Beta Rotation Signals Utilities Weakening vs S&P
we've got a #betarotation signal for equities that fired as the 4-week rate of change for utilities $XLU vs. $SPX has fallen significantly after it's rally... https://t.co/RslsxolzBm
Earnings Growth Offsets Falling P/E, Signals Healthy Market
If that reset continues, we could get a 2022 “echo,” in which equities correct entirely on the basis of falling P/E’s, while earnings continue to grow. Remember that stock prices are driven not only by earnings and payouts but also...
Brent Near $108, Awaiting White House Price‑Cut Signal
Brent is close to $108. Will we hear a statement from the White House today that brings back to low $90s? 😉
Buy Quality Blue‑Chip Stocks on Sale Now
Always a pleasure talking with @SquawkCNBC and @BeckyQuick. Trying to think longer term to buy quality companies on sale. $NFLX $UNP $SNPS $DOV $ANFGF $MS
Volume Pocket Surges 60% in One Day
Volume Pockets are can be really powerful. This one is up another 60% today https://t.co/JXtAgTvZ9G
Broad Indices Fall, Small‑cap ETFs Defy the Trend
$SPX down 4% YTD, $CCMP down 6%, yet $RSP flat, $IWM up 2%. $RLV > $RLG by 11%. Alot going on under the surface in markets.
Investors Underweight International as Market Shifts Toward 50/50 Split
Imagine if the global stock market reverted to 50/50 US/ex-US... doesn't seem like folks are positioned for it.. ...in today's environment, "we are bullish international" means having like a 10% allocatoin to it lol $EFA $EEM $ACWI $VEU https://t.co/bSBFac5qch
AMD Holds, Memory Stocks Key, Stay Selective
📺 $AMD LOOKS STRONG & CAN MEMORY STOCKS LEAD? $AMD is showing relative strength with strong closes and volume, making it one of the few tradable names in a weak tape. Memory stocks are the key group to watch, with names like...
Break‑even WTI Price Needed to Cover Well Costs
What WTI oil price does your firm need to cover operating expenses for existing wells? @DallasFed via @macrolutzie https://t.co/5sVYLcuBRm
Import Prices Surge 2.8%, Tariff Burden Shifts to US
"Compared with February 2025, the import price index excluding petroleum climbed 2.8% — the most since October 2022 and suggesting the tariff burden is falling primarily on US importers." (The index here does not include tariffs.) https://t.co/BThM0jjJxj https://t.co/QmsfwHVOLd
Copper Miners and Prices Dip, Bottom Forming?
Copper Miners $COPX vs Price of Copper $COPPER. Down today but looks like it's hammering out a bottom. https://t.co/CCHLPeGBwv
XLF Poised for Six-Day Winning Streak
$XLF trying to sneak green.. would be a 6-day winning streak More from me: https://t.co/UKggIGLeI1 https://t.co/neQp5IrWeZ
One in Five Tax Dollars Go to Debt Service
"For every five dollars the government receives in tax revenue, one dollar is spent on servicing the national debt" https://t.co/GZLf2MrQBV https://t.co/2mBzfPVgm2
BATL Eyes $8‑$10 Target After Lower‑High Test
$BATL on watch for today, it's trying to form a lower high as we speak, so I'll need to see the pivot over this local high (6.9 range) in line with VWAP support for the curl through pm highs. Range to...
Export Sales Far Exceed USDA Weekly Targets
Pretty solid export sales #corn 47.9 mb. Needed each week to meet current USDA projections 23.2 mb. #Soybean export sales 24.6. Needed each week to meet current USDA projections 8.3 mb.
Profit From Options Even When Out‑of‑the‑Money
"Your Options don't have to be in-the-money for you to make money" - @sstrazza today LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link. Let us know what you think: https://t.co/4fzzcuHq16 https://t.co/VDX8ocHwoM
Brent Spot Tightness Near All‑Time High Amid Supply Fight
BRENT SPOT SO TIGHT Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) Brent crude oil timespread is currently sitting just shy of last week's all-time high, and if we closed here we'd finish at a fresh daily ATH. Signals extreme tightness in North Sea spot crude markets amidst...
