Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Analyst sees S&P 500 floor at 6,000 amid correction
Mark Hulbert of MarketWatch projects the S&P 500 could find a floor around 6,000 by May, marking the low point of the current market correction. He notes that brief rally spikes, like those on March 31 and April 1, are typical in weak markets and may not signal a sustained recovery.
February proved the year’s second‑worst market month as AI‑related anxieties and rising private‑credit loan‑loss fears weighed on equities. The Producer Price Index jumped 0.5% month‑over‑month and 2.9% year‑to‑date, pushing expectations of near‑term Federal Reserve rate cuts lower. Over the weekend, the United States and Israel struck Iran, killing Ayatollah Khamenei and threatening Strait of Hormuz access, which is set to lift oil prices sharply. The confluence of macro‑inflation data and geopolitical shock is likely to trigger heightened volatility and a flight to safety at the start of March.
Market overview to kick off the new month. So far mixed as traders react to the latest events in the Middle East. Selling doesn't feel panic-ky.
📺 ROTATION INTO WAR-LINKED THEMES? VIP Newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F $SLV and $GLD are up sharply in response to the geopolitical tensions. However, when you get a gap up in metals, you trim. Don’t fall in love with the narrative. Trim into strength,...
The Capital Flows Research team notes that geopolitical instability and AI safety concerns are increasingly overlapping, creating a compounded risk environment. The analyst introduced a new AI-driven mapping tool and released a suite of TradingView indicators to monitor these dynamics....
Maybe, just maybe, there is a cyclical component to the past 5 months of underperformance in the largest names and momentum factors. A turn in the macro cycle usually leads to a turn in market leadership. We went 3 years...
This year is the smallest range EVER for the first two months of a new year at only 2.7% for the S&P 500. Pretty incredible when you look at all the big winners and losers out there, yet, the overall market...
U.S. nonfarm payrolls for February posted a solid gain of 210,000 jobs, nudging the unemployment rate down to 3.6%. The report arrived amid heightened geopolitical tension following the weekend assassination that sparked an Iran‑Israel conflict. Investors grappled with strong labor...
🔴US market short interest is SURGING: Median S&P 500 stock short interest is up to 2.7% of market cap, the highest in at least 10 years, according to Goldman Sachs. The top 10% most shorted stocks now have 7% of their market...
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass
Markets entered March after a volatile week marked by a hot inflation surprise and heightened U.S.–Israel‑Iran tensions that rattled airline stocks and lifted oil prices. The week’s focal point is Friday’s February jobs report, released alongside January retail‑sales data, forcing...
Seeing all the gap higher open war-favorite groups fade here, classic sell the news action
Good to see on a day where there are worries about high oil prices and inflation, other key inputs like housing and food may be cooling
Marriott International (MAR) posted a market cap of $90.6 billion and trades 7.6% below its 52‑week high. Over the past three months the stock rose 12.2%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s roughly 1% gain, and it’s up 10.2% year‑to‑date. The company delivered...
Some focus given to ISM Manufacturing Prices back in 70. In my opinion very misleading for now (and solely based on energy). But the jury is obviously out. I expect a couple of incredibly soft CPI reports coming up.
$nvda a great trade this morning for those who watched the #630club. Software was decent also 💪
East West Bancorp (EWBC) disclosed notable insider sales in early February 2026, with CEO Ng Dominic offloading 50,000 shares worth about $5.9 million and Director Molly Campbell selling 1,800 shares valued at $221,000. The transactions reduced their ownership stakes by 6 percent...
Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts
Second strong ISM NO print in a row. I'm not bullish, I'm BROADish. We see macro and micro breadth improving into 2027. Benefits to value, cyclicals, active management. https://t.co/geofWJYULy
Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan raised Globe Life's price target to $171, keeping an Overweight rating. The adjustment follows the firm's latest fourth‑quarter guidance, which aligned with consensus but prompted a broader reduction in earnings estimates for peers. Insider activity...
CPI and PPI translations into PCE suggest core prices in January rose around 0.43%, give or take. That would be the highest month-over-month reading since February (which was +0.448%) and annualizes to 5.3%. It corresponds to a 3.1% y/y rate, the highest...
The rise of 0DTE options reshaped index trading — and that evolution is now extending to single stocks. Join us today at 1pm ET as we go live with Mat Cashman of the OCC to break down this structural shift:...
Bank of America downgraded Fox Corporation (NASDAQ:FOX) from Buy to Underperform on February 25, 2026, slashing its price target from $80 to $45. The downgrade centers on uncertainty surrounding upcoming NFL contract renewals and a projected 22% downside to fiscal‑2027...
