Questioning US Balance‑of‑Payments Deficit Under Section 122
So does the US have a balance of payments deficit for purposes of section 122 of the trade law (and thus the basis for imposing a 15% tariff). It is an interesting question 1/ many https://t.co/JidbJk37vw
DHS Funding Gap Pauses Global Entry, Sparks Airline Buy
Macro: DHS funding lapse prompted policy reversals. Key: TSA PreCheck remains; Global Entry paused. Risk: service uncertainty may boost travel volatility. Trade: buy select airline stocks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Selective Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning. https://t.co/V7FSThxtRN
Discussing Economy, Trade, and Central Bank Independence
I had a good discussion with @MargBrennan of @FaceTheNation about the economy, trade, central bank independence and other topics. https://t.co/7S39jwcldt
Core Capital Goods Surge, Signaling Cyclical Bull Market Return
For those who have missed the Raging Bull Market in Cyclicals Core Capital Goods = +0.567% M/M = +19bps acceleration to +5.9% Y/Y = 39-month RoC High https://t.co/hIsrs59WXP
Cape Coral‑Fort Myers Housing Correction Eases Yet Persists
The housing correction in Cape Coral–Fort Myers, FL metro area has eased somewhat; however, it is still ongoing—particularly in its resale market Table via @ResidentialClub Data: Freddie Mac House Price Index, without seasonal adjustment https://t.co/Nh757FicBB
Japanese Life Insurers Face $86B Bond Losses
⚠️WHAT IS HAPPENING IN JAPAN? The 4 largest Japanese life insurers, Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, Sumitomo Life, and Meiji Yasuda, had a combined ¥13.2 trillion ($86 billion) in unrealized losses on government bonds at the end of 2025. Losses have risen over...
RingCentral's Agentic Voice AI Fuels Explosive Growth
$RNG has always claimed to be an eventual AI winner, stock soared 35% on results on Friday, back near 2023 and 2024 highs for a Software name Agentic voice AI is transforming business communications, with RingCentral positioned as a leader in...
Smart Discipline Turns Small Savings Into Massive Wealth
Warren Buffett on wealth building: Small sums grow fast with effort, but massive portfolios need smart investing, discipline, and patience. Discover how his timeless strategies in value investing and compounding wealth can guide your financial journey. Small amounts can snowball into...
Equal‑Weight S&P Soars While Cap‑Weighted Stalls
The equal-weight S&P 500 keeps hitting new highs while the market-weight index loops below 7000. Same stocks, completely different story. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/tKGVSNbdyK
Xi Holds the Leverage as Trump’s Tariff Threats Backfire
When it comes to Trump's tariff threats on China, it's clear that chairman Xi holds all the cards. TRUMP’S TARIFFS = BACKFIRE. https://t.co/ACGdxKxjr0
Today's $100k Requires $243k to Match 1990 Lifestyle
Uncomfortable Truth: If your parents made $100k in 1990... You'd need $243k today to live the same life. 30 more uncomfortable truths that nobody's talking about:
Mexico's 0.8% Growth Lags US, Marks EM Failure
In 2024 and 2025, Mexico grew at an annualized pace of 0.8%, even as the US grew at an annualized pace of 2.3% in those two years. Mexico's growth stagnation, which - outside of COVID - has now lasted since...
Erdogan's 2021 Governor Dismissal Triggers Endless Lira Decline
The last truly independent central bank Governor in Turkey was fired in March 2021. That sent the Lira into a devaluation spiral from which it's never recovered. It doesn't matter who the economic team is now. If Erdogan did this...
Mixed Q4 Earnings Split Sentiment; Banks Key for Outlook
Minggu ini investors will be swamped with Q4 2025 earnings syarikat Bursa. Sehingga ini hanya 8 syarikat besar (>RM10b mkt cap) yg umum, due to CNY. •CDB - Below Estimate. Stock Down •Maxis - Above. Up •99 SM - Within....
Avoid Massive Drawdowns: 99.99% Loss Needs 9,900% Gain
For the avoidance of doubt the marketer cited a 99.99% loss, which requires a 99,900% gain to get back to breakeven. Start w 100 drop 99.99% = a penny To return to 100 from 0.01, you capital must increase 9,900-fold. Avoid big drawdowns....
