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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
U.S. ethanol production held steady at 1.113 million barrels per day, slipping 5,000 barrels from the prior week but climbing 32,000 barrels year‑over‑year as plants chase demand. Iowa State University’s Center for Agricultural and Rural Development reported improved operating margins for the average Iowa facility, signaling healthier profitability. Exports averaged 141,000 barrels per day, down 36,000 barrels week‑over‑week yet up 26,000 barrels from a year ago, while stocks rose modestly to 25.646 million barrels, still below last‑year levels. The USDA’s next corn‑for‑ethanol estimate is slated for March 10.
Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe is leading a week‑long trade mission to India, concentrating on agriculture, potash and uranium. The trip coincides with the Raisina Dialogue and runs alongside Prime Minister Mark Carney’s meetings with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Moe aims...
China’s strategy isn’t short term. It’s structural. Every dominant power in history controlled the seas. Trade routes determine power. Naval dominance determines the future. The Pacific is only the beginning. Understanding this shift is critical to understanding what comes next. Link in bio to learn more. #China...
The USDA Economic Research Service forecasts a 2.5% rise in overall grocery prices for 2026, slightly below the 20‑year average of 2.6%. Seven of the 15 food‑at‑home categories, including beef, fish, sugar and non‑alcoholic beverages, are expected to outpace the...
Filing for personal bankruptcy is a federally‑mandated, deadline‑driven process that can be derailed by a single missed form or hearing. While individuals can represent themselves, data shows that pro se filers are less likely to achieve a full discharge than those...
North Sea crude spreads fell to a two‑month low after Vitol and TotalEnergies halted a heavy buying spree, pushing the WTI Midland spread to just $1.70 above Brent. Derivative indicators turned bearish as weekly Brent CFDs entered contango and the...
CAVA reported its first $1 billion in annual revenue, supported by 439 locations across 28 states. Full‑year revenue grew 22.5% while same‑restaurant sales rose 4%, though Q4 comps slipped to 0.5%. Management guided 2026 same‑restaurant sales of 3‑5% and highlighted a...
TJX Companies posted an 8.5% revenue jump to $17.7 billion and EPS of $1.58, both beating analyst forecasts. Same‑store sales rose 5% year‑over‑year, outpacing the 3.7% consensus, with all four operating segments delivering growth. The strong quarter prompted analysts to lift...
The Invesco QQQ Trust has slipped 3.2% over the last 50 trading days, a rare pullback for an index that historically posts gains in 74% of similar periods since 2015. DataTrek’s Jessica Rabe notes that the recent 50‑day return sits...
Futures opened narrowly mixed as traders focused on month‑end positioning, with limited fresh news and low volume. In South America, Brazil soybean quality is slipping due to excess moisture, raising concerns for both soy and upcoming corn crops. Meanwhile, wildfires...
The IRS and Treasury announced they will issue proposed regulations under Section 987 to modernize how foreign currency gains and losses are calculated for qualified business units. Notice 2026‑17 introduces an election for the equity‑and‑basis pool method, mirroring a 1991 proposal, and...
Fastmarkets announced that the contract price for spodumene min 6% Li2O CIF China was published 2 hours 36 minutes later than scheduled. The price is part of Fastmarkets' industrial minerals package and serves as a benchmark for global lithium‑ion supply...
The Urban Land Institute’s new report highlights sustainable mobility as a core driver of real‑estate value, showing how transit‑oriented development and mobility amenities can lift asset performance and resilience. Case studies such as Miami’s Underline illustrate how integrating bike lanes,...
Invitation Homes, the nation’s largest single-family rental REIT, reported its lowest market valuation since the COVID‑19 lockdowns. The decline follows a 30% year‑over‑year drop in its stock price, driven by rising interest rates and softer rental demand. The company disclosed...
SmartAsset’s 2026 study applies a Pew‑based definition—two‑thirds to twice the median household income—to rank every U.S. state and the nation’s 100 largest cities by their middle‑class income bounds. The analysis shows the highest upper‑class threshold in Massachusetts ($209,656) and the...
The United States and Mexico have launched a new financial‑intelligence partnership to curb the money that fuels drug cartels, highlighted by the recent killing of Jalisco New Generation leader El Mencho. Mexico’s Financial Intelligence Unit and banking regulator have shifted toward...
U.S. mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest levels since September 2022, yet home sales remain stagnant. A roughly 50% imbalance between sellers and buyers underscores a deep‑seated market freeze. Inventory shortages and lingering affordability concerns continue to suppress demand...
The Federal Reserve is weighing a rule change that would stop banks from subtracting mortgage‑servicing‑rights (MSRs) from core capital, while keeping a 250% risk weight. Simultaneously, banking regulators propose easing the community‑bank leverage ratio from 9% to 8%, giving smaller...
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has released draft Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS) detailing new clearing thresholds under EMIR 3. The proposal retains five threshold categories, clarifies calculation timing, and enhances the trigger mechanism’s stability. ESMA also suggests higher thresholds...
Fastmarkets announced a consultation to revise its black‑mass pricing methodology after China lifted its import ban and imposed stricter metal‑content rules. The new specifications require nickel‑cobalt‑manganese (NCM) black mass to contain 20‑25% nickel, 3‑10% cobalt and 3‑4.5% lithium, with total...
President Trump announced a new federal retirement account modeled on the Thrift Savings Plan, promising a government match of up to $1,000 per year for workers without employer‑sponsored 401(k)s. The initiative would potentially cover the 56 million Americans currently lacking such...
$ORCL - Bottomed at the 200 week MA in early February. The 5 month crash from September to February was significantly bigger than the 2008-2009 and 2022 bear markets in which the drawdown didn't surpass 43%. The drawdown of the...
