Assuming 100% Development Underestimates Needed Zoning by 5x
This assumes that the probability of development of zoned capacity is 100%. That's unrealistic. Let's math it out: DC needs 120,000 units by 2050. Assume a high p(dev) of 5% every 5 years. DC would need to zone for 622,100 units—not 135,000. We're planning for a housing shortage.
30
I'd say a 6.50% 30-year fixed seems like a foregone conclusion at this point. When not if... That'd be the first time rates were that high since last summer. Pretty sure the housing market can't handle a return to 7%, not...
New Home Share Still High, Gradually Normalizing
New home share of total inventory remains historically elevated, but is moving back toward normal. https://t.co/fgRMXqrkuk
January New‑home Sales Plunge to Lowest Since 2022
Temporary Freeze or Deeper Chill? New home sales fell sharply in January to 587K (vs. 722K expected), marking the slowest pace since Oct 2022 and the steepest monthly drop since 2013. https://t.co/W9Fwrwtvjb
Real Estate Set to Benefit From Private Credit Exodus
Real estate could be the big winner in the private credit exodus https://t.co/DFzvuJjBGz #realestateinvesting @JLL @blackstone @CoStarGroup
Rental Returns Rarely Beat Market After Hassle Costs
Even if your rental properties do outperform the market (unlikely), when you include the "return on hassle", it's not even close. The cost of your time, dealing with tenants, etc., is far higher than a few percentage points a year.
San Francisco's Pandemic‑Era Inventory Has Vanished Completely
Gave a quick talk for agents in San Francisco today. Would you be surprised to learn that all the pandemic-era inventory in the city is completely gone? We really are in the next era of the housing market https://t.co/JmnzqbgEMn
Housing Market Shows Fragile Early Green Shoots
Spoke with @SchwabNetwork about the outlook for the housing market. Some fragile green shoots are beginning to emerge. https://t.co/AnXqQAj4mN
Private Lending Demands Active Vetting, Not Pure Passivity
Private money lending isn’t 100% passive. There’s upfront work you need to do. Vetting borrowers will take a majority of your time and this part isn’t nor will ever be passive. The closest thing you get is if you have...
Top Homebuilders Trust ResiClub for Data-Driven Decisions
Teams inside major homebuilders, lenders, and operators are using ResiClub research and analysis to inform real decisions—including firms like Meritage Homes, a giant homebuilder ranked No. 554 on the Fortune 1000. That’s exactly what we’re aiming for: clear, data-driven housing market...
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Hits 206 Bps
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.31% Same day last year: 6.78% 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.25% Spread today: 206 bps
San Francisco Lags Sacramento in Closed Home Sales
What do you notice about San Francisco compared to Sacramento? These are closed home sales so far this month. https://t.co/BK12H6rwip
Housing Bubbles Vary: Some Cities Plunge, Others Soar
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops & Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, February 2026. Each city has its own housing market. In some, home prices have dropped a lot; in others, prices have hit new highs https://t.co/ILCCiyvcIJ https://t.co/AfImn5LKKw
Get a Year of Mortgage‑Free Payments on New Home
You've heard of big mortgage rate buydowns... But what about NO mortgage payments for an entire year when you buy a new home?
Refinance Demand Drops 19% as Rates Surge
#Mortgage refinance demand plunges 19% after interest rates shoot higher https://t.co/qypWBX8GTm @mortgagenewsmnd @MBAMortgage #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing
Homebuilder Outlook Improves: Inventory Stabilizes, Costs Decline
[@opinion] My housing friends may think I'm early, but I think the outlook for homebuilders has shifted from 🔴to 🟡 this year -- resale inventory is stabilizing, costs are coming down, and they've made a big enough dent on affordability...
Purchase Applications Stay Positive Weekly Year‑Over‑Year
Even with all the drama this year, purchase application data has been positive year over year every week. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #mortgagerates #realestate #economics #chartdaddy
Aging Rental Stock Forces New Construction and Renovations
America's rental stock is aging. The median age of a rental unit is now 45 years old, the oldest on record, according to Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies. And that will likely have major implications on housing policy and trends...
