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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the 2026‑27 budget will lower tariffs only after a detailed sector‑by‑sector review of protection duration and domestic capacity. She emphasized removing the fear of a “tariff wall” while avoiding rushed cuts that could harm nascent industries. Sitharaman also highlighted under‑utilised state capital assistance tied to reforms, the evolving FDI landscape, and the formation of a high‑level banking committee to support India’s 2047 development target. Climate risks and monsoon variability were noted as macro‑economic headwinds.
CIE Automotive reported Q4 CY25 consolidated revenue of ₹2,390 crore, in line with consensus, while its adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 15.4%, beating the estimate by 60 basis points. India revenue grew 12% YoY to ₹1,540 crore, outpacing the domestic market, whereas...
Last week global gas markets split, with Asian spot LNG rallying to the low‑$11/MMBtu range while European TTF and US Henry Hub prices eased. In Northeast Asia, the JKM benchmark rebounded after a brief dip, driven by renewed buying from...
The Bank of Thailand cut its benchmark rate to 1.0 % on February 25, 2026, a 25‑basis‑point reduction from 1.25 % and the lowest level since October 2022. The move was unexpected, coming after a similar cut in December and reflecting a revised outlook...
Trump’s 2026 State of the Union devoted nearly 1,200 words to Latin American policy, far outpacing other regional references. The speech stressed new trade tariffs, immigration reforms, and security cooperation, echoing recent moves such as Honduras expelling Cuban doctors and...
Purchase application data update -5% week to week +12% year over year So far this year, even with a higher bar to work with, every week has had positive year-over-year growth The last 2 weeks, our weekly pending sales data have...
Telecom Italia (TIM) confirmed it hit full‑year FY25 guidance for the fourth consecutive year, marking an unprecedented streak in its recent history. CEO Pietro Labriola highlighted that the new governance structure has delivered operational discipline, strategic consistency and financial predictability....
Mphasis retains a strong near‑ to medium‑term outlook as its legacy modernization pipeline doubles year‑on‑year, despite AI‑driven pricing pressure on renewals. Clients prefer model‑agnostic platforms that integrate with existing systems, limiting the need for full rebuilds. Discount levels on renewals...
Experienced high‑net‑worth investors must act before the 2025/26 tax year ends to capture the remaining allowances in EIS, SEIS and VCT schemes. VCT offers are already 87‑94% subscribed, with final allocations closing as early as 23 March and the last VCT...
Canada’s Agriculture and Agri‑Food department has amended the AgriStability program to treat pasture‑related feed costs as an eligible expense. The change, announced by Minister Heath MacDonald, takes effect for the 2026 program year and applies to livestock producers who graze...
I asked 50 year olds for their best advice for people in their 20s: 1. Buy less alcohol, invest instead 2. Stop buying fancy cars. It's a terrible financial decision. 3. Become financially literate asap. Retirement will be easier. Anything to add?
I’m 62 years old and previously worked as a financial analyst at Morgan Stanley. After decades in the market, here are my simple rules for beginners: 📉 If it drops 5% → Hold 📉 If it drops 15% → Add 10% 📉 If it...
Boaz Weinstein, founder of Saba Capital, warned that the private credit market is entering a turbulent phase after Blue Owl Capital’s recent liquidity strain. Blue Owl has limited withdrawals and sold loans to satisfy redemptions, causing its shares to tumble...
The Moneybox Life episode explores the growing trend of people working beyond state pension age, featuring insights from ACAS’s Julie Dennis, Independent Age’s Morgan Vine, and Pensions UK’s Zoe Alexander, alongside real‑life stories from listeners. They discuss why older workers...
Our fundamental team use the Monte Carlo simulation to derive a 12 month projection In September when $UPS was at $84, we shared our analysis The Median target was $106 The 90% percentile was $147 Price hit $120 recently We combine our fundamental analysis...
This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....
Russia's finance ministry announced plans to lower the cut‑off price that triggers the transfer of oil revenues into the budget reserve fund. The move aims to channel more of the declining oil proceeds into the $56 billion reserve to protect it...
You can begin factoring national interests and power factors into your preferred free market analysis or you can be a victim of it. https://t.co/bDXsO4Jd8A
$UUUU Daily. Uranium/rare earth miner still forming an attractive, bullish cup and handle pattern. Needs to push back into mid-$20's now. https://t.co/jqAyOlkNY0
Japan’s LNG resales hit a record in fiscal 2024, surpassing the volume imported from any single supplier. Declining domestic consumption, driven by nuclear restarts, efficiency gains and renewable growth, has pushed utilities and trading houses to redirect surplus cargoes to...
For renters, a strong nudge to think about buying a home often comes from a big renewal increase. As the rental market crawls out of its recession, and mortgage rates start with a 5 not a 6, expect more renters...
The policies of the Fed impact economies globally, but that doesn’t mean other central banks have to follow the Fed. If the Fed were to implement surprise rate cuts, the Bank of England should arguably do the exact opposite. My latest...
Fixed income specialist Cohen & Company announced that its European subsidiary raised €481.5 million for the PriDe IV subordinated insurance debt fund, the firm’s largest European vintage to date. The fund continues the company’s strategy of providing Tier II capital to small and...