US Export Sales Beat Forecast; Mexico Leads Corn, Soy
🇺🇸U.S. export sales met or exceeded expectations last week. Mexico and Colombia led in corn sales, and Germany and Mexico were the leaders in soybeans for new outright sales (China topped net sales, and those were due to a switch...
MAGS7 in Persistent Downtrend, Lagging S&P 500
the big bad #MAGS7 $MAGS... nothing new to see... top: absolute downtrend with lower highs and lower lows... bottom: S&P 500 $SPX relative downtrend... https://t.co/T69qYIfvlh
ASTS and RKLB Show Strength; Can They Sustain?
$ASTS and $RKLB were strong yesterday - Let’s see if they can hold better https://t.co/yUM59l8tyU
Why Private Money Beats Banks for Real Estate
Top builders, investors, and flippers borrow money for their real estate projects from private money lenders instead of from banks. Here are the top two reasons why.
Gold Holds Despite Rising Real Yields—Warning Sign
Gold at $4,560. Real yields still elevated. Gold is supposed to fall when real yields rise. It's not falling. That's not a hedge. That's a warning. $GLD $TLT $SPY https://t.co/eAdLleClyB
Predicting Corrections Costs More Than Corrections
Including dividends, the S&P 500 has gained over 1,200% since the March 2009 low, despite 32 corrections >5%. “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.”...
Mid/Small Advance-Decl
advance decline lines in three flavours... shhh... don't tell everyone but the mid/small lines stopped going down... https://t.co/hvgFzmM45J
Focus on 8/21 MA Crosses, Ignore Gamma Levels
People will spend so much time over-analyzing and thinking things like Gamma levels are important, yet we break below them and snap back, break above them and fade back under...it is chop chop chop Meanwhile, just look at how simple... 8/21...
Start at 20, Save $270 Monthly for $1M
Here is how much you will need to invest every month to get $1,000,000 by 60. Assuming an 8.5% annual return. Age: 20: $270 25: $414 30: $643 35: $1,015 40: $1,650 45: $2,819 50: $5,350 The clock is ticking.
Long SOFR Futures Cheap, Expect No Rate Hikes
Now that cuts have been completely priced out through late 2026 into 1H 2027, long SOFR futures are extremely attractively priced. I do not believe hikes will happen as that would twist the knife into a global recession, so therefore...
Iran War Derails Global Economic Optimism
Iran war just canceled a better economic outlook for the world https://t.co/4zqeIEwXkO via @CraigStirling @WHorobin https://t.co/hfVE77iQwZ
RBOB Futures at $2.21 Forecast $3.15 Pump Price
March 2027 RBOB gasoline futures $2.21, implying $3.15 at the pump by the winter https://t.co/TkEv0pc6Zf
Global Trade Faces Fragmentation Amid Geopolitical Upheaval
From Liberation Day to the Strait of Hormuz, is global trade and world order going thru an upheaval? Will the world move go from bifurcation or trifurcation to fragmentation? Who will dominant? What would supply chains look like and operate...
Blockade Risks Spike Prices, Yet Market Already Priced In
Key pushback to a blockade is that it might spike oil prices. Iran's 2 million barrels per day could spike oil prices by 20% if they go offline, but - with Brent already up 60% from before the war -...
Markets Shift From Rate Cuts to Tightening Regime
Six months ago: markets pricing 3+ rate cuts. Now: pricing 8bps of TIGHTENING. The Fed didn't pivot. The Fed reversed. 37% chance of ZERO cuts in 2026. This isn't a soft landing. This is a regime change. $SPY $TLT $QQQ https://t.co/UxC4Gdd51F
Join Me Live on Trader TV at 8:30 ET
I'm joining Trader TV Live at 8:30 am ET: https://t.co/dG0wAzdrdi Tune in! Will be talking $SPY $QQQ $GLD $SLV $NVDA $SNDK $MU etc.
High‑Yield Spreads Tight Now, Widening Ahead
So far, HY credit spreads haven't widened anyway near as much as they should - given sustained oil prices & its large swings, not to mention supported high VIX & mechanical selling. Wait and see mode only lasts so long... Geopolitical shocks...
