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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Manchester‑Nashua, New Hampshire reclaimed the top spot in February 2026, attracting 3.4 times the national average viewers per listing and selling homes in a median 36 days. The Midwest and Northeast dominate the Top 20, with Wisconsin contributing seven metros and overall median days on market at 42 days—about a month faster than the national norm. Large metros cooled, yet Kansas City surged 96 spots year‑over‑year, highlighting divergent trends between affordable midsized markets and traditional big‑city hubs. Tight inventory and strong demand keep competition fierce in these hot zones.
KOSPI slipped 0.48% to 5,583.25 while KOSDAQ rose 1.02% amid a sharp jump in WTI crude to $92.98, heightening cost pressure on energy‑intensive Asian hardware firms. Foreign investors dumped roughly 1.78 trillion KRW of semiconductor stocks, yet poured capital into Hyundai Energy...
$97.7/oz in Shanghai vs. $85.64/oz in London premiums in #china remains firm, trading 14.1% above #LBMA benchmark
The International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC) projects global cotton production to fall to 24.8 million tonnes in the 2026/27 season, while consumption is expected to hold steady at 25.0 million tonnes. Lower prices, shifting planting intentions in major producers and weaker demand,...
Last week's pain: Citadel’s Global Fixed Income fund and Taula are among the hedge funds worst hit by last week’s market turmoil, while D.E. Shaw & Co.’s two main vehicles were a rare bright spot in the industry. Here's all the latest...
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) received a Central Banking Publications award for its modern approach to foreign‑reserve management. The accolade recognizes the bank’s recent overhaul of its reserve‑management framework, featuring a refreshed strategic asset allocation, active risk‑management techniques, and...
How come the India VIX below is lower than it was during the Russia-Ukraine crisis? The US Vix is also lower than last year's wars and the Tariff announcements. Either we have not discounted the real extent of what has...
Turkey's current account posted a $6.8 bn deficit in January, far above the $4.8 bn forecast and analysts' $5.4 bn estimate. The gap was amplified by the Central Bank of Turkey's methodological change, which has retroactively added $8.9 bn to interest‑payment calculations since September 2020....
Recent Treasury regulations cement Qualified Opportunity Fund (QOF) incentives as a permanent tax deferral tool, allowing any capital gain—except ordinary income—to be postponed by reinvesting within 180 days. For direct sales, the clock starts at closing, while partnership and S‑corp...
The Middle East war and Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven oil prices to $87‑$120 a barrel and disrupted Gulf fertilizer exports. Fertilizer futures jumped over 10% on the first trading day, with analysts expecting a 17%...
A recent survey of over 6,000 IRA Financial clients shows self‑directed IRAs are gaining traction as investors seek alternative assets alongside traditional stocks and ETFs. Real estate tops the list at 58.5%, while crypto, private equity and precious metals also...
Tiff Macklem warned that the financial system’s growing reliance on non‑bank players is creating new systemic vulnerabilities, especially through hedge‑fund leveraged trading in sovereign bonds and the rapid expansion of private credit. He highlighted that hedge funds now purchase up...
Capital International Investors reduced its General Mills stake by 23.6% in Q3, selling 468,119 shares and bringing its holding to 0.28% (about $76.2 million). The sale occurs amid a wave of institutional activity, with firms like Diamond Hill, Nordea, and First...
Capital International Investors added 30,991 shares of Kraft Heinz, lifting its stake to 0.64% (about $197.5 million). Several other hedge funds also boosted positions, with percentage gains exceeding 150% in some cases. Insiders sold roughly $3.45 million of stock this quarter, cutting...
HANetf has launched the Ukraine Reconstruction UCITS ETF (ticker UKRN), tracking the VettaFi Ukraine Reconstruction Index. The fund targets companies that could profit from the estimated $500 billion reconstruction effort over the next decade. It features a flexible framework that lowers eligibility...
WTW argues that catastrophe bonds are a prime asset for a Total Portfolio Approach, delivering returns that are uncorrelated with traditional markets and improving diversification. The cat‑bond market is expanding as disaster frequency and severity increase, pushing premiums higher while...
BMW’s operating profit dropped 11.5% to €10.2 billion in 2025, the lowest level since the Covid pandemic, as US and EU tariffs and a 12% sales slump in China squeezed margins. The automotive EBIT margin fell to 5.3%, well below the...
“Our rules of thumb are that a sustained 10% increase in oil prices boosts headline and core PCE inflation by 0.2pp and 0.04pp, respectively, while lowering GDP growth by around 0.1pp. The growth impact from a temporary price increase that...
First Deputy Governor Sabine Mauderer presented the Deutsche Bundesbank’s 2025 Annual Report, highlighting a net equity rise to €363 billion and a gold revaluation reserve of €387 billion. The bank’s loss for the year was more than halved, signalling a clear improvement...
UK borrowing costs are on the rise once more this morning. Per the Bloomberg chart below, yields on 10-year British government bonds are again above 4.70% as the war in the Middle East pushes Brent oil north of $95 once again. This...
Opened a 23900..23800 bull put spread on Nifty (17 Mar expiry). >> Sold 23900 PE @ 304.75 >> Bought 23800 PE @ 231.85 (hedge) Net credit 👉 ₹72.9 View is simple: Nifty should expire at/above 23900....Structure wise this means I'm short gamma near 23900,...
China’s population contracted in 2022 for the first time since the 1960s, and its fertility rate remains among the world’s lowest. Projections show a loss of roughly 250 million people by 2050, turning the country’s age structure upside‑down. The working‑age cohort...
“It’s not given to human beings to have such talent that they can just know everything about everything all the time. But it is given to human beings who work hard at it—who look and sift the world for a...
