Avoid Fear‑Driven Missed Gains, Size Positions Wisely
Peter Lynch got it right decades ago. The real risk in investing isn't a crash. It's the years you spent hiding from one that never came. 1️⃣ Economists predicted 33 of the last 11 recessions. 2️⃣ Six right out of ten? That's a Hall of Fame batting average. 3️⃣ One Costco in your portfolio quietly buries ten wrong calls. Stop managing fear. Start managing position size.
S&P 500 Fell Under
Remember at the start of the month when the S&P 500 traded under 20x earnings? That was awesome. JPMAM https://t.co/4eagWzJBWD
SPX Hits 13‑week Cycle, Expect Sector Rotation, Down Week
$SPX has made some sort of top every 13 weeks since July, whether it's a short term top like in July, or a multi week top like in January. We may see another one next week. I expect rotation, semi...
Market Predicts US Gas Hitting $5 This Year
How high will US gas prices get this year? The market says $5.00 @kalshi https://t.co/6iN7z5X7oB https://t.co/iVU1a4Krzb
Apple MACD Bullish Crossover Signals Potential 5% Rise
AAPL: Weekly bullish MACD crossovers usually precede average moves of +5% within three weeks. With earnings scheduled for this Thursday, the week is key to confirm the signal, currently brewing.
Only a Handful of SaaS Firms Outpace the Rest
A Few SaaS Names Are Pulling Away From the Pack This chart ranks SaaS companies by NTM revenue growth estimates, and the message is pretty clear: A small group is pulling away, while most of the sector still sits in the mid-teens...
China's Fertility Decline Predated, OCP Intensified Coercive Measures
“Fertility in China was already falling sharply before the One-Child Policy…The OCP accelerated and institutionalized a trend…already underway, but it also added enormous coercive machinery on top of it, including forced sterilizations and abortions.” https://t.co/eeyX4ZGmwq
AI Opportunities Revive Growth for Traditional Companies
More true today. But, it doesn’t mean you shouldn’t consider old school, boring Cos. finding ways to reignite lost growth due to opportunities that AI and related markets like data centers are creating for them. Some may be core buys...
MSFT Expected to Break 20‑Week MA, Target 461
$MSFT - Despite the 4 week rally it has not confirmed an intermediate term low yet since it has to regain the 20 week MA to do that, but I expect it to be confirmed next week and the rally...
2026 Energy Surge Likely
Just a Short Cleansing Range Trade in Energy Prices? The enduring lesson of weak underlying-commodity price performance vs. producer equities is playing out in 2026. The question is whether it's a normal rotation lower or start of sustained higher prices. My...
Revenue Rises, Profit Falls as Margins Squeeze
Reliance Industries q4 fy26 result. ■Revenue from Operations: ₹2.98 lakh crore (up 13% YoY). ■EBITDA: ₹44,141 crore (up 10% YoY), but margins contracted to 14.78% from 16.57%. ■Net Profit (PAT): ₹16,971 crore (down 12.55% YoY). ■Dividend: The board recommended a dividend of ₹6...
Blockade Won’t Push Oil Past $150, Here’s Why
I did a live stream yesterday covering the ins and outs of the blockade and closure of the Strait. Single biggest question - as long as the blockade lasts - is how high oil prices go from here. I go...
Kevin Warsh Poised to Become 17th Fed Chair
Kevin Warsh is now on track to become the 17th chair of the Federal Reserve when Jay Powell's term concludes on May 15. https://t.co/mPaGC9If1n
Fed Decision and Tech Earnings Drive This Week's Market
What's on your watch list this week? We have the Fed and tech earnings on deck: $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $META $KLAC $QCOM $AAPL $SNDK $WDC Mailing List Access: https://t.co/YtTTmqCyAJ https://t.co/9PNbw4tIEH
Sanofi's Dividend Streak Faces Dupixent Patent Cliff
A few weeks ago I published my deep dive on 🇫🇷 Sanofi $EPA:SAN 32 consecutive years of dividend growth. A true European Dividend Aristocrat 💪 Currently their main blockbuster Dupixent accounts for 36% of revenue, and compound patent protection expires in 2031....
Meta's Earnings Decide Rally to 744 or Drop Below 645
$META - Unlike most tech stocks it closed the week down. Earnings on Wednesday will determine its next move: continue the rally to the next resistance at 744, or give back some of the gains it made in the last...
