Hungary's Central Bank Warns Against Rushed Euro Adoption
Hungary’s central bank governor urged caution on the new government’s plan to adopt the euro, saying that a rushed process could lead to unintended negative consequences for the economy https://t.co/krQSmnDRjv via @mkasnyik https://t.co/9nMNVQwEH9
China Pivots to Service Consumption for Growth
1/5 Caixin: "Boosting domestic demand remains paramount, but the strategy is evolving. Driven by a resilient service sector that outpaced overall retail sales in the first quarter, Beijing is pivoting toward service consumption." https://t.co/eoPwiFskb4
HK Inflation Near Target, Currency Board Proves Effective
Hong Kong’s inflation rate comes in at 1.7%/yr in March, JUST A TAD below its de facto 2%/yr inflation target. Hong Kong’s Dollar-Based Currency Board is WORKING LIKE A CHARM. https://t.co/LLVZcUcIV2
Join Daily Watchlist for Hand‑Picked High‑Probability Trades
Get Access To Daily Watchlist Community 👇 Every morning (or night before), you’ll get: ✅ Hand-picked setups with clear levels & targets ✅ High-probability entries so you trade with conviction ✅ Tailored insights for both small & large accounts ✅ Community support so you’re never...
Smart Traders Target Liquidity, Not Just Candles
Most traders see candles… smart traders see liquidity. This setup shows a complete model: Liquidity Sweep → MSS → FVG Entry 📌 What’s happening: Price takes liquidity at CRTH Then shifts structure (MSS) Then gives a perfect entry at FVG That’s the only high probability setup. Stop chasing...
SDG's Cheap Shares Demand
#SDG too cheap https://t.co/vPrlSyJp9i …but they really need to buy back & cancel shares rather than just buy a few & give them to themselves https://t.co/J6pURfWIHW
Big Tech Earnings Surge: Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Apple Report
Are you ready for tomorrow? Five of Mag7 (and 5 of top 10 companies by market cap) report earnings this week, on Wednesday it’s @Google @Microsoft @Amazon and @Meta — on Thursday it’s @Apple https://t.co/QWVcAVXzNW
Eco Recycling Posts ₹2,377 Lakh FY26 Profit, Expands Ownership
Eco Recycling FY26 Net Profit at ₹2,377 Lakhs Eco Recycling Limited reported net profit of ₹2,377 lakhs for FY26, with revenue from operations at ₹4,818 lakhs. The Board approved audited financial results and acquisition of remaining stake in subsidiary Ecoreco Park...
Selling Means Two Decisions: Exit and Re‑Entry Timing
"Should I sell?" feels like one decision. It's actually two. Right to sell. Right to buy back lower. Nobody on Wall Street times that consistently. Family investors managing under 15 stocks definitely don't. Want those odds? The honest math 👇 https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/should-i-sell-my-stocks-the-monday
Invest Assets to Earn Income and Grow Net Worth
Instead of waiting years to build up your savings, smart money uses assets to invest in assets that bring in money and grow over time. When done right, those kinds of investments can cover your borrowing costs while your net...
Tuesday 9:43‑11:17 Gains Predict 74% Annual Rise
The last 6 times the market went up .38% on a Tuesday between the hours of 9:43 an 11:17 EST it finished the year up 74% on average, 168% of the time.
Good Stock? Only at the Right Price
Most investors ask "Is this a good stock?" Wrong question. The right one: "Is this a good stock at this price?" The same business can be your best investment or your worst, depending on what you paid. Price isn't just a number. It's...
Silver Drops, yet Traders Pile Into Long Options
Despite #silver closing down 3.88% at $82.2/oz on the #SHFE yesterday, the options flow tells a different story. Traders have been adding to their long bets
CITIC Turns Bullish, Adds 3,022 Silver Contracts
#CITIC Flips Long on Silver🚨Major positioning shift on the #SHFE as CITIC has officially flipped Net Positive (+3,022 contracts) on silver.
Denver’s Housing Boom Outpaces Growth, Prices Drop
Building housing works. Denver has absorbed 150,000 new residents since 2010, nearly a 25% population increase, yet they built so much housing that prices are actually falling. https://t.co/jbeGFJEaas
AI Review Flags Alarming Surge in UK Yields
FWIW, this AI-generated review of the X universe over the last 24 hours takes my "understated" post on UK yields to a much more alarming level as it draws on other information in its database. #economy #markets #uk
China's LNG Imports Plunge to Eight‑year Low Amid Middle East Conflict
DEMAND DESTRUCTION: China's LNG imports are on track to hit an 8-year low 🇨🇳🚢 The Middle East conflict is choking supply of LNG to China. It is also boosting spot prices, discouraging Chinese firms to buy replacements China can instead turn to...
