SPAC IPO of $
I hadn't realized that $OWL came public via SPAC. It's now right back to its original price. Turns out it was all priced in. EMH undefeated https://t.co/Q6eyG9hYLM
Market Fueled by Doomers and Boomers, Says Nomura
Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF
ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace
ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
Small Businesses Need Corporate‑style Risk Safeguards
Corporate Risk Practices Are Not Applied to Small Business. Large institutions protect cash flow with layered security—collateral, personal guarantees, and cash flow analysis. Most entrepreneurs don’t think this way. The Business Fortress: https://t.co/cgIOurdGHq https://t.co/t6gGZlE72H
Yen Crashes as Dollar Rallies, Markets Brace for Volatility
🚨 Trump State of Union Tonight. The Yen Is Collapsing. Pay Attention Dollar surging across the board Yen crashed 1% overnight as Japan's PM fights the BOJ on rate hikes Dow broke below the 50 SMA for the first time this year -...
Chinese Banks Pivot From US Treasuries to Diversified Reserves
Last week, we published a report titled “How Is China Rewiring Its Trillion-Dollar Surplus?” in response to media reports that Chinese authorities have urged banks to curb their exposure to the US Treasury market. This regulatory signal is highly investment-relevant,...
BSTR Poised to Hold 51k BTC, Near #2 Spot
BSTR could buy up to 21,000 additional coins at these prices when they de-SPAC. They’d then have a total of 51,000 BTC, not far from the #2 slot after Strategy. They’d also have the lowest cost basis of all big...
India Lowers Dividend Taxes, Revises France Treaty Amid US Tariffs
#IndiaWatch 🇮🇳: While the US builds tariff walls, India opens doors. India has just revised its tax treaty with France and lowered dividend taxes for investors. https://t.co/CWxHPKVvRY
BlackRock Silently Powers Governments, Markets, and Wall Street
The U.S. Government can’t operate without it. Global economy can’t function without it. And Wall Street can’t trade without it. Yet most people have no idea what BlackRock actually does. Here’s how BlackRock built a $10 trillion empire that quietly controls everything:
AI Prediction Markets Rapidly Closing the Human Advantage
I talked with one entrepreneur today that is building a prediction market. Crowds of humans are still better but AI is improving at a fast rate. Here is a prediction market for your Claws. Worth checking out. Not compensated by them.
SpaceX Stake Lifts Blue Owl NAV Amid Credit Slump
Why is the Blue Owl Tech BDC's NAV going UP when private credit sentiment is so bad? While it is primarily a private credit fund, the BDC does have a small equity portfolio, which mostly consists of a large chunk of...
Islamic Finance Expert Charged; United Plantations Hits 120‑year Record
Additional Major Earnings News to Track on February 24, 2026: 4. Tan Sri Dr Mohd Daud Bakar charged with unlicensed securities dealing The renowned Islamic finance expert is accused of unlicensed dealing activities. 5. United Plantations posts best results in 120 years FY2025 earnings...
Key Earnings to Watch on Feb 24: Petronas, IOI, Construction Plan
Major Earnings News to Track on February 24, 2026 (Day 8 of Chinese New Year): 1. Petronas Dagangan Fiscal Performance 2. IOI Corp Quarterly Earnings Outlook 3. Construction Action Plan 2026-2030 Launch 🧵⬇️
Arthur Hayes Shares Fresh Insights on Digital Assets
NEW interviews from Maelstroms Chief Arthur Hayes The latest insights on Digital Assets Financial Markets and Web3 IssueWire https://t.co/2F1BFPGBJh
More Trades Don’t Equal Better Long‑term Returns
A client showed me her previous advisor's quarterly report. 47 trades in three months. She thought that meant he was working hard for her. When I looked at her actual returns over 5 years, something didn't add up.
Liquid Federation Convenes 50+ in Viareggio to Shape Bitcoin Finance
Over 50 people from the Liquid Federation gathered in Viareggio to plan the future of finance on Bitcoin. Very bullish on what’s to come. 🇮🇹 🌊 https://t.co/t89BUHhDC3
Make Private Lenders Passive, Not Pursuing, for Funding
Raising private capital for your next deal is about keeping the partnership passive. If a private money lender has to chase you down for details, your chances of getting their money is slim to none.
AMC's $10K Debt Revives Bankruptcy Risk
$AMC 10K firmly puts bankruptcy back on the table. To quote: In order to achieve net positive cash flows from operating activities, revenues will need to increase from current levels to levels at least in line with pre-COVID-19 revenues. However, there...
