
Brazilian bleached eucalyptus kraft (BEK) pulp prices rose 8% year‑on‑year in dollar terms, though a stronger real softened the net effect. February contracts ranged $700‑1,130 per tonne, while the March local‑currency price is set around 4,030 Reais, down 5.1% YoY but up 7.9% month‑on‑month. Buyers are building inventories to hedge against anticipated price hikes driven by Middle East tensions that have triggered freight surcharges and logistics disruptions. Producers across Latin America signal a global price increase in March, backed by strong Chinese demand and supply constraints in Asia.

Nifty50 10 Mar option chain at today’s close shows ATM IV above 20. That means option premiums are already elevated and the market is pricing serious uncertainty...Add crude oil above $90/barrel, and the macro backdrop is getting tense.😬💥 High IV +...
BTW, oil rallied an additional 43% over the next 2 months. Trump will do everything he can to open the strait of Hormuz and prevent a similar outcome. As I noted in an earlier post this week, I expect it...
U.S. workers now need about 66 full workdays each year to cover rent, groceries and a used car, seven days more than in 2007. Although average hourly wages have risen 66% since the 2008 crisis, the cost of essential goods...
An interesting feature of this market, similar to what @kevinmuir has pointed out ... Is that most of my clients are less worried about the downside in stocks and EMFX ... and more worried about missing the rip when the...

China’s Communist Party frames its far‑reaching global actions as defensive, even as it expands military capabilities, maritime claims and economic influence. This self‑perception stems from a blend of historic victimhood and a belief in inherent peacefulness, which turns defensive intent...

South Korean President Lee Jae‑myung visited the Philippines on March 3‑4, 2026, marking the 77th anniversary of diplomatic ties and signing ten memoranda of understanding across AI, cybersecurity, defense, and energy. The two leaders pledged deeper cooperation on critical minerals, leveraging...

Geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel and Iran have rattled traditional safe‑haven assets, with gold and consumer staples slipping as oil prices breach $100 per barrel. UBS recommends pharmaceutical stocks as the new defensive refuge, citing their inverse link to...

Amazon Web Services is poised to invest $750 million in a new data center on a 99‑acre site in Clinton, Mississippi, repurposing the former Milwaukee Tool facility. The city council approved a fee‑in‑lieu tax arrangement, though final approval from the Mississippi...
Axel Springer has agreed to acquire the UK‑based Telegraph Media Group for £575 million, a deal reported by the Financial Times. The purchase follows a failed £500 million bid by Daily Mail owner DMGT that faced regulatory scrutiny. By adding the Telegraph’s...

ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said the central bank’s policy stance remains appropriate despite a temporary inflation overshoot, provided expectations stay anchored. She highlighted that inflation is projected to meet the 2% target over the medium term, reinforcing a...

Senator Chris Van Hollen introduced a bill to eliminate federal income tax for individuals earning up to $46,000 and married couples earning up to $92,000, potentially covering nearly half of U.S. workers. The measure would raise the number of taxpayers...
The Global X Clean Water ETF (AQWA) experienced a sharp surge in trading activity on Friday, with 466,000 shares exchanged—roughly twelve times its three‑month average volume of 37,000. Despite the heightened interest, the ETF slipped 2.4% during the session. Component...

The Mortgage Industry Standards Maintenance Organization (MISMO) has elevated the data mapping for VA Form 26‑1820 and the HUD FHA Addendum to candidate recommendation status, making standardized XML datasets available for industry use. The VA mapping translates the loan disbursement report...
Wholesale prices surged in January, with the producer price index rising 0.5% month‑over‑month and core PPI up 0.8%, keeping inflation well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. The Fed left rates unchanged at 3.25%‑3.5%, but the data dampens expectations for...

In the 10 days after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, Brent rose 32%. We're now up 25% since the war with Iran began, which - to me - says there's more upside. Given all this, the Dollar is trading soft...

In a March 2026 speech, ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel argued that, despite calls for a dual mandate, single‑mandate and dual‑mandate central banks usually adopt similar policy actions because price stability constrains any employment‑focused easing. She highlighted that more...
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...
JUST IN: Brent crude oil price surges to $91, up 25% in the past 7 days.

Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor and Donald Trump’s pick, has been nominated to chair the Federal Reserve. Warsh is known for advocating aggressive rate cuts and a loose monetary stance that many analysts deem risky in the current inflationary...
My partner @kieranwgoodwin has been so right about this space for over a year which has really sharpened my vision. Outflows beget outflows. Gating begets outflows. Selling some of the underlying portfolio to meet minimum redemptions creates losses and begets...
This week in value: Berkshire Hathaway 2025 Annual Report (BH) Tom Gayner – 2025 Letter (Markel) GMO – Year End Letters 2025 (GMO) Icahn Enterprises L.P. 2025 Q4 (Icahn) Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel on resuming buyback program: I absolutely talked to Warren (CNBC) Could Value...

