Funds Snap up Record CBOT Wheat, Futures Rise 3%
📈Funds bought a massive amount of CBOT wheat in the week ended Feb. 24. Net buying neared 51,000 futures & options contracts, the third most for any week on record. Funds were net short 17.3k contracts as of Feb. 24, but futures are up another 3% since. https://t.co/5HJk6UNVEo
Pakistan’s “Open War” Claim Masks Limited Cross‑border Strikes
Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif declared his country to be in “open war” with Afghanistan on Friday, following a series of cross-border strikes between the two neighbors. The reality is more muted. While the Pakistani military is currently conducting strikes against...
Asana CEO Spends Billions Selling Meta for $1B Asana Stake
Asana CEO has purchased over $1B of Asana stock since they went public 🤯 Asana market cap today is only $1.7B. The purchases were funded by selling his Meta stock... He lost several billion dollars from selling Meta and buying Asana... >>https://t.co/cRAFDwGz2b https://t.co/ltv5Z71gZq
International Small Caps Outperform US, Matching 2016 Returns
International vs US small caps.. nice rounded bottom favoring $VSS Same return back to late 2016 https://t.co/mkK1YD3ZSt
S&P Laggards Signal Weak Macro Confidence, Cockroach Stocks Rise
$GS $AXP $WFC $MS among the S&P 500 laggards today.. $UAL $DAL also not yielding any macro confidence $KKR $APO $SYF pointing to cockroaches @stockcharts https://t.co/MKUY5hJmse
Zero Fees and User‑Friendly Design: My Investment Essentials
My 2 non-negotiable when choosing a platform to invest: - £0 platform fees - easy to navigate app/website
Significant XLF Selling Spike Mirrors $GS Trend
Related to the $GS post, subset of selling in XLF in the last 30 days. https://t.co/iuSWLKwbpm
Most S&P 500 Sector ETFs Jump over 5.7% in February
The majority of S&P 500 sector ETFs were +5.7% or more in February @Koyfincharts https://t.co/003sR1VAW7
Most S&P
Story of the month.. 8/11 S&P 500 sector ETFs up today.. Financials, Tech, Discretionary down @Koyfincharts https://t.co/9XD507Xfoo
Gold Hits Record High, Extends 7‑Month Streak
Gold $GLD just another record monthly high.. by a mile. 7-month winning streak... +9% in February https://t.co/K0ucOz3DnD
U.S. Critical Mineral Imports Surge, Few Nations Dominate
America’s net import reliance for critical minerals in 2025, along with the primary countries supplying them between 2021 and 2024 https://t.co/89QwEHKe16 via @visualcap
AVGO Below 299.60 Signals Decline Toward 235
$AVGO - Reports on Wednesday. Given what we saw from all big tech stocks so far the most bullish reaction would be a post earnings spike but not to a new ATH or even close to it. On the other...
Contrarian Insight: Cap Spending Crowds Out Hyperscaler Buybacks
Come on, Scott - some of us brought up that the gargantuan cap spending will crowd out buybacks of hyperscalers several months ago.... this is not new, its just a narrative to fit the lower stock prices. This is why...
Goldman Sachs Slides 7.7%, Drags DJIA Down 367 Points
$GS -7.7%, worst day since last April... a gap fill from early December.. @stockcharts Shaving 367pts off the DJIA today https://t.co/4SjytU6GL2
NVDA's Strong Earnings Can't Stop Stock Slide
Two days after strong $NVDA earnings, the stock continues to slide, which begs the question: Will fundamentals ever be enough? https://t.co/IJF2dA07mR
AUD/USD's Six-Week Rally Meets Multi-Year High Test
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD 6-Week Winning Streak Faces Major Test at Multi-year Highs https://t.co/OQ8pT6aY7y $AUDUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/v6yDD2nwcL
US Ignores China AI Threat to Corporate Profits
Notable IMO b/c thus far this sell-off narrative seems to be focused solely on how US AI could disrupt the US. No one seems to be worried yet about what happens to US corporate profits if China AI disrupts the US. If...
