Today's Commodities Pulse
UK energy bills surge to two‑year high as Europe feels shock from Iran conflict
UK households are set to face their deepest‑unwelcome energy bill increase in two years as wholesale prices climb amid the Iran‑related war. Analysts say the conflict will push household energy costs higher for the first time across Europe.
Also developing:
By the numbers: M Battery Materials acquires graphite assets for $20M
Australian Vanadium, Sumitomo Electric Partner for Bid in Western Australia’s 500MWh Flow Battery Procurement
Australian Vanadium Limited has formed an exclusive partnership with Japan’s Sumitomo Electric to compete for Western Australia’s AU$150 million, 500 MWh Kalgoorlie vanadium flow‑battery project. The deal makes Sumitomo the sole provider of its flow‑battery technology, engineering services and technical support for the 50 MW/10‑hour system. By linking Sumitomo’s proven redox‑flow expertise with AVL’s local vanadium supply chain, the consortium aims to secure the government contract slated for a March‑June 2026 selection window. If successful, the partnership will deliver a long‑duration storage solution that leverages domestic mineral resources.
Japan to Get Factory for Marine Hydrogen Engines in 2029
Yanmar Power Solutions, a Yanmar Holdings subsidiary, will construct an 8,000 m² factory on a 33,898 m² site in Amagasaki, Hyogo, to conduct test runs of marine hydrogen engines. Operations are slated to begin in March 2029, complementing the company’s recent ClassNK type‑approval...
Record Year for Seaborne Grains with Freight Boost Into 2026
Seaborne agricultural trade set a new high in 2025, moving 716.5 million tonnes – a modest 1% year‑on‑year gain that nonetheless broke the previous record. After a 6% slump in the first half, volumes rebounded 7% in the second half, lifting...
Copper Becomes BHP's Biggest Earner as Profits Soar
BHP reported that copper now accounts for the majority of its earnings for the first time, propelling a sharp rise in six‑month profit and revenue. The miner’s shift away from iron ore, which is suffering from weaker Chinese demand, has...
Copper Price Surge Fuels BHP's Profit Growth
Who could have seen this coming? Higher copper prices are BHP's main profit driver. https://t.co/ifvnq0Y31l #BHP #copper #mining #commodities #energytransition #AI #electrification #China #ironore #markets
Sinokor's 120‑tanker Dominance Spikes Freight, Rattles Oil Markets
South Korean Sinokor now controls 120 oil tankers When one buyer controls the tradable fleet, charterers panic-book, freight spikes, and shocks bleeds into physical oil prices and spreads. https://t.co/Z2GsMyfbtl #oil #tankers #VLCC #shipping #freight #supplychain #sanctions #geopolitics #markets #energy
Quick Take: Thermal Coal Prices Rising
In this brief episode, the host highlights a recent surge in API2 (Northwest Europe) thermal coal futures for March delivery, which have risen roughly $5 per metric tonne over five trading sessions, briefly breaching $108/mt before settling near $107.50/mt. The...
BHP Profit Climbs as Copper Offsets China Drag on Iron Ore
BHP Group posted a 22% rise in underlying attributable profit to $6.2 billion for the six months ended December, propelled by a sharp rally in copper prices. At the same time, demand weakness in China dampened iron‑ore and steelmaking‑coal sales. The...
CHART: EV Battery Metals Index Jumps to 27-Month High
The EV battery metals index surged to a 27‑month high as December’s raw‑material spend topped $2 billion, the first such level since August 2023. Global passenger EV sales likely passed 30 million units in 2025, driving a 25% increase in deployed battery...
Balances: Supply Surplus Narrows After First Quarter
Supply and demand balances show a 3.1 million‑barrel‑per‑day surplus in the first quarter of 2026, the largest for the year and unchanged from the previous month. Asian storage facilities have largely absorbed the excess crude, preventing immediate price spikes. Nevertheless, continued...
Congo Launches Phase 2 LNG Exports From Nguya FLNG Facility
The Republic of Congo has begun Phase 2 LNG exports from the new Nguya FLNG facility, boosting total project capacity to roughly 3 million metric tons per year. Operated by Eni, the unit was commissioned ahead of schedule and shipped its first...