MAGS Implied Volatility Drops Below Historical Levels Ahead of Earnings
Coming into a big week of Mag 7 earnings, $MAGS implied volatility is low at 28%.. finally back below its historical/realized volatility @seekingalpha https://t.co/Sn2hdW5zUN https://t.co/vHayAb3ZUZ
Fast Growth Relies on Leveraging Others' Capital
PSA: most people scaling fast are not using their own money. They’re using other people’s money, partnerships, creative financing, retiment funds. They understand the power of leverage
Google Near ATH; Earnings Decide Breakout or Pullback
$GOOGL - Up 4 weeks in a row and almost back to the ATH at 349. Earnings on Wednesday will determine if it breaks out and heads to the 1st yearly resistance at 381, or gives back some of the...
Real Estate Success Often Fueled by Falling Rates
I don’t know who needs to hear this, but many real estate fortunes were helped along by one of the greatest tailwinds in history: falling interest rates. Be careful when judging track records. Some of it is skill. Some of it is...
Patience Beats Early Entries: Discipline Drives Winning Trades
Discipline defines everything in trading. If you enter early → you lose. If you wait → you win. CHOCH + Inducement + OB = Precision entry. Follow for real setups. #ForexTradingLife #SMCConcepts #ICTReels #TradingDiscipline #reels
Deals Hinge on Stabilized Yield, Not Current Income
There are generally two main myths that you hear about how real estate deals are sold. The first is that properties are sold based on their in-place income. The second is that properties are sold based on the market cap rate. These...
Amazon Hits New ATH; Watch 272 Pullback
$AMZN - The 1st MAG 7 stock to make a new ATH this week. The next upside target is the 1st yearly resistance at 272. A weekly close above 272 will lead to the 2nd yearly resistance at 314, but...
Barron's Poll Predicts S&P Decline—Contrarian Signal
The Barron’s Big Money Poll is out. Twice a year they survey portfolio managers and strategists across the country. We like to use it as a contrarian indicator. Right now, they’re telling you the S&P 500 is headed lower for...
China Shifts From Goods to Knowledge-Intensive Service Exports
FT op-ed: “No nation in the world exports as much merchandise as China. But having conquered global trade in goods, it is now rapidly moving up the international ranks as a leading exporter of knowledge-intensive services.” https://t.co/1hEm7NN3Bm
Avoid FOMO; Build Wealth Through Consistent Compounding
I’ll never tell someone they can’t make money chasing FOMO, meme stocks, or hot trends trading at unjustified valuations. In bullish markets, it can work…. Can’t argue with that. But what happens (almost every time) is that when the market finally breaks,...
USD Swap Lines Weaponized: Past Freeze Boosted CIPS, Gold
RE: “Weaponizing USD swap lines” - last time the USD system rails were weaponized (2022 Russia FX reserves frozen), CIPS payments more than doubled in 2 years, and gold rose 3x in 4 years. Let’s watch. https://t.co/ydeBLxbx6r
1-Year Inflation Swap Peaks; Stocks Hit All-Time Highs
The 1-year inflation swap is now at the highest level since last September Stocks all-time highs. @augurinfinity https://t.co/HrFvA54Sd7
Nifty Histogram Signals Wave 2 Pullback; USDINR Weakens
Nifty Histogram signal - A wave 2 pullback - USDINR is the weak link - I... https://t.co/V8f9CQAFPA via @YouTube
SOXX Soars, NVDA Stalls: Catch‑Up Unlikely
Since NVDA and MAGS all-time highs in late October, SOXX is +48%, NVDA is -2%, and MAGS is -4%. Historically it's rare for NVDA to "play catch up" to SOXX. If you expect NVDA to break out to new highs here,...
Global Demand, Not US, Drives China's Export Surge
“Chinese exports are finding genuine new markets, not just new routes to America…Clearly the rest of the world wanted more Chinese items, too. American demand cannot explain away the bulk of China’s export boom over the past year.” https://t.co/HIZ20v7gcn
Trend‑following Beats 60/40; UHNW Go Beyond Passive Mix
The 60/40 portfolio fell 17.5% in 2022. Trend-following returned +20.1% the same year. Passive equity + bonds = the minority in a UHNW portfolio. Wed April 29, 12pm ET — Greg Babij (CIO, $500M+ MFO) breaks down how it's actually built. $5M+ only:...
