BAX at 52‑week Low, EPS Miss, Accumulate Near $17
BAX hits 52‑week low $16.99 (-49%). EPS miss, rev beat, CFO exit and margin pressure; neutral $24 PT. Risk: execution & profit recovery. Trade: accumulate small near $17 to $24. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
AI Dismantles Old Moats, Builds New Competitive Barriers
Charlie Munger: "It’s probably a natural part of the modern economic system that the old moats stop working." 2020 Daily Journal AGM AI eliminating or reducing the effectiveness of some moats is inevitable. New moats being created in an AI...
Silver's Breakout Signals Buying Chance as Miners Plunge
Silver just made a massive breakout, and the next explosive move could start any day. If you’ve been waiting for a “better entry,” this is the moment the market often doesn’t give you one. Meanwhile, gold & silver mining stocks (GDX...
Three S&P 500 Headwinds, One Overlooked Indicator Each
The S&P 500 has 3 headwinds right now. Most investors are only watching one. Here's what all 3 are, and the single indicator for each that tells you if it's getting better or worse 🧵
HALO Stocks Just Rebranded Value‑Growth Rotation, Not AI‑Proof
HALO stocks — Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence — are being sold as a new AI-proof strategy. But Goldman's own data shows the trade tracks value vs. growth almost perfectly. A familiar rotation with a fresh acronym. I've taken a closer...
US‑China Talks Trigger Sharp Drop in May Soybeans
📉CBOT May soybeans have plunged the daily 70-cent trading limit after weekend U.S.-China talks - touted as successful - were viewed unfavorably (possible Trump-Xi meeting delay, mention of non-soybean row crop purchases). CBOT May bean oil was also limit down....
Sell‑side Fades War‑Inflation Trade, Energy Seen as Growth Killer
Sell-side is fading the war-inflation trade in the front end. The consensus? High energy prices are a growth killer, not a long-term inflation driver. For now, the tape is happy to ignore them.
High ROIC and Strong Interest Coverage Drive Stock Returns
ROIC, and ROA and ROE are the strongest predictors of stock performance. Each measures how efficiently a company converts capital into profits. Interest Coverage (EBIT / interest expense) captures financial strength and ability to service debt. Markets reward companies that: • generate high...
Turn 30 Into Wealth: Skill up, Save, Invest
Are you still broke at 30? Time to flip the script and build real wealth. Start here: • Grow yourself: Level up skills to boost your income. • Spend smart: Cut unnecessary fluff—every dollar counts. • Save aggressively: Aim for that...
McKinsey Issues Strong Buy on Lemonade Stock
Without mentioning the company @Lemonade_Inc once, @McKinsey puts out a strong buy recommendation for $LMND. Link in next post https://t.co/HNNT5cRiNy
Advisers Hunt Tax Alpha Amid AI Threats and Goal‑Setting Hurdles
🆕 Adviser links: searching for tax alpha, the AI threat, and the challenge of goal setting. https://t.co/9J3UbREYin chart: https://t.co/DlD779WvsT https://t.co/kv9j0u0L9q
USD Overbought, Potential Correction Boosts Commodities
US Dollar $USD About to correct? Far above moving average ribbons. Dollar down = Bullish commodities. https://t.co/BLfBbDOCMp
A/D Line Misleads: Counts Moves, Ignores Severity
The A/D line is my least favorite breadth metric… but it’s still one I look at. The main issue I have with it is that it doesn’t capture the severity of moves. It simply counts up vs down. So if 100 stocks are...
Oil Rebound, Flattening Curve Boost Equities; Watch $94 Oil
Oil shock is reversing (Strait clearing narrative), curve flattening continues (rate hikes priced in), credit widening (HY spread breakout), and rent collapse vindicates office REIT pressure. De-escalation moves favor equities; watch if $94 oil holds or bounces.
32% Oil Supply Lost; Rerouting Covers Only Fraction
💥 We lost about 32% of world traded crude oil supplies. 💥 Rerouting and SPR may cover up to 40% of it AT BEST. Anyone who thinks the rest of the oil industry can stretch its production to cover the GAP knows...
