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Every morning
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Tuesday recap
Douro Labs has filed a comment letter urging the SEC to modernize Rule 603 of Regulation NMS, which currently mandates that broker‑dealers display SIP‑derived NBBO and last‑sale data. The firm argues the rule’s technology‑specific language is outdated and proposes a technology‑neutral “Fair Quote Presentation” framework that focuses on transparency, source disclosure, and data freshness. Douro points to the growing use of proprietary and alternative consolidated feeds that offer lower latency and cost without compromising investor protection. The proposal seeks to decouple regulatory compliance from a legacy data architecture while preserving core protection goals.
Viral Blog Bottoms? If you look at the software vols, we obviously still see some very high IV Ranks but those should come down today now that some earnings have passed. We'd argue lower IVs in this space generates a bullish...
Northern Trust announced the addition of Berenberg’s AI‑driven foreign‑exchange models to its dynamic currency‑hedging framework. The partnership lets institutional clients embed third‑party, model‑based strategies and adjust hedge ratios in real time across the US, UK, Europe, Australia and Canada. By...
Venture capitalist Lucas Birdsall highlights how surging demand for copper and silver—driven by electric vehicles, renewable energy and electronics—is outpacing production capacity. S&P Global projects copper consumption could rise to 42 million metric tons by 2040, while silver’s photovoltaic share sits...
The paper proposes a novel pairs‑trading framework that blends fundamental metrics—such as ROE, sales growth, leverage, geographic proximity, and industry alignment—with traditional statistical measures. Each factor receives a regression‑derived weight, forming a composite score for pair selection. Back‑testing shows the...
What the scum at Jane Street was probably doing was buying puts on $IBIT on a Friday and then crucifying $BTC when US markets opened up on Monday. That is the returns for $BTC on every Monday in 2026 https://t.co/h4GTmfLL7O
CME Group introduced a 1‑ounce gold futures contract in January 2025, expanding its COMEX product suite. Daily trading volume has risen steadily, with a pronounced uptick since September, indicating growing market acceptance. The contract’s performance contrasts with many new derivatives...
Silver futures surged past $90 per ounce, marking a significant rebound after recent sell‑offs. Gold futures also climbed, adding $47 to reach $5,224 per ounce. The rally suggests a new potential trading range for silver between $60 and $120, moving...
The BIS Triennial Survey shows global foreign‑exchange turnover jumped to US$9.5 trillion per day in April 2025, a 27 % rise driven by heightened volatility, hedging and speculative activity. Spot and outright forwards led the surge, while currency‑option turnover more than doubled and...
Volatility Shares Trust 2x XRP ETF (XRPT) announced a 1‑for‑20 reverse stock split effective February 27, 2026, converting each existing share into 0.05 of a new share. The ticker changes to XRPT1 and the contract multiplier shifts from 1 to 100, altering...
Futures opened narrowly mixed as traders focused on month‑end positioning, with limited fresh news and low volume. In South America, Brazil soybean quality is slipping due to excess moisture, raising concerns for both soy and upcoming corn crops. Meanwhile, wildfires...
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has released draft Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS) detailing new clearing thresholds under EMIR 3. The proposal retains five threshold categories, clarifies calculation timing, and enhances the trigger mechanism’s stability. ESMA also suggests higher thresholds...
A collar option strategy combines a protective put with a covered call to limit downside while capping upside. Investors own the underlying stock, buy an out‑of‑the‑money put and sell an out‑of‑the‑money call with the same expiration, often resulting in a...
EU financial and non‑financial counterparties using ISDA SIMM must have filed an initial IM model application with their competent authority or the ECB, and those that have already applied need to submit an updated version by 31 March 2026. The update must reference...
Stop trading with Excel. Start trading with Python. Portfolio optimization is literally 4 lines of Python code:
of all the stocks beat up lately, Coinbase $COIN is one of those names... if we zoom out to the weekly we can see it found support in this area multiple times before... i'd been tinkering with options as a...
The piece observes that retail investors—dubbed “doomers” for their bearish outlook and “boomers” for their age‑group—now dominate US equity options trading. Their surge has swollen overall volume, steepened put‑call skews and forced market makers to reassess risk models. The author...
Ontario natural gas storage remains well below the five‑year average, sitting 27.7 Bcf short and driving Dawn hub prices higher as winter ends. Seasonal withdrawals are the third‑largest on record, with the March exit projected near 60 Bcf. The forward price curve...
Good morning, That was prob one of the funniest SOTU's ever 🤣 but with it the vix rejected $20 and we saw the market get bullish & now the final boss...Nvidia's earnings which I'll post the call and put at 3...
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced that David Miller will become its enforcement director on March 2, succeeding a period of heightened scrutiny over derivatives trading. Miller, a former federal prosecutor, has spent the last several years as a...
The secret hedge funds use to detect market regimes... A 37 page PDF reveals everything:
CRM and NVDA report tonight. I think the VRP in software stocks is interesting, as the vol is now higher that during the Apr 24 crash. Options spreads could do well even if the stocks disappoint. You can see this in...
Trading Technologies International will launch direct, co‑located connectivity to India’s National Stock Exchange, giving institutional clients full access to NSE liquidity and advanced algorithms such as Autospreader and Algo Design Lab. Simultaneously, TP ICAP is converting its Fusion Digital Assets crypto...
