Today's Bonds Pulse
Bond Yields Surge to 19-Year High, Sparking Stock Market Concerns
The 30‑year Treasury yield climbed to a 19‑year peak while the 10‑year rose from 4.03% to 4.69% before easing to about 4.5%. Goldman Sachs research notes that half‑percentage‑point spikes in yields typically turn short‑term S&P 500 returns negative, heightening correction risk. Inflation is running at 3.8% year‑over‑year, fueling the sell‑off.
CGCP: Plodding Along Doing Its Job, 5% Yield
Capital Group Core Plus Income ETF (CGCP) retains a ‘Buy’ rating, delivering a 5% yield and out‑performing major passive bond funds AGG and BND by 62 basis points over the past two years. The fund’s portfolio is weighted toward investment‑grade assets—36% mortgage‑backed securities, 33% corporates, and 21% Treasuries—resulting in lower drawdowns and stable alpha. With the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates aggressively in 2026, CGCP is positioned for additional capital gains. Since its 2024 launch, total return exceeds 10%.
Rates Slip Even as Inflation Heat Rises
Why did rates and bond yields drop today despite a hot inflation report? #Labor over #inflation. #mortgagerates #realestate #chartdaddy
Druckenmiller Bets on Higher Rates, Cuts AI, Values Sizing
Key takeaways from Druckenmiller - Sees potential for higher long rates thanks to productivity growth - Out of the AI trade at this point - What he learnt from Soros was sizing - Visualizes the future 18-24 months out - Sells if valuation becomes...
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac's Total Portfolio at Multiyear High
Government‑sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac pushed their combined retained portfolio to a multiyear high of $278.45 billion in January, up from $271.69 billion the month before. Fannie’s retained assets rose to $141.64 billion, while Freddie’s mortgage‑backed securities holdings increased to $49.46 billion despite...
Global Debt Hits Record High, Driven by China, US
SCMP: "Global debt climbed to a record high in 2025, rising at the fastest pace since the pandemic, with China and the United States accounting for a large share of the increase, according to a new report." https://t.co/GSQFwnXnb0
Interpreting the Shrinking Term Spread
The 10‑year versus 3‑month Treasury spread has been compressing sharply, as high‑frequency data show a pronounced narrowing. Analysts note that the traditional term premium calculation omits heightened default risk, which is evident in rising U.S. Treasury CDS spreads. When inflation...
New to Building a CD or Bond Ladder?
The author finally built a CD ladder using Fidelity’s automated tool, opting for brokered certificates of deposit to achieve safety and flexibility. By allocating $100,000 into five $20,000 CDs spanning one‑ to five‑year maturities, the ladder can roll over automatically...
NES Fircroft Bondco AS FY25 Annual Results
NES Fircroft Bondco AS released its audited FY25 annual results on 27 February 2026. The company directed investors to its investor‑relations website for the full report and to Oslo Børs NewsWeb for additional details. The filing satisfies Oslo Stock Exchange...
This Advisor Added $3.33 Million to a Bond Position to Balance Nvidia and Apple Holdings
On February 6, 2026 Larson Financial Group LLC disclosed a $3.33 million purchase of 61,408 shares of the JPMorgan Active Bond ETF (JBND), raising its stake to 1.09 % of its 13F assets. The addition increased the fund’s quarter‑end value by $3.27 million...
Goldman Bucks Private Credit Redemption Trend as AI Disruption Fears Mount
Goldman Sachs’ asset‑management arm reported a fourth‑quarter redemption rate of 3.5%, well under the 5%+ seen at peer private‑credit funds. The firm highlighted December inflows that were 11% above its year‑to‑date average, indicating continued investor appetite. Goldman also disclosed that...
Tribes Cheer House Bill
The Tribal Tax and Investment Reform Act of 2026 aims to eliminate a tax‑code provision that blocks tribes from issuing private‑activity bonds for non‑essential projects. By granting tribes the same bond‑issuing powers as states, the bill opens a vast municipal...
