Defense Social Media and Updates

Iran Regime Consolidates, Becomes More Extreme, Won’t Collapse
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran Regime Consolidates, Becomes More Extreme, Won’t Collapse

"After more than two weeks of consistent bombing, new US intelligence suggests Iran’s regime is now consolidating power, unlikely to collapse, and led by a cadre more extreme than before." 😬 https://t.co/nm2AtU0jjv

By Scott Lincicome
Iran's Hormuz Grip Lets Tehran Set Shipping Terms
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Hormuz Grip Lets Tehran Set Shipping Terms

CENTCOM says bombing Iran’s coastal missile sites “degraded” its shipping threat That train left the station when Iran took de facto control of Hormuz Now Tehran wants navigation open on its terms: tolls, leverage, gatekeeper power. The US is being...

By Art Berman Blog
Iran's 2000 Km Range Is Political, Not Technical
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's 2000 Km Range Is Political, Not Technical

This is misguided. Iran’s 2000 km “ceiling” was a voluntary political limit, not a technical one. Many of us spent the past several years explaining that Iran could quickly build IRBMs if it chose to do so. It’s not my...

By Jeffrey Lewis
Weak Enemy, Stronger Foes: A Flawed Strategy
SocialMar 21, 2026

Weak Enemy, Stronger Foes: A Flawed Strategy

Fighting a second-rate military power while vicariously and indirectly militarily and economically strengthening two first-order ones, which you may have to confront at a later stage, through your actions, and the sequencing problems it creates, may perhaps not be sound...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
Droptec Unveils Advanced Net Gun for Drone Defense
SocialMar 21, 2026

Droptec Unveils Advanced Net Gun for Drone Defense

#Drone Defense Reinvented: Droptec GmbH Introduces Advanced Net Gun System by @IntEngineering #Innovation #EmergingTech #Technology #Tech https://t.co/esLArXYr8f

By Ron van Loon
Closing Hormuz Cuts Iran Leverage Without Oil Crisis
SocialMar 21, 2026

Closing Hormuz Cuts Iran Leverage Without Oil Crisis

The US should CLOSE HORMUZ That would remove Iran’s leverage & income It would not materially worsen the oil supply crisis Time for hard strategic decisions What would Captain Kirk do? #Hormuz #Geopolitics #Oil #KobayashiMaru @acranberg @citrinowicz @gbrew24 https://t.co/uyhUtwRSvt

By Art Berman Blog
Sanctions Waiver Undermines “Maximum Pressure” On Iran
SocialMar 21, 2026

Sanctions Waiver Undermines “Maximum Pressure” On Iran

Why on earth aren't major media outlets asking this obvious question? The Trump administration just issued a sanctions waiver allowing 140 million barrels of Iranian oil currently at sea to be sold. Meanwhile, Iran's oil exports have surged before the...

By Anas Alhajji
Limited Wars Prove Containment Can Prevent Escalation
SocialMar 21, 2026

Limited Wars Prove Containment Can Prevent Escalation

Heard on Bloomberg podcast: “Wars spiral out of control even if they are meant to be contained. This is a historical fact.” WOW. This is the most dangerous statement I’ve seen from any media. And it’s false. Do NOT believe the media when...

By John Konrad
Trump Likely Erupts as Allies Negotiate Hormuz Peacefully
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trump Likely Erupts as Allies Negotiate Hormuz Peacefully

Trump’s reaction if countries like Japan and India peaceably negotiate Hormuz passage with Iran — while he’s spending $200 billion to send in Marines — is going to be wild. @business https://t.co/94n5eKo1sC

By Carl Quintanilla
Iran's Energy War Fuels Stalemate, Unites Its Adversaries
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Energy War Fuels Stalemate, Unites Its Adversaries

Depressing but important analysis from the @TheEconomist: The Iran war in a nutshell: America can’t reopen Hormuz, Iran can’t stop the airstrikes, & every escalation option is bad, explaining why there’s no clear path to a durable political solution —...

By Stacie Pettyjohn
Austria Targets €2 Billion Cuts Amid War Risk
SocialMar 21, 2026

Austria Targets €2 Billion Cuts Amid War Risk

Austria eyes €2 billion in budget cuts with risk from ‘dumb war’ https://t.co/sskcsuxaLh via @martoneder https://t.co/kxXJyGPEaJ

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Flawed Campaign Leaves Iran Weakened yet Resilient, Hardliners Dominate
SocialMar 21, 2026

Flawed Campaign Leaves Iran Weakened yet Resilient, Hardliners Dominate

"Strategically, this campaign wasn't prepared right," says @citrinowicz "Now, Iran is weaker but it will rebuild its military capability." There's a more hardline regime that will be difficult to negotiate with. Strategically, we're losing. #Iran #Israel #IranWar #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #Strategy #Deterrence #RegimeChange #Escalation...

