Middle East: Middle East Conflict Pushes PIX GCC Testliner, Fluting Indices Higher in March
The March Fastmarkets PIX indices for GCC containerboard jumped about 4.4%, with testliner reaching $482.44 per tonne and fluting $457.33 per tonne. Disruptions from the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz forced Saudi corrugators to shift from imported recycled fiber to local mills, boosting regional demand. In the UAE, diesel prices surged 72% to roughly $0.74 per liter, while shipping lines imposed $3,000‑$3,500 war surcharges and rerouted cargo to Jeddah, inflating freight costs by around 20%. Industry players expect further price pressure in April as logistics remain chaotic.
Pakistan as Peacemaker Facilitates the US-Iran Ceasefire
Pakistan’s diplomatic team, led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, brokered a two‑week cease‑fire between the United States and Iran, prompting Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump, after a public threat of nuclear action, accepted Pakistan’s appeal and...
Rupee Likely to Stabilise at 92-93 Level: EAC-PM Chairman
The Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister said the Indian rupee is likely to settle between 92 and 93 per U.S. dollar after recent volatility from global tensions and foreign institutional investor outflows. A temporary cease‑fire between the United...
Oil Slides as US, Iran Agree Two-Week Ceasefire
The United States and Iran have agreed to a two‑week cease‑fire that reopens the Strait of Hormuz, allowing over 800 trapped vessels to resume transit. Crude oil prices plunged about six percent, marking the steepest drop in nearly six years...
IEA: $60bn of Investment Needed to Diversify Global Rare Earth Supply Chains
The International Energy Agency warns that China's grip on rare‑earth supply chains jeopardises up to $6.5 trillion of global economic activity each year. It estimates that roughly $60 billion of investment over the next decade is required to build diversified sources for...
Market Digest: IFF, KBH
Argus’s April market digest notes that 4Q25 U.S. GDP was revised down to a 0.7% annualized gain, reflecting weaker exports, government spending and corporate capital investment. The war with Iran has pushed WTI crude to about $100 a barrel, inflating...
The Cease-Fire Mirage: Here’s Why Stock-Market Bulls May Already Be Getting Ahead of Themselves
An 11th‑hour U.S.–Iran cease‑fire sparked a sharp equity rally, lifting the S&P 500 two‑thirds of its February losses while oil prices fell. Goldman Sachs senior trader Rich Privorotsky warned that the market may be chasing a fragile rally, noting the index...
Kharg Island Targeted in U.S. Strikes as Hormuz Tensions Lift Oil Prices
The United States launched precision strikes on military installations at Iran's Kharg Island, deliberately sparing the island's oil export terminals. The attacks, part of a broader campaign to pressure Tehran, coincided with President Trump's warning of a larger operation if...
EU-Mercosur Deal to Take Provisional Effect May 1; Limited Immediate Impact for Paper Industry Seen
The EU-Mercosur trade agreement will enter provisional effect on May 1, 2026 after the European Commission’s final procedural step. While the deal promises gradual tariff reductions for pulp, paper and board, no immediate eliminations occur and most cuts will be...
Iran Conflict Sparks Worst Month of Outflows Since Autumn Budget
The Middle East conflict sparked a sharp rise in equity fund outflows, reaching $1.78 bn in March – a 55% jump from February and the worst month since November 2025. UK equity funds led the sell‑off with $752 m withdrawn, while North...
‘Book Short, Stay Flexible’ as Ecommerce Evolution Looms
The EU will eliminate its de‑minimis exemption for e‑commerce parcels on July 1, prompting a pre‑deadline rush that could flood the Asia‑Europe air‑freight lane and push rates higher. Capacity is already tight because roughly one‑third of the route relies on Middle‑East...
Construction Firms Slash Jobs After Biggest-Ever Cost Inflation Rise
Construction firms in the UK slashed jobs at an accelerated pace in March as cost inflation surged to its highest level since 1997, according to S&P Global. The spike was driven by war‑related price hikes in fuel, transportation and raw...
