Today's American Stocks Pulse
Goldman Sachs lifts S&P 500 year‑end target, dismisses bubble fears
Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for the S&P 500’s year‑end level, citing continued earnings strength, and said the market is not in a bubble. Analysts also note a potential melt‑up could push the index toward 8,000 if momentum holds.
Beyond the Momentum - Selling the Greed
U.S. equity markets surged for a third straight week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 all posting new all‑time highs. The Nasdaq logged a 13‑session winning streak, its longest run since 1992, while crude oil prices plunged about $20 to settle near $83.80 per barrel. The rally was initially fueled by a reported 10‑day cease‑fire in the Middle East and President Trump’s claim that Iran had agreed to suspend its nuclear program. Subsequent clarification that Iran never consented and the re‑closure of the Strait of Hormuz tempered optimism.
This Rare Stock Market Signal Has Only Appeared 3 Times in 76 Years—And This Time Is Different
The S&P 500 has recorded three consecutive weeks of at least 3% gains, a pattern that has only occurred twice before in the past 76 years. Both prior instances—in September 1982 and June 2020—were followed by extraordinary multi‑year bull markets, delivering 34.5% and...
Update From the Flightdeck
Equities rallied to record highs in April, led by mega‑caps that jumped 20% and even defensive staples joining the upside. The rally came despite oil rebounding above $90 a barrel, a firmer dollar and higher bond yields that still signal...
Record Highs, Record Earnings, and a Strait That May or May Not Be Open
U.S. equity markets surged to new highs, with the S&P 500 closing above 7,100 and the Nasdaq posting an 11‑day winning streak, its longest since 1992. Major banks delivered record earnings: JPMorgan posted $5.94 EPS on $50.5 billion revenue, Goldman Sachs...
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Shares Jump 16.7% on Strong Q4 Earnings and Aggressive 2026 Guidance
Marriott Vacations Worldwide reported a Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.86, beating estimates by 9%, and projected 2026 adjusted EPS of $7.43, 8.2% above consensus. The results sparked a 16.7% share surge to $68 as investors focused on disciplined cost...
Autoliv Q1 2026 Revenue Up 6.8% to $2.75B, China & India Drive Growth
Autoliv (NYSE:ALV) posted first‑quarter 2026 revenue of $2.75 billion, a 6.8% year‑over‑year increase, and non‑GAAP earnings of $2.05 per share, beating consensus by 11.4%. The growth was anchored by strong sales in China and India, even as the company faced margin...
Iran‑Hormuz Standoff Sends U.S. Stocks Tumbling as Oil Nears $90
Traders brace for volatility as Iran warned ships in the Strait of Hormuz would be treated as cease‑fire violators, sending oil prices toward $90 and eroding gains in the S&P 500.
S&P 500 Surpasses 7,000 as Iran Cease‑Fire Sparks $28 B Inflow and TINA Revival
Wall Street pushed the S&P 500 above the 7,000 mark after an Iran cease‑fire, prompting a $28 billion net inflow into U.S. equities and a resurgence of “There Is No Alternative” (TINA) positioning. The rally, driven by easing geopolitical risk and...
S&P 500 Rebounds From 7% Loss to +4.5% YTD
On March 30, the S&P 500 was down 7% in 2026, the 12th worst start to a year in history. After one of the biggest 3-week rallies ever, it's now up +4.5% YTD and above the average year at this...
Stocks Should Fall More Amid Straits Closure Warning
I say this with complete humility, stocks should probably be down a lot more tonight, with news the Straits are closed. June E-mini should be down >$100, but the way things are going, if I wake up tomorrow and they...
J.P. Morgan Holds Blackstone at $142 Target Amid Valuation Concerns
J.P. Morgan analyst Ken Worthington maintained a Hold rating on Blackstone Group, setting a $142 price target. The rating reflects concerns over the firm's valuation relative to its recent earnings growth, even as quarterly revenue rose to $4.36 billion.
S&P Hits Record as Oil Plunges Amid Iran Tensions
The S&P just hit a RECORD HIGH. Oil crashed 13% in a week. Iran says the Strait is "completely open." Hapag-Lloyd and Maersk won't send ships through. The ceasefire expires TUESDAY. And the Navy just put 5-inch gun rounds into...
Markets Clash as Ceasefire Deadline Looms
Banks crushed earnings. Oil crashed 11% in a day. Gold refused to sell off. The Nasdaq just posted its longest winning streak since 1992. Something has to give. The ceasefire expires Wednesday. https://t.co/1ewAQlpSy4
Capital One to Unveil Q1 2026 Earnings on Tuesday, Investors Eye Growth and Margin Trends
Capital One Financial announced that it will release its first‑quarter 2026 earnings on Tuesday. The market will compare the upcoming results to a Q4 that posted $3.86 EPS and $15.62 billion in revenue, while also weighing recent analyst downgrades and a...
New Highs or 7‑Day Streak Signal 18% Annual Gains
Two to think about 1.) S&P 500 new high in April? Full year up 18 out of 19 times and up 18.8% on avg. 2.) S&P 500 7-day win streak? Full year higher 19 out of 20 times and up (once again)...
