Oil Spikes Signal Deflationary Shock, Not Inflation
Everyone assuming the Oil move is inflationary. An Oil spike historically more often than not precedes equity tail events and economic recessions. Why? Speed of Oil move is deflationary shock.
Japan Initiates Yen Defense via Reverse Carry Trade
Japan selling to prepare to defend the Yen. Stage 1 of reverse carry trade thesis.
Undervalued Sector Becomes Top Global Equity Hedge
The sector no one wanted… …is now the best pure global Equity hedge: *Diversification wins again? https://t.co/MveBoNSYU0
Gold Potentially Forming Classic Edwards-Magee Pattern
For those into proper Edwards and Magee charting (not this modern day junk), this could be what is happening to Gold https://t.co/9oNZBtZmkg
Prepared Mind Spots Korean Memory Stock Crash
"Chance favors the prepared mind." Samsung -10%. SK Hynix -11.5%. Korea's worst day in 19 months. We flagged the memory names yesterday — $MU, $SNDK, $WDC — as shorts. Not a prediction. Just process. Breadth was NO across the board. Regime DEFENSIVE. https://t.co/NLFcX1gCIU
Korea's Market Plummets Amid Iran Risk, Record Sell‑off
🔴 "Black Tuesday" in Korea. (maybe a little hyperbolic) Samsung -9.9%. SK Hynix -11.5%. Worst single-day drops since Aug 2024. KOSPI -7.2% — largest single-day drop in 19 months. Program trading halted intraday. Foreign investors dumped 3 trillion won in the morning session...
Middle East Tensions Spark Risk‑off, S&P Futures Slide
Escalating U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran triggered risk-off sentiment, driving S&P 500 futures down over 1%. https://t.co/NbHGasOhbi
Bitcoin Drops, Proving Crypto Is a Risky Tech Bet
Crypto Update 🧵 Crypto is trading like a leveraged tech bet, not a safe haven. 🔴 $BTC — $66,643. Faded hard from $70,128 high at 1600 ET. Back below all moving averages. https://t.co/yw0XPWqqy3
Single Stocks Set for Highest Volatility Gap Since 2008
Single Stocks are expected to be more volatile than the S&P 500 by the largest margin since October 2008. 👀 https://t.co/DChNaXPkiW
Key Rally Drivers Turn Bearish, Threatening Momentum
IMPACT @t1alpha The 3 stocks that drove 25% of yesterday's intraday rally are all signaling Bearish TREND @Hedgeye That's not good. $NVDA $MSFT $PLTR https://t.co/AzTRbxG3Kq
Geopolitical Tensions Push SPX Futures Down, Near Key Range
Good morning, Mostly Deep Red Arrows around the World as Geopolitical tensions spread thru 9 Countries. $spx futures -120 Looks like we will be right around big important range area. $spy $675ish https://t.co/S9yXkXPEy9
SPY Approaches Hedgeye Trend Breakdown, Confirmation Pending
As I warned yesterday, $SPY was teetering on a @Hedgeye TREND Breakdown - let's see if it confirms
19‑Year Market Trend Signals Immediate Investment Implications
This 19-Year Chart of Stock Markets Really Matters Right Now (here's why) https://t.co/TEzNGq0NTV [VIDEO] #stockmarket #SP500 #dowjones
India Emerges as Hedge Amid 7% Kospi Plunge
Kospi down 7 pct. Quick, need a hedge for this hedge i took a few days ago. Wait, I have one - India.
Markets
Winning Isn't Even On My Bingo Card From Safe Havens To Software Gap Down Was Bought, For Now Petro or Pedo-Dollar https://t.co/C1TzLcxyl7
Iran Strike Sparks Cross-Asset Volatility, Market Outlook Discussed
I'll be on with @MariaBartiromo tomorrow am- 7:10 EST on @FoxBusiness discussing the surge in cross-asset volatility given the Iran Strike & what it means for markets
Futures Hit 7‑day Widest Range as D
Naz barely made OD up bar while SP & Rus failed...no surprise that the majority of the futures markets made WR7s...(widest range of the last 7 days.) DAX gave a purse trend day down. https://t.co/M06KxsRquT
STAK Spikes on Volume, Eyeing $1.50‑
Nearly 60x relative volume on $STAK today, and it's one of my top watches for tomorrow amid a TON of energy names rocketing. I'll be looking for the simple break & base over today's high of day range for the day...
