Russia Weakened but Still Dangerous After the Ukraine War
The Ukraine war has exposed Russia’s structural vulnerabilities, including demographic decline, waning energy leverage over Europe, and growing reliance on China. Simultaneously, Moscow has adapted its military doctrine, emphasizing drones, electronic warfare, and attritional tactics, while sanctions have not collapsed its war‑focused economy. NATO enlargement and a heavily militarised Ukraine have further constrained Russian strategic options, yet the Kremlin retains influence in parts of the post‑Soviet space. The United States now faces a dilemma: shift from a passive wait‑and‑see stance to active, long‑term containment of a still dangerous adversary.
British Chamber Welcomes Easing of Interest Rates
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas trimmed its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%, marking a cumulative 225‑basis‑point reduction since August 2024. The British Chamber of Commerce Philippines welcomed the move, arguing it will help revive economic growth and...
From Courtroom to Capital Markets: Why US Tariff Instability Matters
The Supreme Court narrowed presidential tariff authority, prompting the administration to rely on alternative statutes and refusing refunds for collected duties. This creates a new layer of substitution and retroactivity risk that markets now price into trade‑policy expectations. For capital‑intensive...
Quote of the Day: ‘Benefits of Tariffs Are…’ — What Milton Friedman Said on Protectionism
Milton Friedman’s 1980 warning that tariffs show visible benefits but hide widespread costs resonates amid recent US‑China trade frictions, where higher import duties have pushed up consumer prices and strained global supply chains. At the same time, India and Brazil...
RBI Likely to Go for a Prolonged Policy Rate Pause: ICICI Bank Report
The Reserve Bank of India kept its policy repo rate steady at 5.25% on February 6, signalling a neutral stance. ICICI Bank Global Markets expects this will translate into a prolonged pause through 2026‑27 as core inflation stays benign and oil‑price...
US Does Not Want Anyone Buying Russian Oil, Says Ambassador Sergio Gor
US Ambassador Sergio Gor told reporters in New Delhi that Washington does not want any country buying Russian oil as part of its effort to end the Ukraine war. He praised India’s recent diversification of crude supplies but reiterated the...
US: Landmark Supreme Court Decision Holds IEEPA Tariffs Invalid
On February 20, 2026 the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not give the President authority to impose tariffs, invalidating the IEEPA tariffs enacted by President Trump. The majority applied the major questions...
Historic Supreme Court Decision Ends Trump’s Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court issued a 6‑3 ruling on February 20, 2026, striking down President Trump’s sweeping global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. The decision, authored by Chief Justice John Roberts, holds that the Constitution reserves...
Supreme Court Tariff Ruling in Learning Resources, Inc. V. Trump: What Corporate Tax and Trade Teams Need to Know
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not give the President authority to impose tariffs, invalidating both the targeted fentanyl duties and broader reciprocal tariffs. The decision could unlock up to $175 billion in...
Supreme Court Trump Tariff Decision Impact: What to Expect as Fight for Billions in Refunds Begins
The U.S. Supreme Court declared President Trump’s IEEPA‑based tariffs illegal, opening the door to massive refund claims. Estimates suggest importers could seek as much as $175 billion in reimbursements, though the Court did not specify how refunds will be administered. Treasury,...
Trump Threatens 'Global' Tariff on Aluminum Scrap
President Donald Trump signaled a possible 10% tariff on U.S. aluminum scrap imports after the Supreme Court struck down his earlier country‑specific duties. He indicated the executive order would invoke Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, which permits duties...
Europe Values Digital Euro at €1.3B Amid ECB Leadership Change Narrative Increase
The European Central Bank has earmarked €1.3 billion for the digital euro’s development and expects annual operating costs of €320 million from 2029. A pilot phase will begin with a call for expressions of interest in March 2026, running six weeks, followed by...
Hutchison Makes Overtures to Panama for Negotiations Over Terminal Ops
Hong Kong‑based CK Hutchison has formally asked Panama to reopen talks on the concession to operate the Balboa and Cristóbal terminals that flank the Panama Canal. The request follows a Panama Supreme Court ruling that declared the law granting the...
Supply Chains Brace for Renewed Turbulence as Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not give the president authority to impose the sweeping tariffs enacted under the Trump administration, effectively nullifying roughly $175 billion in duties. Ports and logistics firms are...
New Econ on Top for the Week, Curve Steeper Friday on Tariffs (E251)
DoubleLine strategists Ryan Kimmel and Mark Kimbrough highlighted a sector rotation this week, with communications services, financials and industrials gaining while traditional “old economy” sectors such as utilities and real estate fell. In fixed income, investment‑grade yields edged higher, but...
Access to Credit and Employment Growth for MSMEs: Evidence From Latin America and the Caribbean
A new IDB Invest technical note analyzes 21,696 MSMEs across 30 Latin American and Caribbean economies, linking credit access to employment growth. The study finds that an extra US$1 million in financing generates roughly four permanent jobs per year. Effects vary:...