Canada Backs Carbon Capture Buildout to Secure Oil Sands Future, Energy Minister Says
Canada’s energy minister announced a C$16.5 billion Pathways Alliance carbon‑capture buildout in Alberta’s oil sands, linking the project to a new pipeline deal and a higher industrial carbon price. Six of the country’s largest oil‑sands producers will capture and store CO₂...
BIR World Mirror: Scrap Supply Tightness Boosts Steel Prices
The Bureau of International Recycling’s World Mirror report shows U.S. recycled‑steel prices rising as winter storms forced yard closures, tightening obsolete scrap inflows and bolstering export demand. Japan’s prices also firmed amid weak scrap generation and a depreciating yen. In...
Wartsila Building Energy Storage in Support of Belgian Grid
Wärtsilä has been chosen by Gramme Storage 1 to build a 50‑MW/100‑MWh battery energy storage system in central‑eastern Belgium, with construction underway and commissioning expected by mid‑2027. The project will participate in Belgium’s Capacity Remuneration Mechanism, delivering frequency and voltage support...
Oil Prices Edge Higher Ahead of US–Iran Nuclear Talks
Oil prices nudged higher on Monday as traders priced in the upcoming US‑Iran nuclear talks, which aim to ease regional tensions. The market also factored in OPEC‑plus’s plan to increase output later in the year, tempering the risk‑off sentiment. Brent...
M&P Sees Silver Lining in Venezuela
Maurel & Prom (M&P) is lobbying Venezuelan authorities to regain access to its Urdaneta Oeste oil field after being omitted from the government’s initial roster of approved foreign operators. The Paris‑listed firm argues that the field, capable of delivering several thousand...
TotalEnergies, Oman Eye Marsa LNG Expansion
TotalEnergies and Oman’s state‑run OQ Exploration and Production are evaluating a second liquefaction train for the Marsa LNG project, which is currently under construction. The additional train would significantly raise the plant’s export capacity, positioning the facility as a major...
Dangote Drives Nigeria’s Domestic Fuel Supply Above 57% as Imports Retreat
Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery reached full 650,000 bpd capacity in January 2026, processing a record 40.1 million litres of crude per day and supplying 57 % of the nation’s fuel. Domestic output now provides 62 % of premium motor spirit, overtaking imports for the first...
Egypt’s NCIC Issues Fertilizer Sales Tender: Correction
Egyptian fertilizer producer NCIC announced a new tender for March‑loading shipments, closing on 19 February. The offer includes 1,000 t water‑soluble SOP, 20,000 t CAN26 (grade corrected), 20,000 t granular urea, 25,000 t TSP and 20,000 t DAP. Prices reference previous tender sales, with urea spot...
AOM Biodiesel Deals Hit 2-Year High in January
European biodiesel trading on Argus Open Markets surged to its strongest January level in two years, driven by the EU’s revised Renewable Energy Directive (RED III) and Germany’s new rule eliminating carry‑over of surplus GHG certificates. The stricter mandates, which require...
Why Chevron Is Betting Big on Venezuela’s Heavy Crude
Chevron is aggressively expanding its Venezuelan heavy‑crude production to feed its complex Gulf Coast refineries, which are optimized for dense, sulfur‑rich oil. Global supplies of such crude have tightened as Mexican exports fall, Russian barrels are sanctioned, and Canadian logistics...
Niger Stockpiled 1,000t of Yellowcake at Military Base: FT
Niger's military government moved roughly 1,000 tonnes of uranium concentrate, known as yellowcake, to Air Base 101 near Niamey after seizing the Orano‑run mine. The stockpile remains unsold, with potential buyers from Russia, China, the United States and the UAE...
Turkey Secures Barley at Prices Below Initial Tender
Turkey's state grain buyer TMO closed a February tender for 195,000 t of feed barley at $266.20‑268.20 per tonne, pricing below the initial offers. Only 50,000 t were contracted on a CFR basis, with the remainder secured ex‑works from Turkish port stocks....