By Art Berman Blog
Waiting Keeps Strait Open, Avoids Disaster
SocialMar 21, 2026

Waiting Keeps Strait Open, Avoids Disaster

There are 3 options atm: 1. Call it a victory destroy as much as possible and go home - a disaster for the west. 2. USA secures the strait alone - a potential disaster for USA and especially a political...

By Mads Christiansen
Iran's Escalation Risks Signal Broader Regional Instability
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Escalation Risks Signal Broader Regional Instability

Iran Intelligence Briefing | 6 March 2026 In this latest intelligence briefing, David breaks down the evolving situation around Iran, the escalation risks that matter most, and the wider regional implications. When events are moving quickly, understanding the deeper pattern is just...

By David Murrin
US‑Israeli Strikes on Iran Risk Spiraling Out of Control
SocialMar 21, 2026

US‑Israeli Strikes on Iran Risk Spiraling Out of Control

Former British Diplomat Alastair Crooke on US-Israeli attacks on Iran: "The wheels are coming off this whole thing. It's spiraling really out of control. And it increased enormously with the [recent] attack on the Iranian South Pars gas field... That was...

By Steve Hanke
Erdoğan Warns Against Reviving Century‑old Bloodshed
SocialMar 21, 2026

Erdoğan Warns Against Reviving Century‑old Bloodshed

#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: President Erdoğan warned that “if we allow the dirty and bloody scenarios written a century ago to be staged again today, neither we nor those acting as willing or unwilling actors in this play can bear the burden.”...

By Steve Hanke
Judge Actions, Not Words; He Plans to Invade Iran
SocialMar 21, 2026

Judge Actions, Not Words; He Plans to Invade Iran

Yes. Look at what he does, not what he says. He's going to invade Iran.

By Frances Coppola
Goldman: US‑Israeli Strike Triggers Historic Energy Disruption
SocialMar 21, 2026

Goldman: US‑Israeli Strike Triggers Historic Energy Disruption

Goldman > The unprecedented US and Israeli coordinated attack on Iran has resulted in the largest energy supply disruption in history.

By Guy Faulconbridge
UK Greenlights US Strikes on Iran From British Bases
SocialMar 21, 2026

UK Greenlights US Strikes on Iran From British Bases

UK approves US use of British bases to strike Iran missile sites targeting ships https://t.co/mkvLGPnXE8

By Guy Faulconbridge
Turkey Warns Israel Expanding Occupation to Lebanon
SocialMar 21, 2026

Turkey Warns Israel Expanding Occupation to Lebanon

#TurkeyWatch🇹🇷: Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said that Israel has begun to extend its “occupation and destruction policy” from Gaza to Lebanon. He urged the international community to act against Israel's “expansionism” & called for a “just and dignified peace” with Palestinians....

By Steve Hanke
Japan's Lessons From Third Gulf War Missile Operations
SocialMar 21, 2026

Japan's Lessons From Third Gulf War Missile Operations

New Nukesletter: A short dispatch from Tokyo as I get ready to head home: on some takeaways from conversations here this week on what Japan is learning from missile operations in the Third Gulf War. https://t.co/UoqNQDKNwV https://t.co/0r8PQ1agkZ

By Ankit Panda
Swarm Drones Use Simple Neural Nets to Track Warm Targets
SocialMar 21, 2026

Swarm Drones Use Simple Neural Nets to Track Warm Targets

“optically-coordinated swarming drones with simple neural nets, that simply target anything warm and moving.” - are you paying attention yet?

By Andrew Arruda
UK Allows US Base Access as Hormuz Risks Escalate
SocialMar 21, 2026

UK Allows US Base Access as Hormuz Risks Escalate

Britain is letting the US use its bases because the war has crossed into a new phase, writes @ChrisTakushi It's not because the risks are lower It's that the cost of a long Hormuz closure now looks worse than the...

By Art Berman Blog
Skepticism Grows Over Unverified Iranian Missile Claims
SocialMar 21, 2026

Skepticism Grows Over Unverified Iranian Missile Claims

I’ll believe this when confirmed by Iran. * They announce all their waves of missiles & targets * This is meant to have happened a while ago & missiles were intercepted (ie little/no damage caused) * UK govt is under internal pressure for...

