Agriculture Offers Untapped Value, Says Jeff Currie
Jeff Currie reads Scouting the Tape. "I think the best sector to try to get value in right now would be agriculture, because it hasn't priced it in." https://t.co/toQMBsZcct
A $1 Altria Investment Grows to $4.4 Million
If grandpappy bought $1 worth of Altria stock 100 years ago and reinvested the dividends, it would be worth $4,421,136 today. (ignoring Uncle Sam's cut) https://t.co/xAeDUtYZMt https://t.co/dD6ILijqop
Micron Mirrors Nvidia's 2023 Surge in Revenue Growth
Micron has been trading like Nvidia circa 2023 because it’s growing top line like Nvidia circa 2023 $MU $NVDA https://t.co/QfTDEfwA3p https://t.co/D5Z0rxoIyB
Analysts Doubt $PSKY Can Replicate $10 WBD Success
My latest for @TheAnkler. Is $PSKY destined to be the $10 stock that $WBD was for so long? Wall Street analysts, debt experts, and investors weigh in. Wall St. Sours on the Ellison Deal: ‘This Should Not Be a Public...
Physical Economy Surge Fuels Small‑cap, Cyclical Rally
Taking the pulse of the physical economy. Growth is accelerating. Bullish for small-caps, cyclicals and value.
Consensus Bullishness Precedes Market Crashes, Not Insight
277 out of 334 analysts covering the world's seven largest stocks say buy. Five of the seven have zero sell ratings. That's not analysis. It's a standing ovation. New research examined thousands of boom-bust episodes. Before every crash, every expert signal...
Memory Chip Cycle Revives; Micron Still Cheap
Micron reports earnings tonight. The stock is up 350% in a year. And somehow, at 10.7x forward earnings, it might still be cheap. Here's why the memory chip industry is experiencing something that hasn't happened in four decades — and...
Explore Historical Return Stacking with Our New Tool
We get lots of questions around what return stacking looks like. So, we built a simple tool to explore how different stack sizes and blends, when layered on different stock/bond bases, behaved historically. (Link below.) https://t.co/ogWicOHDD6
Active Managers Stuck in Cap‑weighted Comfort Zone
The irony of modern markets: “active” investors moored to the same cap-weighted tide they’re meant to transcend—forsaking a risk-adjusted spread for benchmarked comfort. Betas, indeed.
NIO's First Profit Sparks Debate Over Tesla Rivalry
$NIO vs $TSLA Total deliveries growth. $NIO had its first profitable quarter recently. Have they finally turned the corner to sustainable growth and do you think this could rival Tesla? #tsla #investingadvice #stockmarketanalysis #marketvisuals
Time in Markets Beats Trying to Time Them
Time in the markets is superior to timing the markets. Most traders miss the big move trying to time it perfectly.
Shrink Position Size as Discount Narrows
Once a security's discount to underwritten fair market value has appropriately narrowed, and thus your margin of safety has diminished, so too should your sizing.
Expect Regular Double‑digit Drops; only True Investors Persist
The market has had a negative return about 1 in every 4 years. You can expect a drop of over 10% every other year. You can expect a drop of over 20% about every four years. Successful investors know this. If you can’t...
Premium Valuations Possible Even for Commodity Sellers
I wrote this article a couple years ago before resources went on a tear, but I still like to look at cyclical or hated industries through this lens. How does a business get a premium valuation when they sell a...
Own AI Stocks, Not Bonds, Says Howard Marks
Oaktree's Howard Marks says investors are probably better off buying stock in AI-focused companies rather than lending them money. “If you’re taking fundamental business model risk, shouldn’t you get paid for it by being an owner rather than a fixed-income...
Japanese SaaS Stocks Are Undervalued Growth Gems
The bull case for Japanese software: - Revenues in yen so not hurt by JPY appreciation - SaaS penetration rate is 5-7 years behind the US - Growth is hard to find in Japan, but in SaaS - yes - Incremental margins in...
AWS AI Boost Doubles Revenue Forecast, Stocks Oversold
AWS revenue projection doubled (17%CAGR) due to AI AI stocks are currently very oversold. $AMZN https://t.co/ldXbR8hi8J
Peter Lynch’s 29% Returns Show Fundamentals Trump Timing
Did some research today to find new and interesting information about great investors: Peter Lynch average return from 1977-1990 grew 29.2% beating out the great Warren Buffett at 20% - both incredible longevity. What strikes me about Lynch:...
