Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 may find a 6,000 floor by May, analyst says
Analyst Mark Hulbert predicts the S&P 500 could settle around 6,000 by May, marking the low point of the current market correction. He cautions that the brief rally on March 31 and April 1 was typical of weak markets and may not indicate a lasting recovery.
In this urgent episode of Reuters Morning Bid, hosts Carmel Crimmins and Amanda Cooper dissect the fallout from a wave of US and Israeli strikes that killed Iran’s supreme leader, sparking Iranian drone and missile retaliation. They highlight the immediate market focus on energy, noting Brent crude hovering near $72 and the risk of a Strait of Hormuz shutdown that could send oil prices soaring. The discussion expands to broader market implications, with risk assets likely to sell off while safe‑haven assets such as gold, the yen and government bonds could rally. They warn that heightened volatility will compound already fragile investor sentiment amid AI disruptions and tariff uncertainties.
Top Wall Street analysts highlighted three dividend‑paying energy stocks—Williams Cos., MPLX and Energy Transfer—each offering attractive yields and growth catalysts. Williams raised its quarterly dividend 5% to 52.5 cents, delivering a 2.84% yield, while analysts see 12‑13% EBITDA CAGR through...
⚠️China is indeed DUMPING US Treasuries: China’s holdings of US government bonds dropped -$75.5 BILLION in 2025, to $683.5 billion, the lowest since September 2008, the Financial Crisis. Since the 2013 peak, holdings have fallen -$633.2 BILLION.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/china-sold-a-significant-amount-of-us-treasuries-in-2025
⚠️US technology stocks have PEAKED: The ratio of US Technology, Media, and Telecommunications to the US stock market ex. tech has fallen sharply over the last few weeks. This marks the most violent move since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble BURST.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
LSI Industries announced a definitive agreement to acquire Royston Group for $325 million in cash and stock, a deal it describes as transformational for its retail‑solutions platform. The acquisition adds five U.S. manufacturing sites, boosting capacity by roughly 40 % and expanding...
Looking at the past 20 years, it is perfectly normal for S&P 500 weakness in late February and into mid-March, then a major low forms. Yes, 2009 and 2020 are a big reason why, still worth noting. https://t.co/di2DeekJx8
🚨 OPERATION EPIC FURY — Feb 28, 2026 US and Israel launched a massive military campaign against Iran at 1:15 AM ET. Regime change is the stated goal. Iran retaliated, striking US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and UAE. US officials say...
Lionsgate (LION) jumped 9.09% to $9, extending a five‑day winning streak as investors positioned ahead of a scheduled business update. CFO Jimmy Barge will speak at Morgan Stanley’s Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on March 4, where market participants expect guidance...
Crescent Energy (CRGY) surged 7.76% to $11.66 after reporting a full‑year swing to profitability, posting $132.9 million net income versus a $114.6 million loss a year earlier. Revenue rose 22% to $3.58 billion, while production averaged 260 MBoe/d, beating guidance. The fourth‑quarter loss narrowed...
SM Energy’s shares jumped 9.5% after the company announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.22 per share, following a $950 million asset sale and a 14% reduction in capital spending. The firm also launched a $500 million share‑buyback program,...
National Storage Affiliates Trust reported a Q4 core FFO of $0.57 per share, hitting the high end of its guidance, while same‑store revenue decline narrowed to 0.7% from a 2.6% drop in Q3. Occupancy showed year‑over‑year improvement in January, indicating...
Will the Gold and Silver Crash Bring Back Treasuries as the Risk-Off Trade of Choice? Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/will-the-gold-and-silver-crash-bring
Procore Technologies (PCOR) is trading around $48.86 with a forward P/E of 42.7, while its EV/Sales multiple has compressed from roughly 20× to about 5×. The company is pivoting to an AI‑powered platform called Procore Helix, which aims to turn...
I warned IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN - 2 weeks ago setting up for clients how to protect. And then last week: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In, Still Then Friday morning live & in this Weekend Risk client post: "I’m racing...
Spot vol beta in the VIX complex was relatively hot yesterday. Nothing insane, but more towards the high end of what we usually see. S&P closed down about 60bps, VIX up about a vol point /VX up about 4%. Strong...
Morgan Stanley’s equity research team highlighted a shortlist of overweight stocks it believes have significant upside heading into March, including AI leader Nvidia, power‑equipment maker Cummins, Singapore‑based Grab Holdings, Nasdaq, and Citigroup. The bank cited strong earnings momentum, rising AI...
Equal-weighted SPX is holding up despite the Software/Mag 7 decline now spreading to NVDA and to Banks. Resilient... but Financials have been drubbed this year. Here's @IBDinvestors @marketsurge new charts of $KBWB Banks- https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm I discuss Financials & when i...
The best earnings report in semiconductor history erased $450 billion in two days. Bonds rallied through hot inflation. Gold hit its best month since 2012. Defensives surged while tech sold off. The regime is changing. https://t.co/n37OTbPZWx
The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 521.28 points, or 1.05%, to finish at 48,977.92 after a hotter‑than‑expected producer price index showed 0.5% inflation in January. The broader market fell, with the S&P 500 down 0.43% and the Nasdaq off 0.92%, as...
“The three most important indicators are price, price, price.” Clint Sorenson explains how technicians cut through narratives and stay aligned with what the market is actually doing. Our latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast is now live. https://t.co/G8eAZWdOcL https://t.co/HlZFSdvMf7
Our community is buzzin' about this 5 min clip from this week's Macro Pro Q&A Show https://t.co/MxH68qpK7Y
The Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) slipped 55 basis points despite concerns over XYZ’s 40% cost‑cut announcement. Semiconductor and software indices fell in tandem, indicating no clear sector rotation. Growth‑at‑a‑reasonable‑price (GARP) and quality stocks outperformed, led by Netflix’s 12% jump, Spotify’s 2% gain,...
