Key Factors for Trusting Today's Market Bounce
Can this bounce be trusted.. or not??. I'll break out WHAT needs to happen to have more confidence, today at 2:25 EST on @FoxBusiness w/ @cvpayne
Don't Fade Gold's Initial Balance Breakout for Fast Moves
Gold traders keep making the same mistake… They fade the Initial Balance breakout. But when gold breaks and accepts outside the first hour range, the move can run fast into price discovery. ⚡ Comment IB and I’ll send you my free Initial Balance...
Mortgage Rates Nearing Sub‑6% Despite Week’s Volatility
Even with all the madness of this week #mortgagerates are almost back below 6% #realestate #housing #chartdaddy #mortgagespreads
Housing Market Tightens, Competition Returns to Pre‑2020 Levels
Is the housing market getting tighter? Yes. Supply and demand have squeezed together over the past few months, so competition levels are now are at pre-2020 norm levels (instead of being softer). I'll write more about this tomorrow. Any thoughts?...
Market Values Future Risk over Current Earnings
MongoDB: Revenue up 27%. Beat on earnings. Rule of 40. Record cash flow. Stock: Down 22%. Why? Two top execs left. Guidance light. The market doesn't care what you did. It cares what you're about to lose. https://t.co/u0W819CWth
Growth Dominance Hits 30‑Year High, May Be Peaking
We are moving away from the most extreme growth-over-value cycle peak in modern history. On a relative basis, the expensive vs. value ratio is now back to the 2021 Meme stock peak, which was then higher than at any...
Iran Dispute Threatens US Farm Exports, Especially Olive Oil
🇺🇸🇪🇸USA & Spain are at odds over Iran, and Trump has floated a trade embargo. What could that mean for U.S. ag? On the import side, olive oil would be the biggest victim. USA exported a record $2.4B in farm goods...
Weekly S&P 500 Trend Overview Across North American Sectors
a weekly glance at the short, intermediate and long-term S&P 500 $SPX relative trend condition of all the key North American sectors and assets... #SectorWatch https://t.co/CZoeJ2bjDH
Fast‑track Housing Startup Leaves Dozens Unfinished Near Austin
Boom to bust. Onx Homes came to Austin MSA in 2022—backed by $167 million in investor capital—w/ a plan to deploy a rapid construction process (builds completed in under 60 days) Now several dozen of its half-built homes are sitting neglected about...
EU Anticipates Exemption From US 15% Tariff Increase
EU expects exemption from the US universal tariff boost to 15% https://t.co/XiyLxBsgAB via @jendeben https://t.co/I0YRgVF88F
Holding Walmart: Overbought but No Trade Signal
$WMT daily updated chart. Basing along the 10/21ma's worked off overbought conditions from Feb. Still own let it rides on this name. No trade shares at this time https://t.co/JV2KvZcV1K
PLTR Targets 155‑156 After Support Holds
$PLTR we now have 2 small gaps and the 10/21ma's for support levels below and watching 155-156 for next level higher. I am close to putting shares from this trade into let it ride. I still own...
Company Completes $400M Share Buyback by December 2025
"As announced on October 2, 2025, the Board authorized the repurchase of $400 million of outstanding shares of Class A and Class B common from October 1, 2025, through October 1, 2026… The $400 million repurchase program was completed in...
Snagged Multiple Names During Drop, Shared Charts First
I bought a lot of names on the drop last couple of days. Posted charts/names etc on X most before taking them.
Secured Strong Gains on MSFT, MSFU, LMND; Now Building Cushion
Took paydays on $MSFT $MSFU and $LMND all for good %. I now settle into the full swing with cushion
10-Year Yield Stagnates
10-year yield action this week 🥱 considering all that has happened, maybe jobs Friday changes that https://t.co/30TFujFiHs
Europe Faces Inflation Shock Twice US Level
Right now, Europe is looking at an inflation shock roughly double that of the US ~ 2%pts
Iran's Secret Offer Triggers Market Whipsaw; Focus on Long Treasuries
Iran made a "secret" offer to negotiate. Futures surged. You are about to be whipsawed. Again. The pattern: Gap down. War headline. Recover. Peace headline. Surge. Escalation headline. Flush. Rinse. Repeat. The only thing that matters is long duration Treasuries. That is your signal for what's...