Weekend Read: AI, Cloud Outages, Solar Milestones
Today's Edition is out, packed with goodies that you can read over the weekend: 615: Nvidia Q4, Ben Evans on AI Economics, Meta + Google TPUs, China Solar at 1TW/Year, Anthropic vs DoD, AWS Outages, METR, Sora, and Marty Supreme https://t.co/m8aYjFz1jo
Corn Insurance Falls, Soybean Coverage Rises in 2026
🇺🇸2026 U.S. insurance guarantees: Corn: $4.62 per bushel (down 2% from last year) Soybeans: $11.09 per bushel (up 5% from last year) https://t.co/QFcJ5xrOCI
February Historically Weak for QQQ, Not a Certainty
Seasonality is a historical tendency and not a guarantee. Feb is statistically a bad month for the $QQQ and this one looks to add to the stat on the negative side.
Medical Office Starts Plunge 26%, Prompting Conversion Challenges
Medical office building starts are set to drop 26% in 2026 ... the lowest level in ten years. Developers are turning their attention to office conversions. But even then, the building's design and the math have to be spot on...
Hidden Market Volatility May Surface via Crypto, Bonds, Metals
Stock market volatility is still buried. Falling cryptos, T-bond yields and spiking precious metals volatility may trickle down. https://t.co/SeGPI6EvAe
AI‑Biotech IPO Slumps 23% on Opening Day
A leader of this next wave of AI-focused biotechs has completed its IPO, a milestone tarnished by a brutal first few hours of trading. Day 1 for $GENB: -23% https://t.co/u3WQcDD3jL
Housing Market Trends Outpace Presidential Influence
Home prices were already slowing down before Trump took office, and many markets went negative last year. I don’t think any president can really control the direction of the housing market. https://t.co/LoaiFTlI85
U.S. Home Prices Stagnate, Punta Gorda & Austin Plunge
Freddie Mac House Price Index Decreased in January; Up only 0.4% Year-over-year Punta Gorda House Prices Down 22% from Recent Peak, Austin Down 18% https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/freddie-mac-house-price-index-decreased
Warner Bros and Paramount Finalize Agreement, Says CRO
Warner Bros Chief Revenue And Strategy Officer: Warner Bros, Paramount Signed Agreement As Of This Morning $WBD $PSKY
Intel Holds Below Base Top, Basing at 50‑Day MA
$INTC daily basing along the 50ma and below the base top. Still hold it here no change today. Updated chart. https://t.co/BqQrlEX6xR
CRM Holds 10‑21 MA After ER Gap‑Up
$CRM updated charts. The line chart was inspired from @MntlmrktsChaz line chart posted. The daily holding the 10-21ma's and starting the basing form the ER gap up. still own it here https://t.co/2FDvsFmGHl
MBS Spread Re
After the White House confirmed that Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac would increase their retained MBS by $200B, the 'spread'—which had already been compressing—slipped sub 200 bps for the first time in more than 3 years Today is first +200 bps spread since...
Passive Investing Still Beats Human‑Run Index Committees
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.
Lower 48 Oil Output Flat, Barely up 90k B/D
U.S. CRUDE and condensate production from the Lower 48 states excluding federal waters in the Gulf of America/Mexico has flattened in response to the downturn in prices and drilling. Lower 48 onshore production was up by just 90,000 b/d in...
From $304k Debt to Millions: My Recovery Blueprint
12 years ago, I was $304k in debt. Today, I'm a multimillionaire. If I lost everything tomorrow, here's how I'd get it back:
Performance Beats Fees: Why Investors Pay 5% + 44%
Jim Simons charged some of the highest hedge fund fees in history—5% flat + 44% of gains—and still delivered spectacular returns. Learn how elite investors tolerate high fees and what it teaches about investing, stock markets, and wealth building. Would you...
