
WTI crude oil fell below $90 per barrel after President Donald Trump told CBS that the Iran war is “very complete, pretty much.” Earlier in the day, WTI had surged to a peak of $119. https://t.co/ElHrOuNRmc
Not only rich but an elite investor because over any reasonable period of time the vast majority of equity fund managers, like 90%, will underperform the S&P 500. We don’t need them. And I’ll never understand why capitalism hasn’t pointed...

South Korea ripped off the 50-day. 11:20am sweeper bought 149K of the 3/27 150C. Feels like the same trader who nailed the short last Monday. Reminds me of the old $DIA sweeper from back in the day. If you know, you know. $EWY https://t.co/35pRSiDF13
The Nasdaq Composite bounced off its 200-day moving average and today is Day 1 of a rally attempt. From here, I would like to see minimal to no distribution over the next few days and a follow through day later...

Finally tally for USO was $16b of volume. Here's how that looks vs every other day of trading in its 20yr life. My guess is this is the peak, we cool off from here. But what a comeback in relevancy...

OUT NOW - Michael Howell @crossbordercap on: - why he expects 2026 to be bad for risk assets - why he's bullish bonds & Chinese stocks - Gold, Bitcoin, & yield curve, and "Turbulence" phase of Liquidity cycle Apple🔊https://t.co/7bjoJLeYdJ Spotify📽️https://t.co/plpNPVQicu https://t.co/1mD9VJPm5e

A different cut of the same idea, using options prices that reference 3-month SOFR via the Atlanta Fed's tracker In the one week between Feb. 27 (the day before the first strikes on Iran) and Mar. 6, the probability of at...

nice bounce in $GOOGL closes above the 30min downtrend. need ot see a couple of closes above 305 to believe the short term low is in... https://t.co/zbD0srOwCf
Did you raise cash last week or did you sell vol, deploy cash, and sell put spreads?

Perhaps President Trump's negotiation backstop is the 200-day SMA on the $SPX just like the rest of us... https://t.co/Jw1ZvsM3pP
2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February Altos: Active single-family inventory was down 0.6% week-over-week https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/2nd-look-at-local-housing-markets-b1a My sense - based on limited data - is sales will be above the consensus forecast, but will likely be down slightly year-over-year.
The oil market thinks Trump just TACO’d (I’m less convinced, but let’s see) A $30 price swing in a day, helped by expectations of a big strategic oil stock release. Such larks. Oil tumbles to $90 as Trump says Iran war...

$NVDA 200sma again coming in clutch and a solid spot as a tell going forward https://t.co/GkapjyrNKa

New free article: The $DBC ETF is 80% crude oil. Link in reply below 👇 https://t.co/0UwhX5CPUy

Puts have been selling off since the open on Mag 7, totaling $64M short-dated single-leg Puts sold today. 👇

The oil price isn't one of those things that spirals infinitely up. At current levels near $100, a big risk premium prices the temporary standstill of tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. You can bet Trump is working like crazy...

$15M Call Spike on $SPY just before close. Trump said, “I think the war is very complete, pretty much.”

$SPY now up 1% on the day.. let the gnashing of the teeth commence https://t.co/PDQSFKpyuT

The first two months of the year have started off with lower closed sales volume than 2025. The hope is for March 2026 to be a little higher in light of slightly more pendings lately. https://t.co/Ctj0EyVXqx

The stock market bottomed out 17 years ago today. The market is up 10-fold since then (incl divs). https://t.co/SZqfiM1kX3
I am glad that I have remained patient so far. If you had jumped the bandwagon on oil this morning, you would have been 20% down ish by now. I know the below is not a guarantee, but I stick...
You can't pick a stock market bottom, you can only pick a stock market discount. The strategy for investing is simple: 1. Always stay invested at an asset allocation 2. If the stock market falls 25%/50%/75%, invest 25% of the allocation not...
Seems sort of fitting that the market would have a major upside reversal on March 9th.
Oil turned red, and stock indexes turned green. Looks like an oil blow off top and a stock index washout low in the futures market overnight.

10-year yield at 4.15%. Up 18 bps in a week. Bonds selling off into a growth scare. That's not supposed to happen. When Treasuries stop being a safe haven, the playbook is broken. https://t.co/yIChc2y0aR

The S&P 500 has broken through key support at its 100-day and 20-week moving average for the first time in about a year, increasing the probability of a full correction in the index in coming weeks. There have been just 8...

