Pool Industry Rebounds with 6% Q1 Growth
After a tough three years of post-pandemic normalization and negative growth, we see clear signs of $POOL returning to growth: - Q1 '26: Back to +6% growth. This is the first meaningful acceleration after nearly 12 quarters of declines or flatness. - New Construction: The industry seems to have hit bottom at 58K pools built in 2025, a level similar to 2011. - Chemicals: Chemical deflation appears to have stopped being a headwind as of Q1 '26.
Dollar's Dominance Eclipses Historic Pound Supremacy
This chart, from a Banque de France paper by @RVicquery (now at the Bk of England) shows just how dominant the dollar has become. Far more than the pound ever was. https://t.co/Ev6hWwiaZX https://t.co/Ot2Vda1tSt
One Penny Stock Hits 7 Upper Circuits Tomorrow
🚨 7 Upper Circuits. 1 Stock. कल सब पता चलेगा। CMP ₹16.44 | Board Meeting Tomorrow 📅 Revenue +348% | Dividend 50% | Debt Free 💰 AI HealthTech 🤖 + AgriTech 🌾 — दोनों एक साथ! FII बेचे — Retail जीता। 7 बार। 💪 💾...
Spot Smart Money Sector Rotations with RRG
🚨 2ND WEBINAR ALERT Where is Smart Money Moving? Sector Rotation Using RRG Want to know where smart money is moving? Join this webinar to learn how to use RRG to spot strong sectors and find better trading opportunities. ✅ Understand sector rotation ✅ Find...
IBM Q1 Beats Expectations, Hybrid Cloud Fuels Growth
.@IBM delivers strong Q1, maintains outlook https://t.co/7l3guGlWFt IBM reported a better-than-expected first quarter and said it saw strong sales of infrastructure due to hybrid cloud and IBM Z systems. Software revenue was up 11% in the first quarter. https://t.co/6AvUzpKzv6
Indonesia to Import 150 Million Barrels of Russian Crude
JAKARTA, April 24 (Reuters) - Indonesia will import 150 million barrels of crude oil from Russia this year, the country's deputy energy minister Yuliot Tanjung said on Friday.
SNB's Sub‑zero Rate Shift Outweighs Standard Cuts
SNB move below zero is a bigger step than a normal cut, Schlegel tells NZZ https://t.co/ZMyYbIPZxG https://t.co/a1V1z0xvIk
PLS Beats IGO with Strong Margins Despite Sales Dip
$PLS results in contrast to IGO were strong with good recoveries and prodn although sales were down q/q, I assume on timing. FOB costs showed good progression although CFR costs were up, I assume on higher royalties related to price....
IGO Q1 Results Flat Despite Higher Lithium Prices
$IGO Mar qtr results unenthusing - stable Greenbushes prodn on maintenance, low recovery but this raised costs although ops benefited from higher lithium prices. Kwinana prodn and costs improved though not into profitable territory and it announced a major outage...
Dim Sum Bond Borrowing Hits Record RMB300bn This Year
FT: "Total borrowing in so-called dim sum bonds — issued outside the mainland, mostly in Hong Kong, and denominated in renminbi — has hit Rmb300bn ($44 bn) so far this year, more than twice the amount at this point in...
US LNG Exports Surge: 10th Terminal Ships First Cargo
Dynamics and Surging Magnitude of US LNG Exports: Started 10 Years Ago in a Glut of Natural Gas that Collapsed the Price. Now 10th liquefaction & export terminal shipped first cargo. List of LNG export terminals, operating & under construction https://t.co/HdkB6QZpYk https://t.co/chnWGcbNcj
China’s Q1 Income Growth Lags Behind 5% GDP Expansion
1/2 Yicai: "Chinese residents’ income growth slowed to 4.9% in nominal terms and 4.0% in real terms in the first quarter, even as the country’s economy expanded by a better-than-expected 5%." This is one percentage point less income growth than last year. https://t.co/MiWs3mdvcf
Mainland Chinese Tech Outpaces Hong Kong on AI Hardware
Mainland‑listed Chinese tech stocks are outperforming their Hong Kong peers, underscoring investors’ enthusiasm for artificial intelligence hardware and earnings visibility https://t.co/H3BZdYB3zU
Avoid SOFI Puts and Calls Ahead of Binary Print
$SOFI reports Tuesday before market open If you're considering selling puts or covered calls - DON'T This is 🔴 AVOID territory in my book - 6 days to a binary print, IV is going to chew up any premium you collect
AUDUSD Set to Drop, GBPAUD Poised to Surge
🚨 Market Alert 🚀 🔥 AUDUSD (H4) is looking ready to drop like water 📉 👉 Bearish pressure building — watch for confirmation 🔥 GBPAUD is ready to fly 📈 👉 Strong bullish potential — momentum loading
Xpeng's Bold Leap Into eVTOLs and Humanoid Robots
Macro: Xpeng moving into eVTOLs & humanoid robots. Key: 7k+ orders, late‑26/27 deliveries, robotaxi tests, global push. Risks: certification, execution, capex. Trade: buy on pullbacks. 🚀 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Foreign Investors Beware: Philippines Expropriation Risks Highlighted
Further to this theme - anyone who is even sniffing an investment opportunity (as a foreigner) in the Philippines should look at what is going on with Celsius $CLA.AX right now. Same playbook as boatload of other FDI into the...
