$JOJO: CE-Credit Webinar on Credit Regimes and Allocation Discipline
The CE‑Credit approved webinar on March 31, 2026, will dissect credit market regimes and their impact on allocation discipline. Hosted by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, the session outlines how spread phases create distinct risk environments and why static exposure can be misleading. Attendees will learn to identify defensive positioning, avoid behavioral traps during spread widening, and apply systematic posture adjustments. The goal is not precise timing but to prevent structural misalignment as credit conditions evolve.
KISSing CVX and COP (FREE POST)
Rob Connors highlights a long‑standing pattern linking Chevron (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP) to the broader market. Over a century, CVX’s price relative to the S&P 500 has oscillated between roughly 2 % at lows and 9 % at highs, while COP’s ratio has...
Mexico Economic Comments - March 2026
Mexico’s new president, Claudia Sheinbaum, faces sharp criticism from The Economist for failing to deliver the structural reforms she pledged, opting instead for incremental tweaks. The publication highlights that despite external pressures such as the lingering US‑Mexico trade war, USMCA...
Washington State’s Estate Tax Whiplash
Governor Bob Ferguson signed Senate Bill 6347, overturning Washington’s 2025 estate‑tax hike that raised the top rate from 20 percent to 35 percent for estates over $9 million. The reversal restores the previous 20 percent rate, ending the state’s brief stint as having the...
Mar. 30: U/W, AE, LO Jobs; AI/LOS, Commercial Products; USDA, FHA, VA Changes; Interviews with Lennar’s Escobar and Vesta’s Yu
The U.S. housing market now shows roughly 50% more sellers than buyers, creating a record‑high mismatch of about 630,000 units, while the median owner‑occupied home is 43 years old, highlighting an aging inventory. Mortgage lenders are accelerating AI adoption, with...
Portfolio Update – 03/29/2026 (Important One)
The investor released a Q4 portfolio update after the earnings season, emphasizing strong performance in a concentrated high‑beta stock strategy despite a recent market‑wide correction. Year‑to‑date returns are –5.2% versus the S&P 500’s –6.8%, while cumulative returns since January 2024 total +412.7%...
Dell Family Office Targets Private Credit Secondaries Amid Market Dislocation
DFO Management, Michael Dell’s single‑family office, is actively targeting private credit secondary market opportunities as the $1.8 trillion asset class faces pronounced dislocation. Chief Investment Officer Alisa Mall highlighted rising redemption requests and sentiment‑driven selling that have created discounts, while investors’...
Student Loan Repayment Phone Number: Find Your Direct Contact
The article provides a practical guide to the essential phone numbers for federal student loan borrowers, including the Federal Student Aid Information Center, Direct Loan Servicing Center, and Default Resolution Group. It explains how to locate your loan servicer via...
Howard Marks & The Foundational Elements of Intelligent Investment
Howard Marks, co‑founder of Oaktree Capital, delivered a one‑hour presentation in Sag Harbor outlining what he calls the three foundational elements of intelligent investing. He revisited the Efficient Market Hypothesis, explained how investor psychology and risk aversion shape market cycles,...
Patel Family Office Invests in $1 Billion Saudi Hotel Development Platform
The Patel Family Office and Saudi conglomerate Abdel Hadi A. Al‑Qahtani & Sons have signed a $1 billion agreement to launch AYARA, a vertically integrated hospitality platform. AYARA aims to develop 50 internationally branded business‑hotel projects, delivering between 5,000 and 7,000...
What the Current Oil Crisis Means for Your Money (And an Asset Class Most Physicians Don’t Know About)
The U.S. and Israel’s recent strike on Iran prompted Tehran to shut the Strait of Hormuz, halting roughly 20% of global oil shipments and pushing crude above $120 a barrel. Higher oil prices quickly feed inflation, lift mortgage rates and...
Coping with Inflation in Retirement, What’s the Plan?