Why Heirs Might Decline Inheritance and How
Most people would find it hard to turn down “free” money, whether it’s finding a $20 bill on the sidewalk or getting a match in a company 401(k). However, the decision of whether to keep or disclaim (all or part)...
CDNS Shows Bullish Trend Ahead of Earnings
$CDNS reporting Monday night, trend-inflection triggered the week before last, MACD went bull, 6K Aug. 400 calls bought 4/21, size June $290 and $300 calls bought in OI, member write-up on 3/10 https://t.co/msFif2WBqo
Trump's 2025 OBBBA Boosts Itemizers to 12%
Thx @PKubeyEA for the gift article. Trumps's 2025 OBBBA increased IRS #tax itemizers from 10% to 12%. "#Taxpayers who qualify for new and enhanced deductions in the tax law may end up with even lower effective rates.""Play around with it...
Structured $100 Portfolio Guarantees Bounded Losses
I manage my wealth this way in general and I am positioned this way within this framework today 101 I take $100 of cash And invest in DSSmart Beta which is always long global stocks bonds, gold, and commodity indices. ...
Nvidia’s Market Cap Now Exceeds Japan’s Economy
$NVDA is once again larger than Japan @augurinfinity (and this with the Nikkei at record highs) https://t.co/ML48sWPOad
Keep Expenses Steady, Save Extra Earnings
Important one Gentlemen, ‼️ Don’t make the mistake of increasing your costs when you start to earn more money. Rather keep your expenses the same and save the difference instead.
SaaS Valuations: Growth Premiums Vary Widely
Not all SaaS valuations are expensive. Looking at forward P/E vs NTM revenue growth gives a cleaner view of how the market is pricing expected growth across SaaS. $PLTR stands out as one of the fastest growers at roughly 62% expected growth,...
Iran Seizes Two Container Ships, Undermining GCC Trade
Iran. Seizes two container ships. Where were they headed? Primary cargo? Hurting GCC. Not grabbing tankers.
Invest in Few ETFs, Stay Long‑term, Use Tax‑advantaged Accounts
5 principles to follow to become a successful investor: > no individual stocks, 1-2 ETFs only > stay invested regardless of media clickbait > have a long term mindset > invest consistently > prioritize tax advantageous accounts Anything you would add?
Hyperscalers Issue $110bn Debt, Exceeding Forecasts
BofA: Hyperscalers have issued $110bn in debt so far in 2026, sharply above forecasts https://t.co/aIc0cIvDl0
Chemicals Bottleneck Triggers Massive Price Hikes Ahead
Lots of attention (rightfully so) focused on all that oil stuck in the SoH. But there's massive amounts of chems stuck as well. And even if the strait opens tomorrow, these ships will be the last to pass. Listen to what...
Dated Brent Falls to Futures, Disproving Manipulation Myth
I hear endless stories that the futures market is manipulated. It's an urban legend. Easiest way to debunk this is to look at Dated Brent versus futures. The gap has closed significantly due to Dated Brent falling towards futures not...
Three Hidden Mistakes Sabotaging Your Forex Success
You're not losing in forex because of your strategy. You're losing because of 3 mistakes you don't even realize you're making I break them down (and the psychology behind each) in my new video 👇 https://t.co/CUUqbHmejH https://t.co/CUUqbHmejH
New Put/Call Histogram Enhances Timing Precision
This weeks session adds an additional timing indicator for perfection - the Put/Call Histogram on StrikeMoney
Oil Won’t Hit $150–200; US Iran Blockade Proving Effective
Here's my discussion with @paulkrugman from March 19 where I argued oil prices won't go to $150 or $200 and recommended the US blockade Iran. It's as relevant to global oil markets today as it was back then. The blockade...
Equity Risk Premium Remains Positive: Stocks Outperform Bonds
S&P 500 equity risk premium (earnings yield minus the 10yr TIPS yield) is still solidly positive... stocks are a better buy than bonds. @wisdomtreefunds https://t.co/JAZ7YxWZqN
Brent Surges 60%, Fuel Shortages Hit Global Markets
This week will bring a drumbeat of physical shortage stories. Here's the deal. Brent is up 60% from before the war. That's more than 3x the rise after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The SoH is 3x Russia's oil exports to...
Invest Fully, Skip Cash When Companies Outperform 5%
Francois Rochon on being fully invested "If we continue to find companies that we believe can do five percentage points better than that on an annualized basis over many years, why would we hold cash?"