Weaker Dollar Spurs Record Foreign Inflows
1. Chart in original post shows the weaker USD (DXY) gets, the more flows will move into USD assets...& DXY had biggest drop in 52 yrs in 1H25👇 2. So as long as DXY keeps falling 10-15%/yr, foreign** inflows will grow **37% of net UST note & bond issuance since 2022 was bought by Cayman HF's (US hedge funds = not really "foreign".)
LEI Chartbook Shows Strong Economic Indicator
The latest LEI chartbook is up, and it's looking pretty good, if you believe this kind of indicator that is -> https://t.co/jA0iOD7MzE
AI Boosts SaaS Support, Productivity, Margins—No Price Hikes
AI doesn’t need to be sexy to move the needle. In Ep. 233 of The SaaS CFO Podcast, Luca Cartechini explains how AI is boosting support, dev productivity, and margins—without raising prices. Watch here: https://t.co/CvZiAzWspt #SaaS #AI https://t.co/DhDtGPTj5z
Almonty Raises $112.5M for Global Tungsten Expansion
Almonty seeks $112.5mn to advance Montana tungsten, Portugal Panasqueira expansion, and Korea Sangdong Mo drilling. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/almonty-tungsten-funding-targets-1125mn.html
Corporate Leaders Gather to Shape Bitcoin’s Future
Bitcoin for Corporations 2026 convenes CEOs, CFOs, treasurers, investors, and builders shaping the future of Digital Capital, Digital Credit, and Digital Equity. Join us next week in Las Vegas — or via livestream. https://t.co/jW0hqfQeeR
Spot Emerging Sectors Early, Enter Low‑Risk, Let Market Grow
Our job is to identify leading sectors and industries early, find a low risk entry and let the market do the rest. 📈
10% Market Slide Could Wipe $
10% equity drop could erase $7T and shave ~0.9% off GDP. Tech/AI capex and hyperscaler overinvestment raise downside risk. Trade insight: trim cyclicals & hardware suppliers. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Undervalued Malaysian Hospitality Stock Sees 35x Profit Surge
Is this the most undervalued hospitality play in Malaysia right now? 🇲🇾 While everyone is chasing speculative tech, a "quiet" company just reported a 35-fold quarterly profit jump. This isn't just growth—it’s a total operational takeover. 🧵 (1/5)
NVDA to Outpace Street, 2027 Growth Near 40%
T-minus 5 days until $NVDA reports. I expect guidance to come in ahead of expectations for CY26. That said, the real question is: what about 2027? My take: Growth in CY27 will be closer to 40% vs. the Street at...
EU Unveils “Savings and Investment Union” Capital Market Reform
The European Commission has launched another attempt to reform capital markets, rebranded as the ‘Savings and Investment Union’. https://t.co/UQ2DvCgG3f
AI Accountability Demands Direct P&L Mapping in 2026
2026 is the year AI accountability gets real. No more hiding behind "pilot mode." If you can’t map AI spend to the P&L, your seat at the table is at risk. 💺🔥 See the roadmap: https://t.co/dJs86sTyRD #CXOtalk #Leadership #FutureOfWork
New Low-Cost, Tax-Efficient Benchmark ETF Arrives June 30
There has been near zero coverage in the endowment and foundation world about there now being a low-cost, tax-efficient investable benchmark ETF. June 30th can't come soon enough...
FP&A Software
Once you use an FP&A solution, you never want to go back. Spreadsheets always have their place, but FP&A software dramatically increases FP&A productivity. Here are the highlights from my latest tech stack report. - 37 forecasting and budgeting solutions...
Accounting Rules Reveal Shutdown’s Massive Real GDP Loss
A fun(?) 🧵 on how nerdy government accounting rules had a big impact on Q4 GDP. And how they reflect how wasteful the 43-day government shutdown was. TL;DR: Small reduction in nominal federal spending in Q4. But a big decline in...
Cooling Volatility Triggers Machine Re‑Leverage, Expect Upward Grind
Volatility is cooling. 30D realized volatility (yellow line) just rolled over and is now below 90D (blue line). When short-term vol drops, the machines re-lever. Vol control funds start buying. Right now, the signal says grind higher until proven otherwise.