Russell 1000 $IWB as has been the case every single day in 2026, we're seeing more highs than lows... https://t.co/3E04oJLnNX
$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ
KeyBanc raised Zoom’s price target to $74 from $69 on February 26, 2026, while keeping an Underweight rating, citing a likely pause in margin expansion as the company ramps up product development and sales spend. Despite enterprise and online growth...
I guess the dollar is still a safe haven currency despite all the boomers saying its time as king is over
Mostly red arrows around the world as weekend Middle East events have the “war time trade” in motion, with silver/gold/oil higher and $SPX futures -70. Key is whether $SPX holds 6780–6790 to keep the upper range intact, or if it...
On February 26, 2026, Travelers executives Maria Olivo and David Rowland sold 10,400 and 4,731 shares respectively, generating roughly $3.19 million and $1.46 million in proceeds and trimming their ownership stakes by 8% and 11%. The same day, Morgan Stanley lifted its...
While gas prices will get all the attention, it is worth pointing out the near 15% increase in heating oil this morning.
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"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha
VOLUME: started to re-accelerate on the down move on Friday - market signals started to see this coming https://t.co/icB6jWACQR
Good time to dust off the Chart of Fears. Yes, what is happening now is confusing and scary. But we've seen many other times like this and stocks have always moved from bottom left to upper right. https://t.co/H9xMLrLKC1
Further to the prior post: A classic initial market reaction to this weekend’s eruption of military conflict in the Middle East: Oil has surged over 10%, the Dollar has strengthened, and Dow futures have opened down some 500 points. #economy #markets #oil...
The Roth IRA limit is $7,500 for 2026. That's $145/week. If you invest $145/week in an S&P 500 index fund for 30 years, you'll spend $225,000 of your own money. But at retirement you should have $1.4 million. That’s the power of compound interest.
Markets are back in crisis mode with the US–Israel strikes on Iran dominating headlines: global risk assets are reacting, oil prices are spiking, and S&P volatility is alive. Join us LIVE at 6pm EST as we break down how ES futures...
🚨 UPDATE: On February 2nd I told you to buy OIH and XLE. Since then: OIH: +14% XLE: +10% Crude oil: 7-month highs And in my opinion, we’re just getting started. Here’s why I’m not selling yet:
Goldman Sachs down 7.5% in a single day. From $985 to $860 in three months. Meanwhile, a UK mortgage lender just collapsed. Private credit contagion is spreading across the Atlantic. This isn’t a correction. It’s a credit event hiding in plain sight.
2027 EPS up another couple bucks the past two weeks. Yes, the headlines are scary, but this is why this bull market is alive and well. https://t.co/G1hArdVPz9
AAII bears>bulls two weeks in a row NAAIM lowest since May '25 Historic shorts on software 10-day equity put/call ratio highest since after Liberation Day Record equity outflows from institutions One of smallest ranges to a year ever Now here's two of the better months on...
The S&P 500's advance/decline line hit a new high on Friday. I'm pretty old fashioned, but I still think that is a good sign. https://t.co/6slLIZINHZ
Futures open down only 1% for the S&P 500. Bollinger Bands are about as tight as they've been in years. The spring is coiling. How many think it'll be volatility to the upside? https://t.co/QMWz06txWk
YARDENI: “.. in our short-war scenario, oil prices should fall in the coming weeks after a ceasefire .. boosting US consumer spending and benefiting global economies .. The weekend’s Middle East developments make us even more confident in our Roaring...
The carry trade has everything to do with leverage. And I encourage you to study Yen behavior during US stock market tail events.
I know the Nasdaq with no Tech is like having Kool-aid, no sugar. Peanut butter, no jelly. Ham, no burger (Daaamn). But the Nasdaq Ex-Tech just closed at new all-time high on a daily, weekly and monthly closing basis. https://t.co/3ASLrrLbLk
Chart of the week More important than Gold or Crude Oil More important than Iran or any other "Trumped-up" event This chart will set the tone for financial markets for months to come https://t.co/pw41RjkqT7
A sharp oil spike to those levels would likely result in a one-variable stock market like we initially saw during the 1990’s Persian Gulf War. Stocks under pressure until oil prices come back down. https://t.co/8DQZhDYXqo
In this episode, we sit down with Piper’s Head of Options Strategy, Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in a tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic...
Was great to be on a panel down @iconnections_io in Miami hosted by @GuyAdami w/ @VD718 & Meredith Whitney. We discussed the U.S. consumer & economy & the impact of A.I. on markets. We hit "Private Credit" & "Gold is...
