Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 jumps 3% for strongest weekly gain in five months as oil eases and Trump signals Iran talks
The S&P 500 surged 3% on Tuesday, delivering its best weekly performance since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was sparked by President Donald Trump’s comments on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF remains 7% below its January peak, while AMD posted a 2.5% monthly gain.
Nvidia reported fourth‑quarter results that dramatically outpaced Wall Street expectations, posting $30.1 billion in revenue and GAAP earnings per share of $2.70. The numbers represent a 45% jump in data‑center sales, propelled by soaring demand for its AI‑focused GPUs. The earnings beat sent Nvidia’s shares up roughly 12% in after‑hours trading. Management also raised its full‑year guidance, signaling sustained momentum despite ongoing supply constraints.
The central takeaway from $NVDA's results and April guidance: The most knowledgeable companies in the world when it comes to building AI increasingly believe it will be wildly disruptive. What does "disruptive" mean? It will be messy. Productivity per knowledge worker...
Right Tail Right Now😉 I set up why AI-pressured names like $TRI can stage sharp reflexive rallies And boy did it: +25% We covered lots of chase plays as well as my timing for next wave of volatility within a still fragile market...
U.S. mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest levels since September 2022, yet home sales remain stagnant. A roughly 50% imbalance between sellers and buyers underscores a deep‑seated market freeze. Inventory shortages and lingering affordability concerns continue to suppress demand...
$HOOD - coming to life after a brutal few weeks. Crypto + tech bounce helping restore confidence. Still expansive, but a relief rally may be due.
$RDDT - back at its support zone from June last year (just after the market flash-crash). This is a pivotal point...buyers need to defend it to avoid getting ugly. Bulls need a 165.00+ breakout to restore confidence.
The piece observes that retail investors—dubbed “doomers” for their bearish outlook and “boomers” for their age‑group—now dominate US equity options trading. Their surge has swollen overall volume, steepened put‑call skews and forced market makers to reassess risk models. The author...
This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
In this episode, Neil Freiman and Toby Howell dissect the State of the Union, noting President Trump's focus on a booming economy despite public concerns over affordability and upcoming midterms. They introduce the "halo trade," a shift from high‑growth software...
CRM and NVDA report tonight. I think the VRP in software stocks is interesting, as the vol is now higher that during the Apr 24 crash. Options spreads could do well even if the stocks disappoint. You can see this in...
Home Depot reported a 13% drop in Q4 net earnings to $2.6 billion as a stalled housing market curtails home‑improvement spending. CEO Ted Decker said consumers lack confidence, delaying large projects despite low mortgage rates and ongoing price cuts in new...
🚨Have US stocks PEAKED? The US stocks versus emerging market equities ratio has been falling for the last 15 months, after peaking in November 2024. Over this period, emerging market stocks have returned +48% while the S&P 500 delivered just +15%👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
The Nasdaq‑100 is showing a repeat of a historic pattern where the index climbs while fewer components stay above their 200‑day moving average, a signal that preceded >20% corrections in 2021 and 2024. The metric has again slipped, and the...
What happened to the stock market? The market rally has come to a HALT. Earnings and innovation are not the problem, liquidity is.
All eyes on $NVDA heading into tomorrow which technically DID make its highest close of 2026 today, but yet could face some headwinds from a cycle composite which is "not too bullish" starting next month https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm Important to keep a close eye...
The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
Breadth looks set to contract near-term per the A-D line, but that's not necessarily bearish. It just puts more pressure on the megacaps to stage a relative recovery #fairleadstrategies https://t.co/bbTJhh0egy
The AI Infrastructure Trade is alive and well. The bar was high going into $NVDA earnings. Most investors were expecting the high end of the April revenue guide would imply around 70% yy growth. The actual guide high end implies...
$NVDA gave a monster guide. High end of April quarter revenue guide implies 79% y/y growth vs. Street at 64%.
Just a reminder. With the KOSPI all but a semiconductor ETF in drag, tonight's Nvidia news will have serious global ripples.
Yes, some Hindenburg Omens triggered near major peaks. But a lot didn't. Don't get sucked into this clickbait. When semis are at ATHs, don't get too bearish. https://t.co/zLh8chvvQx
Similar to the November lows, when they all start saying the word Hindenburg often, you know we are close to lows. We've seen 225 Hindenburg Omens since 1970 and if you look closely you'll see the great majority of them...