Ukraine Torches Putin’s Iran War Windfall, as EU Allies Sweat over High Energy Prices
Ukraine’s intensified drone and missile strikes have knocked out roughly 40% of Russia’s oil export capacity, cutting about one million barrels per day from the market. The Kremlin responded by expanding a gasoline export ban to all producers until July...
The Strait of Hormuz Disproves an Armchair Narrative About Globalization
The article challenges the narrative that post‑Cold‑War globalization is fading, using the Strait of Hormuz as a case study. It shows that oil, gas and fertilizer markets remain deeply interconnected, with supply shocks in the Gulf instantly affecting global prices....
Peace or Illusion? U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Reopens Tourism, Skies, and Shipping—But for How Long?
The United States and Iran have agreed to a two‑week cease‑fire, mediated by Pakistan, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing immediate oil‑price pressures. Gulf shipping firms are resuming transit but face higher insurance costs, while airlines are launching a...
‘Historic’ NZ–India FTA to Scrap 95% of Tariffs on Wood Exports
New Zealand and India will sign a Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement on April 24, eliminating tariffs on 95% of New Zealand wood products, including timber, lumber, pulp and paperboard. The deal grants immediate duty‑free access for most wood exports and phases out...
Aussies Shares Gain Almost $80 Billion After Ceasefire Announcement
Global equity markets rallied after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a cease‑fire with Iran, adding roughly $80 billion in market value. The Australian ASX 200 jumped sharply, reflecting a swift shift in investor sentiment. Crude oil prices slipped from $110 to $94...
Ottawa’s Critical Minerals Push Will only Be as Successful as the Infrastructure Behind It
Canada’s government aims to boost its critical mineral output to as much as 14% of global supply by 2040, up from the current 2% share. To achieve this, Ottawa has launched the First and Last Mile Fund, committing up to...
Ceasefire Announced: Oil Below $100, US Market Futures up Sharply
A surprise two‑week cease‑fire between the United States and Iran caused oil prices to plunge below $100 per barrel, with Brent falling about 13% and U.S. benchmarks mirroring the drop. The sharp decline sparked a risk‑on rally, lifting S&P 500 and...
Action Needed to Address Africa's Structural Challenges, Says AfDB
The African Development Bank’s new Macroeconomic Performance and Outlook reports that Africa grew 4.2% in 2025, beating the global average but still falling short of the 7% growth needed for structural transformation. Thirty‑two of 54 economies posted stronger growth, with...
Bank of England: Interest Rate Hike Predictions Cool as Trader Sentiment Resets
Traders have sharply revised expectations for Bank of England policy, now pricing in only a single 25‑basis‑point rate hike after a cease‑fire between the US, Israel and Iran eased Middle‑East tensions. The two‑year gilt yield fell to 4.1%, down from...
Webinar: Iran Ceasefire – What Next for Markets and the Economy?
A two‑week ceasefire between the United States and Iran sparked a sharp drop in oil prices and a rally in risk assets, as traders anticipate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The pause in hostilities is expected to ease...
WiseTech CEO Zubin Appoo: Why Logistics Must Get Ahead of Major Events and Risk
WiseTech CEO Zubin Appoo warned that the March shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered by the Middle East war, exposed how quickly supply chains can be crippled by geopolitical events. He noted that vessel transits collapsed from over a...
Safe Evacuation of Ships, Seafarers From the Gulf a Priority
The International Maritime Organization and the International Chamber of Shipping welcomed a 14‑day U.S.–Iran cease‑fire, aiming to evacuate roughly 1,000 vessels and 20,000 seafarers trapped in the Gulf after the Strait of Hormuz was closed in late February. IMO Secretary‑General...
Ray Dalio: Trump-Xi Meeting to Focus on Trade, Capital Flows
Hedge‑fund founder Ray Dalio said the upcoming Trump‑Xi summit in Beijing on May 14‑15 will prioritize trade and capital‑flow issues. He expressed optimism that the leaders will show empathy, which could calm bilateral tensions and reassure investors. Dalio noted the S&P 500...
