Finance Social Media and Updates
Finance Social Media and Updates
Finance Pulse
EMAIL DIGESTS
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Every morning
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EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Early positioning beats late capital every time. Amazon just invested $50 billion in OpenAI for 6 percent ownership and distribution rights. Microsoft invested $13.8 billion starting in 2019 and owns 23.5 percent with exclusive IP, revenue sharing, and API control locked through 2032. That's a 14x paper return for Microsoft while Amazon gets what amounts to a cloud partnership with no strategic leverage. The contrast exposes the cost of corporate deliberation when markets move fast. Microsoft saw the opening and went all in. Amazon deliberated, formed committees, and showed up rich but late. Now they're paying $8.3 billion per percentage point while Microsoft paid $500 million. Same asset, different timing, completely different outcomes. The cost of being slow compounds fast when the market moves this quickly. @om breaks it all down… https://t.co/V7q9KgGMuR
I take @sama point on circular dealmaking concerns -- that the revenue growth is key metric. And will leave profit concerns for another day. But also true that these companies are becoming something of a borg. If one goes down, it's...
Having @bethanymac12 on the show to discuss the economy, markets & the issues currently causing volatility like the benefits/consequences of A.I. as well as trends in Private Credit is invaluable. We also hit $FNMA $FMCC. Of course my @Kalshi topic...
If you don't have financial fluency, your chances of turning business revenue -> personal cash plummet. I have the data to prove it. I surveyed 200+ store owners as part of the 2026 eComFuel Trends Report (full report coming soon). One of the...
AI can be a powerful co-pilot for FP&A — when foundations are in place. Start small. Fix processes. Keep human judgment central. 🎬Finance leaders from Miele, ETH Zurich, Takeda & Jedox shared practical lessons and real journeys: https://t.co/byNC3xTozV #fpatrends #aiinfinance
"Most commercial banks will lend against machines & equipment... Do you know what the bank won’t finance? Goodwill… the intangible value of the fact that you’ve built up a great clientele" –12 Things to Do Before You Consider Selling Your...
Metrics matter. But in early-stage fundraising? Storytelling matters more. In Ep. 234 of The SaaS CFO Podcast, Helen Hastings shares why vision + narrative win investor conviction. Listen here 👇 YouTube: https://t.co/BnQYh8fzzR #SaaS #Fundraising #Startups https://t.co/zRSXoqqM2z
As noted in Axios Pro Rata: OpenAI expected to add another $10 billion to the round, which would bring it to $120b at an $850b post-money valuation. Would be from sovereigns and other fin investors (including existings). https://t.co/xDMSkiZRiR
In just 12 months, private credit went from red hot to ice cold One year ago, the average BDC traded at a +6.2% premium to NAV Now, the average BDC trades at nearly a -20% discount to NAV, a level only exceeded...
It’s not actual cash raised, this deal adds to the thicket of circular financing from the biggest companies in the worlds. A whiff of Ponzi.
When valuing a business using a cashflow multiple (SDE or EBITDA), do you ADD inventory on top of that price? Answer: Sometimes yes. Sometimes no. It depends on how the working capital actually functions.
The tariff refund issue is fun to follow. But it doesn't matter much for the macroeconomy. Business investment determined more by cost of capital than cash availability. Keynesian multiplier very low on one-time transfers to businesses. And debt impact large...
With its index business now >50% of revenues, FnGuide is becoming a KOSPI market proxy on steroids. But I think the index AUM rising from KRW 14 trillion to 50 at 40%+ incremental margins is still underrated. I'm getting to...
Big quarter for figure: - 50% marketplace → they've become a fintech platform, not a lender - 19% first lien → they've entered a market 32x larger than their original one (HELOCs are $400 billion Market. 1st lien mortgages are $13...
99.7% to target on CM this month. Great growth teams are committed to a hierarchy of metrics. Every month is going to involve different trade offs to reach your goal. But great forecasting and execution requires being clear on the...
Netflix declines to match Paramount offer for WBD: We believe we would have been strong stewards of Warner Bros.’ iconic brands, and that our deal would have strengthened the entertainment industry and preserved and created more production jobs in the U.S.
The fact that Gold has gone up so much, that's only accelerated through all financial products that we've designed. However, holding Gold at this point isn't the right bet for most asset managers. The Sharpe Ratio is way worse. The flipside: the...
Top 5 companies buying crypto for their balance sheets by unrealized losses — according to CryptoRank The usual record holders remain the same: #MSTR MicroStrategy - the world’s largest corporate buyer of #BTC #BMNR BitMine - the world’s largest corporate buyer of #ETH...
Here’s the most impressive thing about Claude for Excel: It’s intuition on how to structure a model and build input levers at exactly right level, and outputs in the right format is very impressive. Better than a typical analyst. That means not only...
BlackRock continues to increase its #BTC holdings. Over the past hour, the company purchased 4,309 BTC worth $289.6 million. https://t.co/XHsOQfFWwO
#CIOChat Q3: Yet CIOs still owe CFOs defensible numbers and audit-ready plans. How are you reconciling professional budget requirements with uncertainty. Are you using rolling forecasts, dynamic reserves, probabilistic models, or something else? https://t.co/OO17dBefNJ
SEP IRAs are a dead giveaway that somebody has room to do great planning 1.) They block backdoor Roths 2.) They reduce QBI more than solo 401ks do since SEP IRAs only allow employer contributions 3.) They do not support the mega backdoor...
