Copper Slump vs Oil Surge Signals Weak Demand
Copper just dropped 4.8% in a single session. LME inventories at highest since 2019. When Dr. Copper rolls over while oil surges, it's telling you something ugly about global demand. https://t.co/qDHoGINfEz
SoH Closure Slashes GDP, Boosts Oil Prices
Oil price and GDP effects of SoH closure for one, two or three quarters. https://t.co/JOzrf3rVQR
Core Oil Earnings Track Oil Price Fluctuations
Bichler and Nizan’s latest: How the relative earnings of the core oil companies vary with the oil price. Featured in today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/rSQKknEmX7
Oil Prices Surge Amid Fourth Week of Iran Conflict
🛢️ OIL & IRAN WAR CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ Crude rose in further fits and starts as the Iran War stretches into its 4th week and belligerents escalate to attacks on upstream infrastructure that have already wrought durable supply losses. Summary below, link...
African Jet Fuel Prices Shifting Faster than Flights
In Africa, the cost of jet fuel is changing faster than you can fly https://t.co/39KuWJkWGP
Gas Prices Outpace 2022; Long‑term Real Rates Rise
3w into conflict, gas prices on higher trajectory than in 2022 (Ukraine invasion). WTI 1M/6M spread off peak inversion, so are implied vols for WTI. 2YR inflation expectations on similar trajectory as 2022. LT inflation exp not reacting much...
Iran Conflict Threatens Global Energy Market Collapse
Iran War Puts Global Energy Markets on the Brink of a Worst-Case Scenario | WIRED Quoted here with the always on point @Rory_Johnston https://t.co/mDCdbWwTqc
Gold Slides Below $4500, Biggest Weekly Drop Since 1983
GOLD FALLS TO UNDER $4500, SET FOR ITS BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL SINCE 1983. - @FirstSquawk Gold volatility in USD is doing what gold volatility did in 1920s Weimar German Reichsmarks, which makes perfect sense once you understand our present context. Chart...
Falling Oil Demand May Trigger Higher Future Prices
Is it reasonable to say that a long-term, structural decline in global oil demand would not necessarily translate into lower prices, and could plausibly turn into significantly higher prices in the future?
Silver to Slip Below $50 by Year‑End
I think I will end up being right that Silver trades below 50 by year-end. Remember the insults I received?
Oil Prices Rise Modestly Despite Major Hormuz Disruption
Oil Prices and the Information War Global oil prices have risen surprisingly little given the war between the United States, Israel and Iran has triggered “the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market” according to the International...
Gold Plummets 9.5%—Largest Weekly Drop Since 2011
Gold prices down 9.5% this week, the largest one-week decline since **September 2011** --Dow Jones Market Data
Middle East Oil Shut‑in Now Three Times Feared
The numbers are clear: Middle East oil crisis is already 3x WORSE than the UNREALIZED FEAR in 2022 @Rory_Johnston explains: in April 2022 fear was 3 Million Barrel per day (mb/d) shut in for Russian Crude (DIDN'T HAPPEN). In 2026...
Falling Prices and Yields Hint at Possible Middle East Conflict
Lower prices, lower yields, lower oil. Either that, or a new war in the Middle East. https://t.co/mnkr6zwlk9
SPR Release Rate Outweighs Total Volume Impact
FLOWS before SPROS: While the announced volume of IEA coordinated SPR release is equal to a 4-week full Hormuz disruption. The SPR release RATE still means the supply losses compound over time. FYSA: Back in my days at DOE, the short-hand...
Coil Trends Reveal Pre‑Iran Market Deterioration
strong trends come out of coils. so easy to see now... (this deterioration started well before Iran SNAFU). https://t.co/GjLz7VyWLz
Today's $4 Gas Still 33% Cheaper than 2008
If gasoline hits $4 now, that's still a third less than the $6 it hit in 2008 in today's dollars ($4 in nominal dollars then).
Early Skeptics Proved Right as Oil Prices Soar
Two weeks ago, Brent oil futures were in the 80s; the president was telling reporters that the war was "very complete" and that Iran was begging to negotiate; and WH defenders were claiming the war was "over" and accusing commodity...
