Wait for Drop‑Base Rally to Return for Higher‑Probability Trades
Drop Base Rally is one of the strongest demand zone patterns in trading. Price drops, forms a base, then rallies aggressively showing buyers stepped into the market. Most traders chase the move after it leaves the zone. The higher probability trade is waiting for price to return to the demand zone and looking for confirmation. When you combine Drop Base Rally with market structure, trend direction, and liquidity, you can find cleaner entries on Nasdaq, Gold, and futures markets.
Retail Momentum Ignites as XRT Breaks $85, Bitcoin Stagnant
Retail is waking up. $XRT just cleared $85 resistance and the tape is starting to light up. Multiple names in the sector are flashing CALL SURGE + heavy RVOL on our app. Smart money is positioning early. This is where momentum starts. Quietly....
Use a Sinking Fund to Buy Big Items Cash
A sinking fund is a way to set money aside over time, so you can buy something with cash. For example, this could be a spot in your budget where you save $400 per month for 10 months to buy...
Citi Spikes as Buyers Snap up $
Citi (C) late burst higher seeing buyers 5000 July $130 calls $4 offer sweeps, OI checks
Invest $20 Daily, Retire Millionaire Tax‑Free
$20 Millionaire 1. Open a Roth IRA 2. Contribute $20 per day 3. Choose low cost ETF's like $VTI In 30 years, you'll only pay $210k. But with (average) compound interest... You'll have $1,154,748 TAX FREE 🤯
NVDA Targets Support Retest, Watch Candle Close Tomorrow
This has potential as $NVDA trying to pass the retest on support -- see how candle closes tomorrow but if you want it stop is 210 zone https://t.co/QIjL7FtYK2
Russia’s Sulphur Export Bans Tighten Market, Hike Prices
The global sulphur market continues to tighten: In addition to banning the export of its own sulphur, Russia has now also halted the export of Kazakh sulphur from Russian ports, its primary export route. This has particularly impacted net importers...
Value Investors Leverage Options for Income and Safety
Tim @TimTravisValue Travis on: * How Value Investors Use Options To Generate Income And Buy Stocks At Lower Prices * Cash-Secured Puts Explained: How Buffett Used Options To Lower His Entry Price * Using Options To Build Margin Of Safety Into Investments * $NOW...
US Fuel Inventories Plunge Below Five‑year Averages
EIA: US crude oil inventories fell by 3.3 million barrels, while gasoline inventories dropped 2.6 mb and distillate inventories declined 2.1 mb. Both gasoline and distillate stocks are now below their 5-year average range. https://t.co/teZnPVL1Au
Fuel Price Swings Blamed on Market or Inventory
Truckstop logic on retail fuel prices: When fuel goes up: "You have to pay the higher price because that is what the market is clearing at. It is out of our control." When fuel goes down: "Due to pre-purchases of...
Cheap $37/Mo Life Insurance Splits $3M Between Spouses
If I die tomorrow, my wife gets $2M. If my wife dies tomorrow, I get $1M. Our plan costs $37/mo. Here's our exact life insurance playbook (from a CPA & dad of 2):
Biomass RVOs Drive D4 RIN Peaks, Iran Dampens Gains
1. D4 RIN prices have been setting all-time highs on an almost daily basis recently. Yesterday (5/27/2026), 2026 vintage D4s hit a price of $2.26 per gallon. The main reason that D4 RIN prices are so high is...
Set Strict Guardrails to Protect Your Investments
I’ve lost a lot of money over the course of my life. Here are some guardrails so that you can avoid that: - never invest in an asset that isn’t backed by cashflow - consult 3-5 people you trust before making an...
Big Banks Falter: Chase Rejects 200‑Day Trend
$JPM Daily. Big banks quietly weak again, with tons of distractions elsewhere. Chase continues to be suspiciously weak too, rejected at 200-day moving average. High profile CEO. Leading sector down? https://t.co/3kymXO5VLY
NYC's New Second‑home Tax Will Double Wealthy Owners' Bills
"New York City’s new tax on second homes will more than double property taxes owed by many wealthy luxury apartment owners" https://t.co/Ox2SgA0Hx5 This will be fun to watch - from afar. https://t.co/kgF37rHAI4
Robinhood Launches Tax‑advantaged Accounts for 2025‑2028 Kids
Robinhood $HOOD just posted this: “Meet Trump Accounts — a new type of tax-advantaged investment account designed to help eligible American children build long-term financial security and investment growth from an early age. How it works: ✔ ️Eligible children born in years...