Companies Issue Equity Under Pressure,
$WHR. Typical. Corporate strategy has always been Issue equity when you have to NOT when you can. Stocks down 7% on a forced issuance. $ORCL same story still dumping ATM every day https://t.co/vIGKQDwhZB
ThemesETFs Files 30 New 2x Single-Stock ETFs, Targeting Smaller Caps
More 2x single stock ETF filings from @ThemesETFs. 30 on this filing. Issuers going further down the market cap spectrum. https://t.co/jWescSJO9t
Leverage Boosts Stock Volatility, Not Business Quality
"Financial leverage increases equity volatility, not business quality." Leverage doesn’t make a business better — it just makes the stock wilder. ⚠️📈 Financial leverage amplifies equity volatility. When debt is added to the capital structure, small changes in operating performance translate into...
S&P’s Calm Mask Hides Software Slump, Rising Defaults
The S&P 500 looks calm, but look under the hood. Software stocks are DOWN ~30%. Defaults are CLIMBING. Private credit is AT RISK. https://t.co/qJPf95n11Z
Liquidity Shift Could Spark Next Market Surge
"We are about to go through March Madness. What can lead to the next leg up is a change in the liquidity picture." https://t.co/HQdpsQv8uk
Annual Returns Converge Across Correlations, Volatility Varies
I vibe coded a widget to show the idea of the blog post below. It simulates yield curve evolutions and equity market returns. Then it plots the distribution of annualized returns and volatilities over a given horizon using...
Hims Beats EPS, Guides Revenue Above Estimates
HIMS Q4 2025 earnings: • Revenue $618M vs $617M Est. • EPS $0.08 vs $0.05 Est. • Gross Margin: 72% vs 74% Est. • Subscribers: 2.5M (+13% Y/Y) FY26 Guidance • Revenue $2.8B vs $2.7B Est.
CBO Update Shows No Near-Term Deficit Solution
This month the CBO released their first updated budget projection since January 2025. In short, there is no solution in sight to reduce the fiscal deficit. https://t.co/r8ycIrViqQ
Beyond ARR: Key Metrics for Usage‑Based SaaS
What financial metrics do usage-based companies track when ARR isn’t the North Star? From revenue growth to NRR, AI adoption signals & RPO — here’s what truly matters 📊 Watch the full breakdown ➡️ https://t.co/g5IoWwadNz #SaaS #UsageBasedRevenue #SaaSMetrics https://t.co/hz15OquSg6
Mortgage Rates
5-handle The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 5.99% Same day last year: 6.89% ---------------------- 10-year treasury yield today: 4.03% Spread today: 196 bps
Apple’s Cash Return Beats Rivals’ AI Spending, Shows Strategic Restraint
Apple returned $106.1 billion to shareholders. While its competitors collectively committed $500 billion+ to AI infrastructure. Sometimes the most strategic AI decision is knowing when not to build. Source: https://t.co/KNtNLIRTOQ
China Swapped US Treasuries for Commodities via BRI
How China largely sold out of their net UST exposure yrs ago AND cornered critical minerals without ever impacting UST or commodity markets: Lend USDs along Belt & Road (BRI), repayable in either USD, CNY, or physical commodities This amounted to swapping...
The Forbidden Excel Formula that Haunts Every Organization
I've been doing analytics for 14+ years. And I'm a Microsoft Excel MVP. I still see this regularly in organizations both large and small: The one formula nobody is allowed to touch.
Top Minds Discuss Economics on Larry Bernstein Podcast
Interview with Kevin Warsh, Myron Scholes and (separately) me, on the Larry Bernstein podcast. Excellent questions. https://t.co/LoFzv1bqmR
POS Malaysia Teeters on Insolvency After Nine Years Loss
POS Malaysia “Survival Before Recovery”. •Another Net loss RM209m FY25 •9 tahun berturut rugi. It’s a structural earnings problem, reflecting business model under sustained pressure. •Accum losses driven reserves to deeply negative ~RM1 bil •Net Asset per share only 11sen. Balance sheet now thinly...
Market Reaction Scores Reveal Earnings Surprises
Plenty of sites give you an earnings calendar. Others give you an AI TLDR of the release. The team at @StockMktTV focuses on what actually matters: how markets react. The Daily Beat breaks down expectations vs reality using a proprietary...