Real Estate PE Delivers 2x Return Before Deal Begins
Why is real estate private equity so lucrative? Because you basically get a 2x return on your capital before the deal even starts Let’s take a sample deal: $10MM purchase price. The deal will be purchased with a $7.5MM loan and $2.5MM of...
Purchase App Data Up 1% Weekly, 12% YoY
Purchase application data update: +1% week to week +12% year over year Every week this year has had positive year-over-year data. https://t.co/gfHZLTffev
Homebuilder Sales Stall as Rates, Oil Concerns Loom
Through mid-March, homebuilder sales and pricing trends have underwhelmed. Not a great start to the spring selling season, with homebuilders we survey noting Iran/oil/rising interest rates becoming part of the consumer psyche for staying on the sidelines.
Zero Rates Spark Price Spikes, Then Rent Collapse
File under: Wish someone had told me When interest rates go to zero, the main reason to sell real estate is bc pricing goes crazy. But a secondary reason to sell is that interest rates at zero will catalyze a development boom,...
China Housing Prices Could Fall Another 10% by 2027
China's housing market has been undergoing a nasty correction since '22 Goldman Sachs: "If China follows the typical timeline of housing busts around the world, there might be another 10% drop in home prices ahead, and real prices may not...
Short‑term Leases Can Replace Buying for Young Families
People buy homes for 2 reasons: 1) To invest in what is (hopefully) an appreciating asset 2) So that they don't have to move. And this is particularly true for families, or people looking to start them. It's why the...
Short‑term Rent Isn’t Market Rent—It's Hotel‑style Pricing
Lenders sometimes ask appraisers for short-term rent during the loan process, but that's totally different than market rent. Short-term rent is going to be much higher as it's basically hotel rent based on the daily rent instead of a tenant...
Public Matches Extra Space After NSA Acquisition, Consolidation Accelerates
So the National Storage Affiliates acquisition puts Public on par with Extra Space as far as total square footage managed. Industry consolidation continues apace. https://t.co/Ce69lYGYsk https://t.co/Rqz8xdySVZ
Farmers Reject Million‑Dollar AI Data‑Center Land Offers
US farmers are rejecting $33 to $80 million offers for their land from data center companies. The tension between AI and land is real.
Pending Home Sales Beat Forecast, Yet Rates Rise Amid Conflict
Pending home sales recorded an unexpected beat in February, rising 1.8% month-over-month versus a forecast of -1%. However, sales were down 0.8% year-over-year and the outlook isn't great given mortgage rates hit those 3.5-year lows in February. They are now markedly higher...
Pending Home Sales Rise, Yet Mortgage Rates Surge Past 6.3%
Pending Home Sales Ticked Up from Record Low. But Now Mortgage Rates Spiked Back over 6.3%. Home sales in February, as feeble as they were, benefitted from the lowest mortgage rates in years. Those rates are now gone https://t.co/2mll3eAbGK https://t.co/lVfYXLQXRz
Housing Market Temperature Varies by Property Type
The housing market is like a hot pocket taken out of the microwave too early. Some spots are warm, and others are cold or hot. Not every part has the same temperature. The trend could be different if we’re talking...
Housing Market Varies: Condos, Entry‑Level, Prime Homes Differ
How is the housing market? It really depends on what we are talking about. Condos? Entry-level price points? Homes that check all the boxes? Properties on busy streets? What parts of the market are cold, warm, or hot? I’d love...
Apartment Concessions Reach Decade‑high, Signaling Market Shift
#Apartment concessions hit highest level in over a decade https://t.co/VtxRVMQc37 @RealPage @ApartmentList @Yardi @jayparsons #rent #realestate #realestateinvesting
2026 Home Sales May Edge Up, Not Boom
Will Home Sales Improve In 2026? Almost Certainly Yes: Because They Just Couldn't Get Any Worse When some Regions hit 30 year lows in Home Sales it's just reasonable to believe the case for a SMALL increase is real But nobody should...
NV Office-to-Residential Surge Challenges Portfolio Strategies
The TSA HQ in Arlington is becoming 637 apartments. Down the road, 675 units just opened in a converted Falls Church office park. Northern Virginia’s office-to-residential wave is moving fast. Is your portfolio positioned for it or exposed by it? #commercialrealestate...