.@theInformation Exclusive: @Amazon’s potential $50B investment in @OpenAI may hinge on two triggers: an IPO or reaching AGI.
Most of my clients are mid-market organizations, and they're all approaching AI the right way. And it has nothing to do with ChatGPT/Gemini/Claude. Here's what these organizations all have in common: 1 - Small teams. 2 - Tight budgets. 3 - Mature BI infrastructure. 4 -...
In order to have successful capital markets, you see the same things happen again and again. Since one man’s debts are another man’s assets, you have to keep interest rates not so high that they crush the debtor, without having them...
It will be a quick turn from today's 7y auction to month end tomorrow. Reminder Feb duration extension will be larger Friday as it always is in a refunding month.
UBS's worst-case default rate for private credit is 15%. Up from 13% a month ago. For context, the 2008 leveraged loan default rate peaked at 10.8%. UBS is now modeling a scenario worse than the financial crisis for private credit. And they...
How is Wall Street simultaneously afraid of too much AI and not enough AI? 👇
March 9 will be the 250th anniversary of the publication of The Wealth of Nations. How would Adam Smith judge our economy today? We discuss it with @Jesse_Norman, author of Adam Smith, Father of Economics, and British MP. https://t.co/Y5fN0vHIkk
The most significant legislation for freight since deregulation has been introduced in the Senate and could set off a trucking rate super cycle. This would create conditions that would bring back living wages to truck drivers, provide massive incentives to...
Will anyone dislodge Stripe as the payments king? This chart is about the same as last year. Stripe lost a few points, but the same number of Do Not Accept / N/A remains the same. PayPal remained the same. Survey...
$VITL shares down >60% from the August 2025 highs EV down to ~$800 million, it trades at ~10x EV / EBIT
LLM-driven AI tools are much better with words than with math... at what point is the time to back-check the output calculations more time-consuming than just using established software providers for key investment research and financial planning functions? "Mass market AI...
$CRM Look at the headwinds of stock based compensation, merger & acquisition costs. Then look at margin projections and scale problems. @dougkass @SeabreezeLP @jimcramer @SquawkCNBC @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @gnoble79 @KeithMcCullough @HedgeyeDJ @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1 @business @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @SaraEisen @SullyCNBC...
"We’re not going to be doing deals that don’t make financial sense for us" -- WBD CFO Gunnar Wiedenfels on sports rights deals. Question: Do any sports deals make financial sense?
Nasdaq is contorting its own index rules to court the IPOs of SpaceX et al, and @thekrazykobra brings the 🔥 https://t.co/ExpsatLZ6h https://t.co/VjWaHmMJYd
$NTLA looks like they ran the ATM for nearly 6M new shares since last quarterly earnings? As I expected. Absolute cash furnace. Their runway guidance was always mathematically implausible without raising like this.
We are going to see previously unheard of liquidity in fintech VC following the @Revolut IPO. "The firm is targeting a valuation of at least $150 billion through any listing." https://t.co/mos6kPJDYO
You own $3 million in US stocks. You live in Singapore. You pass away. Two versions of what happens next.
If you are an importer, what % discount would you accept to get paid the full amount on your tariff refunds right now with 100% certainty and you keep the money even if there are no refunds.
Who is Velesto Energy Berhad? 🌊🏗️ If you’ve been following the Malaysian stock market or the O&G sector, you’ve definitely seen this name. But do they just "dig for oil"? Here’s the breakdown of this local giant. 🧵👇
flydubai posts US$531m profit after tax for FY2025, reinforcing the momentum behind its expanding network strategy. The Dubai-based carrier reported US$591m pre-tax profit on revenues of US$3.7b, up 6% year-on-year. A record 15.7 million passengers flew with the airline, with Business...
Velesto Energy just reported a profit dip for FY25, yet they are paying out the highest dividend in the company's history. Is the RM1.3 billion order book enough to offset lower rig utilization and declining charter rates? Here is the breakdown of...
Most people think diversification means owning lots of different funds. A client came to me with 17 funds across 4 fund houses. "My advisor said this was maximum diversification." When I showed him what he actually owned underneath, something broke.
Seems to me that the biggest improvements have been in firms: - Shamed into increasing their P/B to 1.0x - Targeted by shareholder activists like Oasis - Already had the right mindset, eg Hitachi / Itochu - Illusory improvement from the weak yen https://t.co/KxTgEB3c9O https://t.co/DoX7UvP2gs
Anthropic is taking its magic tricks to financial services.... Claude Cowork for banking. - Plugins tailored for investment banking, private equity, equity research, and wealth management. - Integrations with financial data providers like FactSet, MSCI, S&P Global, and LSEG. https://t.co/pRISD6broy
You know who has a buyback of more than 25% of their equity market cap? A company that is shrinking to "grow". Like $EK back in the day. Return of capital style buyback $CRM
The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
How much money is too much money for employees to take out in a secondary? What are the appropriate guard rails to run a tender offer as a CFO? And is the rise of SPVs helping or hurting the reputation...
Domo trades at 0.8x ARR and just announced they are formally looking to sell. While they have a "cheap" multiple, revenue growth is 0% and they are barely FCF breakeven. I.e. the unit economics are broken. But might make sense to the...