The S&P 500 is currently up on the month on a total return basis. This would be 10 months in a row stocks were higher. It is simply amazing how much fear and worry we are seeing with this happening.
Only the Growth Managers that understood the Sector Shifts are hitting new all-time highs today
Bolted to the chair. Here we go in Real-Time Alerts, helping you risk manage the market close https://t.co/nFq99grnJy
Great to be on @CNBCTheExchange with @KellyCNBC discussing what to expect from Nvidia and the Godfather of AI Jensen and Nvidia with tonight’s key earnings. Also walking thru the “AI Ghost Trade” black cloud over the software sector and how...
Outgoing Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic signals greater concern about the institution's independence than the more anodyne statements typically offered by his colleagues when the subject comes up He says there's an ongoing threat and the outcome is genuinely uncertain https://t.co/ntwkE73UgE
two thoughts: 1) viral blog post shorting in the hole? 2) funds, apparently short these stocks, helped with the article 🤔? clarification needed. tbd but fun to watch. https://t.co/SCzhCMC5Fo
Just keeps going $FORM Seeing this Co-Packaged Optics discussed across a bunch of big winners this year https://t.co/sosRLrP3tq
$SPY would have to decline to 688.35 and $QQQ to 608.99 to fill this morning’s gaps. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is. https://t.co/jdkTxguib0
EVERCORE: “.. Trump has not emphasized the $2,000 ‘tariff rebate’ checks since earlier this year, suggesting that at least for now this has fallen off the agenda ..” 😔 https://t.co/EN0kaph84R
Despite Large-cap Technology stocks down over the past 4-5 months, both the Mid-cap Tech and Small-cap Tech indexes keep hitting new all-time highs this week. https://t.co/X2wjg3v8Qp
$ECG monster move today, a favorite small cap wrote on last year, up 26% to new highs
Just a reminder that after the close today the market narrative is likely to change and with that so will investor confidence and their decisions.
Uber isn’t building robotaxis. It’s aggregating them. That changes everything. $UBRL may be a leveraged bet on the entire AV ecosystem. Read why: https://t.co/uYTNGDwJMe @willrhind @graniteshares
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Country Exposures Continue To Outperform $SPY Monkeys https://t.co/xvYrId3oap via @hedgeye
I suppose that now that the team at Goldman thinks this is true, it must be...
International vs US stocks... fresh highs back to June 2023 on $VEU vs $SPY @stockcharts https://t.co/aAmaYUIj34
Yes, stocks in the US have been choppy so far this year. But looking at a four-year Presidential cycle, this is actually quite common for mid-term years. https://t.co/gX328BtAzw
$jpm did a tactical RDR around the 200day for active cash flow. There were many yesterday. Trim if u held some - or just take the day and a half trade. Same tactic happened in $MSFT and $hood....
Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots I wrote about this for clients Tues: https://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y
$SPX futures are up 18 after the range held again yesterday, with 6815 proving support. Now we see if it can clear 6916 and hold it ahead of $NVDA earnings tonight, with the top end of the range at 6993–7002....
The share of S&P 500 names moving more than 10% in a single day has increased, and high dispersion and low implied correlation suggest stocks are increasingly trading on their own fundamentals - Torsten at Apollo https://t.co/wgshI0i288
Dr. Copper inflates again and we remain long of it in $CPER terms @RPKent $HBM https://t.co/amj1QWvmMl
Wed, Feb 25 at 5:16 AM The S&P Short Range Oscillator remained modestly overbought at 1.26% v 1.03% . @dougkass @thestreetpro
we're in the midst of the second weakest week of the year for Nasdaq $QQQ stocks and '26 has been no exception... #seasonality https://t.co/xa65cuEhCz
991 of the Russell 2000s companies have reported an aggregate y/y EPS acceleration of +24%
Long Industrials $XLI up another +1.2% (back towards all-time highs) yesterday and already +14.1% in Q1-to-date
Bonds may be setting up the surprise of 2026. Equities own the narrative. Duration owns the asymmetry. If growth cools, fixed income becomes leadership. Framework here: https://t.co/NWtS4ggYI5 @JDHatfield_ICAP @InfraCap