For those asking about the gap in this chart today vs 2008 2008: 4,000,000 existing home sales 2008: 3.8 million active inventory Currently active inventory here is 1,220,000 roughly a 2.6 million gap Normal inventory levels are actually 2-2.5 million
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Country Exposures Continue To Outperform $SPY Monkeys https://t.co/xvYrId3oap via @hedgeye
AECI reported a record R3.4 billion EBITDA and an 11% margin despite a 4% drop in revenue to R32.1 billion. The company completed most non‑core asset disposals, generating R2.2 billion and cutting net debt to R465 million from R3.74 billion. Earnings per share turned positive,...
I suppose that now that the team at Goldman thinks this is true, it must be...
Diageo North America 1H FY26 organic net sales down ~7% YoY "Consumer wallet pressure and competitiveness in tequila" https://t.co/BHQJiiv6lk
EDP Renovaveis reported a 50% jump in recurring net profit for 2025, reaching €330 million, driven by rapid U.S. capacity expansion. EBITDA rose 17% to €1.95 billion, with a target of €2.1 billion for 2026. The company added 2 GW of new capacity, over...
Exclusive: ByteDance valued at $550 billion in proposed share sale by General Atlantic, sources say With the national emergency finally over.... https://t.co/meRO3PXF22
#KaliChaudhuri looked at #LA's graffiti-scarred towers+saw potential. Poised to pay $470M for #OceanwidePlaza, storied for its #Chinese failure,+its 2 brethren. 'I'll try my very best to turn it around+make it a jewel' #realestate #multifamily #KPC https://t.co/CANYdyTniX
Crude oil rallied to $65.89 per barrel this morning as concerns over a potential Iranian conflict resurfaced, while the Canadian dollar held near 65.89 U.S. cents. In the grain sector, canola futures slipped to C$690.20 a tonne, pressured by a...
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
International vs US stocks... fresh highs back to June 2023 on $VEU vs $SPY @stockcharts https://t.co/aAmaYUIj34
Citrin Cooperman, after private‑equity backing from New Mountain in 2021 and a Blackstone stake in 2025, rolled out a firm‑wide "P unit" program that gives every employee a share of the firm’s equity growth. The participation units vest based on...
How China’s 5-year energy plan could change the way it powers its economy Beijing will prioritise energy security through large-scale projects and greater regional self-reliance, as risks mount at home and overseas https://t.co/HwoETxozqe via @scmpnews
Indonesia, which supplies roughly 65% of global nickel, is set to increase output to 2.9 million tonnes in 2026, an 11.9% rise from 2025. The boost stems from expanded mining permits at Weda Bay and the commissioning of several high‑pressure acid...
European day‑ahead power contracts plunged on Wednesday as wind generation surged and demand fell across the region. Germany's baseload price dropped 20.6% to €75/MWh, while France’s fell 30% to €21/MWh. Wind output is set to reach 23.8 GW in Germany and...
Not surprising to see some cheapening of very rich 5s before the auction later today. 2s5s10s up a few bps from Monday's Citrini low. Interesting to see if the move has legs post-auction https://t.co/ZQjjNm6NwT
$LOW "Trade Idea 3: Buy the February 27 Expiry/March 295 Call Calendar ($3.10) and sell the February 27 Expiry 270 Put for 90 cents." Feb calls expire, puts on edge, may need to roll down and out. Leaves a...
United Wholesale Mortgage’s parent, UWM Holdings, posted 2025 revenue of $3.16 billion, up from the prior year, driven by a record $163.4 billion in loan originations and higher gain‑on‑sale margins. Net income fell to $244 million, reflecting a $435 million mortgage‑servicing‑rights markdown and a...
Yes, stocks in the US have been choppy so far this year. But looking at a four-year Presidential cycle, this is actually quite common for mid-term years. https://t.co/gX328BtAzw
Zambia will establish a “rainy day” stabilisation fund to lock away surplus copper revenues as production hits record levels and prices hover near historic highs. The Treasury plans to finalise the fund’s framework this year before beginning deposits, using the...
W - pullback below 5 SMA. However, it also had range expansion bar with close outside KC, (which I failed to note yesterday.) The low of the climax bar will determine if this forms continuation pattern or if...
I can't remember--who was the president 10 years ago? That Administration's decision to grant permits for LNG exports was a boon for the domestic O&G industry while also helping U.S. and European security by reducing dependence on Russian energy exports.
On February 5, the United States and Argentina signed a bilateral agreement that goes beyond tariff cuts to align trade, investment, and national‑security priorities in critical minerals and energy. The pact obliges Argentina to facilitate U.S. investment across the entire...
Australia’s coal output remained flat in 2025 at roughly 65 mt, buoyed by the Olive Downs Complex and efficiency gains at Hunter Valley and Dawson. A 3.9% rise to 483.2 mt is forecast for 2026, driven by the Maxwell underground ramp‑up, capacity...
If you are just learning about the private real estate business, either as a prospective GP or LP, please read this short book. It’s a pretty balanced explanation of the game, including the incentives driving the different players. https://t.co/3pvXJikrV5
Rents in Miami have surged 53% since 2019, while San Francisco’s increase is only 13%. The analysis shows that the share of workers operating from home is the strongest predictor of these divergent trends. Metros with high work‑from‑home (WFH) adoption (above...
Defence stocks in India are showing a split trajectory as public‑sector undertakings (PSUs) like HAL and Bharat Dynamics slide, while private firms such as Data Patterns and Solar Industries post double‑digit gains. The Nifty Defence Index remains positive, up roughly...