How Korea Is Boosting Domestic Spending Through a Nationwide Shopping Event
South Korea’s Ministry of SMEs and Startups launched the Donghaeng Festival, a 30‑day nationwide shopping event that synchronises tourism, cultural programs and retail discounts. In April 2026 the festival mobilised more than 33,000 SMEs across roughly 200 distribution channels, linking...
Mærsk in the Crosshairs: Hutchison Opens a New Legal Front over Panama
CK Hutchison’s Panama Ports Company has launched arbitration proceedings directly against APM Terminals, the terminal arm of Danish carrier Maersk, over the recent Panama Canal port transition. The claim now exceeds $2 billion, expanding beyond the original dispute with the Panamanian...
Macro Hedge Funds Worst Hit in March Amid Middle East Turmoil
Macro hedge funds recorded their steepest March decline since the pandemic, slipping roughly 5.5% as the Israel‑Iran escalation drove oil to $100 per barrel and spooked equity markets. The turmoil forced a rapid unwind of short positions in U.S. stocks,...
France Leads 15-Country Effort to Reopen Strait of Hormuz
France is heading a coalition of about fifteen countries to restart commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz after a U.S.-Iran cease‑fire was announced. The strait moves roughly one‑fifth of global oil, about five million barrels daily, making its reopening...
Iran Conflict: Is Ceasefire Too Little, Too Late for Global Food?
The United States and Iran have agreed to a two‑week cease‑fire that temporarily reopens the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian military coordination. The strait carries about 30 % of global fertilizer shipments, making its partial reopening critical for agricultural input supplies....
Ontario’s Prosperity Gap Widens as US Neighbours Pull Further Ahead, Report Reveals
A new Fraser Institute report shows Ontario’s GDP per capita lagged far behind its Great Lakes neighbours in 2024, registering roughly $55,000 USD per person – the second‑lowest among the eight U.S. states and Quebec examined. New York topped the region...
Japan's Nikkei Stock Index Ends up over 5% on U.S.-Iran Cease-Fire Deal
Japan's Nikkei 225 surged 5.39% on Wednesday, posting its third‑largest point gain in history after the United States and Iran announced a two‑week cease‑fire. The rally was driven by easing Middle East tensions, a stronger yen around ¥158 per dollar,...
Does the Iran Ceasefire Mean the Fuel Crisis Is Over? Not Even Close
A temporary cease‑fire in the Iran‑Israel conflict has opened the Strait of Hormuz, but the damage to Gulf oil infrastructure means the global fuel crunch will linger for months. The war removed roughly 11 million barrels per day from the market,...
Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Soar After U.S., Iran Walk Back From the Brink
President Trump announced a conditional cease‑fire with Iran, contingent on the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The news triggered a sharp plunge in Brent crude and diesel futures, while U.S. stock futures, led by the Dow, surged. Treasury...
The Morning Briefing: Middle East Tensions Trigger £1.4bn Equity Fund Outflows; How Does HALO Hold up in a Volatile Market?
Middle East tensions sparked a sharp spike in equity fund outflows, with investors pulling £1.44 bn ($1.8 bn) in March – the worst month since November 2025 and the seventh‑worst on record. The sell‑off was broad‑based, but UK equity funds felt the brunt,...
India Set to Get First Iranian Crude Oil Cargo in 7 Years
India will receive its first Iranian crude cargo in seven years after the United States temporarily lifted sanctions on Iranian oil. The shipment, aboard the Curacao‑flagged VLCC Jaya, was bought by state‑run Indian Oil Corp. and is bound for India's...
DTI Ramps up $110-B Semiconductor Export Plan
The Philippine Department of Trade and Industry unveiled a five‑year roadmap to lift semiconductor and electronics exports to $110 billion by 2030, more than twice today’s level. The plan targets $70 billion in semiconductor sales and $40 billion in broader electronics shipments, backed...
Jobless Rate in the Philippines Eased to 5.1% in February
Philippine unemployment slipped to 5.1% in February 2026, down from a pandemic‑era peak of 5.8% in January. The decline represents roughly 300,000 fewer jobless, bringing the total to about 2.66 million. Labor force participation rose to 63.8% (52.09 million) and the employment‑to‑population...
