Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 jumps 3% for strongest weekly gain in five months as oil eases and Trump signals Iran talks
The S&P 500 surged 3% on Tuesday, delivering its best weekly performance since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was sparked by President Donald Trump’s comments on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF remains 7% below its January peak, while AMD posted a 2.5% monthly gain.
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rose 1 % as a broad tech rally unfolded, led by semiconductors and supported by gains in internet and software stocks. Short‑covering in non‑profitable, heavily shorted tech names amplified the move, indicating traders are re‑entering positions after recent sell‑offs. A chart showed a 99 % correlation between valuation and one‑day price changes, especially for cheaper software stocks vulnerable to AI disruption. Meanwhile, Netflix shares jumped after Warner Bros. Discovery increased its bid for Paramount, adding a sizable termination fee.
Companies are spending more of their revenues on capex, and so far, this hasn’t come at the expense of either dividends or buybacks. At the bottom in 2022, companies were spending 5.4% of their revenues on capex, and that has...
The U.S. money supply has soared nearly 5x since 2000, pushing the cost of living significantly higher — yet most people still prefer dollars over gold & silver. That means the precious metals bull market is still very young,
Spotify’s share price has slipped roughly 33% over the past six months, hovering around $465. Despite the decline, Morgan Stanley and Guggenheim have retained buy ratings, adjusting their price targets to $650 and $600 respectively, which still suggest 30‑35% upside....
The earnings picture has continuedto provide support for this now 40-month old bull market. With Q4 earnings season soon wrapping up (with 425 companies having reported), 75% have beaten estimates by an average of 773 bps. The dollar estimate has...
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today Adobe $ADBE Palo Alto $PANW Trade Desk $TTD Novo Nordisk $NVO Autodesk $ADSK $ADP Accenture $ACN Dutch Bros $BROS Check Point $CHKP Cognizant $CTSH $EPAM Fair Isaac $FICO Flutter Entertainment $FLUT Infosys $INFY Blue Owl $OWL Paychex $APYX Planet Fitness $PLNT Atlassian $TEAM Toast $TOST Zillow $Z
After‑hours trading on Tuesday saw mixed reactions across sectors as Workday’s Q1 subscription outlook missed forecasts, dragging its stock down nearly 10%, while Lucid Group’s wider‑than‑expected loss and a 12% U.S. workforce cut pushed its shares lower than 4%. Conversely,...
Whether this benign broadening will continue depends largely on whether the Mag 7 can hold on to its trading range. So far it has, but should support be taken out at the range lows I could easily see another 10%...
The chart below shows that the equal-weighted S&P 500 has outperformed the Mag 7 by 12% over the past 3 months. The last time that happened was in the fall of 2024, and the time before was the spring of...
Payments platform Stripe is reportedly exploring a purchase of PayPal or selected assets, according to Bloomberg. PayPal, valued at over $40 billion, saw its shares jump nearly 7% on the news, while Stripe itself carries a $159 billion valuation. The move comes...
Another week, another headline bombshell. Such has been the norm during the past year or so. But charts are charts, and there is a lot we can learn from them in order to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio. What do...
Snowflake (SNOW) shares are clawing back losses ahead of its Feb. 25 earnings, where analysts expect a 27% year‑over‑year revenue jump to $1.25 billion and a narrower loss of $0.65 per share. The stock remains more than 30% below its year‑to‑date high,...
The dollar index rose modestly as a two‑week low yen boosted USD/JPY and stronger US consumer confidence lifted the greenback. Dec S&P composite‑20 home‑price data also outperformed expectations, while a rally in the yuan limited gains. The euro slipped on...
$IRDM continuing off that strong base. These guys are the only global low earth orbit (LEO) satellite company. Big name in the space race.
🔴 NVIDIA EARNINGS EVE — Feb 24, 2026 $NVDA reports Q4 FY2026 tomorrow after close. The stock at ~$190 has been locked in a $170–$195 range for 6 months despite delivering record quarters every time. Tomorrow, one number changes everything —...
Finviz’s latest treemap visualizes today’s capital flows across four major sectors. Technology stocks dominate the green area, registering the strongest percentage gains, while consumer‑cyclical firms display a mixed green‑red pattern. Healthcare appears largely stable, with modest green pockets, and financials...
The largest multi state cannabis companies have announced meaningful refinancings (with relatively good terms - interest rates and maturities) over the last two weeks - presaging, in our view, a much anticipated and favorable rescheduling decision by the Administration. The "refinancing...
Yes, altho if you look at flows since Jan 2024 it STILL ranks #5 overall (only superhuman Vgrd ETFs did more), even after all this destruction. All told bitcoin ETF flows are still net net +$55b altho you'll be hard-pressed...
The article "WHAT'S GOING ON UNDER THE COVERS?" teases an investigative look at hidden dynamics shaping today’s market landscape. It promises visual data, likely through the featured graphic, to uncover trends that aren’t immediately visible. While the full text isn’t...
ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
📺 $MSFT BIG LESSON & A BROADER MEGA CAP LOOK The recent decline in $MSFT was highly tradable and avoidable if you respected technical signals. It was a sequence of textbook warning signs: 1. The Double Top at $555–$553 2. The Unfilled Gap 3. Support →...