Millennium Exits Scopia Capital After $1B Year‑long Investment
Scoop: Millennium has redeemed its investment from Scopia Capital just over a year after backing the equity long-short hedge fund manager with $1 billion https://t.co/DPmCnhwZl5
Future Oil Prices Lag Spot Gains, Threatening Well Profitability
"Dan Pickering...said that while the spot market price for oil was up 65 per cent at $99, it was only up 17 per cent for 2027 and 12 per cent for 2028....not high enough for most producers to get returns...
Capital Gains Outpace Labor, Concentrating Wealth and Power
Take a look at these two charts together. One is income concentration (Top 10% share of consumption v Bottom 80%), the other is equity market concentration (S&P 500 Growth vs Value weight). In the last 15 years, surplus flowed to capital,...
Gas Hits 2023 High, Stocks Surge Anyway
Gas prices reach highest level since October 2023 as oil holds above $100 per barrel; US stocks jump https://t.co/voUmM6Kcb0
Catalyst Gaps Boost Market: DELL and CAVA Lead
A positive for this market is how recent catalyst gaps have been acting. $DELL $CAVA for example
Avoid VRIC, MIF, BMO, PDAC Pump‑and‑Dump
Lots of pumping and dumping going into VRIC mif Bmo and pdac in mining sector. Sell the pump buy the dump.
Portfolio Flip: One Buy, One Sell Today
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 16, 2026 - Flip A Coin" A buy and a sell in the portfolio today... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/lYU0ep5Duc https://t.co/xS9eTdUWZN
Avoid the ₹2‑5 Cr Ticket Trap for Real‑Estate Wealth
The “Ticket Size Trap” Why Most Investors Get Stuck in ₹2–5 Cr Properties — And Wealth Gets Made Above or Below That This is one of the least discussed rules in Gurgaon real estate. Prices don’t move equally across all budgets. They move in...
Buy Casino Stock in Tax‑deferred Account, Profit Long Term
I've developed an easy trick to make money gambling. Buy the casino's stock in an IRA or other tax-deferred acount, then wait about 20 years.
Skip Risky Trades; Invest in Undervalued, Long-Term Stocks
Don’t day trade Don’t use options Don’t use leverage Don’t use margin Buy undervalued companies & focus on the long term What’s so difficult about this?
US Feb Soy Crush Hits Record, Beats Estimates
🇺🇸NOPA U.S. crush, Feb. 2026 ▪️208.785 mbu of soybeans ▪️Above all trade estimates (avg was 202.7 mbu) ▪️+17% YOY ▪️Record daily crush rate for any month ▪️Soyoil stocks 2.08 billion lbs ▪️At top end of estimates (avg was 1.928 bln) ▪️+38% YOY; 13yr high for Feb https://t.co/UKXjbnVbZ3
Gold's Declining Allocation May Soon Boost Returns
In the 1970s gold was recommended in many places as a 10-15% weighting of your portfolio. Today it’s basically zero. Gold has shot up but if recommended allocations skew higher to follow prices it could be a long term tailwind...
Dubai Crude Tops $150, Fueling Middle East Barrel Scramble
Platts Dubai crude (balance of the month) just broke above $150 per barrel. Extreme scramble for Middle Eastern physical barrels continues. https://t.co/HsxSuMbbVJ
All Offshore Production Offline, some Onshore Wells Shut
"sources have said all offshore production is now offline" Shut-ins also include some onshore wells. https://t.co/3NlzDrbslp
Rio Silver Oversold Like Pre‑3‑X Rally
Rio Silver $RYO.V $RYOOF Nearly as oversold as when the last big upside run (a 3-x'er) began ... https://t.co/vZMWuC9GB0
Kuwait Oil Output Drops to 1.3 M Bpd Amid Hormuz Shutdown
BBG: "Kuwait Oil Output Falls to About 1.3m B/D With Hormuz Still Shut" Output down to ~1.3 MMbpd vs 1.6 MMbpd last month. Kuwaiti shut-ins have risen to around 1.3 MMbpd from 0.5 MMbpd last week.
War’s End Won’t End Oil Crisis, LNG Recovery Lags
Ending the war does not mean ending the crisis. We have countries that literally shut down production because their storage is full. To bring back that oil to a pre-crisis level takes time. For [liquified natural gas] in particular, it takes a very...