The 2025 full‑year swaption market reached a record $24.1 trillion in notional volume, a 35 % increase over 2023, while trade counts remained flat, indicating larger average deal sizes. Average trade size jumped 36 % to $150 million, driven partly by reporting‑cap hikes introduced...
The World Federation of Exchanges (WFE) warns that extending equity trading to a 24‑hours‑five‑days (24/5) schedule introduces settlement and liquidity risks unless clearing, settlement and payment infrastructures are upgraded. U.S. venues such as NYSE Arca, Nasdaq and Cboe are piloting...
Client clearing volumes jumped 67% in early 2026, driven by the uncleared margin rule and new structures like the European Agent Trustee Model. The OFR working paper highlights benefits such as reduced dealer gross exposure, lower collateral needs, broader dealer...
Bought Nifty 2nd March 25600 CE....🔥 Avg: 191.40. Currently in loss. Risky trade, no denial. >> Plan is simple: holding till expiry or target as long as Nifty spot sustains above 25500 on DCB. Now it’s about structure, not emotions. Let’s see how the market...
The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
The February 25 10 a.m. New York FX option expiry lists strike levels and notional exposure across major currency pairs. EUR/USD shows the largest notional at the 1.1900 strike with €5.09 billion, while AUD/USD aggregates over AUD 8 billion across four strikes. Market makers must hedge these...
Yesterday SLV vols were down with the small down day...today vols are down across the board on the uptick. Unexpected. These are pct changes in the vols. It appears like the fronts are getting hit harder. But they're not... https://t.co/Py3JzocrxE
CL had OD/ID BO pattern, but no range expansion (yet)...significant zone comes in well below. https://t.co/vLjGgmEMpf
National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) submitted Rule Filing SR‑NSCC‑2026‑003 to the SEC on February 25, 2026, proposing amendments to the shared stress‑testing framework of DTCC, its Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (FICC) subsidiary, and NSCC. The changes aim to broaden scenario coverage, tighten...
Interesting (to me anyway) that the front months are coming down from the recent highs, but the back months are holding their premium. Mid-term elections? https://t.co/I5WS2ewLoF
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
On February 25, 2026, The Depository Trust Company (DTC) submitted rule filing SR‑DTC‑2026‑002 to the SEC, proposing amendments to the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework shared by DTC, the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation, and the National Securities Clearing Corporation. The...
$LOW "Trade Idea 3: Buy the February 27 Expiry/March 295 Call Calendar ($3.10) and sell the February 27 Expiry 270 Put for 90 cents." Feb calls expire, puts on edge, may need to roll down and out. Leaves a...
$SPX futures are up 18 after the range held again yesterday, with 6815 proving support. Now we see if it can clear 6916 and hold it ahead of $NVDA earnings tonight, with the top end of the range at 6993–7002....
On February 25, 2026, Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (FICC) filed rule filing SR‑FICC‑2026‑004 with the SEC to amend the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework governing DTCC’s DTC, FICC, and NSCC. The proposed changes aim to modernize stress‑testing methodologies, improve risk...
CME Group reported a record 36,328,151 open interest contracts in U.S. Treasury futures and options on February 19, surpassing its previous high from November 2025. The milestone spans the entire yield curve, with new peaks in 2‑year, 5‑year, 10‑year, and...
Live cattle futures on the CME edged higher on Tuesday, with April contracts down $0.15 to $239.10 and June up $0.10 to $235.55, while feeder cattle prices rebounded sharply. Cash cattle trade remained muted, as bids and offers were not...
Natural gas futures settled at $2.85 per MMBtu on Feb. 24, 2026, marking a 3% weekly gain. The rally was fueled by colder-than-expected temperature forecasts across the U.S. Midwest and a continuation of OPEC+ production cuts extending into 2027. Liquefied natural...
Didn't want to mention or interact with this at all till after it was done, but this kind of betting definitely adds a weird angle to launching a project, we had so many people in discord asking about FDV that...
I think that the markets will remain boring until Friday. A tremendous options expiry will take place, which probably puts an hold on the markets currently for #Bitcoin, and especially $ETH. Break $65K would be a strong trigger for upside. https://t.co/bSkofNzse4
SpotGamma outlines a systematic approach to trading earnings options, using implied‑move and volatility metrics. For CRM and NVDA, implied moves are 8% and 5% respectively, with CRM showing a high IV rank of +90 indicating expensive options. The platform projects...
Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 2.9 bln euros at $1.18 $2.85 bln at JPY156 A$2.8 bln at $0.7000 and A$2.5 bln at $0.7100 $470 mln at CAD1.37 GBP450 mln at $1.3550 $1 bln MXN17.29-MXN17.30 Listed on DTCC https://t.co/bSx6eAhEKQ
The article promotes a free trial for Volatility Trading Strategies (VTS), urging investors to profit from the next market crash by adopting long‑volatility positions. It highlights that volatility spikes, like those seen after the 2018 "Volpocalypse," can generate outsized returns...
Last week’s leveraged and inverse ETFs delivered standout returns, led by ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ) with a 19.04% gain as silver rallied on heightened trade and geopolitical risk. Direxion’s South Korea Bull 3X (KORU) posted a 17.22% jump, fueled by...
Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...
Today's spaced repetition is a socratic walk-thru of a situation where you could spot a hidden option AND also realize when something that looks "wrong" makes sense (in this case the premium to NAV)
