NOW Surges Amid Small Overhead Gaps, Large ER Gap
$NOW nice mover today watching the small gaps overhead and the big ER gap. What I see in the chart. https://t.co/Gola7E6MXM
US Valuation Premium Shrinks as Global Earnings Surge
Global markets are at or near all-time highs, supported by strong earnings growth around the world. The rest of the world is outperforming the US on a combination of better earnings growth, competitive payout ratios, and lower valuations. As such,...
Corn Poised for $18 Breakout Amid Hot Wheat, Soy
$CORN Weekly. Wheat and Soybeans have been hot. But watch corn fund for long-term base bottom breakout above $18. Big-time input for broad economy https://t.co/yPBIFa6GwG
SPX Below Gamma Flip Signals Expanding Volatility
The $SPX is still below the gamma flip. That keeps us in negative gamma, meaning volatility can expand, and rallies can fade fast.
Gift Nifty Rebounds 250 Points to 24,400+
Good recovery in Gift Nifty 24145 to 24400+ 250 point up from day low. #usiran #GIFTNIFTY
Corporate Investors Sell, Mortgage Beats Rent, Prices Rise
I'm seeing more and investors selling houses as I travel across the U.S. Housing Market. This one is located south of Atlanta. Corporate investor bought it for $226k in 2021. Tried renting it around $2,000 in 2022. And is now selling at $255k...
Read Smart Money: Turn Charts Into Predictable Maps
Smart Money Concept isn’t about guessing — it’s about understanding liquidity, structure, and institutional intent. Order Blocks. Break of Structure. Session timing. When you learn to read what smart money leaves behind, the chart stops being random. It becomes a map. Trade with logic. Execute...
Credit Unions Deliver the Worst CRE Underwriting in Market
The worst commercial real estate underwriting in our market isn’t private credit (and that’s pretty bad)…it’s credit unions.
Semiconductor Pullback Signals Broader Market Volatility
Joining @CNBCTheExchange in an hour to discuss market volatility, $SPX, and what the pullback in former leaders like $MU signals for semis #fairleadstrategies
Series of Hindenburg Omens Echo 2020 Market Crash
Yesterday a 7th Omen was triggered. The last instances there was a cluster of 6 or 7 Omens were February 2020 and August 2019. Obviously this is not February 2020, but it's similar to the August 2019 downtrend in which...
Gold Slides as Dollar Surges, Investors Unwind Safe‑haven Bets
Gold has dropped sharply amid the swell in volatility - whereas the Dollar has jumped. The metal is still a safe haven, but a lot of capital was deployed during its run up as a diversification play (and some as...
Net Flow, Not Just Buying, Reveals Housing Fire Sales
This is why reporters and policymakers should look at net flows (buying - selling), not just buying.
Quality Small Caps Outperform Junkier Russell 2000 Over
This chart plots the ratio of the S&P 600 Index divided by the Russell 2000 Index from the early 1990s to today. Russell 2000 = 2000 “small caps” by market cap, inclusion rules are mostly mechanical and allow many...
Damon’s Live Morning Trade Reveal and Market Profile
Damon's morning buy. (he shows his trades live online as well as his market profile work). #DamonPavlatos https://t.co/Hs8kF4Xy68
Market Likely to Reverse; Watch 6800 Threshold
Morning reaction up was best play of the day...now what? No leadership shares making new highs on the day (T and VZ do not count.) Close under or over 6800? Market rarely pulls same move two days in...
Oil Spike Threatens USD’s Medium‑Term Reserve Status
I was on @Marketplace with Kai Ryssdal yesterday to discuss fallout from the spike in oil prices for the global economy and what this means for US reserve currency status. We're getting a risk-off Dollar rally now, but medium-term this...
Spring Housing Market Gains Momentum in 2026
The spring housing market is waking up. We’ve been feeling that since January, but it’s starting to show up a bit more in the stats now that we have two months under our belt in 2026. Pending contracts have been...
