerabilities" @WSJ The underground has advantages and disadvantages. #undergroundwarfare https://t.co/TgMup6jVwm Almost all of the dozens of missile bases are underground but have aboveground buildings, roads and entrances that make it possible to...
No Ships in Hormuz Strait: Explained Why
Why Are There No Ships in the Strait of Hormuz | March 5, 2026, Update Video: https://t.co/tcPFyfGeV8 https://t.co/Wgk4B6EEIp
Pentagon Seeks $12 B to Revive F‑35 Readiness
We break on F-35 readiness rates: The Pentagon needs an additional $12 billion through 2031 to boost declining readiness rates of the F-35 fighter, program officials have told congressional auditors. https://t.co/pSWFdAbhzt
Trump Reshuffles Noem, Avoids Disgruntled Ex‑officials
secy of homeland security kristi noem sacked but given a new post (a la mike waltz). learning from his first term, president trump really doesn’t want jilted formers causing trouble.
Erdoğan Faces US‑backed Kurdish Arms Amid PKK Talks
While the CIA arms Iranian Kurds in Iraq, Turkey is in the middle of disarmament talks with the PKK. I wonder what Erdoğan thinks about the latest US entanglement with the Kurds? https://t.co/iaq2Xp2XeS
First 100 Hours Cost $3.7B, Mostly Unbudgeted
"The first 100 hours (H+100) of the operation are estimated to cost $3.7 billion, or $891.4 million each day. Some of these costs are already budgeted, but most ($3.5 billion) are not." -- @CSIS https://t.co/CXMXCNY8DQ
Iran's War Rhetoric Ignored After Defeat by Israel
“Iran: We are “Waiting” [and ready] for U.S. Ground Evasion.” @FoxNews unlikely, but bookmark as the example of delusional and irrational in war. Iran was dominated by Israel in June 2025. And now faces the greatest military on earth,...
Daily Battles Against Iran‑trained Proxies and Relentless Bomb Attacks
Yes, we faced Iran trained (Quds force and others sent from Iran) proxies, road side bombs/IEDs/EFPs daily - and even truck bombs (IRAMs) like my unit was hit by.
Ukraine's F‑16s Face Sidewinder Shortage Amid Middle East Demand
Ukrainian F-16s Had Only A Handful Of Sidewinder Missiles Available: Report The conflict in the Middle East is now also driving up the demand for and increasing scarcity of various kinds air-defense effectors. https://t.co/620olFVNxb
US ISR Support to Ukraine Raises Escalation Risks
Last March, the New York Times wrote that the US was supplying detailed ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance) to Ukraine so that Ukraine could more effectively kill Russian targets (with US-made weapons.) We appear to be approaching dangerous territory. https://t.co/aBoGhQCU2x
US Denies F‑15E Loss as Iran Escalates Drone Strikes
U.S. Denies F-15E Strike Eagle Went Down In Iran There are new risks as the U.S. expands its air campaign deeper into Iran, and meanwhile Iran has begun to strike Azerbaijan with drones. A little late this AM, we continue live updating:...
Psychological Warfare Aims to Defect Iranian Forces
Important report if true. War is a contest of wills. Beyond the targeting, the psychological efforts (cyber, texts, TV)/messaging by the U.S. and Israel to encourage IRGC, Army, Basij, police and others to lay down their weapons, not show up,...
B‑52s Deploy JASSM Cruise Missiles in Iran Standoff
This came up in one of my threads yesterday as to B-52s and B-1s likely executing standoff strikes using cruise missiles fired from outside Iran, not direct attacks. This video confirms it, AGM-158 JASSMs on the wings. They were not...
Iran's Misstep Exposed by Azerbaijan's Recent Military Success
Having visited Azerbaijan extensively in the last years studying their recent military operations, Iran made a big mistake IMO.
Sober Awe at Vandenberg’s Minuteman III Launch
Covering a Minuteman III launch out at Vandenberg Space Force Base. Really amazing and sobering experience seeing this missile fly.
Historic PBY Catalina Joins Modern P‑8A Poseidon at Whidbey
PBY Catalina and a P-8A Poseidon assigned to the “Fighting Marlins” of Patrol Squadron (VP) 40 sit on the apron aboard Naval Air Station Whidbey Island, Wash., Aug. 22, 2025. On DVIDS today. #avgeek https://t.co/dy2utMvSdY https://t.co/WLf4sHZzs0
First Container Ship Hit in Hormuz; Crew Evacuates
First container ship struck by an "unknown projectile" in the the Strait of Hormuz today. The Safeen Prestige, a 1700 TEU ship operated by Global Feeder Systems (owned by Abu Dhabi Port Group) The attack caused a fire and the crew...
Software Streamlines Manufacturing for Defense, Space, Energy, Automotive
Software that helps hardware companies in the defense, space, energy and automotive industries streamline their manufacturing processes. Nominal's @CameronLMcCord and FF's @traestephens join us on the show today.
State-Backed Hackers Ready for Undetectable OT Attacks
State-affiliated hackers set up for critical OT attacks that operators may not detect | CSO Online https://t.co/bvLvNOk8Fn
US Shifts to Abundant PGMs, Yet JDAM Shortages Warn
The US air campaign is shifting from using scarce high-end weapons to precision guided munitions. PGM inventory is high, but there are still risks: the US ran dangerously low on JDAMs during ISIS strikes and had to pull from other...
China Hikes Military Budget, Seeks Tech Self‑reliance
In a Riskier Era, China Bets on Technology to Resist U.S. Pressure China announced a 7 percent increase in military spending and a five-year plan to try to reduce its military and industry’s reliance on Western technology. https://t.co/c3cRysLtmX via @NYTimes
Modern Nuclear Subs Can't Safely Rescue Survivors at Sea
PSA regarding the fact that the U.S. submarine that sank IRIS Dena did not pick up survivors: due to the configuration of modern nuclear submarines, it is generally going to be infeasible to pick up such survivors in open ocean...