Guam GOs Upgraded to BB by S&P
S&P Global Ratings upgraded Guam's general‑obligation rating to BB from BB‑minus, also raising its business‑privilege‑tax and Section 30 bonds to BB‑plus and its certificates of participation to BB‑minus, all with a positive outlook. The upgrade reflects stronger operating performance, rising revenues,...
Two Tribes
The article reflects on the historic reversal of power between bond and equity traders, noting how equities eclipsed fixed‑income revenue after the 1994 bond market collapse. It highlights the cultural divide that still separates the two desks, with bond traders...
European Rate Markets: Eurobonds, By-Elections and the Spring Statement
In this episode, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chaudhia discuss European rate markets, focusing on euro‑area bond issuance, German duration outlook, and UK political developments. They assess the limited near‑term impact of proposed EU defence‑related Eurobonds, maintaining a neutral stance on...
EM-DM Convergence: A Secular Trade on Deglobalization
Bill Campbell argues that deglobalization is creating a secular convergence between emerging‑market and developed‑market sovereign debt. While investors remain fixated on U.S. policy, structural shifts have strengthened EM fiscal positions and left DM yields underpriced. This mispricing opens a yield‑enhancing,...
Australian Bonds Attract Global Hedge Fund Flows as AI Trade Loses Momentum
Global hedge funds are redirecting capital into Australian government bonds as AI‑driven equity valuations lose steam. Inflows to Australian bond funds topped AUD 4 billion in 2025, the strongest in four years, driven by the country’s 4.7% 10‑year yield—the highest among developed...
Inflation Pressures Persist Despite Bullish Equity Outlook
Scott @ScottWapnerCNBC @HalftimeReport kindly forward this to Slink, @saraeisen (who has expressed the view that inflation is declining) and your panelists who mostly insist as part of their bullish stance on equities that inflation has been conquered. From Peter Boockvar...
Sri Lanka’s 1st Blue Bond Dually Listed on NSE IX at GIFT City
Sri Lanka’s DFCC Bank has issued its inaugural LKR 3 billion blue bond and secured a dual listing on the NSE International Exchange (NIX) at GIFT City, marking the first blue bond to trade within India’s IFSC jurisdiction. The bond, originally listed...
Cool PPI Print May Lower Yields, Boost Tech
February 27, 2026 📊 Insight: PPI at 8:30 = inflation read for producers. Cooler print could push yields lower and support growth/tech. Hot number likely pressures rates higher and weighs on high-multiple names. Watch $DXY and 10Y reaction first 5–10 mins. Economic...
MBS Spread Re
After the White House confirmed that Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac would increase their retained MBS by $200B, the 'spread'—which had already been compressing—slipped sub 200 bps for the first time in more than 3 years Today is first +200 bps spread since...
Apollo Marks Down Credit Fund as Loan Stress Emerges
Apollo Global Management has taken a significant write‑down on its flagship credit fund as loan‑level stress surfaces across its portfolio. The move mirrors similar distress signals from KKR’s FSK fund and Blackstone’s private‑credit vehicle, which also marked down troubled loans....
Credit Crisis Chatter Spikes, Targeting APO, KRE, KKR
The noise around incoming credit crisis is picking up significantly today .. look APO, KRE, KKR etc
Oracle's CDS Gains Vanish After Equity Funding Shift
Pretty remarkable that the “we’re raising half the money via equity” improvement in Oracle’s 5Y CDS completely reversed (and then some) so quickly https://t.co/E8Qzqv4pMx
KKR’s FSK Fund Sees Spike in Troubled Loans
KKR’s publicly traded credit vehicle, FS KKR Capital Corp, dropped 15% after reporting a surge in troubled loans and a cut to its dividend. The $13 billion portfolio, dominated by private‑equity‑backed mid‑market loans, is seeing rising defaults and mark‑to‑market losses, especially...
