Abaxx: Meeting the Need for New Commodity Derivatives
Abaxx Exchange’s new white paper outlines a suite of physically deliverable commodity derivatives designed to tackle extreme price volatility, geopolitical uncertainty, and the shifting dynamics of the energy transition. Traditional benchmark contracts are increasingly misaligned with physical markets, creating heightened basis risk for traders and producers. By offering contracts across liquefied natural gas, carbon credits, battery materials, renewables and gold, Abaxx aims to provide more precise hedging and greater price transparency. The paper targets commodities traders, risk managers, project developers and financiers seeking modern risk‑management tools.
Hedge Funds Turn Bullish on Cotton for First Time in Two Years
Hedge funds have turned net‑bullish on cotton for the first time in two years, with long positions now outnumbering shorts by 16,825 contracts as of the week ending April 14. The shift follows a surge in oil prices driven by the...
MSTY: Achieved House Money With Unsatisfactory Results
YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) has seen its share price tumble 75.6% and total return plunge 41% over the past year. The fund’s eye‑catching 70% dividend yield is largely unsustainable, as payouts are frequently sourced from return of...
Exclusive: Retail Options Trading App Investa Gets FCA License
Investa, a UK‑based retail options‑trading app, received direct authorization from the Financial Conduct Authority on April 17, 2024, ending its status as an appointed representative of Richdale Brokers. The London‑run platform, built by former Citi options brokers and Freetrade co‑founder Ian...
Earn Juiced Premium Selling Options Into Earnings
Wheel strategy PSA 5 of my wheel stocks are inside the 14-day earnings window right now $HOOD - Apr 28 $SOFI - Apr 29 $LMND - Apr 29 $BBAI - Apr 29 $ZETA - Apr 30 Selling puts or covered calls on these into earnings? you're getting...
BSE F&O Volumes Plunge 19‑40%, Index Options Down 19%
BSE F&O Volumes Drop 19% to 40%, Index Options Fall 19% BSE reports significant decline in futures and options trading volumes with F&O volumes dropping 19% to 40% while index options volume also falls by 19%, indicating reduced trading activity. BSE 3,516.30 -15.20 (-0.43%)
SPX® Options Positioning Reverses as FOMO Sets In
CBOE’s Macro Volatility Digest shows implied volatility across asset classes fell to long‑term averages as optimism grew over a potential US‑Iran peace deal. Oil options still exhibit an inverted call skew, signaling lingering conflict risk despite the broader calm. Since...
CME Delay Hints at Deeper Market Liquidity Concerns
Thanks @Babyfish_TG I watch prices, but I’m not a trader—& never claimed to be. I'm a big picture guy If CME is delayed, that’s interesting Could be anything from a system hiccup to a liquidity crisis Speculating on a Sunday night is about as...
Using Today’s Futures, Don’t Expect Gasoline Prices to Soon Return to Antebellum Levels*
The article uses a log‑difference regression linking Brent futures to regular gasoline prices, finding a conditional forecast that gasoline will stay above pre‑conflict levels. The model (1990‑2026) explains 56% of price movements, but the author warns that futures have underperformed...
Bitcoin On‑Chain Activity Plummets to 8‑Year Low, Raising Questions for ETF and Futures Traders
Active Bitcoin addresses dropped to 661,313 on April 8, the lowest level since 2016, while the price hovered near $78,000. The dip highlights a shift toward exchange‑traded products like BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust and CME cash‑settled futures, sparking debate over...
USD/CHF Breaches 0.80, Triggering Carry‑Trade Re‑balancing and FX Options Positioning
The USD/CHF pair slipped above the 0.80 technical barrier on April 19, prompting traders to re‑balance carry‑trade exposures and pile into forward contracts and FX options. The move underscores the clash between U.S. rate differentials and Swiss National Bank policy...
Stocks Should Fall More Amid Straits Closure Warning
I say this with complete humility, stocks should probably be down a lot more tonight, with news the Straits are closed. June E-mini should be down >$100, but the way things are going, if I wake up tomorrow and they...
ETH CME Gap Likely to Fill Again, 95% History
🚨 MONDAY VOLATILITY INCOMING 🚨 An $ETH CME GAP has formed Historically, these gaps are filled 95% of the time. Will the market close it again? 👀 Be ready. https://t.co/FE9TXvsQ4Q
SEC and CFTC Declare Ripple a Digital Commodity, Futures AUM Tops $1.4 B
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission jointly classified Ripple (XRP) as a digital commodity, aligning it with Bitcoin and Ethereum. Futures products tied to XRP have already amassed more than $1.4 billion in assets under management,...
