🎯Take Profit Alert: IREN Cash Secured Put
A trader closed a -2 May 8 $29 cash‑secured put on IREN after capturing 84.58% of the $240 premium, realizing a $203 profit with 15 days left to expiration. The underlying stock moved well above the strike, rendering the put deep out‑of‑the‑money. The early exit preserves capital and allows redeployment into new opportunities. IREN remains on the trader’s watchlist for future rotation when conditions become favorable again.
💡Trade Idea for Thursday, April 23, 2026
A trader proposes selling a put option just below a historically strong support level, aiming to collect premium while the stock remains above that zone. The trade boasts a 74% probability of worthlessness (POW) and a 78% probability of profit...
PAN GLOBAL TO EXTEND WARRANTS
Pan Global Resources Inc. announced it will extend the expiry of its 30,209,661 warrants from May 6, 2026 to August 6, 2026. The warrants, issued on Nov. 7, 2024 as part of a $7.25 million private placement, give holders the right...
💡Trade Idea for Wednesday, April 22, 2026
Edward Corona proposes a wheel‑strategy trade for April 22, 2026, selling a cash‑secured put that offers a 3.56% premium over 30 days, which translates to roughly a 53% annualized return. If the stock falls, the put may be assigned, allowing the trader to...
🎯Covered Call Trade Management Alert
Edward Corona’s Options Oracle alerts subscribers to a new covered‑call position on Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS). He sells one May 15, 2026, $83 call for a $2.13 per‑share premium, netting $212.50 in income. The trade is positioned to capture upside...
What the Data Actually Says About F&O in India
The Indian futures‑and‑options (F&O) market remains tiny relative to the broader investor base. In March, roughly 30 lakh (3 million) participants traded an F&O contract, and the full FY26 saw about 20 lakh active F&O traders, representing just 1‑2% of the 13 crore (130 million)...
One Platform, All Assets: What Polymarket’s Perpetuals Launch Reveals
On April 21, 2026 Polymarket and Kalshi unveiled perpetual futures trading, extending their prediction‑market platforms to include crypto, gold and Nvidia equities. The move mirrors Robinhood’s evolution from stocks to crypto and prediction markets, signaling a broader industry shift toward...
Q1 2026 Cleared Rates Swap Volumes and CCP Share
Global notional volumes of core cleared rates swaps jumped to $321 trillion in Q1 2026, a 43% year‑on‑year increase and 18% quarter‑on‑quarter rise. Record volumes were set across major currencies, with USD OIS at $81.4 trillion, GBP SONIA OIS at $70.7 trillion, and EUR...
This Isn't Trading. It's Theft From Your Retirement.
The post alleges that Donald Trump’s public statements and policy moves in 2025‑2026 triggered massive, precisely timed trades that enriched insiders while wiping out trillions in market value. Notable examples include a $500 million crude‑oil futures dump before a cease‑fire announcement,...
Indicator of the Day (Video): CBOE Skew Index
The CBOE Skew Index, a gauge of tail‑risk pricing in the options market, is currently swinging between 125 and 185 while the S&P 500 continues its upward trajectory. The index’s sharp fluctuations suggest that investors are demanding higher premiums for downside...
Consus Ag Consulting AM Market Brief
U.S. corn planting reached 11% last week, matching last year’s pace, while emergence is already 4% ahead of normal. Soybean planting jumped to 12%, outpacing the prior season by 5%. Winter wheat conditions remain weak, with only 30% rated good/excellent...
Coffee Market Hits Supply Ceiling, Bulls Lose Momentum Again
ICE coffee C May 2026 futures slid 3.6% to 289.3¢ per pound, breaking a multi‑week consolidation band and extending a downtrend that began in January. The decline was driven by a convergence of bullish Brazil crop forecasts—up to 75.9 million bags—and...