Retirees face rising costs as inflation outpaces many fixed‑income assumptions, even though Social Security’s cost‑of‑living adjustment (COLA) typically tracks overall price gains. The 2025 inflation rate of 2.6% led to a 2.8% COLA for 2026, but the CPI‑E, which weights...
Be in the Know. 12 Key Reads for Monday…
Investors poured record money into a Hong Kong tech ETF despite regional volatility, while hedge funds are rapidly shedding equity positions, with trend‑following managers shorting roughly $190 billion of stocks. Dividend‑focused funds attracted strong inflows as investors chase safety, and Morgan...
HELOC for Kitchen Remodel: Pros, Cons, and How It Works
Homeowners can finance kitchen remodels with a home equity line of credit (HELOC), a revolving credit secured by their property that allows borrowing as needed during a 3‑10‑year draw period. Because interest accrues only on funds drawn, borrowers often pay...
China’s Trade Dominance: Good Macro or Strategic Industrial Policies?
China recorded a record $1.2 trillion trade surplus in 2025, equal to roughly 6 % of its GDP. The surplus stemmed from a broad-based export expansion across multiple sectors, while import growth remained limited to commodities. Analysts link this outcome to both...
RSI 2 Strategy Explained: Larry Connors’ 2-Period RSI Trading Rules
Larry Connors’ RSI 2 strategy applies a two‑period Relative Strength Index to spot extreme short‑term price moves. The rule set is simple: buy SPY when the RSI 2 falls below 10 and exit when it climbs above 80. A backtest from 1993...
Are Government Bonds Really Safe?
Three centuries of UK and US government bond data reveal that bonds are safe in recessions but vulnerable during wars, pandemics and geopolitical shocks. Recent events have pushed 10‑year UK gilt yields to 5.07%, the highest since 2008, and a...
Does It Make Sense to Build a Dividend Portfolio to Generate Steady & Reliable Monthly Dividend Income?
The article examines whether constructing a dividend portfolio that delivers steady monthly cash flow is worthwhile. It outlines the psychological comfort of predictable income but warns that relying on REITs and income trusts can concentrate risk and limit growth. The...
Opportunities For Outperformance In The Small and Mid-Tier PM Producers (Part 1)
The article outlines how small and mid‑tier gold producers can deliver outsized returns compared with larger miners. It begins with mindset advice for investors before diving into the fundamentals and technicals of select stocks. The author highlights near‑term catalysts such...
The Severity of the Situation.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cut roughly 11 million barrels of oil per day, creating the largest supply shock since the 1973 embargo and pushing prices toward $200 a barrel. Asian nations are already hoarding fuel and imposing...
Enterprise Group (E.TO/ETOLF): Infrastructure Services Specialist
Enterprise Group (E.TO/ETOLF) discussed its infrastructure services strategy in a live interview with CEO Desmond O'Kell on March 23, 2026. The company is targeting Canada’s natural‑gas and site‑power markets by deploying advanced turbine technology for resource and construction projects. O'Kell...
Bad News: When Insiders Buy Up Stock
A recent analysis of roughly 1,400 insider purchases at S&P 500 firms shows executives collectively spent $3.7 billion on shares worth over $100,000 each since 2020. Most buys occurred after a 30‑day price dip, often following disappointing earnings or other negative news....
Cyber Incidents: Share Price Response Immediate and Sustained
ISS STOXX and ISS‑Corporate analyzed cyber incident disclosures for Russell 3000 companies from 2022‑2024. They found that firms reporting significant cyber breaches underperform the market by roughly 5% on average, with the gap widening to nearly 4.9% after 250 trading...
SMA Capital Drives Protean Select to Lower Capacity Limit
Protean Select, the long/short equity hedge fund launched in 2022, is cutting its capacity limit from SEK 2 billion (≈$220 million) to SEK 1 billion (≈$110 million) as assets near the new cap. The fund now manages roughly SEK 970 million (≈$107 million) and has halted...
They Say Farmers Are Underpaid. So Why Does Cheaper Cocoa Bring Such Relief?