Netherlands to Tax Unrealized Gains at 36%
The Netherlands has decided to tax unrealized gains by 36%. How does this impact everyone? Listen to our @new_era_finance episode with @arnowellens here: Spotify: https://t.co/bZaHFUcXeh Apple Podcasts: https://t.co/I4zZUjhN3X
Customer Concentration and Founder Dependency Hide SaaS Risks
Customer concentration + founder dependency = hidden SaaS risk. In Ep. 233 of The SaaS CFO Podcast, Luca Cartechini breaks down what acquirers really look for beyond growth and EBITDA. 🎧 Watch here: https://t.co/CvZiAzWspt #SaaS #AI https://t.co/NnzH4dkR4I
Mastering Uncertainty: Transient Advantage in Portfolio Decisions
A little behind the scenes from recording the Profit Streams Podcast with Luke Hohmann, discussing transient advantage and how you manage uncertainty in portfolio decision-making. #Podcasts #TransientAdvantage #profitstreams
U.S. Debt Surge Demands Immediate Fiscal Brake
While the U.S. private sector repaired its balance sheet after 2008, the government did not. Gov’t debt to GDP ratio has climbed from 40% in 2007 to almost 110% today. THE U.S. NEEDS A DEBT BRAKE. UNSUSTAINABLE DEBT = FISCAL CRISIS. https://t.co/38NJYDyJgP
Most Weekly BDC Discounts Are Mispriced—Learn Why
Everyone has a BDC take this week. Most of them are wrong. If you don't understand how they trade, what drives the discount, or why NAV isn't what you think it is, start here. https://www.junkbondinvestor.com/p/the-bdc-primer-part-1
ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction
The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...
Consumers Misunderstand Credit Scores; Banks Must Rethink Risk
Most consumers don’t understand how their credit score is calculated, and stigma keeps them from getting help. Financial institutions must rethink risk. We explore this with Steve Min, Chief Credit Officer at @CreditOneBank. Watch the full episode now: https://t.co/wUIHckaAy4 https://t.co/dX96wDMpfj
Gold's Parabolic Surge May Be Overheated, Reversion Likely
The Rock May Be Too Hot - Gold vs. Commodities - Inflation is notably absent from gold's parabolic rally, which may suggest a too-hot rock if history is a guide. From a base of 100 in 1964, gold in terms...
Block Turns Cash App Score Into Fintech Data Service
Block’s Credit Score Play: Can Cash App Score Replace FICO? Block announced it’s selling its Cash App Score to third-party lenders. It could be one of the more interesting data-as-a-service businesses in fintech right now. New Fintech Snark Tank post: https://t.co/tItfZdy7IT
BDC's Wind‑down Follows Its Disclosed Liquidity Plan
To be clear, the fund being referenced is *not* an interval fund, it is a BDC. This may seem like splitting hairs because they are both lumped together as evergreen/semi-liquid fund structures, but there are important distinctions - much in the...
Separate Revenue Streams for Accurate SaaS MRR
Is your MRR a mystery? Many companies I help struggle with revenue accuracy. Are one-time services muddying your recurring revenue? Co-mingled revenue streams aren't just confusing; they're a "big SaaS sin" impacting valuation and strategic planning and metrics. Clean up...
Buybacks Drop as Capex Takes Priority, ESO Dilution Fades
There are two reasons why buybacks are falling and likely to fall more 1. CApex as a use of FCF is deemed more important than share count reduction or SBC dilution offset 2. To the extent stocks fade the ESO awards provided...
Discussing 2026 Credit Outlook, Including Private Credit
I will be joining @CNBC's @michaelsantoli this afternoon at 430p ET for a discussion of the credit markets--including, yes, private credit. Snip from our Outlook 2026. https://t.co/u8NP4oAYoL https://t.co/umYLiLDzTY
Spend at Your Marginal Frontier, Not Just More
Your CFO wants more efficiency. Your CMO wants more volume. They're both right. And both wrong. The real question isn't "what should our target be?" It's "where are we at on our marginal frontier?" Spending power = the amount you can increase spend before...
Boards Urge CFOs to Embrace Stablecoins for Crypto Adoption
Great to be back on with @MariaBartiromo discussing Ripple’s banner year and accelerating momentum as we start 2026. Already, we are actively seeing Boards and CEOs pushing their CFOs and treasurers to understand how they can leverage and benefit from...
Rates Dip to 2022 Lows, Sales Still Lagging
Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater: “Mortgage rates dropped again this week, now down to their lowest level since September of 2022.” The 30-year fixed averaged 6.01% this week, down from 6.09% last week. Meanwhile, pending home sales are DOWN after existing...
Invest in Productive Assets, Not Mere Appreciation
I wrote a short opinion piece in response to the idea that Buffett has been wrong about gold and Bitcoin. Buffett's core argument is that you should build a portfolio around "productive" cash flow generating assets. Don't buy land and...
From $4B Deal
He made $4B for his old firm and $900M for himself. Then sued to break a noncompete—and launched a hedge fund that gained 20% in year one.