Castrol India Posts 9% Revenue Rise, Expands Rural Market
Castrol India reported Q4 FY26 revenue of ₹1,545.24 crore, up 9% YoY from ₹1,422 crore. PAT increased 4% to ₹242.18 crore, while EBITDA rose 7% to ₹329 crore. EBITDA margin declined 30 basis points to 21.29%. The company achieved market...
US-Israeli Conflict Fuels Record Yuan Surge
Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, China’s currency is gaining. Cross-border portfolio flows hit $712 BILLION in March (+40% vs last year), while the yuan’s share of China’s international transactions rose above 56%, the highest on record. CHINA = BIG WINNER....
Wrkr Gains Scale Post-Reform, Yet Risks Remain
Payday Super reforms lift Wrkr: platform scale, 6k orgs, $100M flows. Risks: cash burn, competition, onboarding delays. Trade: buy on pullback to $0.08 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Record Seller Surplus Signals Falling US Home Prices
US home prices increased 0.7% over the last year, the slowest growth rate since June 2023. There are currently a record 46% more sellers than buyers nationally. Absent manipulation from the Federal Government/Reserve, prices will come down and homes will...
Data, Not Rules, Drives Real Trading Success
Trading rules are relatively worthless The real worth comes from the trading metrics produced by the rules that after several hundred trades can be analyzed in a Monte Carlo simulator. Data are everything. Rules are just a way to gather enough...
S&P 500 Still Below Inflation-Adjusted Peak After 16 Years
More than 16 years after the tech bubble burst, the S&P 500 was still below its inflation-adjusted peak. Now that's what we call a bubble. https://t.co/7QyYxKECs4
PulteGroup Hikes Incentives to 10.9%, $54.5K Bonus
Homebuilder PulteGroup pushes housing market incentives to 10.9%—that’s $54,500 on a $500,000 sale PulteGroup notes that its historically “normal” incentive range is between 3.0% and 3.5% Chart via @ResidentialClub
Indonesia Reexamines QMB Nickel Licence Amid Tightening RKAB Quotas
Indonesia reviews QMB nickel licence after IMIP landslide as RKAB quotas tighten nickel supply. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/qmb-nickel-licence-review-signals.html
P
Purdue $5.5B sentence clears way for $7.4B settlement and bankruptcy exit. Legal exposure shifts to claims; recoveries will be constrained and reputational risk endures. Trade: reduce exposure to legacy opioid-linked pharma. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Semiconductors Claim Record Share of S&P 500 IT
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 28, 2026) The S&P 500 Semiconductors industry now accounts for a record 41.9% and 47.1% of the S&P 500 Information Technology sector's market capitalization and forward earnings. Do you think this is sustainable? https://t.co/mmJzuPj5Sb
Google's AI Stack Offers Massive Upside Potential
$GOOGL has plenty of upside from here. The most complete AI stack in the business. 👏🏻🚀
Spot Trend Exhaustion Before Chasing Reversals
You keep trying to catch reversals and end up chasing price. That’s because you’re not identifying trend exhaustion first. In an uptrend, price slows down, fails to make higher highs, and breaks a higher low. In a downtrend, it fails...
PulteGroup's Orders Reveal K‑Shaped Housing Market
K-shaped housing market is showing up directly in giant homebuilder PulteGroup's order book "Economic reports talk to the K-shaped economy... We saw this play out again in our first quarter results" - @pultehome CEO Ryan Marshall said on their earnings call
5‑Minute Breakdown: Trading NVDA Daily Call Options
Want to grip it and rip it? Here's a 5 min breakdown of how they traded the $NVDA DAILY Call Options
Quick 5‑Minute Deal Analysis: Yield >150 Bp Spread Wins
“How do I analyze a deal in 5 minutes?” BOE’s are extremely easy Basically what you’ll be doing is: 1. Multiplying market rents by the property’s unit count 2. Applying a vacancy factor to get total revenue 3. Multiplying the total revenue by...
Fed's Inflation Focus Risks Stock Market Amid Iran War
Will the Fed break the stock market as Chair Powell and the FOMC dial up their focus on inflation amid the US-Iran war? #Fed #FOMC #Powell #IranWar #StockMarket #Dollar #Oil #Gold #Macro #Trading https://t.co/ER2QbNR0qa
S&P Slides; Fed Meeting and Mega‑cap Earnings Dominate
MARKET RECAP 📉 S&P 500 fell lower today, but all eyes are on tomorrow 👀 We have the FOMC and potentially Jerome Powell’s last meeting as Fed chair, alongside 4 of the largest 10 companies in the world reporting earnings. Those...