Argentina's Dollar Peg Has Never Delivered Stability
For as long as I can remember, Argentina has tried to become credible and stable by pegging the Peso to the Dollar. The success rate of this strategy - in all the years it's been tried - is exactly ZERO....
IEA Begins Brazil’s Path to Full Membership
Thank you to President @LulaOficial, Minister @asilveiramg & Minister Vieira for their request for 🇧🇷 to become an @IEA Member Very happy IEA Members unanimously decided at our Ministerial to start the process for 🇧🇷’s full membership in a major step for...
Broader Market Defies Mega‑Cap AI Volatility Narrative
In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil
Enter Trends at the Bottom, Reduce Risk Dramatically
→ Trends exist only 15-20% of the time → You never know how far a breakout will go → Your risk is almost never clearly defined Turn trading flips the script: → Enter at the pivot → Risk is small and measurable...
Economists Hide Real Risks of U.S. Bond Dumping
Everyone's worried about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds, but here's what mainstream economists won't tell you about government finances. The link to the complete presentation is in the comments.
Secure an Emergency Fund Before You Start Investing
You don’t need a “perfect” emergency fund to start investing. But if one bad month (e.g. car, boiler breaks) forces you to sell your investments.. you’re investing too early. I’d build a breathing room first.
Trend Trading Fails: Trends Exist Only 15‑20% of Time
🔥 New Video: Turn Trading Beats Trend Trading Every Time 🚨 85% of traders are doing THIS wrong They say they love trend trading Here’s the truth👇 📉 Trends only exist 15–20% of the time The rest? Chop. Noise. Fakeouts. Flying blind on risk @Fxflow...
Skip Price Haggling, Leverage Seller Concessions for Savings
🏘️ Never Negotiate On Purchase Price 🤓 When you make an offer on a property, negotiating on the purchase price is not the best way to actually save money. Instead negotiate for seller concessions. You can use that to...
Gift Stocks, Let Kids Pay Zero Capital Gains
A dad has $1M in a brokerage account and wants to gift $19k to each of his 3 adult children. Instead of selling and giving cash, he should gift them stocks instead. Depending on their income, his children can sell the shares...
Strong US Data Now Weakens, Not Strengthens, the Dollar
The Dollar used to rally on strong data, but that's no longer true. Recent examples are strong payrolls on Feb 11 or hot core PCE inflation on Feb 20. We're in the early stages of a regime change for USD,...
Market Swings Between Extremes; Stay Rational and Ready
Benjamin Graham: “The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism.” Takeaway: Expect extremes and prepare to act rationally. Markets are wild—but that’s where opportunity lives. ⚡
Dow Jones Composite Hits Record High Across 65 Stocks
The Dow Jones Composite Average just closed at another new all-time high this week. This index includes all 30 stocks in the DJ Industrial Avg, all 20 in the Dow Transports and all 15 stocks in the DJ Utility Average....
Discover 10x Small‑Cap Gems Only Retail Can Own
There are a bunch of small stocks that will 10x over the next five years that are waiting to be found. Institutions can’t buy them. Only you can. https://t.co/yI75FFwGuc
Gold, US Indices, Bitcoin: This Week's Key Trade
Weekly Market Analysis , Macro Update & Trade ideas on Gold , US indexes & Bitcoin https://youtu.be/HNcStxTfQSg?si=D3pxln2A4J1VbDYV
Iran War Risk Surge Threatens Oil Markets
🔴 IRAN WAR RISK IS ESCALATING FAST Military buildup. Failing diplomacy. Rising oil volatility. Subscribers have been tracking the escalation path and the market consequences before the headlines. Know what comes next. ⚠️Subscribe now on website⚠️ #Iran #Geopolitics #WarRisk #Oil #GlobalRisk
Preserve Capital First: Never Lose Money Before Earning
"Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1." ~ Warren Buffett Stop losing money before you even think about making it.
Master M&A Basics and Profit Strategies – Free PDF
Mergers & Acquisitions 101 M&A and how you can profit from it Here’s what you’ll learn: • What Is M&A? • Why M&A? • Types of M&A Deals • How M&A Works • Benefits of M&A • The Risks • Who Drives M&A? • The Hard Truth • Serial Acquirers 📚 Grab...