MSTR Generates
$MSTR paydays sold for good payday %. I have a full swing left and money in my pocket. System repeated over and over.
History Shows Most Nations Experience Mass Displacement—Stay Mobile
That is an old saying I learned in Hong Kong that is meant to convey that any place can become unsafe and that having the ability to go to other places is invaluable. It is a lesson from history that...
Investing Is Cooking: Show the Full Flavor, Not Ingredients
A Stock Picker is a Chef Envision you are a Chef hosting a dinner. Mise en place is the French term for having all ingredients measured, chopped, and arranged before cooking. Your guests haven't been told what you are making. They only see the...
AMD Chart Update: Long‑Term Hold and Fresh Trade
$AMD full chart updated and a simple chart. I have both long time let it rides and a new trade today. https://t.co/akFj3ZNxIZ
Egg Brand Doubles Whole Foods Share, Expands SKUs
"We're at an average of 9 egg SKUs per door at Whole Foods... We've grown to about half the dollar value of egg sales at Whole Foods; at the IPO, we were about 1/3 of their egg sales... We're at...
Play the Odds, Not Crystal‑ball Predictions
I’m dumb. Idk $COIN would be up ~50% from its low. I knew the poker hand was good so I played it. Now we set a trailing stop and move on. Poker Hands > Crystal Balls
CRWD Rebounds After 30%
$CRWD wasn't easy this morning. i had a long bias despite only the inline guide because of software bottoming and down 30% from high. --quick flush to S3 on open --accumulation at S2 for 45min --finally hitting R1 as i type... https://t.co/Y2CO5GcGNp
Canada's Wheat Acreage Drops, Canola Planting Rises
🇨🇦Analysts see Canada's 2026 all wheat planted area falling 0.6 million acres on the year, but canola plantings are predicted to rise 0.7 million acres. Statistics Canada is scheduled to publish farmers' 2026 planting intentions on Thursday morning. https://t.co/LZBnDIiPS0
Nvidia Overtakes Apple at TSMC, Plus Market Highlights
Today's FREE Edition has more interesting things than can reasonably be expected to fit in a Honda Odyssey: 616: Nvidia Dethrones Apple at TSMC, Coase Conjecture and AI Lab Profits, Boots on the Ground vs Panopticon, BART Applied Economics, Apple’s 2025...
Small‑cap Slump Exposes Market Weakness Despite Dow Rally
Everyone is watching the Dow recover 800 points off its lows. Nobody is watching IWM. Down 1.7%. Hit $253 intraday. Back to November levels. Small caps don't lie. They don't have buyback programs to prop them up. The canary is choking. https://t.co/N8FcBwc8lA
Learn From the Suits: Master Bigger Financial Games
There are so many financial games being played that we don't even know exist. There's a scene in Batman where they take over the trading floor and one of the traders says "there's no money here that you can steal" Bane replies...
CTMX Soars 660% Ahead of Masked ADC Catalyst
$CTMX, +660% in 12 months, approaches its masked ADC catalyst. Via @ApexOnco -> https://t.co/oQI1iQiV4N ( $JANX -58% in the same timeframe)
Weekly Sector Ratio Grids Reveal Top GIC Performers
a weekly glance at my @Optuma sector ratio grids which compares the performance of each of the 11 GICs sectors against the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change https://t.co/wXE6l8Kts9
Multiple Stock Paydays Boost Wallet for Full Swing
Took paydays on $CRWV $NOW $SOFI $WDAY watching close on a few others. Paydays were all good to great payday %. I now settle into the full swing with money in my wallet.
S&P Below 100‑DMA After Hindenburg Omen Usually Falls
There has to be a distinction based on whether $SPX closed above or below the 100 DMA the next day. Those that closed above it, like 12/19/91, 1/12/98, or both the 2019 cases, did much better over the next 2...