Oversized Trades Breed Loss Aversion, Amplify Losses
One side effect of using too large of position sizes when trading is it causes a reluctance to close at a loss. A small loss quickly turns into a big loss. "I can't close it now I'll wait for a bounce to...
Valero Set for 1‑2 Weeks More Upside
$VLO rising to near nose-bleed territory in the short run, but w/ Crude likely to approach high 70's before a peak, i expect another 1-2 weeks of strength out of VLO before this stalls out @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Big push...
Key March Technical Themes: Breakouts, Earnings Setups, Decision Points
Top 10 charts I’m watching for March 👀📊 My latest show on @StockCharts TV covers some key technical themes: ✅ Stocks that have already started to break out (like $MPC and $JBL) 👀 Big earnings setups with divergences (hello $TGT) ⚖️ Magnificent 7 at...
Risk-Off Market: All Sectors Down, $FLSY Shines
Zor Daily View — 3/2 🔴 Breadth: NO across the board. Short-term, medium-term, all NO. 🔴 Swing Posture: RISK OFF. 🛡️ Regime: DEFENSIVE. 👀 $FLSY is a standout. https://t.co/6EKr7JExh3
MDB Beats Estimates, ASTS Soars; Mixed Earnings Across Sector
$MDB — EPS $1.65 beat $0.92 est. Rev $695M beat $668M est (+27% YoY). FY27 guide $2.86-2.90B. CRO & Pres Field Ops leaving. -24% AH. $ASTS — Rev $54.3M beat $41M est (+2,731% YoY). EPS -$0.26 missed -$0.19. $1.2B contracted rev....
Market Rebounds Despite News‑driven Gap Down.
Market Rally After the News Gap Down. Here are my thoughts on the current market $FSLY $VIAV $BE $TSLA $NVDA and more https://t.co/Hg5NS2ElgJ
Subsector Moves Defy Expectations Amid Iran Tensions
Old Wall Broker comments: "The feedback we consistently heard was the 'subsectors I thought would o/p or u/p to start the day have done the complete opposite" #Iran
Gap‑and‑fade Day Signals Risk Despite Flat SPX
Crude oil spiked, $VIX pushed > 20… and $SPX finished basically flat. What does a “gap-and-fade” day say about risk? Plus: credit spreads, oil overbought signals, $NVDA at the 200D, and #Bitcoin teasing 70K. https://t.co/OFf21HIk5V https://t.co/0TzcIDfamB
Magnificent Seven All Lagging Behind S&P 500
All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are now down on the year and underperforming the S&P 500. Video: https://t.co/VjMx0vXyKp
Tanker Stocks Fall as Key Oil Waterway Shuts
"Sell the News" even works for tanker stocks when the most important waterway for oil is practically (if not actually) closed. https://t.co/1Blk1tLMqJ
Trend Following and Indexing Share Same Drawdown Reality
These types of comments always amuse me... "...trend following strategies typically have long flat or negative periods that test discipline. Past profitability doesn't protect you from a multi-year drawdown." So let's consider Buy & Hold or indexing between 1968 - 1982 where...
AIM Shares Hold Sideways, Bullish EMAs Tight, RSI Moderate
#AIM All Share Doji Candle and Sideways 4 weeks. Support 796, 775, 746. Resistance 837. RSI 61.5 not high. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish but Lines tight. Top Bollinger Band 822. Midpoint Line 814. Bottom Band 807.
FTSE100 Slides From ATH Amid Overbought Signals
#FTSE100 Down Candle off ATH. Support 10554, 10232, 10000. RSI 80 still crazy Overbought. Top Bollinger Band 10928. Midpoint Line 10722. Bottom Band 10522.
Bitcoin Bottomed Gold; Bullish Divergence Signals Rotation
It becomes more clear. $BTC vs. Gold has hit it's bottom. The simple reason for that is a technical one. Has nothing to do with any of the geopolitical situations. Just technical. There's a strong bullish divergence on the daily and weekly timeframes. And...
