Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 86%, Dollarization Needed
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by 86% against the USD over the past year. The only thing that will salvage Venezuela is DOLLARIZATION. https://t.co/HsoegSMSO1
Office Construction Hits 2011 Lows; B‑space Demand Uncertain
We’re currently seeing the lowest level of office construction since 2011. ▫️A+ is full ▫️A is almost full What happens to B space is the question? Some B+ will be competitive in good locations and with renovations. Tear Downs and Conversions are up. In...
Iran’s Fragmented Leadership Clouds US Negotiation Prospects
Important nuance before assuming the stage is set for US-Iran negotiations: ❓ How unified is Iran’s top leadership at present — across the legislative branch, the military (especially the IRGC), and the religious establishment? ❓ Does Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hold...
Brazilian Stocks Surge, Early Thesis Underestimated
While all eyes were on metals: Brazilian stocks had an outstanding move today. At times, Brazilian equities feel like a beach ball being held underwater — the pressure keeps building. We’re still in the very early stages of this thesis, in my view. What’s...
US Brent Oil Fund Call Options Reach New Record
Call option volume on the United States Brent Oil Fund hit another record today https://t.co/ZbSaQoQDkl
Hidden Entry Fees Can Drain Millions From Investors
If you invest $10,000 today, how much of that actually gets invested after all charges? If the answer isn't close to $10,000, you should understand why. One client found out she'd been paying a 2% upfront sales charge every time she...
Parsi Explains Rial’s 12% Surge Amid US‑Israel Conflict
Johns Hopkins PhD Trita Parsi is on to something. What Parsi reports helps explain why the Iranian Rial has soared by 12% against the USD during the first 3 weeks of the US-Israel war on Iran.
April Ranks Second-Best Month for S&P 500 Gains
Rubner Citadel: Since 1928, April has been the second-best month for S&P 500 returns, with an average gain of +1.3%. https://t.co/yFgPybpRBD
Silver's Sharp Drop Sets Strong Entry Opportunity
Silver's ~46% crash from Jan '26 highs looks like classic volatility, margin hikes, profit-taking after 130%+ run. Long-term? Fundamentals strong: 6th straight deficit in 2026, solar/EV/AI demand provides floor. Shakeout creates better entry. https://t.co/LXPHZL13Eg
Insiders Trade Futures Pre‑open as Retail Bets Big on Kal
Insiders "trading" $CL_F and $ES_F 45 min before the open while retail places a 58 team parlay on Kalshi https://t.co/7RYeVzxZ3J
Earnings Still Drive Markets; Pullback Seen as Healthy Pause
"Periods like this are not uncommon and, in many ways, resemble prior resets within this cycle. Ultimately, earnings drive markets. Until we see a meaningful deterioration in the earnings backdrop, we remain constructive and view this pullback as a healthy...
Copper Demand Stays Resilient Despite Iran Conflict Worries
HOUSTON - Freeport-McMoRan expects demand for copper for use in electrification, data centers and other high-tech areas to remain resilient despite market jitters tied to the Iran conflict, CEO Kathleen Quirk told Reuters on Monday. $FCX
Future Gains Matter More than Past Performance
"Incremental returns on capital matter more than historical returns." Stop obsessing over past returns—they don’t pay your future. Smart investors focus on what a business can earn from here, not what it did yesterday.
Deep Means ITM, Far Means OTM
"Deep" is for ITM and "far" is for OTM. Thank you for your attention to this matter
New Real-Time Undercut & Rally Data Coming Soon
I'm currently testing some new Undercut & Rally Data Points for @Deepvue Key Levels & Moving Averages. You'll be able to screen for these in real time 💪 These will be available soon. https://t.co/1V4rtLbga3
Arab Light Crude Export Routes From Saudi West Ports
Tankers carrying Arab light crude from the Western ports of Saudi Arabia Mapf rom @Kpler https://t.co/FT5mVn08sk
2026 May Bring Median Stock Multiple Expansion,
Earlier this year, @MorganStanley's Mike Wilson said, “The surprise for 2026 could be that we see multiple expansion for the median stock in addition to strong earnings.” He explains why that hasn't changed. https://t.co/V7xbgUdxvA https://t.co/F0rrEGQbzw
Deutsche Bank Sees Market Bottom in 3 Weeks
"The historical playbook is for a sharp selloff of about -6% to -8% but a bottom on average in 3 weeks, and a full recovery in another 3, usually long before the underlying escalation is resolved. The current selloff is...