Patience Pays After Early Dip Entry and Failed Breakout
Too early on $IBIT on the dip. Then the trend came in. Always willing to go back to the well. #trading. And I know better, failed premarket breakout requires a lot of patience on the reload. #Trading https://t.co/TQCIpQ2ZGX
S&P Outpaces Russell, Growth Stocks Lead Rally
$SPX up about double $RSP and 57% of large cap stocks are advancing this morning. Large cap growth leading the drive, up 1.28% compared to LC Value up 0.31%.
Equal‑Weighted Index Holds, Cap‑Weighted Faces 10% Risk
At the same time, the equal-weighted price index remains in a solid uptrend and unlike its cap-weighted sibling is not over its skis from a trend perspective. The broader market is well-grounded from a price, breadth, earnings, and valuation perspective. It’s the...
Senate Bill Threatens Build‑to‑Rent, Slashing New Housing Supply
Digging into the Senate's ROAD to Housing bill more, the new amendments are NIMBY-friendly supply killers. It effectively kills build-to-rent construction, which delivered 250k new homes over past 5 years. And don't assume all those homes would have been built anyway...
Silver Trade
gave a 15c stop here on $SLV here live on @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE , now 60c ITM #silver #trading https://t.co/YFv9KiHwyY
Crude Oil Nears Peak, Iran's $200 Threat Unfounded
$USOIL - Crude oil is already showing initial signs of topping as it did last June. I can't believe that some people are gullible enough to believe, that empty threats made by Iran about $200 crude oil prices, are actually...
Software Oversold; Quality Stocks Near Bottom, Ready to Rise
Software is *very* oversold and likely bottoming $IGV Our portfolio has exposure to quality software stocks which have been unfairly caught in the selloff and appear poised for a multi-month run. https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/Ursw6tsRqw
S&P Falls, yet Most Large Caps Rally—Rare Since 2000
As of yesterday, the S&P 500 has a three-month negative return. However, more than half of large cap stocks are up 5% or more over the last three months & 38% have advanced 10% or more. We'd have to go back...
US Services Surge to Highest ISM Since Oct 2024
US Service sector activity further accelerated in February according to the ISM data. The 56.1 reading was an unexpected improvement and highest since Oct 2024. The employment and price components also improved (higher and lower respectively). Good US economic update https://t.co/Pvofc3DgPk
Patience Required as Volatility Clouds Bullish Market
There are still a good number of stocks forming bases following strong prior uptrends, and so far market pressure has not caused widespread technical damage. However, after running my stock screens, the dominant theme is right-side volatility — which often...
Dr. Copper Rebounds as Manufacturing Finally Picks Up
"Dr. Copper" is seeking redemption. It usually moves hand-in-hand with the manufacturing data. That was not the case in 2023-2024, when it rose but manufacturing remained moribund. Notwithstanding the recent pullback, both are rising again. A promising chart, in my...
Oversold AI, Cybersecurity, Infra Stocks Poised for Rally
AI, cybersecurity and infrastructure software stocks are *very* oversold. When the market volatility subsides, these growth stocks likely to embark on multi-month rally.
Tech Buying Pushes QQQ Supply Target to 608
so far tech has been bought next obvious spot for $QQQ supply is 608. https://t.co/c53MtcIg4a
Buy Stocks Cheap by Shorting Puts During Volatility Spikes
one way i like to use put contracts: 1) i have an idea of what price i want to be long a stock 2) if volatility spikes i will short puts with a strike at or near that price level 3) if the...
Analyze Property Physically Before Trusting Excel Numbers
If you’re buying real estate solely based on numbers, you’re already losing Real estate isn’t just numbers in excel. It’s tangible Here’s how to actually analyze a property without making that costly mistake: First thing most investors do when they see a deal...
US Economy's Quiet Bullish Turn Amid Bearish Sentiment
Everyone is getting increasingly bearish here, and while I understand the concern, the macro backdrop is improving a lot, especially in the US - that we can measure live with Nowcast IQ There is a very very underappreciated comeback in the...
Short‑Term Cash: Treasury MM or HYSA, Not Stocks
"I need to park $50k of cash for 12 months. What are my options?" > $VUSXX (Vanguard Treasury MM Fund) or any Treasury equivalent. State/local tax exempt, 3.63% yield > HYSA (FDIC insured, ~3%) Don’t invest it, unless 12 months turns into 12...