Austin's Housing Surplus Turns Market Into Buyer’s Paradise
"With supply far outweighing demand, Austin has turned into a firm buyer’s market - giving house hunters more options, more negotiating power and more time to shop around." 😲 https://t.co/d4pZOxWqcs
Canada’s Housing Market Plummets 20%, Quietly Absorbed by Stable Finance
Canadian residential real estate is down -20% from its peak in 2022, a crash in prices worse than the U.S. in 2008. But no one is talking about it, primarily because the financial system is well-functioning (so far), as creditors do...
Sacramento’s Suburbs Grow Northeast, Southeast, Not Toward Bay
Why did Sacramento's suburbanization extend the to the northeast and southeast, rather than to the north, west, or southwest—toward the prosperous Bay Area? (1/2) https://t.co/fYIcWzLEsu
RTO Hits Strongest February Since COVID Despite NYC Snow
RTO keeps grinding higher. February was the strongest since COVID even with NYC snow dragging numbers. Severe Northeast snowstorms weighed on NYC and Boston, while major markets outside the region continued to post YoY gains. 🔗 https://t.co/1IhvNZPYUS https://t.co/uIpOony3hv
Target Distressed Sellers in Low‑liquidity Markets for Discounts
A lot of real estate is simply finding structural sellers Over the last few years, a lot of bad operators made some big mistakes. So you’re simply going to target them: 1. Position yourself in lower liquidity markets (markets where owners will have...
Millions Secured Below‑Market Housing Costs for Decades
Exactly A large group of people have locked in below market shelter costs for decades to come
Housing Softening Turns Sellers Into Accidental Landlords
A jump in "accidental landlords" often occurs when a housing market softens/weakens Some sellers list their home, fail to sell, and then test the rental market—often temporarily—while they wait for for-sale conditions to improve https://t.co/dFiL2EDnQJ
US Data Center Spending Overtakes Office Projects
Spending on data center projects in the US has exploded, surpassing offices for the first time at the end of last year. https://t.co/0qR4WGHhjm
Well‑priced Sacramento Homes Sell Fast; Overpriced Linger
Properties are getting into contract pretty quickly. Here's a look at pendings over the past week in the Sacramento region. The good stuff goes quickly if it's priced well, but overpriced stuff will sit. https://t.co/FkJxfXf4uo
Avoid the ₹2‑5 Cr Ticket Trap for Real‑Estate Wealth
The “Ticket Size Trap” Why Most Investors Get Stuck in ₹2–5 Cr Properties — And Wealth Gets Made Above or Below That This is one of the least discussed rules in Gurgaon real estate. Prices don’t move equally across all budgets. They move in...
2026 Real Estate Hotspots: Sales Volume Across 12 Counties
Where are the transactions happening in 2026? Here’s a look at sales volume so far in the wider region within 12 counties. If you work in real estate, where are you positioning your business? https://t.co/kBtzz6MJGL
Single‑Family Home Inventory Rises 1.5% as Season Builds
Altos: Single family existing home inventory up 1.5% week-over-week. This is the time of year inventory starts to build - and it will be important to track.
Public Storage to Acquire National Storage in 0.14‑for‑1 Deal
Merger Monday…NationalStorage (NSA) a REIT (real estate investment trust)that operates storage facilities being bght by Public Storage(PSA)..also a REIT .. for 0.14 share of its stock per share of NSA
Master the 50% Rule: Quick NOI, Win Deals
Stop guessing your NOI. 🛑 If you can’t run the numbers in 30 seconds, you’re going to lose the deal to someone who can. The 50% Rule is your “back of the napkin” litmus test for multifamily. If the math doesn’t...
Atlanta Condo Hits 22% Loss, $1,750 Monthly Deal
Some crazy deals are popping up on condos. On this listing, seller in ATL is taking a 22% loss from their 2023 purchase. Current list of $229k almost back to pre-pandemic valuation. A mortgaged buyer can buy at all-in cost of $1,750/month,...
Rate Lock‑In Suppresses Millions of Home Listings
The mortgage rate lockdown theory has not existed in the data since 2022, as nobody would sell their low rate to buy another home. https://t.co/E2q1j8TMjQ