Clinical Growth Could Flip Earnings by 2028
New writeup (link in bio): WW still looks broken on the surface. Behavioral subs are falling fast. But Clinical is growing so quickly that the whole earnings power story may look very different 12–24 months from now. I break down why 2026...
Compounding Value: Small Gains Reinvested Build Wealth
"Long-duration businesses create value through incremental reinvestment." The biggest investing secret? Value compounds quietly over time. Long-duration businesses win because they reinvest small gains again and again. That’s how real wealth is built.
Steady, Low‑volatility Investing Beats Roller‑coaster Returns
Investors who embrace boring strategies that minimize rollercoaster-like movements in their portfolios are often the ones who stay on track to meet their financial goals. https://t.co/AmWppEmzl3
Heliostar Metals Pit Extends 200m, Drill Program Expands
The pit at @HeliostarMetals San Agustin project gets extended by >200 meters, from some wide bulk tonnage results today. Drill program increased to 15k-18m, 2nd rig now turning. Core #gold stock for me, way overweight, still a Buy: https://t.co/xlfZ9rXOlq
24 Dividend Leaders Offering Consistent Growth
24 popular dividend stocks that can help you build passive income over time. From V, WMT, MCD, and COST to JPM and GOOG — these are companies with strong businesses behind their payouts. The goal isn’t just yield… it’s consistency + growth. Which...
Investors Back Stocks Before Trusting New Product Launches
"Amazon and Apple make the most of their money with business lines launched years or decades after their IPO. People invest in stocks before they believe in management's ability to launch new products." @TheiaResearch https://t.co/sigF6mfZGm
Ignore Cost Basis; Focus on Forward Risk/Reward
Taxes aside (if relevant), cost basis shouldn’t drive decisions—only forward risk/reward and objective outlook matter. The stock doesn’t care who you are, when you bought it, or why. Social discussion exists to improve investment process; don’t let a stock become personified.
Value Factor Abroad, Trading Duopoly, Collectibles' Emotional Returns
🔬 Research links: searching for the value factor overseas, the two companies that dominate U.S. equity trading, and the emotional yield of collectibles. https://t.co/muREi9nT4L image: https://t.co/jrEVSdxqnB https://t.co/4GrVapXohD
FY26e Targets MSD Growth with 31% EBITDA Margin
$GAMB CFO Elias Mark (pulled from the company's Q3 FY25 call) FY26e is now at MSD revenue growth and ~31% EBITDA margins https://t.co/a3U84jKJjz
High CAPE Drives Equity Issuance; Low CAPE Spurs Buying
This is really great: "shows CAPE on the horizontal axis and net issuance on the vertical axis. Each point represents a calendar month between January 1990 and November 2025. Notice the positive correlation between issuance and CAPE: When CAPE is high,...
Value
Value stocks (Tony Gwynn): higher batting average, fewer bankruptcies, fewer grand slams. Growth stocks (Dave Kingman): lower batting average, more bankruptcies, more grand slams. https://t.co/4Wo2q59IVU https://t.co/6gIBOYiA84
OKLO's P/S Ratio Remains Steady Amid Market Swings
For all the talk about markets ignoring potent catalysts and being untethered from fundamentals, I’ll note that OKLO’s price-to-sales ratio has been unchanged through its ups and downs.
LSEG: Undervalued Data Powerhouse Offering 15‑20% Returns
Is the London Stock Exchange Group $LSEG the ultimate "all-weather" compounder hiding in plain sight? With a clear path to 15-20% annualized returns, the shift from a legacy exchange to a data powerhouse is hit with a valuation dislocation. https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/deep-dive-london-stock-exchange-group
Value Stocks at Historic Discount, Poised for Outperformance
Valuation spreads (how cheaply value stocks trade relative to growth stocks) measured as the Price/Book ratio of value stocks divided by growth stocks in the US. "On average, US value stocks have traded at a 78% discount (i.e., 22 cents on...
Only Ten Stocks Combine 25% ROIC and 20% EPS Growth
Just doing some research and screened for companies with BOTH: • ROIC > 25% • Expected EPS growth > 20% per year for the next 5 years Extremely hard to find this level of capital efficiency + explosive growth. Here are the 10 quality...