NYMEX Oil Futures Quotes Delayed After Globex Restart
Yeah @OuncesApp "Almost 5 hours since Globex trading resumed and NYMEX still isn’t broadcasting oil futures quotes and volumes" Seems to be bullshit claim by @DarioCpx Or maybe there was some delay or glitch but it's up now. https://t.co/1Lr9enzoRB
Profit Taken on MCE.AX as Deal Finalizes
Taking profits on $MCE.AX at 39c, now the deal has gone binding, spread mostly closed and most all the juice has been squeezed…was a good’un, on to the next ✊✊
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Futures Fall as US-Iran Tensions Flare up Again to Shutter Hormuz
U.S. stock futures slipped about 0.4% on Monday as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz sparked fresh geopolitical risk. The escalation followed a U.S. Navy seizure of an Iranian vessel and Tehran’s abrupt shutdown of traffic through the...
Prediction Markets on Hormuz Strait and June Brent Futures: 6:30PM ET
Prediction‑market platform Kalshi shows the probability of normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by May 15 slipping to 37 %, down from earlier optimism. The market also priced a 5.9 % jump in June Brent crude futures, reflecting heightened geopolitical tension. The...
SPY IV Rank Still Elevated, More Compression Expected
IV Rank has compressed on $SPY, but still sits above pre-war levels. Into this week, there’s still room for further compression. We’ll see how futures digest the weekend developments and reassess tomorrow morning.
Vol Street Journal™ :: Episode 22
Episode 22 of Vol Street Journal examines the structural shift in market volatility as the VIX settles into a teenage range. The host discusses the improving VIX futures term structure, the breakdown of VIX “ceilings, floors, and pivot points,” and...
Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week(Apr. 20th – Apr. 24th) – 301 Companies Reporting
OptionMillionaires released a snapshot of implied moves for 301 companies reporting earnings between April 20 and April 24. The data, derived from options pricing, shows the market’s expected price swing for each ticker, with the highest percentages seen in GSHD (17.9%), MOH...
Commodity Forecasts Falter: Dated Brent Predictions Missed
Would love to hear from all the folks who just days ago told us that Dated Brent can only go up and the gap to futures will inexorably widen. But of course today all you hear is crickets. We all...
Hormuz Tensions Lock Gas Prices Through 2027
Strait of Hormuz uncertainty isn't just pushing up today's gas prices — it's lifting futures through 2027 and beyond. The energy secretary's optimism may already be outdated. Until we get resolution, expensive gas isn't going anywhere soon. https://t.co/NZ4lVvoG5p
Option Traders Chasing Torrid Stock Rally Turn Focus to Earnings
Option traders have pivoted from hedging macro‑risk tied to the Iran conflict to chasing upside in high‑growth tech stocks as the equity rally gains momentum. Falling oil prices and a cease‑fire have pushed implied volatility on equities and rates back...
European Gas Futures Jump 11% Despite Lower Overall Prices
European natural gas futures rise 11% after Iran closed Hormuz (again) 📈📈 No LNG shipment has been exported from the region since the war in Iran began in late-Feb Still, prices are down from the highs last month. This is partly due...
UAE Holds Strong Reserves Amid Unreported Figures, Seeks Swap Line
Interesting WSJ story about the Emirates request for a swap line -- the UAE hasn't reported its end March reserves but it went into the conflict with tons of reserves and no shortage of liquid bills in US custodians 1/ https://t.co/5Q61nzi68P
How to Automate TradingView Strategies to MEXC Futures in 2026
MEXC opened its Futures API on March 31 2026, removing the exchange‑side barrier for automated trading. The new workflow links TradingView strategy alerts to AlgoWay, which translates alert JSON into a concise execution payload for MEXC. AlgoWay’s schema requires only four core...
Markets Surge, Volatility Crush, Record Low Put‑call Ratio
SPX +12% in 2 weeks NDX +13 days in a row of pos returns - longest since '13 Vol crush: VIX,VVIX,SDEX, post Iran lows at OPEX Record PC ratio lows driven by big mecacap call volume while no one wanted puts... https://t.co/4BRBOUbPjR
16M ETH Bet Risks Wipeout on $20 Drop
🚨 SOMEONE JUST BET $16 MILLION ON ETH WITH 25X LEVERAGE A single $20 drop in the Ethereum price is all it takes to wipe this position out completely. That’s not a typo. https://t.co/1DR8r4QiJu
Price Dynamics of Volatility Indices
A 2022 study applied an ARFIMA model to daily data from 2007‑2020 for nine volatility indices, including VIX, VXN, VXO, VXD, RVX, VPD, OVX, VVIX and SKEW. The analysis revealed persistent long‑memory behavior, supporting the fractal market hypothesis and suggesting...
OptionsHawk Launches Limited-Time MAX Trials Again
OptionsHawk is opening MAX Trials for the next 2-3 weeks for the first time in over a year Figure, heart of earnings season, come take a look at what we do and what we are working on! https://t.co/VFJnxPUmEP
Silver Futures Hold $80‑$82 Range as Bullish Momentum Builds, Options Traders Eye $83 Breakout
Silver futures for April 2026 have remained confined to an $80‑$82 per ounce band while the metal surged 4‑6% this week. Analysts say a test of the $83 level could trigger heightened activity in both futures and options contracts, as...
Maldives Seeks Extension of India's $400 Million Currency Swap Amid Liquidity Crunch
The Maldives has formally asked India to prolong its $400 million currency swap line as the island nation battles a sharp drop in tourism, soaring energy costs and a $500 million Sukuk repayment. India’s government is weighing the request against existing rules...