By Elrond Burrell
US Attacks Iran yet Approves Its Oil Sales
SocialMar 21, 2026

US Attacks Iran yet Approves Its Oil Sales

So, just to be clear. 1️⃣US & Iran sever ties 2️⃣US sanctions Iranian oil 3️⃣US attacks Iran 4️⃣Iran attacks shipping cutting off the flow of oil 5️⃣The US approves the sale of Iranian oil in the US https://t.co/USz8VfvQGc

By Sal Mercogliano
US Spends $10‑16 B on Munitions in First Four Days
SocialMar 21, 2026

US Spends $10‑16 B on Munitions in First Four Days

The US spent 10 to 16 billion worth of munitions on the first four days of the conflict. https://t.co/KgFl3jqG7M

By Lewis Jackson
Iran's Missiles Reach 4,000 Km, Exceeding Prior Claims
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Missiles Reach 4,000 Km, Exceeding Prior Claims

Both missed, but still. “Iran’s targeting of Diego Garcia, about 4,000 kilometers from Iran, implies its missiles have a greater range than Tehran has previously acknowledged.” https://t.co/4Ll8mz9eNN

By Dror Poleg
Protecting Middle East Allies Threatens Global Energy Stability
SocialMar 20, 2026

Protecting Middle East Allies Threatens Global Energy Stability

(5) Protecting, at the highest level**, our Middle Eastern allies **imploding regional security, upending the global petroleum industry and shipping on which they rely, and—in best case scenario—ending the war in a politically unstable stalemate that’s sure to unravel again soon...

By Rory Johnston
Marines Forced Through Hormuz, Risking Missile Attacks
SocialMar 20, 2026

Marines Forced Through Hormuz, Risking Missile Attacks

Marines can't get to Kharg Island without getting through the Strait of Hormuz, which would expose Navy ships to missile and drone attacks.

By Ramez Naam
User Quits Cursor, Citing Hacky Build and Zero Innovation
SocialMar 20, 2026

User Quits Cursor, Citing Hacky Build and Zero Innovation

Knowing Cursor is a hack job and built on Kimi K2.5, pretty much cancelling my subscription right now. Zero innovation from them the past few months, it went from a pretty useful tool (nice having IDE), to really providing zero...

By Dave Kennedy
Court Cites Pentagon Comments as Excuse for Legal Breach
SocialMar 20, 2026

Court Cites Pentagon Comments as Excuse for Legal Breach

At some length, this court ruling cites public comments that Pentagon officials made to rule why they didn't follow the law.

By Dan Lamothe
Ukrainian Power Engineers Brave Grid Destruction, Innovate Solutions
SocialMar 20, 2026

Ukrainian Power Engineers Brave Grid Destruction, Innovate Solutions

Being a power engineer is a high-risk job in Ukraine, as Russia is intent on destroying the electrical grid. It's now about finding new solutions, working on backups, and bravery. https://spectrum.ieee.org/repair-ukraine-power-grid

By IEEE Spectrum Threads
Europe Must Intervene Now to Stop Chinese Gulf Takeover
SocialMar 20, 2026

Europe Must Intervene Now to Stop Chinese Gulf Takeover

Trump prepares to end the campaign in Iran, but offers to help an international coalition policing the Gulf and the strait. Very important for Europa to think long term here. If USA leaves now, the Gulf will no longer be...

By Mads Christiansen
Trump Claims Iran War Nearing End, $200B Aid Unnecessary
SocialMar 20, 2026

Trump Claims Iran War Nearing End, $200B Aid Unnecessary

trump: very close to winding down war in iran. presumedly $200 billion supplemental no longer necessary.

By Ian Bremmer
Unapproved Plan to Deploy 82nd Airborne to Iran
SocialMar 20, 2026

Unapproved Plan to Deploy 82nd Airborne to Iran

Can confirm that there is planning -- not yet approved -- to potentially send a few thousand soldiers of the 82nd Airborne Division to Iran, per two officials. This comes after @WashingtonPost first reported earlier this month that the HQ of...

By Dan Lamothe
Iran Accuses UK of Enabling US Bombers, Fueling War
SocialMar 20, 2026

Iran Accuses UK of Enabling US Bombers, Fueling War

Iran warns UK government is “participating in aggression" 'Allowing US heavy bombers to fly from its Royal Air Force (RAF) base in Fairford, England, and from Diego Garcia—a UK base in the Indian Ocean—has been critical to the devastating US-Israeli bombing...

By Samantha LaDuc
Trump Flips on Iran War in 90 Minutes
SocialMar 20, 2026

Trump Flips on Iran War in 90 Minutes

President Trump today: 3:43 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran." 5:13 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran. What changed over those 90 minutes?