If you missed my client post November 26: "Sell The Rumor of Consumer Cyclical Slowdown; Buy The News." Or December 12: "ROTATION & RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS" Or January 6th: "2025: METALS ARE THE NEW OIL 2026: BOOMER STOCKS ARE THE NEW INFLATIONARY ASSETS" HALO has...
If you could plot "vibes" vs SPX price action, yesterday had to be an outlier Sure software and payments were down - but the SPX really didn't care Thats the dispersion that everyone has been talking about for weeks If SPX<6,800 then maybe...
The next bull market may not be American. Dollar weakness changes leadership. If the dollar is in a structural bear, global diversification stops being optional. Capital rotates. Narratives lag. Read the full framework: https://t.co/RJWIidZeAI @DynamicAlphaSol
We bounced today… but we’re still trapped between 6800 and 7000 on the S&P 500. I’m watching: 📈 $NVDA into earnings 📈 $AMD near key support 📈 Yields drifting lower 📈 $VIX back under 20 This range is going to resolve soon. Full breakdown: https://t.co/wvDXift1wY
🆓 Tuesday links: narrative-loving investors, the end of the DAT boom, and growing demand for elevators. https://t.co/vZ3ezyQCtk chart: https://t.co/tgBy66cSK7 https://t.co/E3cZ7Gtawi
If u weren’t caught. There was a tiny tactical RDR in $msft for cash flow. $383.10 was the pivot. It might not have been more than a day trade. But some make a living finding those https://t.co/Ki0yu8TXyn
Over the past four months, the S&P 500 has traded in less than a 7% range. This is about as tight as things usually get, meaning a bigger move is likely over the coming months. Will it be up or down? https://t.co/vzY9JAuphI
SPX tight 3-month range of 4.3%.. and it's smack in the middle of it https://t.co/9KwEPpi3uu
UBS’s Matt Mish lays out a scenario for credit involving “rapid, aggressive AI disruption.” US high yield, leveraged loan & private credit default rates could rise to 3–6%, 8–10%, & 14–15%, respectively: Mish. “Defaults could approach ~$420bn, w/losses of roughly...
Just a thought...but tomorrow could feature some absolute wild reshuffling rotations if Trump even hints at limiting AI
Interesting… Ritholtz filing for first ETF. Trend following strategy. I like the Goaltending name/concept (a la Granny Shots another bball metaphor). Ben and Mike are the PMs. One to watch.
Both the NYSE Advance-Decline line and the S&P500 Advance-Decline line closed at their highest levels ever on Friday.
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/BjOhiFzufn Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @AlphaPicks @TaviCosta @0xkyle__ @SamRo @SubuTrade @SnippetFinance @OptimizedPort @topdowncharts
Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...
🔬 Research links: the problem with macro data, why bots love bad news, and how to use calendar-based strategies. https://t.co/gUmyuaWsPO chart: https://t.co/9NGWAEXTU1 https://t.co/QufnB6WSHu
$QQQ Daily. Sideways for 5-6 months and now Nasdaq becoming even more indecisive short-term with pennant forming. $600-$620 rough range https://t.co/EP70gR3L5H
Wow, a respondent to the Dallas Fed's Service Sector report said that the prices they're paying for memory chips have jumped 50% in the last two weeks https://t.co/RdULT0epp4
Americans 55 & older now control: 45% of consumer spending 74% of the wealth What does this mean for the next generation, the housing market or the stock market? Some thoughts: https://t.co/tnQSK0khDB https://t.co/7BBPkFGnml
$spy morning glance as $680 range support helps again while we get a few RDR tactical buys in broken areas for cash flow https://t.co/avz7fuVMj0
US Federal Budget Deficit as a % of GDP... 1950s: -0.4% 1960s: -0.7% 1970s: -1.9% 1980s: -3.8% 1990s: -2.1% 2000s: -2.3% 2010s: -4.8% 2020s: -8.3% https://t.co/W7GwqCkcBx
Infrastructure may be the most crowded “safe” trade in markets. Consensus says utilities lag in a growth cycle. Leverage flips that narrative. If rates stabilize, leadership may rotate where few are looking. Read: https://t.co/GYU4HseCXx
$MSTR the March SPX additions and subtractions are less than a month away and the announcement 10 or 17 days away. Why aren't any of the pumpers discussing the potential for addition? Have you given up?
I hadn't realized that $OWL came public via SPAC. It's now right back to its original price. Turns out it was all priced in. EMH undefeated https://t.co/Q6eyG9hYLM
The AI trade isn’t peaking. It’s rotating. Leadership is shifting from chips to control of data + distribution. Most will chase yesterday’s winners. The next phase is structural. Read before consensus catches up: https://t.co/PmCr4t3wZc @ckaiwu @Mela_Schaffer
Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF
Watching Anthropic preso and investors will start to recognize this is an AI Ghost Trade and software/cyber security stocks most oversold I have seen in my career.
Forward P/E Ratios... Colgate $CL: 23.4x Proctor & Gamble $PG: 22.5x Netflix $NFLX: 19.9x 🤔 https://t.co/3B4ig8yjTW
The personal savings rate in the US averaged 4.5% in 2025. History since 1959... https://t.co/umS9AR2N61
Everyone assumes Apple’s lead is secure. But 2026 may test that narrative. Leadership isn’t about new products. It’s about what’s already priced in. Expectations are the real risk. Read closely: https://t.co/L377mvJehE @willrhind @graniteshares
