Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 jumps 3% for strongest weekly gain in five months as oil eases and Trump signals Iran talks
The S&P 500 surged 3% on Tuesday, delivering its best weekly performance since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was sparked by President Donald Trump’s comments on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF remains 7% below its January peak, while AMD posted a 2.5% monthly gain.
Neal and Toby examine why the U.S. trade deficit continues to grow despite the Trump administration's aggressive tariff policy, highlighting the limited impact of tariffs on the broader balance of payments. They then shift to a family dispute over the Reese’s Peanut Butter Cup recipe, with the inventor’s grandson accusing Hershey’s of cutting costs by using cheaper ingredients. The episode also covers Etsy’s sale of its secondhand marketplace to eBay, which investors praised as the Stock of the Week, and Amazon’s rebound after a nine‑day losing streak that erased $450 billion in market value, earning it the Dog of the Week.
The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...
US software megacaps have slumped roughly 30% this year, dragging the S&P 500 to a modest 0.5% gain, while the MSCI ACWI ex‑USA rose 9.1%. By contrast, the S&P 600 small‑cap index posted a 7.9% rise, narrowing the performance gap with global...
The episode examines the impact of the 43‑day government shutdown on U.S. GDP reporting, noting that growth is still projected to be robust despite the delay. It discusses emerging signs that higher‑income households are curbing discretionary spending and outlines what...
Premarket Trading (4:10 AM) @TheStreetPro * Win, lose or draw - I timestamp * I don't bullshit (by sweeping losers under the rug and regaling in my winners) .... I am back shorting the indices: * (SPY) $686.72 By Doug Kass Feb 20, 2026...
The pre‑market implied volatility (IV) report highlights a sharp rise in IV for energy‑related ETFs and stocks as WTI crude climbs above $66, while airlines show elevated IV but balanced call‑put ratios. Unusual option activity spikes on commodities such as...
Recent academic research sharpens the tools investors use to forecast long‑term returns and market risk. Rui Ma et al. show that a market‑cap‑weighted Component CAPE ratio aligns prices and earnings, delivering out‑of‑sample R² above 50 %. Javier Estrada confirms that valuation multiples...
In this episode, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy examines the stark divergence between the US equity market, which remains highly dispersed and volatile, and Europe’s rally driven by record inflows. He highlights the lingering uncertainty in...
For the spectrum of asset classes that I track, equities remain in the middle with modest 52-week Sharpe Ratios, while gold remains on top and Bitcoin at the bottom. Gold continues to exhibit very resilient behavior, recovering quickly from corrections. This...
Software Is Not Dead. It’s Being Mispriced. AI disruption fears, multiple compression, and why embedded platforms may be the real beneficiaries of automation. Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/software-is-not-dead-its-being-mispriced
In this private feed episode, Kevin Muir reviews the latest macroeconomic data and market trends, focusing on recent inflation reports, central bank policy shifts, and emerging market dynamics. He highlights how unexpected CPI readings are reshaping bond yields and discusses...
Quantum eMotion Corp. received approval to list its common shares on NYSE American under the ticker QNC, with trading slated to start around February 24, 2026. The move will see the company exit the OTCQB market while retaining listings on the TSX Venture...
🚨US market concentration BUBBLE in one chart: The top 10 US stocks make up a record 40% of the S&P 500 market value. At the same time, the weight of the largest stock in the S&P 500 relative to the 75th percentile...
The 🔵WTD ⚓️VWAP tells the story of the choppy week in $ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/ihrFlZV1FZ
In this episode, Tyler Crowe, Matt Frankel, and Jon Quast dissect the latest earnings reports from consumer giants like Walmart, Booking Holdings, Etsy, and eBay, highlighting mixed performance across sectors. They analyze eBay’s strategic acquisition of Etsy’s Depop platform and...
10 Friday AM Reads: -Netflix Calls Paramount's Bluff -401k Takeover: Private Equity Muscles In -Billionaires' Low Taxes' Problem for the Economy -Quiet Architect of Trump's Global Trade War -The End of the Office -The US Coup: One Year On -U2 Propaganda Days of Ash https://t.co/cSpLOtlpzu
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Noodles & Company completed an 8‑for‑1 reverse stock split on Feb. 19, 2026, moving its share price from $0.50 to roughly $4.00 to satisfy Nasdaq’s $1 minimum listing requirement. The split was approved by more than 96% of shareholders at a...
$SPX is still holding its channel, it’s an easy tape to overtrade, so stay selective and wait for clean setups. Key levels: support 6780–6790, yesterday’s low 6833, and pivot resistance 6909, with PCE and GDP on deck at 8:30. https://t.co/lvzBNkDdkK
⏰Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY 📷 Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nbz8N https://t.co/LuYuPCBRLU
Booking Holdings announced its first-ever forward stock split, converting each share into 25 shares. The 25‑for‑1 split will take effect on April 6, 2026, after distribution on April 2, with shares trading on a split‑adjusted basis. The move follows a...
One of the most important signals would be a breakout upwards of the Nasdaq. It's stuck in a range, and as long as that happens, there's likely no breakout for #Bitcoin to occur. https://t.co/8BfYJ230T7
Did you know $AAPL broke @Hedgeye TREND Signal Support in the past week? Do you know what its impact was in $SPY yesterday? @t1alpha We call this being Macro Aware https://t.co/vu1biIkQcQ
Recent data show institutional investors have poured a record $158 billion into U.S. equities during the last quarter, even as inflation remains above target and the Federal Reserve signals further rate hikes. The article argues that when the so‑called “smart money”...