Key Factors to Evaluate Before Investing in SpaceX IPO
With the @SpaceX IPO looming large, what should investors be contemplating as & after it comes to market? We sat down with @TemaETFs CEO Maurits Pot for this week's @ETFEdgeCNBC show to chat about everything from valuation to corporate governance to...
MRVL Put Spread Set to Bust
$MRVL "Trade Idea 1: Buy the May 29 Expiry 200/190-185 1×2 Put Spread for a 15 cent credit." looks to expire a bust
2026 Crude Oil Set for Pump‑Then‑Dump Cycle
Crude May Follow Gas, Bitcoin 2026 Pump-then-Dumps A primary factor in commodities -- rising price elasticity -- might face a significant test in 2026 with crude oil. Year-over-year rallies near 100% in heating oil, diesel and petroleum prices to May 27...
Active Managers Surge in ETFs After Cutting Fees
'90s Active Stars Reborn as ETF Juggernauts After Slashing Fees.. New from me on on how CapGp, Franklin, T Rowe, etc are all QUICKLY climbing up the ETF aum leaderboard, getting thier mojo back, thanks to more moderate fees (their...
GraniteShares Announces New Weekly Yields for 31 ETFs
GraniteShares just dropped new weekly distribution rates across 31 YieldBOOST ETFs: COYY, TSYY, NVYY, XBTY, AMYY and more. Record date 5/29, payment 6/3. https://t.co/g291PyDd9P @GraniteShares @WillRhind
Japan's FX Moves Losing Impact; Yen Must Plunge
The clock is ticking down on Japan. The half-life of its FX interventions is shortening. Markets see these are just performative and don't actually do anything. Japan is in a debt crisis and needs a new approach. For that, the...
UK Diesel Stocks Hit 20‑year Low, Fueling Price Surge
U.K. DIESEL AND GASOIL inventories fell to the lowest seasonal level for more than two decades at the end of March. Stocks were down by more than 250,000 tonnes (17%) compared with the same period a year ago, which explains...
Hormuz Shutdown Spikes Oil, Gas, Coal Prices Dramatically
The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for 90 days. Energy prices (vs 2025 average): ⛽️Brent crude: ~$96 a barrel (+40.5%) 🔥TTF nat gas: ~€47 per mBtu (+31.7%) 🔌German electricity: €93 per MWh (+6.5%) 🏭Newcastle coal: $131.8 per tonne (+23.8%)
Goldman Warns Leveraged Korean Chip ETFs Boost Volatility
South Korea’s leveraged ETFs tied to chipmakers may deepen concentration in the equity market and amplify volatility, according to Goldman's sales desk https://t.co/y93Too4mjm
China’s April Investment Contracts, Tied to Fiscal Timing
Caixin: "China’s fixed-asset investment slipped back into contraction in April after a first-quarter expansion, as earlier policy support faded before new fiscal tools took effect. The pullback suggests China’s investment cycle remains highly dependent on fiscal timing rather than underlying...
China's Crude Market Calm: No Government Push, Minimal Releases
Great stuff in @michalmei's piece on what's going on with Chinese crude. Unlike 2021 there's been no push from the central govt to source energy at all costs. There's also likely been no release from the strategic reserve, just a...
Momentum Factor Delivers Record-Strong Returns Recently
GS: Our equal-weight, long/short Momentum factor has generated one of its strongest returns on record during the last few months. https://t.co/8HBVQJHeDJ
Rising Yields Signal Trouble for Bonds
Yields are going higher and bonds are struggling. What does it all mean? @sonusvarghese and I discussed it on our latest Glass Half Full. https://t.co/erLgU2VxYM
SPX Uptrend Powered by Sequential Bullish Breakouts
$SPX - The move higher may feel like a straight line, but this 2-hour chart shows the uptrend has actually been built through a series of short-term bullish pattern breakouts. Each consolidation has helped fuel the next leg higher… and now...
May 10%+ S&P Gains Historically Stay Strong
The S&P 500 also has a chance to finish May up more than 10% on a year-to-date basis. We've seen that 10 other years since inception. The S&P 500's then never closed lower 8-9-10 months later. $spx
EURUSD Hits 12-Year Low Volatility; PCE May Spark Move
EURUSD is hitting extreme levels of quiet. Its 10-day ATR is the lowest since Jan 2nd (0.37%) and the rolling 8-day range - as percentage of spot - is the lowest in 12 years (0.74%). What can provide a break...
Earnings Growth + Expanding P/E = Best Returns
The somewhat cosmic looking Earnings & Valuation scatter plot below shows 150 years of stock market history. Along the horizontal axis is earnings growth and along the vertical axis is the annual change in the P/E-ratio. Together with dividends these...