Lifting Sanctions Boosts Iran's Oil Profits, Not Global Prices
Iranian oil has been sanctioned for many years. The 140 million barrels he is referring to are part of the "dark fleet" that has been shipping Iranian oil to Asia (mainly China) for years. Iran gets money for oil, and...
Kharg Island Tension Could Trigger Market Shock Soon
🚨 THE MARKET IS ONE ISLAND AWAY FROM RELIEF AND CHAOS US is quietly considering lifting Iran sanctions but behind the scenes? There's talk of something far more aggressive. And it all comes down to one tiny island in the Persian Gulf...
Oil Futures Signal Long-Term Impact From Iran War
It's not just a blip. Increasingly oil futures markets are suggesting that the Iran war is going to have (or has already had) effects that will last for years. https://t.co/j23M3zH7AL
Waller Warns Oil Could Eventually Lift Core Inflation
Waller having his own personal Trichet moment: "oil can bleed through to core inflation at some point"
Hormuz Tensions Could Spike Oil Past $200, Triggering Long‑term Chaos
Reupping this as the continued Hormuz chaos seems increasingly likely to drive oil above $200/barrel, followed by years of hydrocarbon market chaos
US May Permit Iran Oil Sales to Boost Supply
Bessent: U.S. May Allow Iran to Sell Oil in Order to Increase Supply https://t.co/cJQjJqRa54 #maritime #maritime-news
Oil Prices Soar Despite Limited Infrastructure Damage, Demand at Risk
Prices have surged but physical oil infrastructure damage remains limited & still some slack in system. For a disruption this large, prices eventually need to rise high enough to actually destroy demand—as parts of crude & product mkts are starting...
Iran Attack Threatens Global Helium Supply, Tech Industries
🚨IRAN JUST PUT BIG TECH IN DANGER QATAR'S HELIUM PLANT JUST GOT HIT, WHICH PRODUCES 33% OF THE GLOBAL SUPPLY 12 countries heavily rely on Qatar's Helium, with no substitute or restart timeline It could take 5 years until normal production is...
Markets Unfazed as Iran Eases Hormuz Oil Flow
Markets are shrugging off Middle East tensions as oil disruptions prove less severe than feared. Iran's selective passage through Hormuz is easing supply concerns. 🟢 Open https://t.co/I5Gu8mRO2F
US Gas Prices Unchanged as Europe, Asia Surge Dramatically
U.S./IRAN war is having a very different impact on gas prices in Europe and Asia compared with the United States. The conflict has had essentially no impact on domestic gas prices in the United States, which remains insulated from global...
Sea‑based Oil Reserves Dwindling, Iran Holds One‑third
This is a very important story: “…The amount of oil stored at sea — a vital buffer for markets — is running down fast…” About 1/3 of what’s left is Iranian. https://t.co/zS7v0338Ay
Asian Nations Revert to Coal Amid Gas Shortages
“Locations including Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Taiwan, Pakistan and Bangladeshgenerate a third or more of their electricity from natural gas.” “Many facing supply shortages and price increases are turning back to coal-fired power plants.” https://t.co/YhwmluSw9F #oott #LNG
Oil Backwardation Signals Spot Prices Outpacing Futures
My latest w/ @janetonthemoney on @SIRIUSXM 132 on oil: “Oil is in a backwardation, with the spot price being quite a bit higher than the forward prices... The futures oil markets are not thinking the way I am. The futures markets...
China’s Booming Silver Demand Drives 8‑year Import Surge
China’s ravenous appetite for silver lifted overseas purchases to an eight-year high at the start of 2026, as importers fed a surge in industrial and investment demand. https://t.co/mlxOgJfWC9
Gold's 2025 Surge Signals Next Market Pivot
Gold's parabolic rally in 2025 warned us, now what? https://t.co/gPI9FAAgip #crudeoil #gold #energy #metals #Iran @markets
North Sea Drilling Isn’t Solution to Fuel Price Shocks
Every time there’s a fuel price shock, the same calls emerge: drill the North Sea. New @UKERCHQ analysis cuts through the noise and explains why this argument doesn’t hold up. https://t.co/HHL1mSGAjZ https://t.co/dfPeJ4JL3x
EU Faces Prolonged Energy Crunch After Qatar Disruption
EU leaders confront multi-year energy squeeze after Qatar hit https://t.co/VJQeTgB0l1 via @johnainger @E_Krukowska @donatopmancini https://t.co/Res6oTlW0s
Brent Stalls Below $118, Market Resistance Persists
If we use Oil as the fear gauge for markets, then two attempts by Brent crude to cross 118$ failed. Clearly, there is strong resistance to allowing prices to go that far or higher. The situation would have to get...