Arcellx to Be Acquired for $115 Cash per Share
Merger Monday….ACLX (Arcellx ) being bght for $115 cash per shr +CVR worth as much as$5
Nebius Price Target Lifted to $232 on $5.4B ARR Outlook
Nebius Group $NBIS price tgt raised to $232 at Northland Conservatively raising CY26 ending ARR estimate to $5.4B from $4B on strong 4Q25 incremental ARR and low end of CY26 capex plans. While we are not changing our...
Embed FP&A Early to Drive Decision Enablement
FP&A creates real impact when embedded early — not after decisions are already taking shape. Jagan Kallaganti (Questas Group) discusses FP&A’s shift from stewardship to decision enablement and why many teams remain credible, but not truly influential: https://t.co/jaR4Oo66Wk https://t.co/4eeRpVrUe1
LIS.V Merger Arb Cuts Spread From 19% to 3%
$LIS.V merger arb worked out just as expected. Despite vocal retail opposition, shareholder approval passed easily. The spread narrowed from 19% to 3% in exactly two months following the post on SSI. https://t.co/UWBmq2fWGx
Ghost Project Exposes Governance as C‑Suite Hedge
The RM400 million "ghost" project has finally caught up to the boardroom. For C-suite leaders, this isn't just news—it’s a masterclass in why governance is your only real hedge. Here’s the breakdown of the high-stakes charges against a former Telco MD. 🧵👇
Past Returns Don't Guarantee Future Success
Early in my career, I recommended a hedge fund to five clients. Impressive track record. Global brand everyone would recognise. 28% annual returns for three years. I felt like I'd found something special. I was wrong.
Master Your P&L in Five Minutes, Not Months
If you can’t explain your P&L in 5 minutes, you’re not a boss—you’re a passenger. Managing money isn’t about complex spreadsheets; it’s about control. The 5-Step Survival Plan: Track Everything: Know exactly where every cent goes. Find the Levers: Focus on the...
Retail Investors Miss Institutional Asset-Liability Matching Due to Fee Incentives
As Adam notes, it's interesting that big pensions, banks and insurance companies meticulously manage their portfolios using asset-liability matching process. Meanwhile, retail investors get style and factor investing shoved down their throat in exchange for high fees. Why aren't asset-liability...
Mean Reversion Drives Margins, Multiples, and Sentiment
"Mean reversion applies to margins, multiples, and market sentiment." 🚀 Markets always swing, but smart investors know: extremes don’t last. Mean reversion isn’t just a theory—it drives margins, valuation multiples, and market sentiment.
Tech Revolutions Cycle: Bubbles, Crashes, Inclusive Deployment Needed
If you want to read a piece that lays out the best bull/base case scenario, you should go read “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital” by Perez. The book argues that every technological advancement follows the same framework as it relates to...
Japanese Life Insurers Face $86B Bond Losses
⚠️WHAT IS HAPPENING IN JAPAN? The 4 largest Japanese life insurers, Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, Sumitomo Life, and Meiji Yasuda, had a combined ¥13.2 trillion ($86 billion) in unrealized losses on government bonds at the end of 2025. Losses have risen over...
Stablecoins Process $390 B in Annual Payments
How much are stablecoins used to make payments? This is one of the trickier market-sizing questions. Luckily, @artemis and @McKinsey developed a new methodology to calculate Total Annual Payments Volume, estimated at $390B per year. More data in our @thestablecon report: https://t.co/upRya2aVyb
AI Agents Prompt Search for Finance's True North Star
[Sunday Muses] Agentic Banking is upon us. But where is Finance going? As AI agents begin to act autonomously inside financial systems, Dave & Dharm are poking us to Demystify Finance by asking the question: What is Finance's true North...
Economists Hide Real Risks of U.S. Bond Dumping
Everyone's worried about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds, but here's what mainstream economists won't tell you about government finances. The link to the complete presentation is in the comments.
Master M&A Basics and Profit Strategies – Free PDF
Mergers & Acquisitions 101 M&A and how you can profit from it Here’s what you’ll learn: • What Is M&A? • Why M&A? • Types of M&A Deals • How M&A Works • Benefits of M&A • The Risks • Who Drives M&A? • The Hard Truth • Serial Acquirers 📚 Grab...
Build Resilient Models: Separate Data, Use Named Ranges
I used to lose an entire day just updating last month's numbers. Not because the model was complicated. Because I hadn't built it to survive the roll forward. Most models break the same way every month. A new account shows up that...