AI Agents Simplify On-Chain Options with DeriveXYZ
"Options are complex. AI agents don't care about complexity. @itseneff makes the case that this is the unlock for onchain options — and why he's building @DeriveXYZ to be agent-friendly from day one: https://t.co/7d3TBYVbSP
Brent Drops $4.80, Sliding Below $91 This Week
Brent futures price fell $4.82 from $95.20 to $90.38 week ending April 17 This too shall pass #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/JxUzi7LcJW
UBS Urges Hedge Funds to Keep Portfolios Resilient as US‑Iran Deal Optimism Lifts Markets
UBS told hedge funds to prioritize portfolio resilience after a surge in global equities sparked by US President Donald Trump's optimism about a US‑Iran deal. The bank cautioned against sudden allocation changes and highlighted hedging, quality bonds, and structured strategies...
WTI Crude Plummets 13% as Trump Misstates Hormuz
WTI futures price fell $12.72 (13%) from $96.57 to $83.85 week ending April 17 Trump's Thursday lie about Hormuz being open will backfire on Monday #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/m98itzORTg
VIX's 44% Drop Marks Historic Volatility Crash
love being a part of history... the $VIX fall on March 31st was just the beginning, this time around... https://t.co/GSAP4s7rhK
Hedge Funds Hold Record 8% of U.S. Treasuries, Apollo Warns of Shockwave Risk
Apollo Global Management’s chief economist disclosed that hedge funds now own a record 8% of the $31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, backed by over $6 trillion of leveraged capital. The warning highlights the danger that a rapid unwind could send shockwaves through...
VIX Fell 44%—One of History’s Biggest Crashes
My broken market neutral brain sees this and thinks if I bought VIX and stocks on a 3 beta which is a totally reasonable idea ex-ante I won given the market move
Basis Trade Collapse Clears Path for On‑Chain Options Yield
I hadn't fully understood how much the basis trade was crowding out onchain options as a yield product until this conversation. @itseneff and @maybeltr lay out why this moment is different from every failed experiment before. @unchained_pod: https://t.co/wbU8NeFLsm Timestamps: 🚀 0:00 How crypto...
VIX Drops Below 20 as Investors Return to U.S. Equities, Boosting Options Markets
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell from a March high of 31.05 to 19.23, moving below the key 20‑level as investors poured money back into U.S. equities. The drop reflects easing geopolitical tension, strong AI‑driven growth, and a broader global...
Sugar Futures Plunge as Crude Oil Slides 12%, Hitting 5.5‑Year Low
NY sugar futures fell 3% to a 5.5‑year low and London contracts dropped 1.7% after crude oil prices tumbled 12%. The slide reflects cheaper ethanol feedstock, higher Brazilian output and easing shipping risks, deepening a surplus that analysts expect to...
Elasticity Fuels Wild Commodity Bull Market
A top bull market in commodities is elasticity. The front US natural gas future made an up about 100% to down 30% round turn in 1Q. Crude oil may be next. https://t.co/f9xXlI5GLv
Bullion Cues: Gold Futures, Silver Futures Have Hurdles Ahead
Gold prices jumped 1.7% to $4,832/oz while silver surged 6.4% to $80.8/oz last week, outpacing the yellow metal. In India, MCX gold futures rose to ₹1,54,609 (≈$1,862) and silver futures to ₹2,57,142 (≈$3,098). Technical analysis shows gold must clear ₹1,57,000...
Traders Bet $760 Million on Oil Decline Ahead of Iran’s Hormuz Announcement
Traders collectively placed $760 million in short positions on oil futures and options ahead of an expected Iranian announcement regarding the Strait of Hormuz. The bet reflects market anxiety over potential supply disruptions and underscores the role of derivatives in managing...
YieldMax MSTR Option Income ETF Offers 75% Yield but Loses 47% in a Year
The YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) targets a 75% annualized yield by selling call options on MicroStrategy (MSTR), a Bitcoin‑linked stock that has fallen about 67% from its peak. Over the last 12 months MSTY has lost 47%...
Learn VWAP Futures From Top Trader on May 9
Austin Silver @austinsilverfx 10+ years of trading experience and one of the most respected voices in VWAP futures trading 📊 Learn from the world's top traders on May 9 https://t.co/0B9XQYYWxC
Winter Oil's -5% Slide Is a Significant Move
Heard some folks assert that later-dated oil wasn't down as much as the prompt. Well, of course.. you'll almost NEVER see 6-month and beyond contracts change as much as the front month. In reality, -5% on winter oil is a large move....
Nike LEAPS Trade Signals $1.45 M Bull Call Spread Bet Amid 28% Stock Decline
A massive $1.45 million trade of Nike (NKE) June 2027 $47.50 LEAPS call contracts points to a bullish bull‑call‑spread setup, despite the stock’s 28% drop this year. The trade, involving 2,000 contracts in a single minute, underscores how options traders are positioning...