February... Silver $SLV: +13% Energy $XLE: +10% Gold $GLD: +9% International Developed $VEA: +6% EM $IEMG: +6% Oil $USO: +3% Bonds $AGG: +2% S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: -2% Financials $XLF: -4% Mag 7 $MAGS: -7% Software $IGV: -10% Bitcoin $IBIT: -22% Fartcoin $FART: -31%
It’s been a while since I’ve seen so much focus on the ISM. Our work has over 15 individual series that lead this data (regressions don’t work well out of sample), between 6 and 18 months and another dozen that...
MP Materials posted a fourth‑quarter revenue of $52.7 million and net income of $9.4 million, buoyed by a U.S. Department of War price‑floor agreement. The company recorded a 12% year‑over‑year increase in rare‑earth oxide concentrate, producing a record 50,692 metric tons, and more...
Come on, Scott - some of us brought up that the gargantuan cap spending will crowd out buybacks of hyperscalers several months ago.... this is not new, its just a narrative to fit the lower stock prices. This is why...
The real market story today is the weakness in financials and not the hyperscalers @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport @dougkass Observe these massive individual financial stock losses: $C -$7 $AXP -$25 $GS -$72 $MS -$13 $APO -$10 Since this is the single largest daily loss, it might...
The Market News International Chicago Business Barometer posted a 57.7 reading, the strongest level since May 2022 and well above analyst forecasts. This marks the second consecutive month the index has stayed above the 50‑point expansion threshold. Core components such...
$DELL - a sight for sore eyes in this market. 20% gap up after earnings. Can it hold?
Scott @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport kindly forward this to Slink, @saraeisen (who has expressed the view that inflation is declining) and your panelists who mostly insist as part of their bullish stance on equities that inflation has been conquered. From Peter Boockvar...
STREAK ON LINE: The S&P 500 is trying to notch its 10th straight positive month on last day of Feb today to secure the 2nd longest streak in the SPY Era (33yrs). It only needs 30bps of gains. Problem is...
The Citrini doom-paper could have marked the bottom for large-cap software, with increasing signs of it being a short-seller paid paper. And maybe software CEOs will slowly but surely follow the Jack Dorsey playbook. Lay off 40 percent of staff,...
The market may be wrong about $IGV, which is down 30% in past few months. Our tech analysts went through and graded stocks for AI vulnerability and AI potential, a select few got green on both (list below) and guess...
JPM: Software (IGV) — Sentiment +10% | Net flows +1.5z | ETF volume +4z (1yr lookback) Semis (SMH) — Sentiment -7% | Net flows -0.3z | ETF volume +1z I call that "green shoots" and made for a great $NFLX long, $NVDA short...
The S&P 500 is headed for its first RED month since April 2025. Meanwhile, GOLD is headed for its 8th consecutive GREEN month. That’s gold’s longest winning streak in history. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/sNJYx0tj3z
I cover this chart in the Update tomorrow My favorite sandwich is peanut butter, jelly, potato chips and banana slices $PBJ Continuation inverted H&S (they do exist skeptics) Target 1X at 58.7, 2X at 68 https://t.co/gDeM5nTRIY Best deal on the street https://t.co/nIjAT6ZSAA
Two days after strong $NVDA earnings, the stock continues to slide, which begs the question: Will fundamentals ever be enough? https://t.co/IJF2dA07mR
$INTC daily basing along the 50ma and below the base top. Still hold it here no change today. Updated chart. https://t.co/BqQrlEX6xR
Having @bethanymac12 on the show to discuss the economy, markets & the issues currently causing volatility like the benefits/consequences of A.I. as well as trends in Private Credit is invaluable. We also hit $FNMA $FMCC. Of course my @Kalshi topic...
$AXP put buying staying constant Hammered this week on the idea that the end of white collar knowledge workers disrupts its card user spending https://t.co/Cd5J3HA4N4
The noise around incoming credit crisis is picking up significantly today .. look APO, KRE, KKR etc
Dow setting up for a decline? This is an expanded triangle, or a horn. Its natural disposition according to Edwards and Magee is for a decline. That is not mandatory, but the more likley outcome $YM_F $DIA https://t.co/bfMgi3hsri
Applied Opto (AAOI) seeing 880 June $85 calls bought $1.5M with stock up 45% on results, a top components play for a while now on the AI buildout Piece I wrote last Aug. https://t.co/WYy1BykzGw
$KKR $ARES starting to see some April opening short puts Need that group to stabilize, was my first red signal a few weeks ago
ARLO and FIGS two top 2026 small caps that hit today, saw about 70 names up over 6% yesterday on that list
SPY early hold of that AVWAP from Nov. lows which has consistently been support in 2026
$DELL crushed #s and raised a lot. as long as above 140 could close HOD and move higher next week... https://t.co/HsaGKCoa3Y
@jimcramer I dont understand your response to the inflation print. It is not positive. And couldnt the short term strength in the 10 year (something you just mentioned) be a flight to quality with rising credit conerns and...
$nvda gave u ur clues yesterday as it failed to hold $192-$194 area. Now, see if it stays below yesterday’s low or reclaims it https://t.co/vIIob7ApK8
$SPX futures were -30 as 6915 failed to hold, and now we see if 6859 (yesterday’s low) holds or not. Tricky action—lots of range-type trades, but no real traction. https://t.co/rUISq4Qyt5