5% Dip Is Normal; Expect 14% Average Drops
Over the last 75 years, the average intra-year market drop has been 14%. If you are overly stressed out about the current 5% drawdown, the stock market isn’t for you. Downside volatility is the price investors pay for long-term outperformance....
Buffett's Rule: Skip Hype, Hunt Undervalued Fundamentals
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's strategy? Stay away from flashy stocks, and assess fundamentals to find undervalued ones. https://t.co/qsceHG36d7
Ask the Right Questions to See Through the Market
5 questions that separate investors who see the market from investors who see through it. Swipe. Same data, completely different intelligence depending on your role. Which question would change your allocation this quarter? https://t.co/jl0egsdwNw
Seize Rare Opportunities with Great Managers or Regret
“So you do get an occasional opportunity to get into a wonderful business that’s being run by a wonderful manager. And, of course, that’s hog heaven day. If you don’t load up when you get those opportunities, it’s a big...
Lynch’s 10 Principles: Simple Rules Over Economic Overanalysis
Peter Lynch once said: "If you spend 14 minutes a year thinking about economics, you have just wasted 12 minutes." Here are his 10 investing principles to navigate uncertainty:
Avoid Emerging Market Indexes: Consistently Underperforming
1/ I've said it before and will say it again: avoid EM index investing. Their performance has lagged, both in the short-term and in the ultra-long run. https://t.co/MkPIAWW0Jf
Estimating Billion‑Dollar Price Tag for Anthropic's
If you were Ken Griffin, how much would you pay Anthropic to do this? Feel free to round to the nearest billion.
Big Positions Blur Reality—Stay Rational, Stay Grounded
The biggest issue with holding big positions (winners and losers) is when you lose your rationality. You only see what you want to see or hope the business to be, not what it actually is. You must always stay anchored...
AI Dismantles Old Moats, Builds New Competitive Barriers
Charlie Munger: "It’s probably a natural part of the modern economic system that the old moats stop working." 2020 Daily Journal AGM AI eliminating or reducing the effectiveness of some moats is inevitable. New moats being created in an AI...
Three S&P 500 Headwinds, One Overlooked Indicator Each
The S&P 500 has 3 headwinds right now. Most investors are only watching one. Here's what all 3 are, and the single indicator for each that tells you if it's getting better or worse 🧵
HALO Stocks Just Rebranded Value‑Growth Rotation, Not AI‑Proof
HALO stocks — Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence — are being sold as a new AI-proof strategy. But Goldman's own data shows the trade tracks value vs. growth almost perfectly. A familiar rotation with a fresh acronym. I've taken a closer...
High ROIC and Strong Interest Coverage Drive Stock Returns
ROIC, and ROA and ROE are the strongest predictors of stock performance. Each measures how efficiently a company converts capital into profits. Interest Coverage (EBIT / interest expense) captures financial strength and ability to service debt. Markets reward companies that: • generate high...
McKinsey Issues Strong Buy on Lemonade Stock
Without mentioning the company @Lemonade_Inc once, @McKinsey puts out a strong buy recommendation for $LMND. Link in next post https://t.co/HNNT5cRiNy
Capital Gains Outpace Labor, Concentrating Wealth and Power
Take a look at these two charts together. One is income concentration (Top 10% share of consumption v Bottom 80%), the other is equity market concentration (S&P 500 Growth vs Value weight). In the last 15 years, surplus flowed to capital,...
Skip Risky Trades; Invest in Undervalued, Long-Term Stocks
Don’t day trade Don’t use options Don’t use leverage Don’t use margin Buy undervalued companies & focus on the long term What’s so difficult about this?
Mid‑Cap Value Gems Thrive Outside Tech, Guided by Gentle Activism
Our chat with "gentleman activist" Alexander Roepers on: * Alexander Roepers’ Value Investing Strategy * Why Alexander Roepers Avoids Tech, Biotech, and Financial Stocks * Why Europe and Japan Offer Hidden Value Investing Opportunities * Three Catalysts That Unlock Value in Mid-Cap Stocks * The...
Adobe's Strong Fundamentals Counter AI‑Fear Concerns
$ADBE Q1 2026 Adobe has been getting hit with the AI fear. Investors are worried that software will start to lose market share as AI becomes increasingly more popular. $ADBE fundamentally though is strong. What are your thoughts, is it...