Trump’s $50 Oil Goal Risks Global Recession
President Trump will get his $50 oil price wish before the elections— but only after triggering a global recession. Or: End the war this week and keep flooding the market with SPR releases in the coming months.
S&P's 3‑Week Drop Smallest Since 2019
S&P 500 down the past 3 weeks in a row, but down 'only' 4.01%. This is the smallest 3 week decline since October '19 (N=15). Pretty incredible if all you looked at was the headlines. https://t.co/Tzkqd8oLsv
DXY Bears Inside Day, Mirrors VIX Retreat
The $DXY Dollar Index has put in for a bearish 'inside day' from a technical analysis perspective. Happens to align to the $VIX retreat - though the 10-day correlation is waning. Is the Dollar more aligned as a safe haven,...
2026 Real Estate Hotspots: Sales Volume Across 12 Counties
Where are the transactions happening in 2026? Here’s a look at sales volume so far in the wider region within 12 counties. If you work in real estate, where are you positioning your business? https://t.co/kBtzz6MJGL
Single‑Family Home Inventory Rises 1.5% as Season Builds
Altos: Single family existing home inventory up 1.5% week-over-week. This is the time of year inventory starts to build - and it will be important to track.
US Clears Iranian Tankers Through Hormuz as Oil Prices Spike
U.S. Allows Iranian Tankers to Transit Hormuz as Oil Prices Surge and Select Ships Begin Crossing Strait https://t.co/7Cu9sdFEOi
Process Over Timing: Re‑entering NBIS After Breakout
Tried to buy Nebius on a breakout late February and got stopped out. Jumped back in last week on a second buy signal, and so far so good on the heels of today's Meta news. Choppy tape, wins and losses,...
VWAP's Predictive Power Is Just a Hindsight Illusion
probably just another coincidence buyers showed up at daily VWAP "VWAP levels only work in hindsight" LOL https://t.co/lXPBn8PBd1
Buying PLTR at Support, Holding Rest
👀 found a support area on $PLTR, so taking $1 here and letting the rest ride. @traderTVLIVE #trading #stocks https://t.co/twfnjBa8X2
California Gas Hits $5.53, 49% Above National Average
Gas prices in California are 49% above the US national average. $5.53 per gallon. https://t.co/cdwV8Mxi27
Patience Pays: $6.8K Gain in 30 Minutes
$6,800 in 30 minutes. Previous day high retest executed perfectly. This is the result of being patient for your entry.
Energy Price Surge Threatens to Reverse US Inflation Decline
For most of the past three years, falling energy prices have been helping to push the US inflation rate (CPI) lower. But that tailwind will soon become a headwind, with prices of Oil and Gas spiking on a YoY basis......
IEA Chief Says Larger Oil Release Possible if Needed
🚨IEA head Fatih Birol says a wider release than the 400 million barrels announced last week is doable if needed. Full comment at briefing below. #OOTT #EnergyMarkets #energy #IranWar https://t.co/B67fHqNQ73
Gold‑Silver Ratio Spike Signals Recession, Not Trade Opportunity
Silver crashed 5% while gold barely moved. When the gold-silver ratio blows out, it's a recession signal — not a metals trade. Watch $SLV relative to $GLD. It's screaming. https://t.co/C4PLSRcWmS
Trump's Oil Price Push only Stalls US Shale Output
The funny thing about the Trump admin trying SO hard to jawbone down the price of oil is that the main thing they're accomplishing, beyond a temporary political reprieve, is a delay in the production response from US shale producers.
Middle East Conflict Ends Expected BoC Rate Cuts
The Stage Was Set For Bank Of Canada Cuts Later This Year: That's All Gone Now Today's CPI Report would have provided cover for the BoC to cut its key rate at the end of April or June but the War...
Protect Your Pension From Government Economic Incompetence
Excellent piece @John_Stepek on how to keep your pension out of the clutches of the economic incompetents of this government https://t.co/ca0Q637jre
Mid‑Cap Value Gems Thrive Outside Tech, Guided by Gentle Activism
Our chat with "gentleman activist" Alexander Roepers on: * Alexander Roepers’ Value Investing Strategy * Why Alexander Roepers Avoids Tech, Biotech, and Financial Stocks * Why Europe and Japan Offer Hidden Value Investing Opportunities * Three Catalysts That Unlock Value in Mid-Cap Stocks * The...