Traders Brace for Trump's New Tariff Plan, Possible Iran Attack and Nvidia Earnings
Wall Street is bracing for President Donald Trump’s announcement of a new 10% global tariff after the Supreme Court ruled his earlier IEEPA tariffs unlawful. The decision could spark lengthy refund litigation for importers and may give the Federal Reserve...
Five Forces that May Reshape the African Continent in 2026
The African Union’s February summit highlighted a packed 2026 election calendar, with more than a dozen nations heading to the polls, from Uganda and Benin to Ethiopia and South Sudan. Parallel security concerns dominate the agenda, as the DRC’s fragile...
S&P 500 Rises, Dow Gains 200 Points After Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Emergency Tariffs: Live Updates
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s emergency tariffs, sending the S&P 500 up 0.69% to 6,909 and the Dow up 230 points. The decision lifted a macro headwind for import‑dependent consumer‑discretionary firms, with Nike, Yeti and SharkNinja posting gains....
Soybean Growers Applaud Court Ruling, Warn Against New Trump Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that President Trump cannot invoke the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs on agricultural inputs. The decision overturns several IEEPA tariffs on fertilizer and farm equipment, a relief for soybean growers. Despite the...
Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Global Tariffs in 6–3 Ruling
The U.S. Supreme Court issued a 6‑3 decision striking down President Trump’s global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), ruling the move exceeded presidential authority. The majority held that IEEPA does not grant the power to...
The Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that President Trump’s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act are unlawful, restoring congressional authority over trade barriers. The decision paves the way for thousands of lawsuits seeking refunds, with industry estimates...
The Supreme Court Just Struck Down Most of Trump’s Tariffs. What’s Next?
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that the president cannot impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, effectively nullifying most of Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff regime. The decision restores congressional primacy over tariff authority and declares the core...
InvestingLive Americas Market News Wrap: Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Tariffs
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s proposed Section 122 global tariff, removing a major trade escalation risk. Meanwhile, the advance estimate for Q4 GDP posted a 1.4% annual gain, well below the 3.0% consensus, while PCE inflation edged higher...
Tunisia Needs Both Bread and Freedom
Tunisia’s post‑2011 democratic breakthrough delivered expanded civil liberties but failed to translate into lasting economic gains. A 2021 presidential power grab dismantled key checks, curbing judicial independence and reversing many political freedoms. Meanwhile, the economy remains hampered by high inflation,...
Hapag-Lloyd Set to Grow Its Intra-Asia Network Through Zim’s Gold Star Line
German carrier Hapag-Lloyd plans to leverage its $4.2 billion acquisition of Zim Integrated Shipping Services to expand its intra‑Asia footprint through Zim’s Hong Kong‑based affiliate Gold Star Line. Gold Star operates 20 liner services with a fleet of 40 vessels totaling roughly 100,000 TEU,...
Denmark Seizes Blacklisted Container Ship Tied to Iran's Shadow Fleet
The Danish Maritime Authority seized the container vessel Nora, a ship blacklisted by the United States for violating Iran sanctions. Authorities say the vessel was sailing under an unauthorized Comoros flag and abruptly raised the Iranian flag when questioned, indicating...
TFM Showcases Economic Impact and Calls for Energy Reform at DRC Breakfast During Mining Indaba
Tenke Fungurume Mining (TFM) told Mining Indaba delegates it has delivered roughly US$8 billion to the Democratic Republic of Congo’s public treasury since 2006 and supports about 20,000 jobs. The mine, a Copper Mark‑certified operation, allocates 0.3% of revenue to community projects...
Iran’s Regime Is Suffering From Strategic Vertigo. Its Next Misstep May Be Its Last.
Iran’s leadership has repeatedly misread regional dynamics, turning potential strategic gains into costly setbacks. After hesitating to mobilize Hezbollah during the October 7 Hamas offensive, Tehran launched a large‑scale missile and drone barrage against Israel in April 2024, prompting a robust Israeli‑U.S....
Trump Imposes 15% Tariff Through Executive Order Following Supreme Court Ruling
President Donald Trump announced an executive order imposing a 15% global tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, following a Supreme Court decision that invalidated his earlier emergency‑law tariff plan. The new tariffs include exemptions for critical minerals, metals...
Real Estate As Trade Engine: How John E. Drew Builds For Global Commerce
John E. Drew, founder of Drew Companies, is redefining real estate as a trade engine by developing logistics‑focused campuses that link ports, rail, and highways. His strategy emphasizes modular, technology‑enabled facilities that accelerate cargo movement and reduce supply‑chain friction. Drew’s...
US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs as Unlawful
The U.S. Supreme Court issued a 6‑3 ruling that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not grant the president authority to impose tariffs. The majority applied the major questions doctrine, concluding that Congress must provide clear authorization for such...
U.S. Businesses Line up for Tariff Refunds After Supreme Court Decision
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down the Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, opening the door for refunds of roughly $130 billion collected by the Treasury. Importers, retailers and apparel groups are already petitioning for clear guidance on how to reclaim these...