$SPX Monster reversal. ✅ 👉But it means nothing until the series of lower highs is broken. https://t.co/S175U5VDpk

Ray Wang makes the case for investing in tech https://t.co/Xc0L0HR1qL @FoxBusiness @cvpayne @rwang0 of @constellationr discusses @Broadcom's quarter, mega-cap buys, stock-based compensation and more on 'Making Money.' https://t.co/R7sDw6EAZn
Oil just did something it hasn’t done in 40 years. It’s now up +35% in a week. Up 90% since December’s low of $55/barrel. Now crossing $105+. This isn’t normal.

Italy’s Giorgetti cautions the ECB against the temptation of raising interest rates https://t.co/CasNsOy0KU via @Alemrome https://t.co/z3ATeFnSqp

Oil closed Friday in a bull market at $91 but will close today in a technical bear market around $95 because it went to $115 over the weekend. https://t.co/kG1QReBbAy

$NYFANG was the first mega-cap index to crack; it peaked back in November. But it's also the first to bounce, leading since late February, while the others haven't. https://t.co/im29c9GnlA
"We survived you guys. Oil is in a bear market, down more than 20% from its highs." - @jschultzf3
Crude Oil Futures could be unchanged soon $93.66 after the high of $119.48 kinda like that day in Silver Futures

🌽$4.98-1/2 per bu 🫛$11.72-1/2 per bu Will Monday's highs be the annual highs for new-crop corn & soybeans in 2026? Dec corn nearly hit $5, though the close was almost 17 cents off the session high (Nov beans closed ~24 cents off)....

Canadian utilities $ZUT reversaed last week after making marginal new highs and finally exceeding the '22 highs... if see more struggles here, we don't get to be surprised... https://t.co/YczSyoxJZe
Insane moves no longer insane, Silver tame today.... Silver Futures +$5 from LOD E-Minis +132 from LOD
Good time to replace your gasoline car with a battery-electric car and save $31,500 in fuel cost over 15 years: = 15,000 mi/y x 15 y x ($5/gal-gas - $0.8/gal-equivalent-electricity) / 30 mi/gal = $31,500 Gasoline prices could reach $5 a...

Canadian materials $XME (so much stronger than U.S. materials, so let's stay on topic) had a 2nd "biggest bar against" last week and that to me puts extra question marks that need answers... slows me down for sure... in most...

a trader asked me over the weekend about placing trades against game plan S/R levels: --one idea is long against S2 in a stock that has fresh news that isn't very negative ($HIMS #1 GP today) --another is 2nd Day Play...

Tiny bit of improvement from VX30/VIX. Watching to see what the next two hours brings. https://t.co/6We2gflp6M
Surging oil prices have sparked fears that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could inflict steep financial costs on Americans "I am very concerned this could tip us into a recession if it persists," one economist tells @nytimes https://t.co/VkqGBNMgAR @TonyRomm...

emerging markets $EEM - that's a 3-bar bearish reversal as i see it... going to need to see how this area settles... https://t.co/JEg00hA5vt

Broadcom $AVGO just surpassed Meta $META in market cap. Which would you rather own here @ramahluwalia? https://t.co/ZmgmD0NMMq
A rung of the swing trade on $CRM sold for a bit over $15 a share profit. I still own plenty of shares with variety of stops to make coin.
Claude can now execute portfolio rebalances at scale. Every RIA-focused AI middleware company just became a target. The advisory stack isn't being augmented — it's being bypassed. Agentic AI and Anthropic's Launch of Wealth Management AI Tools https://t.co/eJ7H2Bo1Ml
Greg Abel: “We see a bigger issue in the utility industry: does the regulatory compact continue to exist? We deploy capital into these businesses, and we receive a return that is reflective of us taking a certain amount of risk....

Brazil’s CAPE ratio is approaching one of the most undervalued levels in its history. The Brazilian equity market is nearly as cheap as it was at major historical bottoms — the early 2000s and the political crisis of 2015–16. This is a...

$RIG Daily. Nice-looking, orderly pullback for Transocean. Oil services play has ~ 17% of float held short, meaning it's a short squeeze play. Long idea into strength https://t.co/f3SgpDySND
1/ At 3 AM this morning, oil hit $119.48. VIX touched 32. The S&P was in freefall. By noon: oil under $97. VIX back to 27. A complete round-trip. Wall Street learned nothing from it except: price in a long war forever. We...