
This has to be one of the most bearish charts I’ve ever seen for CDX HY. One can argue that they won’t be as correlated as they’ve always been, but ‘this time is different’ may be wrong . I think investors should and will sell their public credit to derisk when they can’t sell their private credit. Or switch from public (risk without much reward) to something much more balanced even if heading lower.
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐤: Fresh launches, team moves are keeping hedge funds in growth mode, while Middle East tensions prompt firms in the Gulf to review near-term plans and continuity playbooks. Meanwhile, AI agent workflows are moving from buzzword to toolkit https://t.co/jiiupziBYa
My partner @kieranwgoodwin has been so right about this space for over a year which has really sharpened my vision. Outflows beget outflows. Gating begets outflows. Selling some of the underlying portfolio to meet minimum redemptions creates losses and begets...
Former Citadel money manager, Nico Dil, has started trading for his own hedge fund with backing from investors including Squarepoint Capital and Lighthouse Investment Partners. https://t.co/fp0XOxOsom
The HFT algos/CTA trend followers don't discount geopolitics very well. If @hkuppy is right, he makes a real case why active management is of ultimate importance when there is a real global change. The VIX is not mean reverting this time,...

Scoop: Taula’s New Hire Greg Knight Made $800 Million Profit at Millennium But Last Two Years Were Tough https://t.co/KYHo535VRM
"Any repeatable process that generates significant alpha in fundamental investing is going to get competed away." - @GavinSBaker (EP.489) With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.
Investing is entering a new regime defined by AI acceleration, crossover convergence, and a widening gap between insight and execution. A conversation with @GavinSBaker of Atreides Management on rigorous debate, conviction, and how culture & risk management drive performance across...

1/ Brevan Howard's Minal Bathwal hasn't had a losing year since the start of his fund, 18 years ago. In a recent interview, he said that his style is influenced by psychologist Daniel Kahneman, including his book Thinking, Fast & Slow....

On the day we launched Prophet publicly in December 2024, it was already up 1,640% from the date the strategy was first implemented in Dec '08. Now it's up 1,982% -- or ~20% since Dec '24. But the best is...

This SONAR chart: Outbound Tender Rejection Index (blue) vs. Knight-Swift stock price (yellow). There is a reason that hedge funds buy SONAR and it is our fastest growing cohort. https://t.co/erT8QvKIr6

Bullish Brent positions at nearly two-year high prior to attack on Iran Before the United States and Israel attacked Iran, hedge funds and other money managers amassed the largest bullish position in Brent crude futures and options for almost two years,...
Dragonfly Capital Premium Top10 added 58.9bp on the week using 50% of capital. YTD +8.08% https://t.co/WLKiAGN5LF

Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...
"If you look at the hard numbers, China is capital starved right now—it's the least crowded trade in the world." - Ed Grefenstette (EP.488) With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.

This top II-ranked PC sell-side analyst made +54% per year from 1995–1999 running $15B … then founded a hedge fund that briefly became the largest in the world.
$NVDA down hard because every Hedge Fund on the planet knew the quarter was going to be great and they bought it ahead of that
One River is buying the quant arm of LGT Capital Partners, a deal that will boost the hedge fund’s assets by roughly a third https://t.co/KuxkGui39M

The secret hedge funds use to detect market regimes... A 37 page PDF reveals everything:
"If there is a violent drop in public equity prices, we cannot be in a position where we're taking money out of the public book and sliding it into the private book. That's the ultimate sin of our job." - Sean...

What did 13F filers do with the Bitcoin ETFs in Q4?? In what should not be much of a surprise -- they were sellers. Advisors and Hedge Funds (the two largest holder categories) were the biggest sellers. Overall 13F Filers sold...

Almost all Hedge Fund types are exposed to Short Dollar. Some are massively Short. *Will they all be right? https://t.co/Uwzu1CzIdx

The Fam was flat in the Long Only and +17bps in the Long/Short Book today We like days like this. Save and make money when the consensus crowd is losing theirs https://t.co/QFJjbKycEg

A fascinating chart. Non-commercial traders, primarilly hedge funds and institutions, are currently at one of their most extreme net long positions in #Bitcoin in the entire dataset. The red line has plunged deeply negative, meaning the "net short position" is...
If you gave Jim Simons $1,000 in 1988 and never touched it, you'd have $4 billion after 30 years—before fees. After Simons takes his $1.76 billion cut, you’re still left with $2.24 billion.

1. Chart in original post shows the weaker USD (DXY) gets, the more flows will move into USD assets...& DXY had biggest drop in 52 yrs in 1H25👇 2. So as long as DXY keeps falling 10-15%/yr, foreign** inflows will grow **37%...

Volatility is cooling. 30D realized volatility (yellow line) just rolled over and is now below 90D (blue line). When short-term vol drops, the machines re-lever. Vol control funds start buying. Right now, the signal says grind higher until proven otherwise.