Dollar Reserve Growth Didn't Fund US Deficit
I spend a lot of time tracking dollar reserve growth. Probably more time than anyone at the Fund. And I absolutely believe that the surge in reserve growth contributed to the rise in imbalances before the...
Middle Eastern LNG Delayed to June, Oil Hoarding Risks Rise
Middle Eastern liquified natural gas (LNG) might not come to Europe till June, and why speculative hoarding of oil is a serious concern going forward, per top shipping/energy hedge fund in shipping and energy trading A must watch
AIM Hammer Reversal Signals Oversold Bounce Near 693
#AIM All Share pretty Hammer Reversal. Support 693 must hold. Resistance 732, 753, 779. RSI 17 extremely Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 795. Midpoint Line 750. Bottom Band 705.
Housing Market Unchanged Despite War, Higher Rates
No noticeable impact from the war/higher mortgage rates in the weekly housing data yet: https://t.co/f4wx5tgXQn
FTSE100 Doji Signals Potential Turning Point at 9670
#FTSE100 Reversal Candle but really a Long Tails Doji; can act as a Turning Point. Support 9670 must hold. Resistance 10036, 10305, 10481. RSI 32 very low but not Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 10600. Midpoint Line 10221. Bottom Band 9855.
Nasdaq Doji Signals Bullish Turn if 21522 Holds
#Nasdaq Comp Doji Candle but up on Friday's Candle. Support 21522 must hold. Resistance 22189, 22569, 22906. RSI 39 not low but flicked up. Top Bollinger Band 22879. Midpoint Line 22251. Bottom Band 21616.
DAX Shows Up Candle Yet Remains Oversold
#DAX Up Candle but off day's High. Support 21863. Resistance 23179, 24000, 24366. RSI 30 Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 24326. Midpoint Line 23334. Bottom Band 22329.
Selective Long on Rig-Count Breakout Amid HMH IPO
HMH files $231.4M US IPO (10.5M sh @ $19–22). Macro: energy recovery lifts services. Key: drilling-equipment focus; led by J.P. Morgan/Piper Sandler/Evercore. Risks: cyclicality, oil-price volatility. Trade: selective long on rig-count breakout 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Brent Oil Faces Bearish Turn Near $112 Resistance
#BrentOil Comp big Down Candle and Bearish Engulfing. Resistance $112.1. Support $91.8, $84, $80, $69.2. Near MACD Bear Cross. RSI 63 dropped from Overbought. Top Bollinger Band $107.9. Midpoint Line $97.7. Bottom Band $87.4.
Stay Invested: Ignore Market Noise and Avoid Panic Withdrawals
The stock market is all over the place. Ignore the noise. And if you're a long term investor DEAR GOD please DO NOT take your money out.
Multiple Stocks Reach 52‑Week Highs Today
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK HIGHS at some point today Clear Secure $YOU Akamai $AKAM ConocoPhillips $COP Digitalocean $DOCN EOG Resources $EOG TechnipFMC $FTI GE Vernova $GEV Halliburton $HAL Mastec $MTZ Murphy Oil $MUR New York Times $NYT Pembina $PBA Restaurant Brands $QSR Tenaris $TS Tower Semi $TSEM
BoE's MPC Scenario Guidance Will Become a Chaotic Puzzle
Scenario guidance is going to take some getting used to. Especially when the BoE gets hold of it, and each member of the MPC sets out their own different scenarios (3 scenarios each, 9 members) 🤣
S&P 500 Adds $650B Market Cap in One Day
MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild day, the S&P 500 gained over $650 BILLION in market cap today, jumping 1.15%. Earlier in the day, the index was up over $1 TRILLION in market cap, up 2% 👀 What the heck is...
Gold Spikes Off 200‑day MA Amid Record Outflows
Gold Futs printed big wick energy off the 200-day MA + reclaim of Oct 2025 pivot high. This after Goldman reported $GLD experienced the largest monthly outflow since April 2013 -- capitulation? https://t.co/5qnVQMFUbq
New 2026 Rate Outlook Recalibrated From Hormuz to DC
Latest episode of our Trading Global Macro Podcast: From Hormuz to Washington DC: Recalibrating the 2026 Rate Outlook https://t.co/SWQ3mEPyhx
Midwest Real Estate Booms as Climate Haven Emerges
Is the Great Lakes region the ultimate Climate Haven? 🌎🌊🔥 With over $15T in real estate at risk from floods & fires, I explore why the Midwest is seeing a pricing boom. Low risk, low cost, high quality of...