Nasdaq's Fastest 40‑year Swing Fuels 12% S&P Rally
The Nasdaq just posted its fastest oversold-to-overbought swing in 40 years while oil spikes $5 on Middle East tensions. The S&P 500 is up 12% in three weeks. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/Y24djSuQYp
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Futures Fall as US-Iran Tensions Flare up Again to Shutter Hormuz
U.S. stock futures slipped about 0.4% on Monday as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz sparked fresh geopolitical risk. The escalation followed a U.S. Navy seizure of an Iranian vessel and Tehran’s abrupt shutdown of traffic through the...
S&P 500 CAPE Hits 40, Tops 99% Historic Levels
The S&P 500's CAPE Ratio has moved up to 40, its highest level since 2000 and now above 99% of historical valuations. $SPX https://t.co/uhUt33SCp5
Historic S&P Rally Unlinked to Bear Market Cycle
The 11.9% gain in the S&P 500 over the last 3 weeks was the 13th biggest 3-week gain for the index since 1950. What's unique about this rally? It's the only example in the top 20 that did not occur either during...
Wall Street Just Sent Oil Stocks a Brutal Message After Iran’s Move
U.S. equities surged on April 17 after Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz would remain open, easing fears of a supply shock. Brent slipped to about $88.90 a barrel and U.S. crude to $83.08, prompting a rapid sell‑off in oil‑related stocks....
QXO to Buy TopBuild for $17 Bn, Creating Second‑largest U.S. Building Products Distributor
U.S. construction‑supplies distributor QXO agreed to acquire building‑products distributor TopBuild for $17 bn, a mix of cash and stock. The transaction will push combined revenue above $18 bn and rank QXO second among publicly traded distributors in North America.
U.S. Dollar Falls as Iran Ceasefire Hopes Spur Risk‑On Trading
The U.S. dollar slipped against the euro and yen after diplomatic signals raised hopes for a ceasefire in Iran. Traders moved out of safe‑haven assets into equities and emerging‑market bets, prompting a broader risk‑on rally.
The S&P 500 Blowed Past 7,000 in an Epic Comeback Rally. Here’s Why It Ca...
The S&P 500 surged past the 7,000 mark, setting a fresh all‑time high after three weeks of steady gains. The rally was sparked by news that the United States and Iran are cooperating to de‑escalate tensions in the Middle East,...
Breadth Signals Bull Market: AD Line Hits New Highs
Breadth leads price, same as it always has. S&P 500 advance/decline line didn't make new lows in late March, another clue the end wasn't near like so many were telling us. The A/D line moved to new highs last week, yet another...
80% of S&P 500 Above 20‑
S&P 500 stocks above their 20-day MA is over 80% currently. One of the big clues a major low as brewing back then was price broke to new lows in late March, while the number of stocks above their 20-day didn't....
Defensive Large‑Cap Stocks Outshine Growth as Sector Rotation Accelerates in Q1
A wave of sector rotation sparked by the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a stark Goldman Sachs warning on tech valuations propelled defensive large‑cap stocks ahead in Q1, while growth‑oriented names lagged. The shift lifted the S&P 500...
SPX Targets 7473 at Next 3.0 Fibonacci Extension
$SPX - Pay attention to the intermediate term tops it has made at extensions of the 2022 bear market. The July 2024 top at the 1.618 extension. The February 2025 top at the 2.0 extension. The January 2026 top at...
Record Earnings, AI Surge, Dovish Fed Signal Bullish Year
Good time to recall that only 12 times (the dirty dozen) have stocks lost more than double digits during the year and all of them had some very bad things happen. This year we have record earnings and profit margins, AI...
Chinese EV Makers Overtake Tesla, Sparking U.S. Auto Stock Revaluation
Chinese electric‑vehicle giants BYD and Geely have eclipsed Tesla in global sales, while Canada slashed tariffs from 100% to 6.1% and Europe shifts to price‑minimum rules. The surge forces U.S. investors to weigh the impact on domestic automakers and related...
SPY Gap May Fill; DIA Shows Reversal Confirmation
GAP SYNCHRONY Distance vs. Friday Close: SPY: 702.78 (1.3%) RSI 73.5 QQQ: 642.18 (-1.2%) RSI 74.5 DIA: 486.6 (-2.1%) RSI 69 Daily Volume validating reversal candles, mostly on DIA. Healthy consolidation ahead. Will the $686.3 gap be filled for SPY? (-3.7% downside).
Stock Market Records, Iran Updates, and Tesla Earnings: What to Watch This Week
U.S. equities surged to fresh all‑time highs last week, with the S&P 500 up 4.5% and the Nasdaq gaining 6.8% despite lingering uncertainty over Iran‑U.S. talks. The market’s optimism is underpinned by strong risk appetite and a rotating focus toward cyclical...