(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: February 20, 2026 - Portfolio Enrichment..." A few Friday A.M. portfolio adjustments... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/VbzlIct5Nc https://t.co/DZs0p0H2mR

From GS Prime trading desk on Flows, via Bbrg: “Against a more challenging performance backdrop and tougher technicals, hedge funds have turned more defensive and net sold US equities MTD at the fastest pace since March 25,” the team led by...
Great SELL call by McGough @HedgeyeRetail on $CVNA that CNBC failed, once again, to cover
Another hedge fund shutting to new cash just as investors ready to allocate more. Asfandyar Nadeem’s Deem Global is soft-closing at $3billion after a strong 2025 and a sharp start to 2026. capacity is becoming a scarce resource. https://t.co/3TAvGB3pmk

He made $4B for his old firm and $900M for himself. Then sued to break a noncompete—and launched a hedge fund that gained 20% in year one.
(In contrast to the bullish view expressed yesterday on the Fin TV show - see SLINK's confident consumer outlook on @cnbc), we remain cautious on the consumer. This week we put on a three way pairs trade - long $AMZN/Short $COST...

Mets owner Steve Cohen got a $3.4 billion payday from his hedge fund last year. Here are the top earners in 2025: https://t.co/ZRuqldhcBZ https://t.co/p6eqszYRZM
A $2 billion quantitative hedge fund that recently added “Alpha” to its name, is calling it quits after three consecutive years of losses and roughly 25-year run https://t.co/69PJrwEni7
The show panelists (don't be shocked, they are bullish) love retail/consumer stocks - we shorted $COST and $WMT in the last 24 hours. We are looking for more consumer shorts. We believe lower home and stock prices will take away from the...

⚠️Almost everybody is piling into the SAME TRADE: Hedge fund net allocation to Magnificent 7 stocks is up to a RECORD 22%. This is more than DOUBLE the level seen in 2022. At the same time, these stocks remain among the most popular...

With 13Fs for Q4 out, retweeting this AI workflow (which I quite like). I will be building a stack of a couple dozen funds I follow to get a quick look at their portfolios: new additions, size ups/downs and portfolio...
Largest merger arbitrage books (by 13-F*) Pentwater: $10.6 billion HBK: $8.1 billion Millennium: $7.8 billion Balyasny: $5.3 billion Fidelity: $4.4 billion Citadel: $2.9 billion Qube: $2.7 billion AQR: $2.4 billion Glazer: $2.3 billion Magnetar: $2.1 billion h/t Cantor

Vol Control funds are starting to re-engage. When realized vol cools, vol-control strategies mechanically add equity exposure. Vol ↓ → Positioning ↑ → Fuel for price. Still too early, but if realized volatility continues to cool off, this turns into incremental buy pressure...
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Portfolios Are Experiencing Lower Volatility While The Competitors Are Crashing https://t.co/8ToxLIPXph via @hedgeye

SKEW just closed below 140. Falling $SKEW = institutions unwinding tail-risk hedges (OTM puts get cheaper) and/or quietly reducing equity exposure. Past cycles: Sustained declines often marked distribution phases — rallies fade as protection demand evaporates and complacency builds. If it...
"You have market-making strategies or market-taking strategies. You want to balance across them because market-making strategies tend to be reversion and market-taking strategies tend to be momentum." - Bobby Jain (EP.497) With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.
In my sixth data update, I look at business profitability in 2025, across sectors, industries and regions, scaled to revenues (profit margins) and to invested capital (accounting returns). I use the latter to compute and compare excess returns. https://t.co/L3PDmph4VA
Rotation away from S&P500 (flat on the year) into other assets like foreign stocks, US value, etc up 10-15% seems to be accelerating...

Are there any other explanations for the multi-year vertical ascent in hedge fund gross leverage aside from a reduction in front end interest rates / funding costs? https://t.co/WkIt1xAlmd

Oil investors bullish on proliferating supply threats Investors are increasingly bullish about the outlook for oil prices as potential risks to production and tanker traffic multiply - including threats of U.S. military action against Iran and stricter sanctions enforcement. Hedge funds and...
Hedge fund portfolios are being shaped by the shift from banks, multi-manager scale, and public/private convergence. Bobby Jain (CEO/CIO, Jain Global) on launching a $6B multi-strat, talent & risk management, and portfolio construction. https://t.co/BfZsVcl2vY With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.

https://t.co/5Dz4e0JITs Baillie Gifford backs CoStar in activist battle Perhaps unnamed Baillie Gifford rep should look at the 5 year chart. Hard to see “repeatedly demonstrated” value creation over past 5 years. Happy to take your call so you can...

13F nonsense Look at all these sophisticated investors dumping $IBIT in Q4. Are they just dumb noobs to crypto with paper hands or perhaps they were unwinding short $MSTR long IBIT trades. And taking massive profits. https://t.co/6VVrnNnB6Z