London’s Eurodollar Rise Stemmed From Belgian, French Rejection
🏴☠️1/ If what I think is happening is really happening, then I can make some predictions. Especially about incoming European problems. But first an important side story, which also relates to the “special relationship”. What a lot of people don’t know is...
China Bans Meta-Manus Deal, Highlighting US‑China Business Strain
China’s Ban on Meta-Manus Deal Shows Strains in U.S.-China Business Ties—National-security concerns are increasingly weighing on commercial ties @hannahmiao_ https://t.co/8u5gYXWhtZ https://t.co/8u5gYXWhtZ
Doubling Down On
I'm doubling down on this....I think Apple is calls We had the prelims if earnings..... tomorrow the real fun begins Discord people 9 PM tonight
China's Export‑driven Model Collapses Under Security Costs
China built its entire economic model based on the principle that exports were universal. That model is crumbling as countries realized they hollowed out their manufacturing base and eroded their own national security in the process. China was the biggest...
2008‑09 Bear‑Market Signals Boost RSP Returns Significantly
$RSP - Good Chart From Sam.... So I did some number crunching..... The catch: 2008-2009 has 6 clustered signals near the bear market lows, and those produce enormous forward returns. Strip those out and the edge narrows. That's not a reason to...
SGAT Convertible at 8.625% Coupon Trades at 60
SGAT had a convertible bond back in the day that I had a big position in. I think it had an 8 5/8 coupon and trade at 60.
Mersen Q1 2026 Call Highlights Market Outlook
Mersen (CBLNY) dropped its Q1 2026 sales call transcript. Key takeaways on market conditions and outlook from management. Worth a read if you’re tracking industrial plays. 📉📈 EarningsSeason
WSJ OpenAI Miss Report Triggers AI Rally Collapse
April 28, 2026 close. The record rally got stopped today, but not by what most people expected. Not by Iran. Not by the Fed. By a single Wall Street Journal story saying OpenAI is missing its own revenue and 1-billion-user...
Housing Supply Surges Past Population, Creating Accidental Landlords
Housing Unit Growth Far Outruns Population Growth: Vacant Units on the Market and the “Accidental Landlords.” These dynamics are now moving in the right direction. https://t.co/J2ThoTPrRD https://t.co/GVUspOBlLG
Market Misprices Lithium: Brazil, Canada Offer Arbitrage Opportunity
Brazil is a Tier One mining jurisdiction. Canada is a sophisticated capital market for mine financing. Why does Mr. Market continue to underappreciate and undervalue its lithium producers and developers? Modern portfolio theory suggests such arbitrage should not exist where...
Equity Hedging and Commodities Boost Portfolio Performance
I recently had the pleasure of appearing on Dean Curnutt's excellent AlphaExchange podcast. The goal was to detail how a carefully designed combination of equity index hedging and long commodities can meaningfully improve the performance of a traditional asset allocation...
Home‑buying Sentiment Hits Multiyear High
The consumer sentiment index on the intent to buy a new #home was released today at a multiyear high. #housing #realestate #mortgagerates #chartdaddy
Half of US Metros See February Home Price Drops
🏘️📉"More than half of major U.S. metropolitan markets posted year-over-year price declines in February, signaling that the housing slowdown has broadened well beyond its Sun Belt origins" - S&P Cotality Case-Shiller home price index https://t.co/n3HIGUVg7v
Global Economy Inching Toward a Massive Oil Shock
Haven’t seen lines like this since airlines in March 2020 It really does seem to me that the whole world is sleepwalking into a massive oil shock. Would be delighted to be wrong. What am I missing?
Starbucks Sees Broad Same‑store Growth and Rising Loyalty
Starbucks earnings call summary: Everybody is generating same-store sales growth; Earnings are up; Cold foam 🔥🔥🔥; Low-income consumers are coming back; Ignore the haters, loyalty is doing fine; Tariffs are fading; So what if everybody is doing Refreshers. $SBUX
Real Estate Leverage Lets $60k Control $300k Asset
$60,000 down on a $300,000 rental property controls a $300,000 asset. That same $60,000 in the stock market controls $60,000. The bank will never offer you that deal on a stock. They've been telling you which asset they trust more for hundreds of...