Sticky PPI Keeps Rates High, Drives Yield Decline
The PPI is not falling, it has become sticky. It means rates stay higher. That will slow things down. Thus bond yields are falling. Makes sense? God knows https://t.co/XxE0jqRJ3L
Fed's Massive Balance Sheet, Not Warsh, Needs Trimming
"Kevin Warsh Isn’t Crazy, the Fed’s Big Balance Sheet Is" The obvious path to shrink the Fed's balance sheet is to go back to a corridor system. It worked for over 100 years as @josephsternberg points out. The problem: the establishment...
Bank of Baroda to Raise up to ₹10,000 Cr via Green Infra Bonds on March 4
State‑owned Bank of Baroda announced a green infrastructure bond issue of up to ₹10,000 crore, with a base size of ₹5,000 crore and a green‑shoe option for an additional ₹5,000 crore. The seven‑year bonds will mature on March 5 2033 and are rated AAA with...
Questioning Inflation Outlook: Is 10‑Year Rally a Flight‑to‑Quality?
@jimcramer I dont understand your response to the inflation print. It is not positive. And couldnt the short term strength in the 10 year (something you just mentioned) be a flight to quality with rising credit conerns and...
Real Yields Plunge, Not Breakeven Inflation, Despite AI Hype
With all the chatter about AI disruption, I would have expected lower breakeven inflation to be driving the fall in nominal Treasury yields, since AI is a deflationary shock. But that's not what's happening at all. It's real yields that...
DoubleLine Corporate Overview
DoubleLine’s investment platform is steered by Jeffrey Gundlach, its CEO and CIO, whose reputation as the “New Bond King” and multiple industry accolades have cemented the firm’s fixed‑income credibility. Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman, a CFA charterholder with a quantitative finance...
Treasury Yields Hit Year Low as Credit Spreads Surge
Something is happening in bond markets. Yields on 10-year Treasuries have fallen to the lowest this year, while credit spreads are widening to the highest this year.
Equities Slip, Yields Dip Below 4%, Dollar Softens
Friday: Equity futures lower again, treasury yields down by 2-3 bps with ten-year yield dipping below 4%. Dollar softer. PPI due out today.
Exclusive: Lawmakers Introduce Bipartisan FHLB Bond Bill
Senators Catherine Cortez Masto (D‑NV) and Todd Young (R‑IN) introduced the Municipal Investment and Neighborhood Transformation (MINT) Act, restoring a 2008 authority that lets Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) members issue tax‑exempt bonds for community‑development projects. The bill expands the...
Bloomberg Extends Financial Data to $25B Tokenized Markets via Kaiko
Bloomberg is partnering with Kaiko to embed the newswire’s licensed financial data directly onto blockchain platforms, tackling the fragmented information problem in tokenized markets. The collaboration targets tokenized U.S. Treasury and repo products on the permissioned Canton Network, offering a...
Austin OKs $1.4 Billion of Bonds for Airport Expansion
City Council approved up to $1.4 billion in revenue bonds to fund Austin‑Bergstrom International Airport’s expansion. The bond issuance includes a $1.05 billion Series B tranche subject to the alternative minimum tax and a $350 million non‑AMT Series A tranche, targeting roughly 75% of a...
Puerto Rico Port Concessionaire Bond Outlook Lowered by S&P
S&P Global Ratings lowered the outlook on San Juan Cruise Port LLC's senior debt to negative, keeping the BBB‑minus rating but flagging heightened risk. The downgrade affects about $160.3 million of bonds issued by AFICA, which are not guaranteed by the...
Muni Industry's Adoption of AI Prompts Regulatory, Other Questions
The University of Chicago’s Center for Municipal Finance released new data showing AI tools are rapidly entering the municipal bond market, giving well‑capitalized banks, advisors and law firms a distinct edge. Regulators, led by the MSRB, are scrutinizing whether AI...