Post-Poll Upswing Continues on SET
Thai shares rallied toward the 1,500‑point psychological barrier, driven by a catch‑up valuation buying pattern and strong dividend announcements. The SET index’s price‑earnings multiple sits about 33 % below the MSCI All‑Country World Index, widening the gap between blue‑chip and mid‑cap...
Fed's Logan: There Is Now More Inflation Uncertainty Due to Tariff Decision
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Logan warned that recent tariff decisions have heightened inflation uncertainty, casting doubt on a smooth path to the 2% target. While she remains confident that current policy tools are well‑positioned to address emerging risks, she expressed concern...
Will You Get a Tariff Refund After the Supreme Court Ruling?
The Supreme Court struck down the Trump administration’s IEEPA‑based tariffs in a 6‑3 decision, opening the possibility of refunds on more than $175 billion of duties collected since early 2025. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted the Treasury holds roughly $774 billion to...
U.S. Supreme Court Ruling on Trump Tariffs a Welcome Development for Canadian Businesses
The U.S. Supreme Court on Friday struck down many of President Trump’s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, including several that targeted Canadian imports. The ruling was hailed by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business as a...
Democratic Senators Press Bowman on Fed Changes
Democratic senators sent two letters to Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman questioning recent supervisory changes, including a 30% staff cut in the Fed's supervision arm and the removal of bank examiners at banks' request. They also demanded answers on her...
GDP Sees Slow Growth in Q4 2025
Real GDP growth slowed sharply in Q4 2025, posting a 1.4% annualized increase, down from 4.4% in Q3. The decline reflects the fallout from a historic federal shutdown, which cut government spending and removed more than one percentage point of growth....
What Is Trump’s China Policy?
Former President Donald Trump’s China policy is defined by contradictory impulses—pursuing short‑term commercial deals while simultaneously signaling a tougher stance on strategic issues like Taiwan and critical minerals. The administration’s “big‑tent” approach pits pro‑business officials against hard‑line hawks, creating strategic...
High Court Ruling on Trump Tariffs to ‘Ease Uncertainty,’ Says AM Best
The U.S. Supreme Court issued a 6‑3 decision rejecting President Donald Trump’s authority to impose sweeping tariffs, a move hailed by rating agency AM Best as a relief for the insurance sector. The court’s ruling eliminates the tariff‑related uncertainty that has...
US Supreme Court Strike Down Majority of Trump's Tariffs, so Hopefully That's One Less Hardware Buying Headache to Worry About
The U.S. Supreme Court voted 6‑3 to invalidate most of the tariffs President Trump imposed on imported hardware components. The decision hinges on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, which the court found did not grant Trump authority for those...
Trans-Pacific Carriers, Importers Slow-Walking Service Contract Negotiations
Trans‑Pacific ocean carriers and U.S. importers are deliberately postponing contract sign‑offs for the 2026‑27 service year as spot rates to the West Coast have slumped more than 20% since early January. Both sides hope that underlying market fundamentals will improve,...
Kyrgyzstan’s Energy Emergency Opens the Door to Russian Nuclear Influence
Facing chronic electricity shortages due to over‑reliance on hydropower, Kyrgyzstan is considering a Russian‑built small modular reactor (SMR). President Putin pledged Moscow’s readiness to construct the plant, which could deliver 110‑440 MW of baseload power. The deal would require deep regulatory,...
Now That Trump's Tariffs Have Been Ruled Illegal, Will Tech Prices Lower?
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6‑3 that most Trump‑era tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act were unlawful, effectively eliminating the 25 % flat tariffs on goods from Canada, China and Mexico while leaving steel and aluminum duties intact....
World Bank Chief's Role on Trump-Led Board of Peace Prompts Questions
World Bank President Ajay Banga joined President Donald Trump’s Board of Peace for Gaza reconstruction, igniting debate over the lender’s political neutrality. Critics warn his involvement could blur the Bank’s traditionally apolitical stance, while supporters argue his presence may temper...
NATO Needs to Define the Substance of Its 1.5 Percent Pledge
At the 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague, allies committed to raising defense‑related spending to 1.5 percent of GDP by 2030, adding roughly $825 billion across the Alliance. The communiqué, however, offers no clear definition of which expenditures count toward this figure,...
US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Tariffs: Early Analysis From Chatham House Experts
The U.S. Supreme Court issued a 6‑3 decision striking down President Donald Trump’s global tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, finding the administration exceeded its authority. The ruling blocks the baseline 10% "Liberation Day" tariff and related...
Tariff Slapdown: What the Markets Say
The U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs, sending U.S. equities up about 0.7% and lifting the 10‑year Treasury yield back to roughly 4.10%. The decision removes a source of tariff‑derived revenue, reviving fiscal‑deficit concerns and creating upside...
First Quantum Pegs Argentina Copper Mine’s Value at $5.9B
First Quantum Minerals announced that its Taca Taca copper‑gold project in northwest Argentina now carries an after‑tax net present value of $5.92 billion and a 19.3% internal rate of return, more than double the 2021 estimate. Updated reserves rose 13%, adding...