Invest $1k with Simons, Earn $2.2B After Fees
If you gave Jim Simons $1,000 in 1988 and never touched it, you'd have $4 billion after 30 years—before fees. After Simons takes his $1.76 billion cut, you’re still left with $2.24 billion.
Hour Glass Valued at 9.4x P/E Amid Watch Market Rebound
New post just published: on Singapore-listed watch retailer The Hour Glass (HG SP). Swiss watch exports to Switzerland are now growing again, and second-hand market Rolex prices are rising in an almost upwards line. It trades at 9.4x P/E on...
MLCI Could Hit $8, Offering 55% Upside
Gemini's view on $MLCI's 10b5-1 impact post tender heading into their next quarterly update in March. Getting back to 0.75x BV after these assumptions would put the stock at nearly $8... which sounds miles away (+55%) and yet would still...
India Skips One‑Sided US Deal, Outpaces Indonesia
Thursday, Indonesia’s Pres. Prabowo signed a one-sided US-Indonesia trade deal. Indonesia was slammed with a 19% tariff, while nearly all IDN tariffs on the US were eliminated. In contrast, P.M. Modi has wisely not signed a U.S.–India deal. INDIA LEAVES INDONESIA IN...
REalloys Secures 5‑Year Rare‑Earth Deal, Boosts Saskatoon Expansion
REalloys signs 5-year SRC deal for NdPr, Dy, Tb and funds Saskatoon capacity expansion. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/realloys-rare-earth-supply-deal-with.html
EUR/USD Slides to Key Support, Breakdown Risk Rising
Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD Drops to Pivotal Support – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/geZ18ZVnup $EURUSD Monthly & Weekly Charts https://t.co/jYZ8uLmgEG
Builders Claim Flat Costs, Leverage Soft Market for Supplier Discounts
Toll Brothers: "Building costs are flat" That sentiment is widely shared among the big builders, as they use the softer residential construction environment—with multifamily completions having finally rolled over—as an opportunity to push suppliers for some pricing relief
Florida Gains Ground; Tampa Still Struggles, Toll Brothers Reports
Toll Brothers: "Florida seems to have found its footing, although Tampa remains challenged" 6 things to know from Toll Brothers’ latest earnings and earnings call ResiClub PRO https://t.co/UeLaeEXrxl
Japan's Deep-Sea Rare Earths: Promise Meets Extraction Hurdle
Japan’s deep-sea rare earth find at Minamitorishima sounds like a game-changer. And on paper, it is. The 50-50 mix of light and heavy rare earths is impressive, especially since heavy elements are the truly scarce ones. The bad news is it’s...
Married Couples Can Withdraw $100K Tax‑Free Strategically
Being strategic with pulling money out of your portfolio is key to paying $0 in tax. If you are married, you can pull: > $32,200 from your pre-tax 401k > $57,800 of long-term capital gains from brokerage account > $10,000 from your Roth IRA =...
Weaker Dollar Spurs Record Foreign Inflows
1. Chart in original post shows the weaker USD (DXY) gets, the more flows will move into USD assets...& DXY had biggest drop in 52 yrs in 1H25👇 2. So as long as DXY keeps falling 10-15%/yr, foreign** inflows will grow **37%...
Tariff Refunds Benefit Importers, Not Shoppers
A tariff “refund” mostly goes to whoever wrote the tariff check: the importer of record. That’s not the same person who paid more at the register. So refunds -- if they're offered -- might sound like consumer relief, but in...
LEI Chartbook Shows Strong Economic Indicator
The latest LEI chartbook is up, and it's looking pretty good, if you believe this kind of indicator that is -> https://t.co/jA0iOD7MzE
Trump's Tariff Threats Persist, Undermining Economic Certainty
If you thought Trump would stop throwing around tariffs right, left, and centre after Friday’s ruling, think twice… I still think the impact is blown out of proportion by the media, but it does affect economic sentiment due to the lack...
FHA Market Share Plummets From 30% to 10%
FHA used to be such a force at about 30% of the local market in 2009. Closer to 10% today. https://t.co/pb7ZHRoOTt
Most People Can DIY Investing; Choose Flat‑Fee Advisors
I'm an award-winning financial advisor. Here’s what you actually need to know here. 1) It is TRUE. Not everyone “needs” an advisor. There are some things most people can handle on their own if they have the time and will to...