Energy Crisis Persists Beyond Iran War Resolution
The global energy crisis will drag on even if the Iran war ends tomorrow: Energy Outlook Advisors https://t.co/xPMnRiP3fO
Copper Prices Slip as Inventories Surge, Contango Widens
Copper eases as LME and SHFE inventories surge, widening contango and cooling near-term demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/copper-prices-soften-as-inventories.html
Oil Price Gap Sparks Sarcastic Optimism for China
Oil is $100 in the U.S. and $150 in Asia. I’m looking forward to the all the reports by the usual suspects this weekend explaining how this is a positive development for China.
Oil Volatility, Fed Caution Cloud Asian Markets
Asia mixed; oil volatility and Fed caution weigh, China holds LPR. Oil spike raises inflation/Strait-of-Hormuz supply risk; Alibaba weakens sentiment. Trade: hedge Asian equities with oil puts. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Saudi Oil Price Models Predict Upcoming Market Shift
Call the headline “attention grabbing” if you must, but this is an excellent look into what those modeling oil prices in Saudi Arabia see happening Thanks @summer_said #oott #oil #iran https://t.co/7AGgTmaVXb
Brent Slides to $105 as Hormuz Remains Shut
Brent cools down to $105 early Friday. The war has entered its 21st day, with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed. Have some in the market drunk the kool-aid again?
US Gas Stocks Jump 52 Bcf, Price Climbs on War Fears
U.S natural gas comparative rose 52 bcf to a surplus of 16 bcf week ending March 13 Henry Hub spot price increased $0.20 to $3.19 on Gulf war supply urgency fears #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas #LNG https://t.co/xkTrGWwvfb
Rising Energy Prices Heighten Recession Risks in Asia
With global energy prices going vertical, the next metrics to watch are recession probabilities of net energy importers - particularly in South and Southeast Asia https://t.co/ehwgNBNqH4
Brent May Need $175 to End Shortage, Says Currie
“Get long and buckle up,” says Jeff Currie. It took -$37 to clear oversupply during Covid Currie's "mirror image" approach indicates it may take $175 BRENT TO CLEAR THIS SHORTAGE That’s not volatility—that’s a regime shift #OilMarkets #Brent #EnergyCrisis #Commodities #Macro #Supercycle
Gold's Steepest Weekly Drop in Six Years Explained
Gold prices are suffering their worst week in six years. What's driving the crash, and where is this market going next? #gold #oilprice #inflation #fed #markets #macro #trading https://t.co/0hNC9B49Vg
Investors Swap Gold for Oil Amid Conflict
Good morning Asia, We are at the stage of the conflict where people are selling their gold (most valuable hard asset and a hedge for bad times) to buy oil. Got oil, gas, and may I say coal? https://t.co/fsqt6mevX1
Gold Dip Set up by Rising Oil, Rates, and Dollar
Gold down wasn’t a surprise — it was the setup. 🥇📉 📈 Oil up 📈 Rates up 💵 Dollar up = short-term pressure on gold We sold SOME into the breakdown… Now buying it back into panic. 😈 Process > opinions.
Iran War’s Energy Shock Threatens Canada’s Future
Had the opportunity to speak alongside @ExnerPirot and Bob Yawger of Mizuho about the Iran War, the largest energy supply shock in history, and what it all means for Canada on @therundowntvo. Airs tonight on TVO at 8pm ET. https://t.co/XJgEE8PqMA
Oil Prices Swing Amid Middle East Supply Uncertainty
It’s been another rollercoaster day in the oil market with both benchmarks trading in a wide range (CNBC charts below). Between the remarks from officials in Washington DC and those out of Israel — both following the attacks on energy infrastructure...