Dollar Surges to Highest Since Dec 2025, COT Data Shows
U.S. Dollar gapping up to the highest level since early Dec. '25. Written recently at Thrasher Analytics about the pot'l for dollar strength based on COT positioning data. $UUP $USD https://t.co/Q0aZULVSnr
Energy Cheap and Underweight; Oil Upswing Could Boost Index
This chart shows Energy’s weight in the S&P 500 over time in two dimensions: * Blue line = Energy’s market cap share * Red line = Energy’s forward earnings share Current readings (Mar 2): * Market cap share ≈ 3.4% * Forward earnings share ≈...
XLE RSI Hits 80, Echoing
$XLE - The 14 week RSI is currently around 80. The last time it reached 80 was in June 2014. The June 2014 top was a major top that was followed by an almost 6 year bear market. https://t.co/VHRCjpkX18
European Levels Drive Market Direction Despite US Chart Variance
Not as meaningful cavefill levels to upside (prefer to see on 120/240) but still, shows the importance of Europe levels. US session charts shows in a different way (8 AM EST) https://t.co/wQnjwcg9P9
LLY Stagnant Under MA Umbrella; RETA Emerges Game‑Changer
$LLY sideways for 3 months, underneath the 10-day, 21-day, 50-day, and 63-day moving averages. A little umbrella top. But RETA. Goddamn RETA, powerful, game changer. https://t.co/89KoJgjmV2
Limited Borrowing? Rethink Sharpe Ratio for Fund Selection
Selecting mutual funds is one of the most important jobs investors face. But using sharpe ratio may not be the answer if you have a limited ability to borrow. By @ebasilico https://t.co/x4TGFkaBHH https://t.co/d7tayubSd2
Fitch Downgrades Paramount‑Skydance Debt to Junk After WBD Deal
Paramount Skydance Debt Downgraded to Junk Status by Fitch Ratings Following Warner Bros. Discovery Deal https://t.co/bBiUN3grT5 via @variety
Upzoning Alone Won’t Spark Building without Lower Costs
“Nobody is starting construction until the costs come down.” Exactly Upzoning is **necessary** but not **sufficient** to solve the housing crisis
Technical Analysis Maps Levels; Market Decides the Outcome
Technical analysis isn't meant to be a prediction tool, but better used to show levels and momentum. Then it is up to Mr. Market to see how it trades. GC met the projected downside, but it did not have...
Why One Savings Account Isn’t Enough
If you only have one savings account… uummm yeah. You’re gonna want to read this. P.S: Go here for my favorite checking/savings account recommendation https://vist.ly/4tjz9
VIX Backwardation Pays Traders as Hedgers Transfer Risk
The VIX curve just flipped into backwardation. The MAR/APR spread hit -2.35. What does that mean? In contango (normal), you PAY to hold vol exposure every day. In backwardation, the market PAYS YOU to hold it. Panicking hedgers are transferring their risk premium directly...
Markets Enter Risk‑Off: Liquidity Favored, Correlations Surge
I did a video on the overview of the 'risk off' position last night after the US close. We are shifting into the more intense, sentiment-driven scenario: higher correlations, preference for liquidity above most other features, more intense moves. https://t.co/wSiCdtzp9e https://t.co/sRCRYfdQxz
Saving Cash to Purchase Real Estate Pays Off
But nothing wrong with stacking cash to buy assets. 🏆 Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent
Markets Revert to Mean After First‑hour Surge
SP: technical reversion to the mean after time of day (end of first hour) climax on financials currencies, metals etc... https://t.co/Dgn0sGiXMm
The 2:1 Rule: Trading Math for Profitability
Here is a podcast I did with @Stansberry Research and explained how Trading is Math: ⬇️ The 2:1 Rule That Makes You Profitable https://t.co/bgnpbRBOw9
Markets Price Supply Shock, Real Rates Rise
FWIW/IMHO: markets are pricing in a supply shock. Different from the pandemic, no expectation of rate cuts that wouldn't help. Real rates up.
