Cautious Watchlist: Long IBIT, NFLX; Short SLV, NVDA
Morning Watchlist a.k.a. #STICKYNOTE📝📊 Cautious tone to end the week. Global assets are feeling the pressure this morning and options expiry jitters are adding to the early chop. Staying patient and watching these key levels: 👇 🟢 $IBIT 37.00 LONG area: Back to March lows here if we dump on options worries. Be patient, the bottom could form before this level. 🟢 $NFLX 93 LONG: Good base here early. Price hikes helped the stock yesterday, momentum should hold this AM. 🔴 $SLV 62 area SHORT: Liked this move yesterday. Today let's try to catch it early as global assets continue to get hit. 🔴 $NVDA 173 SHORT: Play a bump up as the short is still in play. @tradertvlive @ttvresearch #DayTrading #StockMarket #Watchlist #TradingSignals #Crypto #Equities
Memory Stocks Overextended, Vulnerable After Rally
After the big rally, memory stocks are looking super vulnerable. Still very over-extended relative to the 40-week moving averages. $MU $SNDK
ECB Warns June Rate Hike if War Continues
ECB’s Wunsch says rate hike likely if war isn’t over by June https://t.co/DfO5yOLNdf via @FerroTV @lisaabramowicz1 https://t.co/rkEFK0fHSo
Stocks Move Inversely With Oil in One-Variable Market
One-variable markets overwhelm classic market timing metrics like sentiment, technicals and valuation which are more useful in “normal” times. A composite of oil and rates (oil is driving rates too) tells you all you need to know about the direction...
Cut Spending, Invest Smarter, Hit $500K This Year
Not investing enough because of your spending? This helped me hit $500K in investments this year.
Iran War Scenarios Shape New Fed Policy Outlook
Three scenarios for the Iran war and what they mean for Fed policy under new leadership. Plus eight key takeaways from the latest FOMC meeting. 🟢 Open https://t.co/Tx6udRxjvm
Oil Strength Drives Market Bias Amid Mixed Stock Signals
We get to see what is next after yesterdays Big Cap and Tech crash. But once again Oil gaps higher making it harder for the dip buyers to smash. $NFLX showed some relative strength as its raising prices across the...
Plan for Longevity: 95‑Year Retirement Reality
There's something about retirement planning most people never consider: what happens if you live to 95? Let me explain. Most plans are built around averages. Average life expectancy. Average healthcare costs. Average market returns. But averages are built from a range, and the people...
SPX Futures Slip Below Key Levels, Tactical Play Needed
$SPX futures -27 as yesterday’s weakness gets follow-through. $SPX broke 6525 and is now below last Friday’s low of 6473, with tech pressuring the tape and many names at new March lows. Time to get tactical when $SPX breaks the...
Soybean $12 Barrier Demands $100+ Oil, Crop Shortfalls
Soybean's $12 Ceiling Alongside $120 Crude Oil - It may take some combination of WTI crude oil staying above $100 a barrel, a poor Brazilian crop and a Corn Belt drought for soybeans to stay above $12 a bushel. Alongside...
Steepener Trade Finds Relief as Front‑end Yields Rise
The UST 2s5s steepener has been my 'white whale' trade the past year, facing constant pressure from shifting macro drivers. It was first flattened by the AI disruption trade, then crushed by the surge in front-end yields following the outbreak...
Grain Producers Hedge as Futures Signal Mild Profitability
March Selling When They're Yelling in Grains - A takeaway from the March 24-25 Bloomberg Farm, Food & Fuel Summit in Kansas City was that many Corn Belt grain producers used recent price increases to hedge. Corn and soybean futures...
ES Nears Key 6475 AVWAP, Risk Dropping to 6100
$ES_F Nearing that first potential save level 6475 as AVWAP off the 2025 low Not to scare anyone, but in a hell of a volume pocket that projects back to nearly 6100 if we lose it https://t.co/COiPC7PJJF
Hold ESCO $ESE: 10X Growth, Multi‑Sector Resilience
In this week's edition of Friday Hidden Stars... ESCO $ESE is now a 10X rolling out the wayback machine today... but continues to thrive, get a combo of Aero/Defense (Navy), Utility (Grid/Electricity) and RF Test This is also a reminder....find...
Dollar and Oil Hold Steady After Trump’s Iran Pledge
The Dollar and Oil are Bid: The dollar and oil remain firm. The market has a had muted reaction to President Trump’s announcement late yesterday that it will extend its pledge not to strike Iran’s energy infrastructure for ten days...