Charlie Munger outlined ten persistent financial mistakes that ensnare the middle class, ranging from overspending and ignoring compounding to envy‑driven purchases and reliance on conflicted advisors. He emphasized that simple, disciplined habits—living below one’s means, continuous learning, and patient investing—are...
President Trump’s proposed Trump Retirement Accounts (TRA) would offer a federal match up to $1,000 per worker, aiming to extend retirement savings to the 63 million Americans without employer plans. RAND modeling shows the program is deficit‑neutral after 23‑31 years if account...
Malaysia will keep the BUDI95 petrol price at RM 1.99 per litre despite a sharp rise in global oil prices triggered by the West Asia conflict. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said the surge threatens transportation costs and overall price stability, but...
Eurozone households are the first to feel the impact of the latest oil price shock as retail fuel prices surge across the region. A 50‑litre tank now costs €4.5‑€13 more for petrol and €8.4‑€21.5 more for diesel, with Germany seeing...
Heavy rain and flooding across central and southern Queensland this week have tightened urea availability and pushed input costs higher, while a 25% rise in diesel prices linked to the Middle East conflict has lifted freight rates by about $5...
Singapore may face higher electricity tariffs as global oil and gas prices climb amid the US‑Iran conflict in the Middle East. The region accounts for roughly a quarter of seaborne oil and nearly one‑fifth of LNG trade, and any disruption...
The article highlights that Africa’s intra‑regional trade finance market exceeds $60 bn but remains vastly under‑served, with only 7‑25% of demand met. Post‑2008 regulatory changes pushed global banks to partner with local institutions, making regional banks the primary conduit for cross‑border...
South Korean lawmakers approved a law establishing a public corporation to oversee a $350 billion pledge of U.S. investments, aimed at averting new U.S. tariffs. The agreement, struck in November, allocates $200 billion to semiconductor and high‑tech projects and $150 billion to shipbuilding,...
Silver near $85.7; VC PMI & Square-of-9 point to $93–95 then $105. Risk: break $90, target $95–105 🔺 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Asian Development Bank warns the Philippines could experience a serious GDP contraction as it pursues a 75% greenhouse‑gas emissions cut by 2030. The bank’s March 12 report cites high mitigation costs, price pressures and a lack of productivity measures, which...
Global PC manufacturers announced price increases of 5%‑10% as semiconductor shortages and higher freight costs persist. The hikes hit both consumer and enterprise segments, squeezing budgets for schools and businesses. Taiwan, home to major chip fabs and motherboard producers, faces...
In this episode, Alexander Ropers, founder and CIO of Atlantic, explains his firm’s disciplined, concentrated value strategy that targets mid‑cap industrial, product and service companies (US$2‑20 billion) while avoiding high‑tech, biotech, and opaque financial sectors. He emphasizes the importance of margin...
Financial advisors are moving toward customized portfolio construction as ETF momentum reshapes investment strategies for 2026. A survey of over 500 advisors shows a clear departure from standardized models toward solutions that address specific client objectives, including tax‑loss harvesting and...
Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but people should know: For the 400 million barrels of oil to be released from strategic reserves (announced today), the flow rate — the rate in which it can be released — is...
South African hedge funds posted a strong performance in 2025, delivering double‑digit returns across most strategies. Assets under management rose by roughly 18%, driven largely by fresh capital from retail investors. The sector benefitted from a stable macro environment, lower...
This circles back to investing consistently through Dollar Cost Averaging in a low-cost passive index fund that tracks the market. Remember, "Time in the Market, Beats Timing The Market." 📣 https://elmads.com/?p=4958 — The Power of Cost Averaging Investment Strategy
The IEA says the war in turning into the biggest oil disruption in world history https://t.co/UJZqGyrhUP
China’s 15th five‑year plan sets a record grain‑production target of 725 million tonnes by 2030, up from the 650 million‑tonne floor in the previous plan. The goal is backed by accelerated mechanisation, AI‑driven equipment and advanced breeding to secure food supplies amid...
. @AlamosGoldInc $AGI top pick ~1M oz by 2030, low-cost North America ops, falling AISC, net cash funding growth, undervalued vs peers. Best mid-tier leverage to gold.
German 10-year yield climbs to highest since 2023 on inflation fears https://t.co/cvav2xEd32 via @highisland https://t.co/oIAhZehdiG
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s research arm released a study highlighting rapid growth in Hong Kong’s family‑office sector. Ninety‑one percent of surveyed offices have already invested locally, citing the city’s flexible supervision, free capital flows, sophisticated markets and tax advantages....
What are the consequences for energy markets and the transition of a potential long disruption to the Strait of Hormuz? TLDR: It’s a *lot* easier to replace 20% of LNG (15% of natgas supply) with wind and solar than it...
Energy policy déjà vu in Europe. Oil reserve release. Gas price cap debate. State aid on the table. The toolkit looks like 2022 because fossil fuel dependence remains. Renewables and electrification reduce exposure. Crisis management does not. https://t.co/PhWMbn21b8
UK house prices have plateaued, with agents noting a shift from the sealed‑bid and gazumping frenzy of two years ago to more cautious price negotiations. The latest RICS survey shows buyer confidence eroding amid heightened geopolitical risk, including Gulf tensions...
Goldman > Our commodity strategists now expect Brent to average $98 in March and April—up 40% from the 2025 average—before falling back to $71 by 2026Q4.
Overnight Iran reacted to the IEA's oil release intensifying its attacks on regional energy targets, including two small-sized fuel tankers in Iraq. Tehran knows oil is what could force President Trump to end the war early. Still, both Brent and...
Sony at 13x EV/EBIT ahead of the GTA 6 release on 19 November 2026 https://t.co/FBeFJ5c7Bp