Memorial Day Flights Plummet, Signaling Oil Demand Dip
⭕️Oil demand decline/destruction US Memorial Day air travel drops first since 2020, on higher prices, airline capacity cuts https://t.co/ZEMA5qU6vN
IREN Near Bottom of Negative Gamma Pocket, $60 Support Holds
$IREN halfway through the negative gamma pocket...it has support at $60 thru to Friday night. https://t.co/hUlCDzT6Hq
Prioritize 401k Match, Pay Debt, Then Max Roth
This is the exact order I’d invest my money. The goal here is to optimize your dollars for highest ROI - starting with a 401k match, paying off debt, the Roth IRA, and ending with either maxing out your Roth...
Dow Theory Signals Bullish Month as EW Indices Hit Records
New Dow Theory confirming a bullish phase this month, with both the equal-weight $SPX $RSP and equal-weight $QQQ $QQQE making new all-time highs. "The most bullish thing the market can do is go up." https://t.co/tCgfgd3j67
Potential Bearish Momentum Divergence Threatens SPX Rally
Detecting a potential bearish momentum divergence for $SPX... how much of an issue will that be? https://t.co/bOGaKTyfHO
GE Aerospace Holds Pricing Power Amid Flat Departures
Airline departures flatten; fuel costs spike. GE Aerospace says engine maintenance orders remain steady—aftermarket pricing power holds. Risk: deeper capacity cuts. Trade: overweight GE.— Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
TSLA Faces Cheap Puts
Lots of spot up/vol up across the market and call skew much more expesensive TSLA riskies have also had a big move. Given that the vols aren't that elevated and put skew is much cheaper, thoughts on TSLA ahead of SPCX...
AI Memory Boom Propels Micron Toward $1T Valuation
AI memory supercycle lifts Micron to $1T; LTAs, structural supply deficit and 81% gross margins drive secular re-rating. Risks: insider sales, concentration. Trading insight: overweight MU — buy on <5% pullback. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
SK Hynix 2x ETF Surges to Hong Kong’s Top Three
The 2x SK Hynix ETF (7709) in Hong Kong has grown aum 10x this year and is now the 3rd biggest ETF in that market, accounting for 8.5% of all the assets. That's insane. It would be like an ETF...
Petrodollar Collapse Is a Myth, Not Reality
New piece in Barron's with Adam Farhat, Univ of Sussex grad student..."The Myth of the Petrodollar Collapse". Complimentary, link to new Barron's piece: The Myth of the Petrodollar Collapse https://t.co/uyxlf1PzQz no paywall, just click down.
MSCI's $303bn Rebalance Hits Tech: Nvidia Sell, Apple/Microsoft Buy
Friday’s MSCI rebalance will be the largest ever, with a ~$303bn overall trade. Notable tech rebals include: $NVDA (largest trade notionally of ~$11b to sell, net index supply of almost 50mn shares) $AAPL big large buy ~$3.1b, net demand 10.5m shares) and $MSFT...
Live Walkthrough of My Opening Look Daily Note
Latest video – Tried something different this week. A live walk through of my Opening Look daily note. S&P 5000, stats, market studies, ETFs, trade ideas, etc. $SPX, $SMH $SOX, $XLV, $JETS, $EWJ 👇Link below. Charts and stats courtesy of @StockCharts @charliebilello @KobeissiLetter
NVIDIA's Stock Flat Since October Amid 85% Revenue Surge
The "Pump Master" never fails. NVIDIA's $NVDA equity is unchanged since October, during the largest tech bull run since the 1990s. *Revenues +85% (+20% sequentially from the prior quarter).
Software Earnings Set to Defy Negative AI Narrative
Look forward to discussing a big night for the software space with Salesforce and Snowflake earnings on deck to prove itself against the negative AI software sector narrative with @TheJudgeCNBC at 3 pm on @CNBCClosingBell @CNBC 🏆🔥📺🍿🐂🎯
AMPY Emerges Cash‑rich, Focused on Two Assets at 0.4x Book
Anyone following $AMPY? To summarize the last 12 months at this small-cap E&P... 1) Terminated merger 2) CEO replaced 3) Sold assets 4) Now have a net cash balance sheet, 5) Doubling down on remaining 2 assets (capex) 6) Trades at ~0.4x book value https://t.co/dkYRTB8sd7
Day 5 Breadth Flip Sparks Four-Day Index Rally
We are on day 5 of the most recent breadth flip. It has been a REALLY good one for swings. The indices are now up for 4 days in a row and gapping higher today on the 5th day. Trim...
Seek Microcap CEOs Prioritizing EPS Growth, No Dilution
Find a microcap CEO that is 100% focused on growing earnings per share with no/low dilution. That's a book in a sentence and a strategy that has worked for 100 years.