AI, Private Credit, and US Debt Drive Market Volatility
Having @bethanymac12 on the show to discuss the economy, markets & the issues currently causing volatility like the benefits/consequences of A.I. as well as trends in Private Credit is invaluable. We also hit $FNMA $FMCC. Of course my @Kalshi topic...
Tariff Refunds Spark Unexpected Market Reaction
I run a family account that is very light on profanity, but I'm making an exception here because this is highly relevant re: policy - i.e., the market response to tariff refunds - and is also kinda funny https://t.co/W4w9escVzV https://t.co/5sIpIX72ON
TSLA Cheap Vol, but Skew Makes Puts Pricey
TSLA is frustrating...vol is cheap and I want the nitroglycerine puts but the skew is jacked. https://t.co/e8sACX2GXu
Fade Extreme Breakouts; Trade Location, Not Emotion
Breakouts look strong… until they reverse. 🚨 If we’re inside value with a flat VWAP, chasing highs is usually the trap. Fade statistical extremes. Trade location, not emotion. Link in profile 📲 #DayTrading #FuturesMarket #TradingEducation
Financials Lead Market Weakness with Biggest Daily Loss
The real market story today is the weakness in financials and not the hyperscalers @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport @dougkass Observe these massive individual financial stock losses: $C -$7 $AXP -$25 $GS -$72 $MS -$13 $APO -$10 Since this is the single largest daily loss, it might...
Luxury Builds Reduce Affordable Housing, Not Trickle‑down
As Max and others often point out: The more apartments you build for the wealthy, the fewer wealthy people living in moderate- and lower-priced apartments... thereby creating more affordable supply. It's not "trickle down economics." (Different thing.) It's just common sense.
OpenAI's Record Funding Rattles AI Giants and Software Stocks
There's a new kingmaker in AI... OpenAI raises the largest private funding round in history and two of the biggest backers ($NVDA and $AMZN) are down to flat today. Meanwhile a blog post from Anthropic sends software stocks swinging
AmEx Buying Holds Steady Amid White‑
$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4
Diversify Beyond 60/40 to Reduce Lifetime Consumption Risk
“Risk is the uncertainty of lifetime consumption.” We sit down with @cullenroche to discuss his new book Your Perfect Portfolio. We start with a basic 60/40 portfolio and then examine, step by step, the case for adding international, factors, gold, private assets,...
XWEL Secures Green Friday with Clean Open Exit
A green Friday is locked in thanks to $XWEL ✅ Such a clean move out of open 👇
Understanding Covered Calls vs Equivalent Stock Delta Sale
Today's spaced repetition is structured as a slow-as-molasses homework that builds up to understanding the nature of covered calls vs the equivalent portfolio of selling [delta] amount of your stock (which is the right basis of comparison)
Power Price Hikes Barely Dent Big Tech Spending
When (any) price is right: Rising power prices are still a small slice of Big Tech's spending. https://t.co/FLLrii1nD4 via @McKinsey in @axios
Glencore Secures $115M Cobalt Deal with Weisfisch
ICYMI: Glencore to buy almost $115 million of cobalt from industry veteran Weisfisch, sources say https://t.co/mu9OLpnjiO
Buyers Favor Fresh Listings Over Last Year's Inventory
Buyers are liking new supply. So many of the stats right now are showing spring vibes as crusty listings from last year expired, and buyers are focusing on the new stuff. https://t.co/OoyH4E4hAI
Credit Crisis Chatter Spikes, Targeting APO, KRE, KKR
The noise around incoming credit crisis is picking up significantly today .. look APO, KRE, KKR etc
GKN Scraps Magnet Factory, Europe Rare Earths Setback
Exclusive: GKN cancels plans for magnet factory in setback for Europe's rare earths plans https://t.co/KLadnSKxvw
CEG Closes Gap, Holds Above 335.95
$CEG daily tapping on the 200ma and the gap. 335.08 closes the gap and it confirms with a move and hold over 335.95. updated chart https://t.co/cHZ7kh8CHT