Intercom Leverages AI to Accelerate Revenue Growth
Love the example of help desk provider Intercom: supposed AI loser, but sits on the customer, uses AI to improve its service and ends up with a massive acceleration n revenue growth https://t.co/j78OunBFVj
Trim Tech, Bet on Energy as Oil Surges
Asia stocks slip as tech cools, oil >$100 & Japan core CPI below BOJ target. Geopolitical strain lifts oil, pressures risk assets. Action: trim tech longs; favor energy/FX hedge. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Oil Futures Hit Record Pessimism Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty
The news out of the Middle East might have seemed less dire lately, but oil futures are now basically as pessimistic as they've ever been. This could be a concern that the current war continues, or it could be concern...
US Market Rally Leaves Europe, China Trailing
What's notable about the recent mega-insta-rally taking place in the majority of US indices is that it's not bringing in the European and Chinese market indices along for the ride?? German Index, Euro Stoxx50, FTSE and Shanghai exchange are noticeably...
Gold and Silver Premiums Stay Resilient on 4/24
Good morning china At open on Friday, 4/24 Premiums remain resilient for gold and silver
Key Metrics to Evaluate AI Infrastructure Stocks
"How do I actually evaluate an AI infrastructure stock?" Saw this on Reddit again this week Here's the 4-thing framework I use: 1. Capex coverage - can they fund AI buildout with operating cash flow, or are they bleeding equity? (Microsoft yes, $IREN...
PLS Restarts Ngungaju Plant, Signals Rising Spodumene Demand
PLS will restart the Ngungaju plant in July, signaling stronger spodumene demand and broader Pilgangoora growth plans. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/pls-ngungaju-lithium-plant-restart.html
Sun Pharma's $13B All‑Cash Offer Boosts Organon
M&A lift: Sun Pharma readies $13B all‑cash bid for Organon, bank‑financed; strategic fit in women’s health and US manufacturing. Competing bidders and regulatory risk persist. Trade: go long OGN on bid momentum, tighten stop. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights:...
Whole Foods Meal Prep Hack: $35, No Cooking, No Cleanup
I’m late but I just tried the Whole Foods family meal prep hack for the first time and I feel like I got away with something. All of this was $35. No cooking, no cleaning. Four 6-oz pieces of salmon. Cajun...
Oil Holds $100; Stocks Rise Despite Hormuz Shutdown
Oil is stuck at $100 even though the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut since late February. Stocks are rallying anyway. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/huz3ZbwJ6f
Guangdong Power Prices Near Double Amid LNG Shortage
Power prices in China's industrial hub have almost doubled due in part due to a natural gas supply crunch 🇨🇳⚡ Spot rates in Guangdong climbed to ~680 yuan/MWh — a three-year high. The region is getting 40% less LNG due to...
US Rig Count Down 34% Signals Looming Oil Shortage
Here is a reminder that well before the war broke out: The number of operating rigs had already fallen by roughly 34% over the prior three years in the most critical US energy basin. That has serious implications for future oil supply,...
Qatar's $600B Surplus Faces First Deficit in Decade
Qatar's accumulated current account surplus (which excludes capital gains on the QIA's investments) over the last 40ys is USD 600b give or take Qatar can afford a few months of deficits . But it still hurts https://t.co/zcG5etAkVY
High‑volatility, Uncorrelated Assets Boost Capital Efficiency
Most allocators miss this, because it’s counterintuitive, but a high volatility uncorrelated asset is more useful than a low vol one because it is more capital efficient (assuming expected returns are positive). So yes, this return stream could be useful in...
Gulf Oil Output Set to Rebound Within Months
Gulf Oil Output Likely To Rebound Within Months After Hormuz Reopening, Goldman Says – RTRS
Reason
ok. why is this guy wrong? honest question. the split between reasonable people being doomers and SPX ATH is odd.