Jefferies analysts argue that consumer companies embracing agentic AI will outpace rivals as algorithms prioritize product superiority, pricing and post‑purchase service. They highlight five stocks—Planet Fitness, Revolve Group, SharkNinja, YETI and Signet Jewelers—each with Jefferies price targets implying 60‑119% upside....
Grumbling out of China is getting louder as crude pushes higher....... I am leaning now 50/50 that the meeting with XI and Trump even happens now. Hope I am wrong because would like to see it. Time will...
"Stock's are holding up well" ...... $RSP having it's worst week since March 2025..... https://t.co/EEZWRGi6w7

Washington is poised to enact a 9.9% income tax on earnings above $1 million, projected to generate about $4 billion annually. Governor Bob Ferguson announced he will sign the revised bill, which allocates 5% of proceeds to child‑care and early‑learning accounts and...

How low can gas go? Down 59% in 2026 vs 2023 so far. 14th straight and 41 of 64 days in 2026 with WWS meeting >100% of demand for part of the day. Demand also down 3% vs '23 Solar up 62%; batteries...

Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar are reviewing US contracts and future investment commitments. The US-Israeli war on Iran is putting investments at risk. WAR = COLLATERAL DAMAGE AND COSTS. https://t.co/YXzBzPwL7O

Another name that I own sitting just below 50ma. Might need basing soon. $NOW well into the ER gap and just below 50ma daily. upped a few of the stop orders today. Need more cushion of...
Gundlach’s law of financial physics: The frequency of losses times the severity of losses equals a constant. Implication: do not invest in artificially “low volatility” strategies.

SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐤: Fresh launches, team moves are keeping hedge funds in growth mode, while Middle East tensions prompt firms in the Gulf to review near-term plans and continuity playbooks. Meanwhile, AI agent workflows are moving from buzzword to toolkit https://t.co/jiiupziBYa

witht the breakout of $USO from consolidation we're seeing pressure on stocks again $QQQ testing 202 support area. https://t.co/QfA8Fnetbn

$USOIL - We're witnessing an extreme development today. Crude oil is up 16% currently. The 14 day RSI is above 89. The last time it closed above 89 was in August 1990, during the Gulf war. https://t.co/Fl62P7oRcE
Roche, Zealand shares fall on ‘undifferentiated’ obesity drug results https://t.co/5pSR2vcHBD by @Lilah_Alvarado $RHHBY $ZEAL $LLY $NVO #obesity
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
NG, CL, S, W, CD - all made new momentum highs on 120 minute charts. (Rus made new momo lows on 120 minute)..

Home sales peaked in 2005 Home Sales crashed from 2005 to 2008 Inventory spiked before the recession started 2005 2.5 million Inventory 2007 4,000,000 Inventory Currently at 1.22 million Normal is 2-2.5 million Credit channels have run inventory channels for...
Matt Murphy at $MRVL and Hock Tan at $AVGO crushed it in the Q&A. The reason the market reacted wasn't that this was the first time going after it, but they reminded listeners what they were told before, what really...

this chart from Anthropic on AI and job displacement is basically the HALO trade visualized (the bet that physical economy stocks are the safe haven from AI disruption, coined by @Downtown) Construction, agriculture, transportation: barely touched. Computer & math, office &...

It's not cherry picking season yet Andrew..."Market of stocks" is getting smoked and software (part that's already gotten smoked) is masking that in the $QQQs. Trailing 5 day performance using a more intellectually honest view of the market. *insert 3 snarky...

Rhetorical Question: How do you define support in a chart like this ?! (and energy components are less than 4%).... https://t.co/acijcTvFSG
My friend & oil expert Javier Blas reports just what I’ve been anticipating: that the US-Israeli war on Iran would force the US to lift sanctions on Russian oil. https://t.co/4VIvPSwm63
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Rejected at Resistance Again – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/WgcEZNsTLi $USDCAD Weekly Chart https://t.co/vHGLydn1EX

A Cboe measure of crude oil volatility has surged to its highest level since 2020 https://t.co/4FBZMvXK9Y

Metals and miners have recently pulled back as investors suddenly think the Fed won’t be as dovish. Wait until they realize the policymakers are cornered into cutting rates regardless of inflation accelerating, just to keep the government’s debt affordable. That’s an explosive...

(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 6, 2026 - The Long & The Short Of It..." Adding some longs & some shorts this A.M.... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/I3veVBLlHY https://t.co/AqMtKshBK1

$ hit resistance this morning (EC inverse)...may still fill out range another few trading days... https://t.co/CLncQXQ0Ub
Yen could be setting up for a win-win type environment. 1. War deescalates, oil down, dollar down. 2. War escalates and everything goes to shit, capital flight from US assets, flight to Yen safe haven. It's interesting to me because there's a...