Forecasters expect PCE inflation (core and headline) was 0.37% in December (4.5% annualized rate). This would push up the core PCE index to 3.0% over 12 months, the highest since February 2025 Headline PCE is estimated at 2.9%, the highest since March...
Will the stock market melt down if the US economy heats up, banishing traders' hopes for Fed rate cuts? All eyes turn to PMI data to find out. #stockmarkets #USD #fed #pmi #economy #interestrates #macro #trading https://t.co/fgEbuQrjnq
U.S. stock futures were largely flat on Wednesday night after the major indexes posted gains, with the Dow down 0.09%, the S&P 500 down 0.09% and the Nasdaq down 0.1%. Investors focused on Walmart’s upcoming fourth‑quarter earnings, a widely watched...
This is a pretty cool chart to show your investment committee. A classic stock price-to-corporate profits image that reveals extended conditions reminiscent of the turn of the century. If this chart has any prescience, we should remember that the leaders...
“Yes, THAT growth-to-value sector rotation I called in November to last through Feb before volatility Mar into May. THAT was my call and it’s still in play before a massive de-risking in MAG7 and SaaS unwind showed up along with...
Property‑tech companies secured roughly $1.7 billion in January 2026, a 176 % jump from the same month a year earlier. The average deal size more than doubled to about $34 million, reflecting a shift toward larger, later‑stage rounds. Generative AI is identified as...
The consumer staples sector is off to its best start to a calendar year BY FAR. $XLP is up 13.3% so far in 2026. Next best year is 2013 at 7.8%.
Trump is going to have some explaining to do if he goes through all of this commotion and expensive military build up only to walk away with a deal not too dissimilar from Obama's. Oil is up over 6% since...
The United States now carries a public debt exceeding $38 trillion—about 101% of GDP—and projections show it could reach 120% within a decade. Rising interest obligations threaten to crowd out vital programs, notably Social Security, which the Congressional Budget Office warns...
$NBIS +45% since its February lows. Now nearing the highs of its range...can it break out?
Activist investor Nelson Peltz, through Trian Fund Management, has filed with the SEC stating Wendy’s is significantly undervalued and signaling possible actions, including buying more shares to gain control or divesting his stake. The fast‑food chain’s stock has slumped about...
The episode dissects Yelp’s deteriorating business model, highlighting a sharp slowdown in revenue growth and a recent year‑over‑year decline driven by weaker ad clicks and economic uncertainty. It argues that a toxic sales culture, high‑pressure outbound tactics, and a disgruntled...
Interesting commentary from Sonic Automotive on their call and the affordability issues that are still here and possibly about to rise again: “And look, January was a hell of a month. Without the snowstorms, it would have been a magnificent month....
The combination of decent economic data (see last week’s employment data) and the softer inflation report might be anecdotal evidence that the promise of an AI-driven productivity boom (which would lift the economy’s non-inflationary speed limit) is becoming a reality....
U.S. equity indexes slipped on February 19 as Walmart issued a muted earnings outlook and investors grew uneasy about artificial‑intelligence regulatory risks. The Dow Jones fell about 0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.7%, and the Nasdaq slipped roughly 0.9%. Walmart’s guidance...
One positive aspect of the evolution of this market cycle has been how the market has become less reliant on multiple expansion. Earnings and dividends now comprise almost half of the cumulative gains since October 2022, with the P/E expansion...
$SPX is still stuck between 6800 and 7000. But under the surface, $DE exploded higher on earnings, $CVX and $COP broke out with crude oil, and $COIN is showing amplified volatility vs #Bitcoin. Here’s what I’m watching next: https://t.co/bQnwyKMJeh https://t.co/v7DLLL1mYC
$HG been a nice newer issue in Financials, just announced results and special divvy https://t.co/1as8xwX6bo
Great SELL call by McGough @HedgeyeRetail on $CVNA that CNBC failed, once again, to cover
Asking for a friend how small caps are going to perform after everyone piled in long behind the economic reacceleration trade while private credit implodes, the AI capex buffer declines and the Fed remains on hold...
Last week’s CPI report came in soft at 2.4%, which was understandably well received by the bond market. The Truflation index, which has plummeted to a 0.7% year-over-year rate of change, hinted at a softer turn for the CPI. https://t.co/ZsIPypfaNW
“The S&P looks calm… but underneath, it’s churning like crazy.” Great convo with @GinaMartinAdams on concentration risk, price-to-sales extremes, and why 2026 may be a stock picker’s market. 🎙️ Latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast: https://t.co/6P2xtsblvM https://t.co/tohQDT7fRk
Jobless claims update: Another week of low initial claims and stable continuing claims, suggesting no change in the low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. https://t.co/umbJshwxL5
If you were to track the daily net difference between advancing and declining stocks on the NYSE and build a cumulative Advance Decline line, you would see it just hit the highest level in history. https://t.co/Eg6hlzbbe6
More bears than bulls in the AAII poll, first time since the late November low. Also, initial jobless claims at the lowest level this year. Not the worst combo. https://t.co/eMyO6gjFm0
$nvda two day bounce was stronger than most. So watch his this acts for clues. If it’s any good. It should hold yesterday’s low https://t.co/XJBWZ8I5A9