FX Option Expiries for 21 April 10am New York Cut
InvestingLive notes two FX option expiries on 21 April at 10 a.m. New York time, both for EUR/USD at the 1.1760 and 1.1800 strikes. The pair is currently confined between a 200‑hour moving‑average floor around 1.1752 and a daily ceiling at 1.1800, forming...
Volatility Risk Premium and Clustering: Intraday vs Overnight Dynamics
Recent academic work separates the variance risk premium (VRP) into overnight and intraday components, revealing that the overall negative VRP documented in prior literature is driven almost entirely by the overnight period. Overnight VRP remains significantly negative and predicts longer‑term...
Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up
Grain futures rallied on Monday, with wheat leading the charge as drought concerns in the U.S. Plains and reports of field abandonment tightened supplies. Corn followed wheat’s upward trend, buoyed by the same weather worries, while soybeans lagged due to...
🎯 Covered Call Trade Management Alert For $HIMS
Trader Edward Corona reports that his covered calls on Hims & Hers (HIMS) expired worthless, allowing him to retain the full premium. With the stock posting another strong green day, he is re‑entering the wheel by selling a new call...
💡Trade Idea for Monday, April 20, 2026
A trader recommends a short‑dated put on a stock that’s trending higher but has pulled back, offering a clean entry before upcoming earnings. The position is placed well below the current price, targeting premium collection with a 73% probability of...
Using Today’s Futures, Don’t Expect Gasoline Prices to Soon Return to Antebellum Levels*
The article uses a log‑difference regression linking Brent futures to regular gasoline prices, finding a conditional forecast that gasoline will stay above pre‑conflict levels. The model (1990‑2026) explains 56% of price movements, but the author warns that futures have underperformed...
Prediction Markets on Hormuz Strait and June Brent Futures: 6:30PM ET
Prediction‑market platform Kalshi shows the probability of normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by May 15 slipping to 37 %, down from earlier optimism. The market also priced a 5.9 % jump in June Brent crude futures, reflecting heightened geopolitical tension. The...
Vol Street Journal™ :: Episode 22
Episode 22 of Vol Street Journal examines the structural shift in market volatility as the VIX settles into a teenage range. The host discusses the improving VIX futures term structure, the breakdown of VIX “ceilings, floors, and pivot points,” and...
Price Dynamics of Volatility Indices
A 2022 study applied an ARFIMA model to daily data from 2007‑2020 for nine volatility indices, including VIX, VXN, VXO, VXD, RVX, VPD, OVX, VVIX and SKEW. The analysis revealed persistent long‑memory behavior, supporting the fractal market hypothesis and suggesting...
Variational Autoencoders in Volatility and Option Pricing
A new semi‑parametric framework combines a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) with a LightGBM‑based implied volatility model and a Multi‑Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) pricing engine to price options on the NIFTY50 index. The VAE learns non‑Gaussian return distributions, preserving tail events, while...
US Will Punish Fraud and Insider Trading, Derivatives Regulator Tells Congress
CFTC Chair Michael Selig testified before the House Agriculture Committee, assuring lawmakers that the agency will aggressively pursue fraud, manipulation and insider trading in derivatives markets. His remarks follow media reports that the CFTC is probing oil futures trades placed...
![[RE-SEND] 4 Green Days This Week For SPX. Can It Close Up With 5? April 17 Plan](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CQcs!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b003827-c0d7-41e5-9f3c-34abd02bf083_198x198.png)
[RE-SEND] 4 Green Days This Week For SPX. Can It Close Up With 5? April 17 Plan
The S&P 500 e‑mini (ES) has surged roughly 700 points in the past two weeks, marking one of the strongest short‑term rallies in years. The author attributes the move to a classic "Failed Breakdown" pattern, where institutions dump the contract,...
A Devilish Question for Option Sellers: Which VRP Is Higher?
The article challenges the common view that options are systematically overpriced by examining the volatility risk premium (VRP) through the lens of implied versus realized volatility. Using 30‑day data on the high‑yield ETF HYG, it shows implied volatility consistently sits...