S&P Downgrades REIT, Citing $2B Of Upcoming Debt Maturities
S&P Global downgraded Service Properties Trust (SVC) to B‑ from B, citing $2 billion of debt maturing over the next two years. Roughly 40% of the REIT's capital structure faces imminent repayment, raising liquidity and covenant concerns. The company sold 112...
Balancing Rates Drives Predictable Credit Cycles
In order to have successful capital markets, you see the same things happen again and again. Since one man’s debts are another man’s assets, you have to keep interest rates not so high that they crush the debtor, without having them...
Onslow Bay Prepares to Sell $452.7 Million in ABS From HELOCs
Onslow Bay Financial is preparing a $452.7 million asset‑backed securities offering backed by a pool of 1,952 home‑equity lines of credit. The ABS will be issued in eight tranches under the OBX 2026‑HE1 Trust, benchmarked to SOFR and maturing in February 2056. The...
UBS Predicts Private Credit Defaults Surpass 2008 Crisis Level
UBS's worst-case default rate for private credit is 15%. Up from 13% a month ago. For context, the 2008 leveraged loan default rate peaked at 10.8%. UBS is now modeling a scenario worse than the financial crisis for private credit. And they...
MTD Returns Negatively Correlate 41% with Daily Returns
Quick proof of theory: MTD return as of y'days close has a -41% correlation with today's return. Statistically significant relationship at the 0.01% level. https://t.co/5nNOjJXagQ
Resolv and Centrifuge Launch $100 Million Tokenized Credit Strategy on Aave
Centrifuge and Resolv are deploying up to $100 million of JAAA, a tokenized AAA‑rated credit fund, as leveraged collateral on Aave Horizon, creating the largest real‑world asset loop in DeFi to date. Resolv will lock JAAA to generate yield for its...
Month‑end Rebalancing Triggers Rare Feb Fixed‑income Sell
Month end rebalancing has slight fixed income SELLING after today's move. That's rare for Feb since new 10yr and 30yr UST issuance usually leads to buying for index rebalancing. It's really all about the equity underperformance MTD. https://t.co/JSSOj5jEOD
Fast 7-Year Auction Turn; Feb Extension Increases Friday
It will be a quick turn from today's 7y auction to month end tomorrow. Reminder Feb duration extension will be larger Friday as it always is in a refunding month.
Fitch's Draft Climate Screening Tool Gets a Cautious Nod From MMA
Fitch Ratings released an exposure draft for a climate‑vulnerability screening tool (climate.VS) aimed at U.S. public finance issuers. The 0‑100 score, derived from physical and transition risk analyses, flags issuers scoring 50 or above for deeper credit evaluation. Municipal Market...
2s10s Yield Curve Turns From Bull Steepener to Bear Flattener
anyone care that the 2s10s yield curve went from a bull steepener to a bear flattener this month?
Hong Kong Open to Backing Universities Issuing Bonds to Fund Megaproject Campuses
Hong Kong's finance chief Paul Chan signaled openness to allowing local universities to issue tertiary education bonds to fund the Northern Metropolis University Town project. The plan expands the campus area to 100 hectares and includes a third medical school,...
Hong Kong Banks’ Collateral Asset Valuations to Continue Declining in 2026: S&P
S&P Global Ratings warns that collateral values backing Hong Kong banks' commercial property loans will keep declining through 2026, reflecting a market that has yet to find a bottom. The Bank of East Asia disclosed a HK$723 million valuation loss in...
Higher Jobless Claims and Fed Speech Dominate Thursday
Economic Calendar for Thurs. Feb 26th 8:30am - Initial jobless claims: Expected 216k; Prior 206k - Continuing Jobless Claims: Expected 1.86M; Prior 1.869M 10:00 - Fed’s Bowman speaks 1:00pm - 7 Year Note Auction: Prior 4.018%