By Andrew W. Gilliland
Court Rejects DoD Media Badge Policy, DOJ Stumbles
SocialMar 20, 2026

Court Rejects DoD Media Badge Policy, DOJ Stumbles

Here's the Friedman decision shooting down the DoD media badge policy: I sensed this would happen when I attended the hearing two weeks ago and the DOJ was pathetic in its defense: https://t.co/liSQrc7eZd

By Tony Capaccio
Rethink U.S. Defense Spending Amid War Escalation
SocialMar 20, 2026

Rethink U.S. Defense Spending Amid War Escalation

Nobody wants to see war escalate. Lives being lost is never something that should be promoted to be pursued. However, as a taxpaying American citizen, if Trump does pull back, I do think there needs to be a complete rethinking of...

By Kris Sidial
UK Air Power Stretched Across High North, Indo‑Pacific, Middle East
SocialMar 20, 2026

UK Air Power Stretched Across High North, Indo‑Pacific, Middle East

NATO's High North, Indo Pacific or Middle East? How UK air power is getting pulled in different directions at once #avgeek #NATO https://t.co/yLs32QQPdj https://t.co/uPEQ5ZkJuu

By Tim Robinson
DoD Loses Legal Battle over Unconstitutional Press Policy
SocialMar 20, 2026

DoD Loses Legal Battle over Unconstitutional Press Policy

Bam. Department of Defense loses in its attempt to defend its unconstitutional new press policy. https://t.co/sOuyLwzWGG

By Jason Kint
Trump Slams NATO Allies as Cowards over “Bones” Excuse
SocialMar 20, 2026

Trump Slams NATO Allies as Cowards over “Bones” Excuse

Trump called our NATO allies "Cowards." What did they do, use bonespurs as an excuse to get out of fighting?

By Dave Pell
Iran's Cheap Drones Reshape Warfare; US Scrambles with LUCAS
SocialMar 20, 2026

Iran's Cheap Drones Reshape Warfare; US Scrambles with LUCAS

Iran's cheap drones are rewriting the rules of modern warfare & the US and its allies are struggling to keep up. I joined @stephanie_h on @Marketplace Tech to break down the Shahed threat, why interception is difficult, and how the combat...

By Stacie Pettyjohn
US‑flagged Vessels Stranded in Gulf, No Escort Updates
SocialMar 20, 2026

US‑flagged Vessels Stranded in Gulf, No Escort Updates

We don't use it? Five ships: APL Eagle, Alliance Fairfax, CS Anthem, Stena Imperative and Maersk Yorktown with 100+ American mariners are stuck in the Persian Gulf right now. No communication with the military or navy about escorts or when...

By Sal Mercogliano
Israel Fires Missiles to Shield Dome of the Rock
SocialMar 20, 2026

Israel Fires Missiles to Shield Dome of the Rock

Israel launching missiles to protect the Dome of the Rock from Iranian attack was not on my bingo card. We live in truly strange times.

By Alex Tabarrok
Robust Fleet Essential; Can't Force Ships Through Hormuz
SocialMar 20, 2026

Robust Fleet Essential; Can't Force Ships Through Hormuz

We may be getting a reminder just how much it matters not to have a robust commercial shipping fleet - no matter what we say, we can’t make other countries’ merchant ships go through the Strait of Hormuz if they...

By Tom Shugart
Former CENTCOM Chief Warns of Perils Deploying Troops to Iran
SocialMar 20, 2026

Former CENTCOM Chief Warns of Perils Deploying Troops to Iran

Exclusive: As Trump mulls options to send U.S. troops into Iran, former @CENTCOM commander Joseph Votel offers unique insights into the challenges and dangers of such operations. https://t.co/LrZrcgIgiS

By Howard Altman
Iran's Drone Swarms Strain Gulf Missile Defenses
SocialMar 20, 2026

Iran's Drone Swarms Strain Gulf Missile Defenses

Iran's Shahed deployment and targeting are improving, thanks to tactics like launching swarms of drones with varying flight paths. These strategies are rapidly exhausting missile defenses in the Persian Gulf. #iranwar #shahed #geopolitics https://t.co/QUFZ0xOxqT

By Peter Zeihan
Embargo Iranian Oil, Not Seize Kharg, to Open Strait
SocialMar 20, 2026

Embargo Iranian Oil, Not Seize Kharg, to Open Strait

Headlines that the US is thinking about taking Kharg island are pushing up Brent (lhs) and causing stocks to tank (rhs). Taking Kharg doesn't reopen the Strait and could turn into a fiasco. Better to embargo Iranian oil and force...

By Robin Brooks