Oil Levels Dictate Market Peaks During Exogenous Shocks
Updated chart of our 1-variable stock market. This is how markets behave during exogenous shocks - stocks need oil to peak. Aftermath eco forecasts rarely matter. Same thing happened last year, but with trade uncertainty. Need something to the...
Metal Volatility Drives XME Off 50‑SMA, Gaps Down
Beautiful move yesterday off 50sma, gap down below it today. $XME Metal volatility never disappoints https://t.co/XWFZZ8XFWH
AI Capex Boom Outpaces Global GDP, Prompting US Shift
“There’s just not enough GDP to support all of them.” @dampedspring returns to @excessreturnpod to break down the funding test behind the AI Capex boom, how the Iran conflict is being priced, and why he’s shifted away from US assets. https://t.co/wooKnQeQKH
Software Stocks Rebound, Setting Higher Lows
Some software went green again and some of them keep making higher lows $msft $igv $now
European Gas Trades over Five Times U.S., Inventory Crunch.
European natural gas is trading at >5x US natural gas prices. Last time this was the case was August 2024. $EQT $AR $RRC $CRK $CNX $EXE https://t.co/f1wU8S3w6b
20% Drop Could Trigger Full Market Rout
Probably 15% to 20% coming on the downside The problem is that 20% can become a complete rout https://t.co/7zx4utMhwU
Submit by March 5 to Unlock Simplified, Tax‑Efficient US Equity ETF
Final Call: Advisors must submit portfolios & tax lot data by March 5 to participate in the launch of the Alpha Architect U.S. Equity 3 ETF (AAUA) Don’t miss the opportunity to: - Simplify complex client portfolios - Reduce tax friction through a...
Canada Stocks May Lead Upcoming Broad Market Uptrend
Canada stocks $EWC vs. U.S. stocks $SPX if this ends up being a big picture uptrend in development, you won't count me as surprised... remember, short-term trends turn first, then intermediate and then long-term... some choose to never rotate and stay...
Risk-Off Sweep: Major Indices, Crypto, and Metals Plunge
Risk is off today: S&P 500 -2.2% Bitcoin -2.2% Nasdaq 100 -2.4% R2000 -3.4% Gold -4.7% EAFE -4.9% Emerging Mkts -6.7% Silver -8.9%
Don't Default to Lower L
When your DSCR doesn't hit the bank’s threshold (usually a ~1.25x DSCR), most people think banks don't give you any option but to lower the LTV But in reality, if you negotiate, you have 3 options: Option 1: Lower LTV Option 2: Schedule...
Allocators Swap BCRED Redemptions for Discounted BXSL
Allocators are funding a logical switch trade: Redeeming BCRED at NAV to buy $BXSL at an -11% discount to NAV. Look for this dynamic to occur between every other private credit fund with both a non-traded and listed BDC.
Spotting NASDAQ Bottom with $TQQQ Trade
bottom snipe like here with a bottom pick on the NASDAQ here using $TQQQ 🎯🎯 $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/jAxoEQg65i
Geopolitics Decoded: Investment Insights Ahead of Headlines
Thoughts? Follow @tallguytycoon - I break down geopolitical events and how they impact investments before the news does.
Geopolitical Shocks Trigger Short‑term Stock Drops, Not Recessions
Geopolitical risks may weigh on the outlook for stocks in the short run, with the S&P 500 now below key support at its 100-day moving average. Stocks have been transitioning leadership toward commodity-sensitive sectors and value stocks so far this...
Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble
Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming
Prop Trading Consolidates in March 2026
March 2026 kicks off with big changes for @ApexTradeFund @TradingLucid @Xpertfunding @ftmo @OANDAPropTrader Get the details https://t.co/hvM8ZXjDn6
Private Credit Mirrors 2007‑08 Troubled Financials Amid Downtrend
$OWL Daily. Clear downtrend. Weak bounces. Major issues lurking. Private credit starting to act like some problem financials in 2007/08. https://t.co/suwdNfuKKO