Oil peaked in 2008 at $140 and has fallen sideways since to ~$65 today. In hard-money gold terms, 1 ounce buys 100 barrels of oil. Oil has been deflating for decades. The only time it was cheaper was 2020 when...
A&D Mortgage issued $602.7 million of non‑prime residential mortgage‑backed securities (RMBS) through its 2026‑NQM2 transaction, backed by 1,793 loans with four months of seasoning. The pool is dominated by single‑family homes (68.4 %) and condos (20.5 %), with 48.1 % of borrowers self‑employed and...
Build to Rent Deals: Avoid Underwriting Mistakes for Profit Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent
The S&P 500 is currently up on the month on a total return basis. This would be 10 months in a row stocks were higher. It is simply amazing how much fear and worry we are seeing with this happening.
President Trump argued that lower mortgage rates will simultaneously make homes cheaper for buyers and preserve homeowner wealth, a claim that has drawn sharp criticism from housing economists. Current 30‑year rates hover around 6%, far above the 2.65% level needed...
Better than AI we have DSData powered by @DanielSimonyi details in pinned tweet Cheapest reasearch analyst on the planet. Client prompt "have you looked at how spx moved with prior NVDA earnings reactions? on train so can't look closely, but...
the software AI panic bottom was earlier this week. i'll post a few charts and some of the better setups we discussed today in the pre-market meeting. $WDAY
The United States imposed a new 10% tariff on imports of benzene, toluene and mixed xylenes (BTX), effectively closing paper arbitrage opportunities despite sizable price premiums over South Korean supplies. With freight costs around $72 per tonne, the tariff neutralises...
Looks like pending contracts this month will match or slightly surpass February 2025. Here is a visual as of a couple days ago. Basically, buyer demand has been pretty tame still. Very slightly better. https://t.co/9ckA6qPxJo
Germany joining the chorus call for China to allow the RMB to rise -- a big change from 15 years ago, when Germany didn't think China's currency management was its problem https://t.co/1J5Z0lrxma
The EPA is expected to drop the controversial half‑RIN rule and raise biomass‑based diesel renewable volume obligations (RVOs) to 5.25 billion gallons in 2026 and 5.61 billion gallons in 2027, roughly a 20% increase over the June proposal. Using an average equivalence...
Only the Growth Managers that understood the Sector Shifts are hitting new all-time highs today
Bolted to the chair. Here we go in Real-Time Alerts, helping you risk manage the market close https://t.co/nFq99grnJy
Jennifer Kavanaugh revisits her 2023 argument that U.S. military aid creates a trade‑off between Israel and Taiwan, noting the calculus has shifted. She now warns that the United States’ own depleted air‑defense munitions and other materiel are the primary constraint,...
Great to be on @CNBCTheExchange with @KellyCNBC discussing what to expect from Nvidia and the Godfather of AI Jensen and Nvidia with tonight’s key earnings. Also walking thru the “AI Ghost Trade” black cloud over the software sector and how...
Most EM currencies are managing to rally strongly against the Dollar so far in 2026. Turkish Lira is falling and the worst performer. This despite annual carry of over 30%. The fact that Lira is still falling is a sign...
In this episode Farnoosh Torabi revisits her 2015 interview with designer and entrepreneur Nate Berkus, discussing how his design philosophy—making homes tell personal stories—parallels his approach to money. Berkus shares his financial mindset of confronting fear, taking calculated risks, and treating...
FYI: as we wait to see if the Trump Administration will move forward with direct attacks on Iran, this is US Dollar - Iranian Rial exchange rate. The reversion to a float since the beginning of the year does not...
Outgoing Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic signals greater concern about the institution's independence than the more anodyne statements typically offered by his colleagues when the subject comes up He says there's an ongoing threat and the outcome is genuinely uncertain https://t.co/ntwkE73UgE
#RealEstate data giant #CoStar thinks of itself as a winner but thus far #WallSt treating it as a loser, as it fell below $45/share 1st X since 19. #Florance touts https://t.co/OfrVvw8tgH's new #AI platform, sees rivals as 'doomscrolls' #CRE ...
The Dollar is tumbling. Not against the G10, where it's basically stable, but against EM, where it's making new lows almost every day. One of the main beneficiaries of all this is the Brazilian Real, which is the strongest versus...
This can be laid at the feet of the suburbs not building: Long Island, West Chester, Connecticut, and North Jersey There is no market with stable CITY prices which has not see a TON of greenfield development.
Lithium Corp $LTUM Junior spec run by Tom Lewis: Lithium, Graphite, Fluorspar & Neodymium ... https://t.co/gv3RzOcArh
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Iranian rial ranks as the WORLD'S 3RD WORST CURRENCY. The rial has depreciated by 43% against the USD over the past year. RIAL = IN REAL BIG TROUBLE. https://t.co/FmVN6Cuf8I
Big banks retreated from mortgages after the 2008 housing crash—now this Fed governor wants them back After a decade+ of "migration" toward nonbanks, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman says it's time to reconsider policy My latest for ResiClub: https://t.co/6IY86V9OTy
🏗️The places that built the most housing during the pandemic have the fewest bidding wars, and the places that neglected to build have the most. 🏘️ See percent of homes selling above list price by county. https://t.co/giPGgmFuBr
South Sudan’s government hasn’t produced RELIABLE MONEY SUPPLY DATA since October 2024. SOUTH SUDAN = NO RELIABLE DATA = NO ACCOUNTABILITY. https://t.co/UAqAIjbHdP
using Nvidia $NVDA is lagging the market as a supposed sign of a market top is what it is... but seeing them break the stock out ahead of earnings? markets are fun...