Brent Surpasses $110 as Hormuz Closure Cuts 15M Barrels Daily
Gm, oil watchers Brent crude back above $110 this morning because—and stop me if you’ve heard this one—the Strait of Hormuz remains shut and the world oil market is losing 15 million barrels every day that remains true https://t.co/jg4V9IlWhv
Iran’s Gas Attacks Threaten Persian Gulf Aluminum Production
Aluminum production in the Persian Gulf is going bye-bye. As Iran ramps up strikes on gas fields, pipelines, and power plants, the countries that depend upon cheap natural gas will no longer be able to run their smelters. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/HA7AqLgHqP...
USD/JPY Near 160 as Risk Appetite Remains Cautious
Ahead of the weekend, amid the fog of war, risk appetites are restrained. Escalation to de-escalate? Is today the day the greenback pushes above $JPY160? PBOC sets $USD fix higher on weekly basis for the 1st time in...
Trump’s Market Impact Fades Within Seconds
That’s oil on left and S&P futures on right. Half-life of Trump jawboning is about 30 seconds now. https://t.co/p9gVQNbsrd
Know Fundamentals or Treat Stock Picking as Gambling
Buying stocks = gambling? For some people, yes. For others, no. If you understand what you’re buying and why, it’s not gambling. But if you’re buying stocks without knowing how to read a balance sheet or what a P/E ratio is, it is gambling. If...
BoE Independence Questioned as Letter‑Writing Ritual Sparks US Controversy
Reading this, all I can think is: what does it say about BoE “independence” if even considering its letter-writing model is deemed hyper controversial in the US? Moreover, I suspect a few former UK PMs would dispute the idea that...
Mears Boosts Dividend, Signals Strong Cash Flow
Mears proposes 9% FY25 dividend increase to 17.5p — shows free-cashflow strength from govt contracts. Risk: contract renewals & cost inflation. Trade insight: buy on modest pullbacks. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Bond Yields Surge Globally as Japan Joins US/EU Breakout
Global Bond Yields continue to ramp higher alongside #Quad3 INFLATION Japan's 10yr ramped +11bps (thats a lot in a day) today joining the breakout in European and US Yields
German Stocks Plunge, Quad3 Down 11.9% in Month
GERMANY: stocks drop another -1.4%, taking their #Quad3 Drawdown to -11.9% in the last month alone https://t.co/5Nwv4OaFWW
Indian Stocks Slide 9% Monthly, Prompting Exit Questions
INDIA: stocks down another -2% overnight to -9.2% in the last month - who gets you out of these country exposures? $INDA https://t.co/pQ984qpHQx
VIX Spike Signals Bigger Move After Inflation Data
$VIX is pumping this morning. Last night I walked my club members through the outflow data. This is the first $VIX spike — a second, bigger one is coming post-inflation data (pushed from April to May). I’ll be publishing my full market...
Nifty 23100 Put Trade Targets 405‑410 Amid High IV
Entered Nifty 23100 PE (30 Mar expiry) around 365. IV is elevated (~27), but still acceptable for me. As long as IV holds above 20, I’m staying in. Structure-wise, downside opened below 22900, so this is more of a momentum + expansion...
Check Gamma and Throttle Before Risking Your Capital
Ask them if they know where Gamma and its Throttle are before they make decisions with YOUR hard-earned capital @t1alpha https://t.co/NFbbyNF2dn
Gold May Not Rebound If Fed Shrinks Balance Sheet
So weird anyone is surprised by this. Time and time again, gold falls at the peak of a liquidity/financial crisis because people liquidate emergency supplies. Note Turkey. But then usually corrects higher once things stabilise (especially if Cbanks flood the...
Breakout Signal Sparks Record-Breaking Bond Volatility Surge
Our Breakout Signal in Bond Market Volatility has turned out to be one of the fastest ROC ramps in the history of me modeling it https://t.co/NsHzTPL9fS
MediClin Posts Modest 2025 Growth; Watch 2026 EBIT
MediClin: 2025 revenue +4.8% to €784.5m, EBIT +3.5%. Drivers: post‑acute growth, stable occupancy; acute fell after Heart Centre sale. Risk: narrow 2026 EBIT range. Buy, watch 2026 EBIT. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Nifty50 Expiry Shows Record IV, Market Tension
Quick read on today’s Nifty50's 30th March expiry option chain. Spot around 22,927. ATM .. 23,000. IV at 98 percentile… market is tense. This is not a calm setup. Something is building. Continued...👇 #Nifty50 #optionchain
China Slashes LNG Imports, Pivots to Domestic Gas
China is cutting LNG purchases as the Middle East conflict boosts prices 🇨🇳🚢 📉 March imports are poised to fall to lowest level in 8 years ⚠️ Instead of LNG, China is turning to domestic/pipeline gas. This will help free up supply...