Silver-Saving Efforts Ramping up in Solar Industry, Says Heraeus
Rising silver prices, now 187 % above early‑2025 levels, are pressuring solar manufacturers as silver paste can account for up to 30 % of cell costs. Heraeus forecasts a decline in photovoltaic silver demand despite stable global installations, citing ongoing substitution efforts....
China’s Carbon Market Expands Into Heavy Industry As USA Regresses
China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment has extended mandatory carbon‑reporting to petrochemicals, chemicals, flat glass, copper smelting, papermaking and civil aviation, laying groundwork for future ETS inclusion. The national emissions trading system already covers power, steel, cement and aluminum—about 60‑65%...
Key Takeaways From Solaire Expo Maroc
The 14th Solaire Expo Maroc in Casablanca highlighted Morocco’s push toward an integrated renewable ecosystem, featuring electric‑vehicle pavilions and a strong Chinese presence in solar equipment. Local distributors reported a dynamic market with rising prices after China ended VAT rebates,...
EBW Warned of Faltering Gas Demand Heading Into Holiday Weekend
EBW Analytics warned that U.S. natural‑gas demand could weaken heading into the President’s Day weekend, after the front‑month NYMEX contract briefly spiked to $3.316 per MMBtu before retreating. A recent EIA report showed a 249 billion‑cubic‑foot draw, leaving storage 97 bcf below...
French Startup Launches ‘Universal’ Home Energy Management System
French startup PvPilot has launched a fourth‑generation home energy management system (HEMS) that claims universal compatibility with all major solar inverters, batteries and EV chargers. The solution, delivered via a USB‑connected relay device, measures real‑time generation and demand to orchestrate...
Investors Bet on Oil Amid Growing Supply Threats
Oil investors bullish on proliferating supply threats Investors are increasingly bullish about the outlook for oil prices as potential risks to production and tanker traffic multiply - including threats of U.S. military action against Iran and stricter sanctions enforcement. Hedge funds and...
Refinery Petrochemical Integration, Feedstock Certainty to Define India’s Next Chemical Growth Cycle: Ramya Bharathram, MD, Thirumalai Chemicals
India’s chemical industry faces a structural shift as it seeks to move up the value chain by reducing reliance on imported feedstocks. Ramya Bharathram of Thirumalai Chemicals emphasizes refinery‑petrochemical integration, flexible cracker designs, and transparent, index‑linked pricing as keys to...
North America Drops 6 Rigs Week on Week
North America’s weekly rig count slipped by six to 773, with the U.S. remaining steady at 551 rigs and Canada falling to 222. In the United States, oil rigs decreased by three while gas rigs rose by three, shifting the...
U.S. Gas Futures Hit Four‑month Low at $3/MMBtu
U.S. GAS futures prices have retreated to the lowest for almost four months after spiking during Winter Storm Fern. Front-month futures have fallen back to just $3 per million British thermal units (the lowest since mid-October). The front month has...
Solar Overtakes Nuclear; Nuclear Drops to Third by 2026
I've been cranking numbers. Full year 2025, it looks like nuclear power just about kept its nose ahead of wind and solar. But in H2 2025, while wind didn't quite overtake nuclear, solar did. In 2026 nuclear will drop to...
Analyst Highlights Focus of IEW Event
The International Energy Week (IEW) in London highlighted the clash between geopolitics and a projected global oil surplus for 2026. SEB commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop warned that OPEC+ will likely trim production by roughly three million barrels per day to...
Trump's Presidency Keeps Oil Prices Higher, OPEC+ Cuts Production
The best—only?—argument that Trump is bearish for oil prices is that OPEC+ wouldn't have hiked crude production as aggressively last year in a world in which Harris was sitting in the White House.
Metal Volatility Reveals Hidden Market Shifts
Metal Volatility Changed Everything $GLD $SLV $BTCUSD $SPX $QQQ $IGV $XLK Sharp volatility in gold, silver, crypto and equities was easier to spot than most think. And why I study sector rotation, options structure, and investor confidence. https://t.co/PYmLxcJSCJ
China's Russian Oil Imports to Hit New Record in February as India Cuts Back
China’s independent refiners boosted Russian oil imports to a record roughly 2.08 million barrels per day in February, overtaking the 1.7 million bpd seen in January. The surge follows India’s sharp cutback to about 1.16 million bpd, leaving China as Moscow’s top seaborne...