How A Government Gold Price Reset Could Actually Work...
Gold futures slipped $30 on Wednesday, settling at $4,820 per ounce, while silver futures fell 15 cents to $79.39. The article explores a hypothetical government‑driven gold price reset, outlining the mechanical steps such a move would require. It also notes...
💡Trade Idea for Wednesday, April 15, 2026
A trader shares a systematic wheel trade idea for Wednesday, April 15, 2026, recommending the sale of a deep out‑of‑the‑money put near a recent support base. The put is positioned well below the current price to collect premium while limiting...
Understanding Market Volatility: What History Teaches Us About Turbulent Times
Bridgeway Capital’s head of research, Andrew Berkin, analyzed U.S. equities from July 1963 through early 2025 to assess how markets behave during and after volatility spikes. He found that while volatility spikes—such as the April 2025 VIX surge to over 50—are sharp and brief,...
Parlez-Vous Oil Trader?
The Blindspot premium article introduces key oil‑market concepts—backwardation, physical differentials, and time spreads—and explains what they mean for traders. Backwardation describes a market where near‑term contracts trade above distant futures, indicating tight short‑term supply. Physical differentials capture price gaps between...
8x-Bagger Tail Risk Hedge *
Investors are riding a wave of optimism that "we are so back," but the author warns that market cycles often flip to "it’s so over," making tail‑risk hedges essential. The piece highlights that well‑structured hedges can generate outsized returns—up to...
S&P 500 Futures – Elliott Wave Perspective
The latest Elliott Wave analysis of S&P 500 E‑mini futures shows the market entrenched in an impulsive structure within a long‑term rising channel. According to the chart, price is now in the final stages of a multi‑year Wave 5, the culmination of...
Gold & Silver Rally, As Market Digests Cryptic Trump 'Reset' Comment
Precious metals surged on Tuesday, with gold futures climbing $99 to $4,866 per ounce and silver up $3.92 to $79.59 per ounce. The rally coincided with a $7 drop in oil futures, which slipped to about $92 a barrel despite...
🎯Take Profit Alert HOOD. HUT, OKLO Cash Secured Puts
A trader announced the closure of three cash‑secured put positions on Robinhood (HOOD), Hut 8 Corp (HUT) and Oklo (OKLO) after capturing 76.67%, 94.19% and 78.24% of the premiums respectively. Each option moved deep in‑the‑money, making further upside limited while...
The Hidden Chain Connecting VIX to Your SPX Puts
The article explains how VIX futures are mechanically linked to SPX options through a chain of dealers, replicators, and carry traders. Five distinct counterparty types absorb VIX futures pressure, with variance dealers playing the pivotal role by replicating the VIX...
SynFutures Entropy – The Gas Problem That Kept Orderbooks Offchain
SynFutures, a permissionless perpetual DEX backed by Pantera, Polychain and Dragonfly, launched Entropy on Base to make on‑chain order‑book gas costs flat regardless of depth. The contract‑level algorithm processes order‑book data off‑chain, aiming to eliminate the gas‑limit barrier that pushed...
Mastering Zero DTE with Altos Trading: Unveiling the Golden One Day Options Trade and Market Insights
Altos Trading unveiled a systematic "Golden One Day" options play that targets zero‑days‑to‑expiration (Zero DTE) contracts. The strategy combines high‑probability entry signals with tight risk controls, aiming to capture daily market volatility while limiting capital exposure. Altos provides members with...
Fed's Goolsbee: Oil Futures Show This Will Be a Short-Run Problem (Why He's Wrong)
Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee argued that the steeply backwardated oil futures curve proves the current price spike is a short‑run issue. The article counters that backwardation reflects immediate physical scarcity and a high convenience yield, not a forecast of...
🎯 Take Profit Alert On XYZ and RCAT Cash Secured Puts
Options trader Edward Corona announced the closure of two cash‑secured put positions—Block Inc (XYZ) and Red Cat Holdings (RCAT). The XYZ put, entered on April 24 with a $54 strike, collected $130 in premium and realized a $106.50 profit, representing 81.9%...