PSEi Climbs Past 6,000 in Early Trade on US-Iran Truce Boost
Philippine stocks surged on Wednesday as the PSEi jumped 1.95% to 6,074.06 points, breaking the 6,000 mark. The rally was sparked by a two‑week US‑Iran truce announced by President Donald Trump, which eased fears of a broader Middle East conflict....
Trump Admin Rejects Ford Bid for Aluminum Tariff Relief
The Trump administration rejected Ford's request for temporary relief from the 50% aluminum import tariff after fires crippled Novelis' Oswego plant, forcing automakers to source overseas. Ford has already absorbed $2 billion in costs and expects an additional $1 billion in tariff...
UK House Prices Fall as Iran War Uncertainty Dampens Demand
Halifax reported the average UK house price fell 0.5% in March to £299,677 (approximately $383,000). The decline follows a 0.3% rise in February and reflects dampened demand as mortgage rates climb amid uncertainty from the Iran‑Israel conflict. Higher energy costs...
RBI Ups Crude Oil, Exchange Rate Baseline Assumptions for FY27
The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY27 baseline crude‑oil price to $85 per barrel, up from $70 in the second half of FY26, and lifted its rupee projection to 94 per dollar, up from 88. The revision follows a...
Sensex Jumps over 2900 Pts, Nifty Touches 24,000 Mark: Bank, Auto & Realty Stocks Lead Market Rally as RBI Hold...
The Reserve Bank of India kept its repo rate unchanged at 5.25%, prompting a broad market rally. The BSE Sensex jumped nearly 2,990 points, up about 3.8%, while the Nifty 50 rose to just under 24,000. Rate‑sensitive sectors—banks, autos and...
RBI Agrees to 'Demand From some Quarters,' Unveils First-Ever Core Inflation Projection at 4.4% for FY27
The Reserve Bank of India announced its first-ever core‑inflation forecast, projecting a 4.4% rise for fiscal year 2027. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the move responds to demand from market participants and will become a regular feature. Headline CPI stayed below the...
IDC Sees Worsening Tech Environment as Middle East Tensions Continue
IDC warned that the ongoing Middle East conflict could sharply curb global IT spending in 2026, trimming its growth forecast to 9% and warning it may slip to 5‑6% if fighting persists. The firm cited rising oil prices, higher component...
Not All Exporters Will Get a Tariff Refund From the US. Here’s Why
Australian exporters can seek refunds for tariffs deemed illegal after the US Supreme Court ruled Donald Trump’s IEEPA‑based duties unlawful. The Court of International Trade ordered refunds, prompting firms such as Rio Tinto, Breville and Bondi Boost to file claims. Refunds are...
FX Daily: Global FX Comes Back From the Brink
A two‑week cease‑fire between Iran and its adversaries has sparked a broad risk‑on rally, lifting equities, steepening yield curves and prompting a rebound in most currencies against the dollar. The U.S. dollar index, which rose about 3 % in March, slipped...
Oil Prices Plunge 15% to Below $100, Stocks Surge and Dollar Slumps After Trump Announces US-Iran Ceasefire – Business Live
Oil prices dropped more than 15% to under $100 a barrel after the United States and Iran announced a two‑week conditional cease‑fire and a temporary reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The news sparked a broad equity rally, with Asian...
Asian Tech Stocks Surge as U.S.-Iran Cease Fire Ease Hormuz Disruption Worries
Asian technology and semiconductor stocks rallied sharply after the United States and Iran agreed to a conditional two‑week cease‑fire that reopened the Strait of Hormuz. The de‑escalation eased fears over helium shortages, a critical input for chip manufacturing, prompting double‑digit...
Gold Volatility Amid Geopolitical Crises: What History Tells Us>
Gold’s March price swing surprised markets, dropping 11.6% to a $4,099 low after briefly breaching $5,400 amid heightened geopolitical tension. The sell‑off was driven by rising U.S. rates, a stronger dollar and an oil‑price shock, echoing patterns seen in 2008,...