Dow Holds 200‑Day Support Amid Volatility, Awaiting Trump Impact
Through today's (massive) volatility, the #Dow has held up the 200-day SMA as former support new resistance and maintained the descending channel of the past ~5 weeks. What will the Trump headlines bring for markets tomorrow? https://t.co/t3i7qUOG2I
MAGS Tests Gap, Opens Higher with 10‑EMA Support
$MAGS back test and fill of an old gap on Friday. Gap up today. The name has a small gap overhead along with the 10ema. See what tomorrow brings. https://t.co/XaedJw3adu
Oil Prices Slip Despite Months-Long Supply Recovery
By now, everyone knows it will take months for oil supplies to recover from this fiasco. And yet the oil price dropped pretty sharply on today's fake TACO. That seems significant to me...maybe, if we get a proper resolution, markets...
SPX Needs 40‑Week MA Break to Halt Downtrend
$SPX - The attempt to close above the 200 day MA has failed. Even if it closes above the 200 DMA it won't be enough to confirm a Friday bottom. Last year before the "Liberation Day" crash it closed above...
Turning META Bullish Flow Into Profitable Trade with SpotGamma
Check out how SpotGamma Contributor Doug Pless turned bullish options flow + key support in META into a winning trade, using: • Compass to generate the trade idea • Options Calculator to model the PnL • HIRO to time the execution Read the full...
Zoning Flexibility Key for Commercial‑to‑residential Conversions
A necessary, if not sufficient, condition for commercial to residential conversions is to provide maximum zoning flexibility, e.g. the exemptions on parking mandates provided for by AB 2097. I provide comment: https://t.co/O3dF26SHCm
Record Down Volume Followed by Record Up Volume
A day after the heaviest down volume in NYSE history, we get the heaviest up volume. Totally normal market. https://t.co/odNR7bgM5P
US Corn and Bean Flash Sales Return, First to Mexico
🇺🇸Monday's flash sale of U.S. corn was the first since March 4, and the bean sale was the first since Feb. 12. These also marked the first U.S. flash sales explicitly to Mexico since Dec. 17 (corn) and Jan. 13 (soybeans)....
FTSE100 Shows Long‑Tail Doji Hinting Hammer
Really a Long Tails Doji today on the #FTSE100 but there's a whiff of Hammer to it: https://t.co/liqjf0R22C
Europe and China Lead Global Imbalance Reassessment
The risk of an escalation in the Gulf seem reduced for at least a few days. So maybe there will be a bit of interest in my (somewhat novel) reevaluation of the relative contribution of Europe and China...
US Volatility Likely to Spike After Asian Surge
VIX at 26.78. India VIX up 18.5%. Kospi circuit breaker. Nikkei -5%. In my experience, the US VIX always plays catch-up to international volatility — it just takes a session or two. Asian vol is already in a significantly elevated regime. US equities...
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Renters relocating from California prefer Texas and Nevada. Renters relocating from New York prefer Florida and New Jersey. Interesting data from Apartment List. https://t.co/qJvXYBSwxJ
War Hopes Nudge Fed Futures Toward Tiny Cut
The hope of a short-end to the war on Iran sees the Fed funds futures market swing back to a (small chance) of a cut this year--2 bp--. It was around 7 bp of tightening before the weekend and 61...
Brent Crude Slides Below $100, Still Above Pre‑crisis Levels
CHART OF THE DAY: Brent crude oil has settled today below $100 a barrel (at $99.94 a barrel). As the chart shows, still way higher than pre-crisis levels, but also well below the peak reached during the early days of...
Gold Must Breach 9/20 EMA to Reverse Downtrend
Last 9 sessions $GLD -- short term needs to break that 9/20EMA to stop the downtrend https://t.co/Z6QvCzcnjJ
Mag 7 Stocks Hit Multi‑year Lows, Earnings Still Rising
While the leveraged crowd was getting margin called, here's what they left behind. $MSFT at 20x forward. Below the S&P 500. $META at 21x. $GOOG at 23x. Cheapest Mag 7 valuations in years. Earnings still growing 12.5%. The stocks got cheaper. The businesses didn't.