Stocks Overvalued, Crypto Slumps Amid Hormuz Tensions
⚠️ S&P 500 hit a RECORD HIGH Friday. BTC bled from $77,957 peak to $75,236 across the weekend. Meanwhile: Iran formally SHUT the Strait of Hormuz. Tankers under fire. US prepping to board Iran-linked ships (WSJ). Something gives in 72 hours. I...
SPX Surges 12% as VIX Plunges 40%
SPX is up 12% in under 3 weeks, and VIX is down 40% since March. What actually drove this rally? Read the full breakdown, and discover how to position for the week ahead: https://t.co/pjlGkluggt
MaxLinear Shares Tumble as Analysts Doubt AI‑driven Data‑center Strategy
MaxLinear Inc. saw its shares swing more than 12% lower as Wall Street analysts questioned the company’s AI‑centric data‑center connectivity plan. Despite a 30% revenue jump in 2025 and new 1.6 Tbps products, analysts cite execution risk and a $102 million operating...
Markets Surge, Volatility Crush, Record Low Put‑call Ratio
SPX +12% in 2 weeks NDX +13 days in a row of pos returns - longest since '13 Vol crush: VIX,VVIX,SDEX, post Iran lows at OPEX Record PC ratio lows driven by big mecacap call volume while no one wanted puts... https://t.co/4BRBOUbPjR
Most SPY Stocks Near New Highs, Expect Surge
$SPY - Messing with some data this morning. Fun Breadth Facts.... 124 Stocks within 5% of New Highs 10 Stocks Within 5% of New Lows We could see an explosion in new highs very soon...
S&P Global Cuts Nike Forecast as Profitability Pressure Mounts
S&P Global downgraded Nike to a negative outlook on April 17, cutting its price target to $48 as the company warned fiscal Q4 sales will decline 2%‑4% YoY. The downgrade follows a flat Q3 revenue of $11.3 billion, a 35% EPS...
New Stock Highs Explained: Optimism for Better Times
Stocks are back to new highs and many wonder how that is possible. In our latest Glass Half Full, Sonu and I discussed why this is happening and why better times could be likely. https://t.co/ZF7kxjqVAL
Industrial Valuations Lag Record Behind S&P 500
S&P 500 sector valuations.. record gap between Industrials and the SPX Index, I hear https://t.co/k2tLMv610Z
Trump‑Led Iran Conflict Boosts Stock Crash Odds as Fuel Prices Surge
A new analysis finds the likelihood of a U.S. stock‑market crash climbing as President Donald Trump’s war with Iran spikes oil prices to $4.16 per gallon. Higher energy costs are feeding inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve into a tighter stance...
Bulls Take Lead as Strait Reopens, Markets Rally
S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Forecast for the Week Ahead- Bulls in Charge as Strait Reopens https://t.co/6xWJdHAsUG #SPX500, $NDX & $DJI Weekly charts https://t.co/8FDRdtqzMG
Russell 2000 EPS Growth Outpaces S&P 500
18% S&P 500 EPS growth seen this year... just 11% for the S&P 500 EW. But 44% for the Russell 2000. GS https://t.co/ZYTwDJ60Km
Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) CEO Sells $5,022,500.00 in Stock
Amazon CEO Douglas Herrington sold 20,500 shares on April 14, generating $5.02 million in proceeds. The sale, made under a Rule 10b5‑1 plan, cut his holding by 3.94% to 499,861 shares valued at roughly $122.5 billion. The transaction comes as Amazon posted Q1...
S&P 500's Rare Six‑of‑Eight Day Gap Surge
The S&P 500 has gapped higher in six of the past eight trading days. Going back to 1982, we've only seen that four times before: June-July 2025 January 2025 August-September 2020 January 2018
Tech Rebounds as Median S&P Lags Record Highs
This measure shows that the median S&P 500 stock is far below its 52wk high, while the Index is at a record. Practically, it points to major sector rotation in the last 3 weeks, with tech stocks coming storming back.. while...
The 1-Minute Market Report, April 19, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz reopened after a two‑week shutdown, instantly easing oil‑supply worries and sparking a broad equity rally. U.S. markets posted three new all‑time highs, with the Nasdaq and micro‑cap indexes leading a 4.5% weekly gain. Growth‑focused sectors—big‑tech, momentum,...
Nasdaq Surges as Markets Overlook US‑Iran Tensions
My article for the week ahead: Nasdaq and Risk Assets Soar as Markets Ignore US-Iran Questions https://t.co/oj3oTBAvsM https://t.co/XKDWaWJJbx
Median S&P500 up 3.8%—still Not Impressive
The Median S&P500 stock is up 3.8% so far in 2026. What's wrong with that?
Berkshire Hathaway Shares Trail S&P 500 as Index Hits Record High
Berkshire Hathaway's Class B shares closed 9.7 percentage points behind the S&P 500 on Friday, marking the widest underperformance of the year. The lag comes despite the broader market rally that pushed the index to an all‑time high, highlighting sector‑specific...
Industrials Now Outpace S&P 500 with 4.6‑point Premium
Industrials now trade at a 4.6-point premium to the S&P 500. Historically, they've traded in line or below the broader market. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/hOtouHjlPA