Stillwell Pushes Buybacks, Director Nomination as LSBK Climbs
$LSBK has performed well over the 6 months since Stillwell filed a 13D (+22%) Stillwell (owns ~10%) is making his next move: nominating a director for the 2026 AGM and pushing for buybacks while the stock trades below TBV. He also warned...
Wells Fargo Confirms No Hidden Incentives in $1.4B Loan Sale
Finian O'Shea of Wells Fargo just asked this question on this morning's $OBDC conference call and mgmt confirmed nothing behind the scenes, no bonus economics or shenanigans behind the $1.4bn private credit loan sale at par value to 4 institutional...
Sunway‑IJM Merger Threatens Malaysia’s Construction Competition
Is Malaysia about to witness a construction monopoly? A "too big to fail" monopoly. 🏗️ The proposed Sunway-IJM merger is under fire for its potential to stifle competition and inflate costs. Here is the 5-point TL;DR on why this deal needs a rethink. 🧵👇
Quarterly Report Tracks Stablecoin Paradigm Shift
Today, @TheStablecon and @Artemis drop "The State of Stables," our quarterly report on the trends driving the fast-moving stablecoin ecosystem. It’s impossible to know today what the legacy of stablecoins will be. Entrepreneurs have barely begun to challenge the dominant paradigms in...
Earnings and Dividends Now Power Half of Market Gains
One positive aspect of the evolution of this market cycle has been how the market has become less reliant on multiple expansion. Earnings and dividends now comprise almost half of the cumulative gains since October 2022, with the P/E expansion...
Bipartisan Push for 3% GDP Deficit Cap Gains Momentum
I Love and Endorse the Bipartisan 3 % of GDP Budget Deficit Solution In the House of Representatives there is now a bipartisan bill in the works to enact, and a growing agreement that we need, a 3% cap on the budget...
Seek 5% Annual Edge, Keep Cash Out
Francois Rochon on being fully invested "If we continue to find companies that we believe can do five percentage points better than that on an annualized basis over many years, why would we hold cash?"
Idle Cash Loses Value Faster than Market Dips
📊 "Person A has $125K which has been sitting comfortably in a bank account for 5 years now. Person B had $3M, but this is now reduced to $1.5M due to market volatility and taking risks in the market. Both started with...
Beginner's Guide: All 11 SPDR S&P 500 Sector ETFs
📊 If you are a beginner and want to learn the key Sector ETFs to track. Below is a good starting point. Here is the full suite of SPDR S&P 500 Sector ETFs from State Street: $XLK – Technology $XLC – Communication Services $XLY...
Trade the Range Now, Skip Breakout Expectations
📺 STOP WAITING FOR THE BREAKOUT, TRADE THE RANGE FOR NOW Get today's newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F My core message to everyone today: stop expecting big follow-through and start trading the range that’s actually in front of you. That’s the environment right now: quick pushes,...
Retail Private Credit Set to Reach Trillions, Threaten Industry
The volume of retail-focused private credit funds has ballooned over the last few years, and is expected to grow to trillions of dollars of assets in that next few years. This points to why this could challenge the broader industry:...
FPIs Add ₹14,000 Cr Equity in February
FPIs have finally started some buying, it looks like - in equity, they've added about 14,000 cr. in Feb this far: https://t.co/6Ag6kWbKnh
Wall Street's Bitcoin Bet Fails as Hedge Thesis Crumbles
Bitcoin Won Over Wall Street and Now It’s Paying the Price Wall Street may invest in BTC but that doesn't mean they are "hodlers" with the same religious zeal shown by many who profess to "never sell." -Bitcoin's price has...
Quant Hedge Fund Alpha Closes After 25 Years
A $2 billion quantitative hedge fund that recently added “Alpha” to its name, is calling it quits after three consecutive years of losses and roughly 25-year run https://t.co/69PJrwEni7
Altcoin Volume Halves as Funds Shift Back to Bitcoin
🚨 INSIGHT Altcoin volume has fallen by half as capital rotates back into Bitcoin, echoing past corrective phases. https://t.co/K2gnfiMzSh
Three Multinationals Generate Half of Ireland's 2024 Tax Revenue
Ireland’s corporation tax receipts have become increasingly concentrated with just three multinational companies accounting for almost half of all of the revenue stream in 2024, watchdog warns https://t.co/of9w2dPPpV via @livfletcher_ https://t.co/iNNIyP8iwQ
Fuel Subsidy Masks Real Service Cost Surge
1.6% is a statistical illusion for the urban middle class While headline inflation is stable, the "unprotected" service sector is aggressive: Personal Care & Misc. → 6.6% Education → 3.2% Cause→Effect: Subsidized fuel (-0.7%) masks the reality of rising service labor costs. If you...