Politicized Money Boosts Policy Risk, Hedge USD Exposure
Macro: politicization of money raises policy risk. Key factors: Trump to sign US bills, symbolic reflation tilt. Risks: polarization, FX volatility. Trade insight: hedge USD exposure. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Global Risk Concentrates in Few Nations, Demands Selective Exposure
Global risk isn’t evenly distributed. In 2026, a small group of countries - including Belarus, Lebanon, Sudan, and Venezuela - sit at the top of the global risk ranking, with premiums around 30.9%. At the other end, only 19 countries globally have risk levels below...
Automate Investing: Beat Discipline Gaps Forever
The best investor is not the most disciplined one. It is the one who built a system that invests automatically even when discipline is nowhere to be found. Automation removes human emotion and human weakness from your investing equation entirely. Set it up...
Check Diesel Prices Before Filling to Avoid Overcharges
Alert Warning ‼️🚨 TrafficSA has advised motorists to check the price before just pouring diesel into your vehicle. R33.30 a litre is just insane. 🤯 We need to advise each other about prices at petrol stations so we do not fall victim...
Spot Early Momentum Shifts for High‑probability Nifty Options Trades
Tired of false breakouts and market traps? 📉🛑 Join us this Sunday at 10 AM to learn how to spot early momentum shifts and convert your Nifty view into high-probability CE/PE trades using the RMI framework. Register Here: https://t.co/Drtz4W0ktL #Nifty #OptionsTrading #StockMarketIndia
Moonshot AI Targets Hong Kong IPO Amid Tight Scrutiny
China’s Moonshot AI Seeks Listing in Hong Kong Under Heightened Scrutiny—Markets will be watching to see if the company can replicate the success of recent listings by other Chinese AI companies @Tracyyyqu @raffaelehuang https://t.co/ECrREtfSD7 https://t.co/ECrREtfSD7
Your Financial Product Must Match Your Unique Situation
The financial product that's right for your colleague is probably wrong for you. Not because your colleague has bad taste. Because the right financial structure depends entirely on facts specific to you: your income, your family situation, your tax exposure, your...
Fuel Quotas Cut 33%: RON95 Squeeze Hits Malaysia
April 1st is judgment day for your fuel tank. The government just slashed Budi 95 quotas by 33% and put diesel on a leash. Are you ready for the RM1.99 squeeze? TLDR List: 1. RON95 quota slashed. 2. Gig workers protected. 3. Diesel limits enforced. 4....
USD/INR at 94.27 Signals Prolonged Market Turbulence
94.27 on the USDINR. These are going to be rough times, and it's going to take time for flows to come back in
Middle East Turmoil Strains $30tn US Treasury Market
Supply Chain risk is financial risk. “The $30tn US Treasury market is showing growing signs of strain, as turmoil in the Middle East drives swings in bonds that underpin the financial system. The ease of trading in the world’s biggest...
Saudi Crude Exports Surge From Western Ports
A Picture Worth a Thousand Words: Saudi Crude Exports from Western Ports Continue to Rise https://t.co/fSDuoL9nVW
Iran War Unleashes Unprecedented Oil Market Disconnect
The complexity, uncertainty and fluidity of the Iran war’s impact on oil markets have made it increasingly challenging to compress analysis into 45-second soundbites in 5-7 minute TV interviews — though I’ve done my best over the past 4 weeks. So...
China Mulls Loosening Investor Limits to Aid Banks
Reuters: "China is considering easing shareholding restrictions for some major investors, people with knowledge of the matter said, in a move aimed at broadening capital-raising options for commercial banks reeling from an economic slowdown." https://t.co/HCdl6eFRCX
Aramco Redirects 4 M Bpd, Fastest Global Mitigation
Striking image: dozens of empty tankers queued up at Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea ports, ready to load oil. @saudi_aramco has diverted approximately 4 million barrels per day from its eastern fields to the west. Their rapid and massive response stands...
Yardeni Predicts Fed Will Hold Rates Steady All Year
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC he expects "none and done" from the Fed this year—no rate hikes ahead. https://t.co/Ml4LwB5aky
Productivity‑Led Boom Still Likely, War Sparks Stagflation Fears
YARDENI RESEARCH CHART OF THE DAY (March 26, 2026) We've been betting on the productivity-led Roaring 2020s. That's still our 60% base case. So far, this scenario has been on the money. However, the war has increased the risks of a...
Ringgit Slides to 4.00/USD, Investors Eye Fuel Subsidy Risk
Ringgit seeing weakness the last few days. It’s now: • 4.00 against USD • 3.12 against SGD Since the US war began, ringgit has weakened against Yuan, Yen, GBP, EUR. Could it be investors becoming a bit concerned about rising fuel subsidy bill?