IEA and OPEC Clash on Oil Outlook, Shaping 2024 Strategy
Why @IEA and @OPECSecretariat are split on what comes next for oil - and what it means for strategy this year https://t.co/FUAD5TlcG4 @TheNationalNews
Companies Resume Price Hikes After Tariff Surge
"The Break Is Over. Companies Are Jacking Up Prices Again." "Such new price increases follow last year’s wave of tariff-driven price hikes" https://t.co/onoN6WYPHy https://t.co/OjVUbYFXnM
Gold Daily Call for February 16th, 2026
In this episode Florian Grummes provides a technical outlook for gold, highlighting a sideways market with key resistance levels at 5012‑5126 and support zones from 5000 down to 4907. He notes the lack of clear directional bias due to closed...
Oil Markets Now Price in Constant Tail‑risk
“Brent drops to $60 if Iran tension fades,” says SEB’s Bjarne Schieldrop. Sure — until the next mini-shock. That’s the point: this isn’t anomaly anymore It’s the baseline. Oil trades on recurring tail risk at the margin. https://t.co/qqfYS0QUG9 #oil #Brent #OPEC #Iran #geopolitics...
Bears Dominate Oil Market Narrative After Energy Week
COLUMN: In the oil market, the bears control the narrative — at least for now. (My summary after last week's International Energy Week, the oil trading industry's annual jamboree in London) @Opinion https://t.co/Y3OHEhD4k5
Singapore's Bunker Sales Rise on Strong Demand in Jan
Singapore’s bunker sales jumped 17% year‑on‑year to 5.23 million tonnes in January, driven by a 12% rise in vessel arrivals and strong demand for conventional marine fuels. High‑sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) reached a post‑2020 record of 2.16 million tonnes, while very‑low‑sulphur fuel...
Henry Hub Drops Below $3 on Warm Weather, Shale Supply
GAS MARKET: After a cold blast triggered sild price moves, US gas benchmark Henry Hub has fallen back below $3 per mBtu. Warmer temperatures and the irresistible supply force of the US shale revolution behind the pullback.
Non-Tariff Measures Costing Industry Billions: GA
Grains Australia’s new report quantifies non‑tariff measures (NTMs) as a 20.4% tariff‑equivalent on Australian grain exports, costing the sector about $4.6 billion in forgone revenue each year. The analysis, built on ABARES research and ANU‑led econometric modelling, is the most detailed...
Commodity Market Movers Report - Portfolio Update 15.02.2026
In this episode, Lukas Kuemmerle reviews his commodity portfolio, highlighting a 50% profit take on a short coffee position after hitting the first target and the initiation of a short trend‑continuation trade in cocoa, capitalizing on a brief consolidation. He...
WA Grain Feeds Into Aurizon’s Record HY26 Bulk Earnings
Aurizon announced record bulk earnings for the half ending 31 December, driven primarily by a surge in Western Australian grain volumes. Bulk EBITDA reached $117 million, a 39 percent increase year‑on‑year, while total bulk rail volumes rose 4 percent to 28.4 Mt. The company also...
Saskatchewan’s Rook I Mine Could Make Canada the World’s Largest Uranium Exporter
Canada is on the brink of becoming the world’s largest uranium exporter as NexGen Energy’s Rook I mine in Saskatchewan moves toward final approval by the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission. The project, located in the Athabasca Basin, is designed to...
Australian Firms Raise Gasoil Stocks to Meet Obligation
Australian fuel companies have boosted their gasoil inventories to satisfy the government‑mandated Minimum Stockholding Obligation (MSO). The MSO now requires importers to hold 32 days of gasoil and refiners 20 days, tightening the previous rules. All ten gasoil‑reporting firms met...
The End of the Boozy Chinese Banquet Hits Australia’s Largest Winemaker
Treasury Wine Estates’ push back into China has been derailed by a government crackdown on extravagant banquets and tighter grey‑market controls. The winemaker announced it will pull 400,000 cases from China and 500,000 from the United States to regain pricing...