DAX Gaps Down Yet EMAs Signal Bullish Momentum
#DAX Gap down and Long Tails Doji but still in bigger Sideways Range. Support 24272, 23924, 23433, 23277. RSI 47.5 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Closed outside Bottom Bollinger Band 24716. Midpoint Line 25095. Top Band 25478.
SPX May Slip Below 100‑Day MA, Target 6720
$SPX keeps defending its 100 day MA on a closing basis, though I think it's likely to close below it by the end of the week. When it closes below the 100 DMA the next downside target will be the...
Follow Price, Ignore Noise, Trust What You See
No one knows what is next for the market. Having a bias and predicting only keep your eyes from seeing price and market participants actions. Follow price. Ignore the noise. Trade your plan and Use your...
Upcoming S&P 500 Rebalance Highlights Top Eligible Stocks
Last week we looked at names that might be added in this month's S&P 500 rebalance. The announcement will come after Friday's close. Here are some of the top eligible names and their projected weights as of last week and...
REITs Surge as Bonds
Homebuilders taken down, but REITs up US stocks +0.1% ex-US -1.7% $IBIT and $USO up big with the worst day for bonds in 3 months. $AGG https://t.co/Q5GdXN7VqF
Berkshire Drops 4.9% as NVDA, MSFT Climb
Berkshire flew under the radar with a 4.9% plunge following Saturday earnings @finviz_com $NVDA $MSFT up https://t.co/cmpuoSoxNM
USO Posts Third-Best Day Since 2022, Hits Multi
$USO 3rd-best day since March 2022... multi-year high close... remember when everyone hated this ETF? More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/r8CEDMAgDm
Trade Against Crowd, Wait for Strong Risk‑Reward Setup
This is what trading against the crowd using behavior and sorta simple TA looks like I'd add to this the low in oil came as Silver was topping out too but more importantly is you can't predict the future vs waiting...
Bought TSLA on Dip, Awaiting VWAP Confirmation
bought $TSLA off this move lower here and a confirmation hold off #VWAP @alphatrends https://t.co/d73VEsbKau
Crude Drilling Targets Long‑running Pivot, Pressure Rises
Crude drilling into a pivot that’s been in play since 2006. Pressure builds here. $USO $USOIL $OIL $XLE $XOP $OIH https://t.co/g5XbBkgmCd
Iran Commander Declares Hormuz Closed, Threatens Passing Vessels
Iran commander says Strait of Hormuz closed, vows to hit ships trying to pass, report says: CNBC $USO $XLE
Oil Surges 8‑9% as Gasoline Climbs, Yields Steady
Oil jumping to 8-9% gains this afternoon.. gasoline futures up 12 cents. US stocks ~unch with the 10yr 3bps off the HoD.. now near 4.04% https://t.co/XkTx1P5k8G
AOR 60/40 ETF Drops, Sparking Boomer Backlash
60/40 ETF getting slapped around today, though.. $AOR -0.55%.. boomers will be up in arms https://t.co/VDifb3Gz9N
Low‑time‑frame Trades Give Faster Feedback, Easier Shorts
Another easy obvious intra-day set up. Short this time. I guess we just have stick to LTFs until higher time frames stop the chop. So much more effort though. https://t.co/0q6pV4w2WR
Long Oil, Short US Consumer: BNO Up, XLY Down
We remain long of Oil in $BNO terms and short of the US Consumer via $XLY https://t.co/wvSfyWS2xT
ONDS Rebounds,
$ONDS went backward on it once and put in no green to red stop once green. I made a little on it and at this moment in time I don't have shares. Name is back on watch
Questioning the Assumed Decline of Oil & Gas
NEW POST: Are We Sure Oil & Gas Are Fades? https://t.co/a8CQaFm6L7 $UGA $USO $QQQ $SPY $TLT
Peace Returns to VIX Complex Despite Middle East Turmoil
The Middle East may still be in turmoil, but peace has returned to the VIX complex. https://t.co/rNDEVVnd18