Dollar Holds Steady as Stocks and Bonds Slip
Hope Wanes, USD Little Changed while Bonds and Stocks Weaken: The US dollar is trading in narrow trading ranges against the G10 currencies today, but the calm in the foreign exchange market belies stress in other parts of the capital...
Seek Uncorrelated Returns to Reduce Risk, Dalio Shows
According to Ray Dalio, the easiest way to adjust for risk is to seek uncorrelated returns. Ray's made billions from a simple idea. Here's how to do it in a few lines of Python code:
Premarket VIX Spikes Far Beyond Oil Movement
Using premarket marks, this is Crude (USO) vs VIX. You can see the AM VIX move is high relative to the move in oil (red dot). Black dots are last 5 days. https://t.co/ZgBEOTzNOF
SPX Volatility Appears Unusually Bid This Morning
SPX vols look quite oddly bid this morning? @NoelSmith lemme know if I'm just being dumb (please)
Russia Welcomes US Security Aid Tied to Donbas Concession
MOSCOW, March 26 (Reuters) - Russia is pleased about Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy statement that the U.S. is making its offer of security guarantees conditional on Kyiv ceding all of the country's eastern region of Donbas to Russia, a senior...
Trusts Direct Assets Autonomously, Wills Require Permission
A will tells people what to do with your assets. A trust tells your assets what to do without needing anyone's permission. That's the difference most people miss.
GOOG Breaks 4‑month Pattern, Signals Market Dip
$GOOG bringing this up again just broke a 4-month head & shoulders with rising volume — bearish signal. It’s ~6–8% of S&P 500 Index / QQQ , so bearish for the market Targets: $270 short-term, $250 key
Fed Speakers Set to Drive Market Tone Today
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – March 26, 2026 🚨 Quiet data day but Fed speakers take center stage — markets watching for tone shifts as rate expectations remain in focus 👀 🗓️ Economic Events: 0830 - Initial Jobless Claims: Exp. 210K; Prev. 205K 1600...
Consumer Staples Still Lagging After 16-Year Peak
many told me they were excited with consumer staples stocks while i reminded them it was an $XLP vs. $SPX bounce in a downtrend, as they've underperformed since the peak 16 years ago... it looks like that now, as they've...
Discipline vs Ego: Know When to Let Go
There's a fine line between conviction and denial. Holding on when the thesis is intact? That's discipline. Holding on because admitting you're wrong hurts? That's ego. The facts don't care which one it is. Your portfolio doesn't either.
Tech Records Historic Weekly Inflow as Others Dump
Record Tech Flows From BofA via BBG: - Tech had the biggest weekly inflow in client data history (2008) - Energy, Discretionary, Financials, Staples, Utilities, and Materials all had record or near-record outflows
Retirees Overlook Commodities Breakout in Asset Allocation
Most Retirees don't have a Major Asset Allocation to this Major #Quad3 Breakout: Commodities https://t.co/Iyitj3LaKM
Mean Reversion Signals Deliver 40%+ Gains Since Launch
Mean reversion (MR) update for subs. There are new signals. Since inception: -#ES_F bonus MR +42% (May 21, 2025) -Bonus MR+momentum: +2.4% (October 9, 2025) -Main MR strategy: +37.6% (June 27, 2023) Links in profile (Daily mean reversion signals) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/G8duPD06Ug
Patience Pays: Trade Only After Market Confirmation
“Don’t take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.” — Jesse Livermore https://t.co/FS8pNm1s6n
Taiwan Spends $600M Extra as LNG Prices Double
Taiwan spent an extra $600 million to secure LNG through June to replace lost Qatari supply 🇹🇼 💰 Taiwan’s Economic Minister said spot LNG prices are “about twice as high as long-term contract prices with Qatar” The island depends more on gas...
US Yield Spike Driven by Term Premia, Not Inflation
The move higher in US yields has been entirely driven by term premia, not inflation expectations. Real yields on 10-year bonds are the highest in almost a year. The implication seems to be that investors are worried about the fiscal...