The cocoa market has swung from record highs—above $4,000 per metric ton—to a sharp decline, leaving Ghanaian and Ivorian farmers unpaid for delivered beans. While chocolate makers scramble to cut margins, shrink bar sizes, or substitute ingredients, smallholder growers remain...
Month-End Flows Point to Dollar Buying Into the Fix - BofA
Bank of America’s month‑end fixing model shows the U.S. dollar as the clear beneficiary as March and Q1 close, forecasting material inflows of about one standard deviation into USD assets. The model also predicts modest euro inflows and outflows from...
EVs Were Meant to Bypass Oil. Now They’re Stuck at the Strait of Hormuz
Electric vehicles rely heavily on Gulf‑sourced aluminum, but the U.S.–Iran conflict has blocked the Strait of Hormuz, forcing major smelters in Bahrain and Qatar to cut or halt output. Toyota and Nissan have already trimmed production by roughly 40,000 units,...
The Mag 7 Ate Your Index
For nearly two years the S&P 500’s rally has been powered by an unusually tight group of seven mega‑cap stocks, often dubbed the “Magnificent 7.” That concentration masked historically thin market breadth, leaving most equities lagging behind the index. Recent price action...
The New Baseline
The ongoing war in Iran has morphed from a geopolitical flashpoint into a structural supply‑chain shock. Tehran’s continued control of the Strait of Hormuz, and the risk of spill‑over into the Bab al‑Mandeb, is tightening energy flows and inflating oil...
Mon 30 Mar 2026 - Paul Scott's Small/Mid Cap Value Report
Paul Scott released his March 30, 2026 Small/Mid Cap Value Report, highlighting a curated list of undervalued small‑ and mid‑cap equities including KLR, BUR, PAY, DEBS, BIG, GMR, ACSO, BVXP, SPSY, TENG, AOTI, TBLD, ABDX and RTC. The report’s primary...
Market Outlook for the Week of 30th March - 3rd April
The week ahead is data‑heavy, with Eurozone inflation, U.S. payrolls and retail sales, and Canada’s GDP on the calendar. Energy‑price pressure from the Iran conflict could push euro‑area inflation higher, complicating the ECB’s path to price stability. In the United...
What Are the Main Events for Today?
German inflation data, driven by higher energy prices, is set to rise sharply in March, prompting the ECB to consider a June rate hike despite likely looking through the spike. Market pricing reflects a 55% probability of an April hike...
My Conversation with Sonia Shenoy on Fear, Time, and Playing Your Own Game
In a recent podcast with Sonia Shenoy, the author discussed the psychological hurdles of investing, including fear, time perception, and the temptation to quit corporate life. The conversation explored market cycles, the distinction between risk and uncertainty, and the importance...
Triumph’s China Exit Exposes the Real Reasons Western Brands Fail in the World’s Largest Market
Triumph, the German lingerie maker, shut its China operations in December after 31 years, joining a wave of Western brands exiting the market. While trade wars and geopolitics are often cited, company insiders point to falling sales, shrinking market share,...
The “Second-Tier” Multi-Manager Surge: Hedge Fund Capital Flows Find a New Frontier:
The hedge fund industry is witnessing a shift as flagship multi‑manager platforms such as Citadel and Millennium hit capacity limits and begin returning capital. Institutional investors are redirecting sizable inflows toward “second‑tier” multi‑manager firms like Balyasny, Schonfeld and ExodusPoint, which...
Brent: Closing in on Post-Strike Highs
Brent crude futures are climbing toward the highs seen after the recent oil strike, even as broader markets show unusual alignment. Meanwhile, U.S. agriculture is under pressure, with farm numbers down nearly 150,000 over five years and farmland shrinking by...
VIX INVERSION, BUYING BONDS, JAPAN & THE JPM OPTION WHALE
Kevin Muir’s second "Catching up with Kev" column links a rare VIX inversion to a surge in bond buying, highlights Japan’s monetary tightening, and dissects JPMorgan’s massive options position that’s reshaping market dynamics. He notes that the VIX’s short‑term contract...