Wall Street 🇺🇸 Now on Hotstuff
Hotstuff has added two new perpetual contracts—USA500 and USA100—that track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq‑100 respectively. Both products offer up to 50x leverage and trade 24/7/365, giving traders continuous access to large‑cap U.S. equity exposure. The contracts are accessible via Hotstuff’s...
Indicator of the Day (Video): Equity Put Call Ratio 10 DMA
The daily Equity Put/Call Ratio 10‑day moving average (DMA) was highlighted as the Indicator of the Day, accompanied by a chart spanning April 2024 to April 2026 alongside the S&P 500. The DMA smooths volatile daily ratios, offering a clearer view of market...
Vol Crush Lifts the S&P 500 — Will the Rally Last?
Last week the S&P 500 jumped roughly 3% to 6,800 as implied volatility collapsed, driving a sharp VIX decline. The rally was powered by a “vol crush” that reduced put deltas, prompting dealers to unwind short hedges—a process known as vanna....
Vol Street Journal™ :: Episode 21
Episode 21 of the Vol Street Journal examines whether the recent volatility crush is losing momentum and its implications for equity markets. The host highlights an “undervixing” technical state, noting that implied volatility is unlikely to fall further unless individual...
The Impact of Retail Options Trading on the Implied Volatility Surface
Retail investors are now a dominant force in options markets, concentrating on short‑dated, out‑of‑the‑money call contracts while selling longer‑dated options. A new study using OPRA and Nasdaq data isolates the effect of retail activity by examining 82 brokerage‑outage events between...
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Hedge funds (non‑commercial speculators) have deepened their bearish bets on long‑duration Treasuries, pushing net short positions in 10‑year note futures to 823.6 k contracts—a 5% weekly rise—and expanding 30‑year shorts to 59 k, up 86% week‑over‑week. In commodities, they remain net long...
Crude Oil Futures Settles at $96.57. Down Sharply on the Week
Crude oil futures settled at $96.57 on Friday, down 1.33% for the day and 14.3% for the week. Prices remain below the 100‑hour ($102.87) and 200‑hour ($103.57) moving averages, reflecting market discounting a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz...
🎯 Take Profit Alert On CRWV +74%
A trader using The Options Oracle closed a cash‑secured put on CoreWeave (CRWV) after the stock’s breakout drove the option’s premium down. The position, a May 8 $65 strike with 28 days to expiration, yielded a $189 profit, representing 73.5% of...
Indicator of the Day (Video): Volatility Index – CBOE Russell 2000
The CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index (RVX) has been on a steady decline from April 2024 through April 2026, punctuated by occasional spikes that correspond with macro‑economic events. The chart also shows the IYM (iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF) climbing steadily over the...
Optionality Stocks (4/9/2026)
Don Durrett announced an update to his "optionality" stock list on April 9, 2026, highlighting a renewed focus on gold and silver mining equities. The refreshed roster is designed to capture assets that offer asymmetric upside while limiting downside risk. Durrett’s curation...
Massive Breakout Underway For SPX. How Much More Upside? April 10 Plan
On March 30 the S&P 500 e‑mini (ES) experienced a sharp drop to 6,353, creating a classic "failed breakdown" that institutions use to accumulate positions. The subsequent bounce launched a 480‑point rally, pushing the contract above 6,850 and later to 6,873, forming...
Trace Reloaded Launch: Unlocking Real-Time Zero DTE Gamma Insights to Master Intraday and Swing Trading in the S&P 500
SpotGamma has introduced Trace Reloaded, a real‑time analytics platform that delivers zero‑days‑to‑expiration (zero‑DTE) gamma data for S&P 500 options. The service visualizes key price levels, gamma spikes, and market sentiment, allowing traders to see convexity changes the instant they occur. Integrated...