UAE Central Bank’s Cash‑Equivalents Share of Reserves Fell
Alex hasn't quite internalized how bad my eyes are and how much I need BIG FONTS ... but this is super interesting -- the UAE has a ton of cash equivalents on its central bank balance sheet (the various bars). ...
Philadelphia Semi Index Rises 17 Days Straight
Philly Semi Index has yet to closer this entire month. 17 straight days up https://t.co/FbcWeu4Z2b
Intel Hits Record High, Q1 Revenue Beats Forecasts
Intel is on pace for its first record high since 2000 after shares surged 20% in after-hours trading. Q1 revenue came in at $13.6B — more than $1B above some estimates
Ceasefire Holds, Yet Energy Flows Remain Stalled
Good morning Asia, It's Day 56 and the ceasefire is on, but oil and gas (as well as aluminum, helium, sulfur etc) are still not flowing. Crude oil is up now to 105/barrel and markets end the week with trepidation. Asia...
KLCI Hits March High, Tech & Commodities Lead Gains
KLCI highest close since 18 March +2.5% YTD. Outshone other markets yesterday; main themes were tech/DC, commodity. Large caps/KLCI Top 5 movers yesterday: •P Chem +6.3% •MRDIY +4.3% •P Metal +2.7% •YTLP +2.3% •YTL 2.0% Mid-caps FBM70 continues to outperform +7.2% YTD. Still positive on...
Tooze and IMF Overlook Exchange Rates in Imbalance Analysis
I cannot criticise Tooze for leaving out the exchange rate as a central variable when the IMF (... the IMF ... lest we forget, whose mandate is around exchange rates and the balance of payments) also left the exchange rate...
Options Surge Signals Intel’s 19% Earnings Jump
Heavy options activity + elevated call premiums preceded Intel's +19% post-earnings surge, as discussed earlier today with CNBC's Oliver Renick: https://t.co/HlZyHlUzwM
Sustained High ROIC Defies Mean Reversion, Needs Complex Valuation
Michael Mauboussin on fade rates "ROICs regress toward the mean as the result of competition, changing market conditions, and luck. But there is a substantial body of research that shows some companies produce high ROICs for sustained periods, often measured in decades. This...
Simplify to $100k: One Account, No Credit
Money advice I wish someone gave me at 22: Set a goal to stack $100k cash Until you have $100k cash, you are broke. The mainstream media will not tell you this because they want to keep you that way. Luckily, you have a...
Trump’s Trade Policies Spark Heightened Commodity Demand
My take on @PalisadesRadio on why commodities are HOT: "Trump's tariffs and sanctions have disrupted the global movement of goods. There is risk and uncertainty as to what Trump will do next, and that increases a precautionary demand for commodities of...
2026 Oil Bull Market: A Long Shot From the Start
It’s really hard to overstate just how much of a long shot an oil bull market in 2026 was heading into the year. And, yet
DR Horton’s Shift to 65% FHA/VA Increases Default Risk
DR Horton has adjusted its business model in an interesting way. Back in 2021/22, they were doing 40% of their business to FHA and VA borrowers. Now it's 65% of their business. FHA and VA loans typically have 0-5% downpayments and higher credit...
SkyWest Q1 Shows Revenue Growth, Fleet Reactivation, Pilot Pipeline
SkyWest’s Q1 2026 call was solid—revenue up, more plane reactivations, and pilot pipeline growing. Steady execution and strong partnerships keeping things on track. ✈️ SkyWest
Gasoline Breakout Proves Skeptics Right, Experts Wrong
Watching the 'strait is open told you so the experts were wrong again' people last Friday post the 'breakout' in Gasoline 6 days later https://t.co/GB8PhrUKTX
Regulator Confused About Polymarket’s International Scope
Remarkable that the country's top derivatives regulator either doesn't know (or is deliberately obfuscating) the difference between the two Polymarkets....
Crash Period Listings Triple Normal Seasonal Peaks
Just a friendly reminder that the new listings data was consistently around 250K-400K per week during the housing bubble crash years. Normally, during seasonal peak weeks, it's 80K-100K. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #housing #realestate #mortgagerates #chartdaddy
Warsh Pushes Balance Sheet Shrinkage via QE Resolution Fund
As I wrote with Matt Sekerke in @WSJ, the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, is CORRECT. He wants to SHRINK the Fed’s balance sheet. So do we. The only way to do it cleanly and rapidly is through the establishment of a...