A Mad Max World Emerges
The ongoing war in the Middle East and the constriction of maritime trade through the Strait of Hormuz are prompting nations to prioritize domestic energy and food security. The article draws parallels with the 14th‑century crisis, when trade barriers, export...
David Abrams Portfolio Analysis: Key Positions, Concentration & Value Strategy
Abrams Capital Management reported a $5.67 billion equity portfolio that remains extremely concentrated, with the top ten holdings accounting for roughly 99% of assets. The fund’s core positions are dominated by Loar Holdings, Lithia Motors, and other automotive‑related companies, while modest...
![A Pullback Opportunity and Strong Q4 Results for MOJO LEAT and MPTI [GeoWire Weekly No. 232]](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://geoinvesting.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/0329_thumbnail.png)
A Pullback Opportunity and Strong Q4 Results for MOJO LEAT and MPTI [GeoWire Weekly No. 232]
GeoInvesting’s weekly wrap‑up highlighted robust fourth‑quarter earnings from MOJO LEAT and MPTI, framing the recent price pullback as a buying opportunity. The report also featured a contributor pitch that boasts a 408% average return across three prior picks, and uncovered...
How Month-End Rebalancing Moves the Forex Market
At month‑end, pension funds, insurers and asset managers rebalance portfolios, triggering large foreign‑exchange trades. These flows, often billions of dollars, concentrate around the London 4 p.m. fix and can move major pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. When U.S. equities...
A 10% Dip Is Not A Green Light To Go All In
The author warns investors not to pour all cash into the market simply because the S&P 500 has slipped 10% from recent highs. A 10% decline is technically a correction, not a market bottom, and Fidelity’s historical data shows many...
S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratios
Yardeni’s latest chart shows the S&P 500’s forward price‑to‑earnings ratios diverging sharply across market segments. The so‑called Magnificent Seven tech‑heavy stocks are trading above a 30‑times forward P/E, while the broader large‑cap index sits near 22‑times and small‑to‑medium caps hover around...
Australian Doomsday April 20
Macquarie Bank warns that if the Iran‑Israel conflict keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed through June, crude could climb to a record $200 a barrel. The bank’s March 27 analysis stresses that prolonged closure would force prices high enough to erode...
The Most Important Charts for the Next Few Weeks
The article highlights a sharp rise in US Treasury yields after an inflation shock tied to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The 10‑year note closed at 4.44%, and analysts warn that a move toward 5% would confirm fears...
The Key Precious Metals Charts To Watch Now
The author updates the key precious‑metal charts amid heightened market volatility driven by the Iran‑related oil price surge. Despite a sharp pullback, gold remains in an uptrend, as its 200‑day moving average stays upward‑sloping. The metal has become deeply oversold,...
Lawler: Update on GSEs
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac increased agency MBS holdings by about $11.3 billion in February, the smallest rise since September 2025 and well below the $15.5 billion jump in January. The increase falls short of the White House’s January pledge for the...
GOF's 20% Yield Is Real. The 36% Premium You Used to Pay for It Is Gone.
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund (GOF) now yields about 20.6% annualized, trading at $10.61 per share—a near‑zero discount to its $10.64 NAV. After five years of premiums that topped 36%, the premium has collapsed, offering investors a price‑aligned entry point. The...
Q1 Debt Markets Dodge Dire Straits
In the first quarter, Gulf region debt markets posted a flat to –1% performance, while equities managed a modest sub‑5% gain. The local equity index, previously buoyed by a decade‑high optimism, fell sharply after the dollar’s 10% decline against emerging‑market...
Maximizing Your Tax-Free Wealth & Income For Retirement | Ed Slott
Ed Slott, a leading IRA distribution specialist, outlines tax‑free retirement strategies centered on Roth IRA conversions while current tax rates are low. He emphasizes that 65 % of Americans feel their retirement savings are off track, with a median account balance...