Worst Bond Cycle Makes Credit Rotation Essential
Every portfolio manager has a fund they believe in more than the market does. For me, that's $JOJO. The worst bond cycle in a generation is exactly why credit rotation matters. https://t.co/5FJoUQuUwE
Rally Fragile as Short‑Covering and AI Bull Run Fade
When This Non-Stop Rally Turns Fragile $SPX #crudeoil #IranWar An historic short-covering & AI/tech bull-run despite war escalation supply shocks & sticky-high oil prices as the mechanical buying peters out soon... makes for a fragile rally come May/June. https://t.co/4JsMqpa0x7
Tesla Retests Breakout; Earnings Fail to Spark Buying
$TSLA critical retest back at the breakout line, can it hold? Earnings didn't attract many buyers.
Simplify Trades: Use Smart Money Sell Model
Overthink → Overlose. Simple. This setup shows a perfect Smart Money sell model: CHoCH → FVG → OB → Liquidity sweep. Stop complicating your trades. #ForexTrading #ICTForex #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #reels
SMH’s 15‑Day Rally Faces Indecision Ahead
$SMH with indecision stick printing. Needs basing on the daily. It has been a great run last 15+ days
Credit Investors Snap up BDC Bonds as Retail Exits Equity
Third BDC bond deal in eight days. All oversubscribed. All priced tighter than talk. Credit investors are buying the liability stack while retail is trying to exit the equity below it
SPY Slides to 8‑day MA as Breadth Weakens.
$SPY into 8-MA here, as noted was likely earlier this week as saw under the hood weakness in breadth and stall out at that 1.236 level
Alani Nu Could Boost CELH Revenue, Undervaluing Stock
$CELH does seem too cheap at ~2.9x NTM ev/revs with Alani Nu growing at 94% YoY. At the end of 2025, the Celsius brand was 60% of total revenues and the Alani Nu brand was 40% of total revenues. Before the...
QQQ Slides 10 Points, Look for Long at LOD
$QQQ dropped about 10 in the past hour. little pop there. trade long against LOD... https://t.co/asgS8ZptZA
Financial Planning: Lifelong Journey Through Three Core Questions
Financial planning isn’t a one-time event. It’s a lifelong process. And it keeps coming back to three questions: …Where are you today? …Where do you want to go? …How will you get there? My new book, Your Money, is just a collection of ways...
SKLZ Surges 300% After $20M Legal Grant Win
$SKLZ halted up ~300% on a massive legal victory.... guess that Christmas present to the top brass is really paying off; basically every tranche of that grant in the money. ~$20m windfall
Gasoline ETF Signals Explosive Bull Flag After 3.5‑Year Breakout
$UGA Weekly. Gasoline (here, ETF for rolling prices at the pump nationwide) looks to be leading crude upside. Explosive high/tight bull flag on weekly coming out of 3.5 year base breakout cc @DonMiami3 https://t.co/O8ipAix7Xe
Sanctions Spur Dramatic Diversification of Iran’s Trade
Under the sanctions regime, Iran’s trade has diversified dramatically. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below https://t.co/YVEjDdiUTn
Dollar Climbs, Risk Appetite Sours, Markets Tumble
Dollar has rallied; VIX spiked; equities, gold, emerging markets and Bitcoin have dropped. News of Ghalibaf bowing out of US-Iran negotiations not being taken favorably from a 'risk appetite' perspective
Extended Leaders Signal Near-Term Pressure
With many leaders extended and fresh distribution in the major indexes, odds favor near-term pressure and consolidation. https://t.co/7NiHKuQ8rL
China Shifts Commodity Payments to CNY, Sidelines USD Crisis
It matters greatly, here's why: 1. China can run out of USD, but it can't run out of CNY. 2. China's biggest USD outflow is in commodity imports - est. $1.5-2.0 trillion in commodities, mostly in energy. 3. So every 10% of their...
Avis Budget Shares Plunge 42%, 70% Below Yesterday's High
Avis Budget $CAR down -42.3% more today making is -70.1% from the highs (yesterday)... who's buying the pullback? https://t.co/j72u8A2HCd
Sell Puts only with Edge, Use Calls at High RSI
Don’t just randomly sell puts Sell puts when you have the proper edge You are putting your trades in danger if you are selling puts on stocks if their RSI is 80 or above That’s the time to sell calls on stocks...
China's Potential Oil Buying Strike Mirrors Missing Supply
Has anyone thought about the possibility that China is on a full buyers strike in oil markets? That would remove (at least in oil barrels) almost the same barrels that we are currently missing
Apartment Market Still Tight; 2026 Starts Forecast Slashed
NMHC on Apartments: Market Tightness "mostly unchanged" in April Survey Multifamily executives have lowered their expectations for total 2026 multifamily starts https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nmhc-on-apartments-market-tightness
Israel's Inflation On Target, Money Supply Grows Within Golden Rate
Israel’s inflation is 1.9%/yr in March. That's within Israel’s 1%-3%/yr target. Israel’s broad money supply is growing at 8.08%/yr, WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 7.7%-9.7%/yr, a rate consistent w/ Israel’s 1%-3%/yr target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/vCdAIfLoB0
Play or Ignore Momentum‑driven Shitcoins; Don’t Just Complain
The reason sh!tcos do well in bull markets is they don't attract fundamental investors. They attract momentum. You either develop a strategy that allows you to play along, or completely ignore it, or get annoyed and throw stones from the...
Nike Insiders Bought $8.2M of Stock Since Nov 2025
Since November 2025, Nike insiders have purchased ~$8.2 million of the company's stock on the open market at an average price of ~$53 per share https://t.co/7QNDEnhdU8
Buy MU Dip, Trim, Hold Swing, Add Cash Flow
If you bought the dip in $MU this morning. Nice job. Now U trim that and hold the swing From earlier this week. U added cash flow with a tier system.
Legally Exploit Tax Code to Minimize Your Taxes
You get taxed on your income... To then get taxed on your home... To then get taxed when you buy... And when you invest your money... You get taxed when you profit. Here's how to LEGALLY use the tax code to pay as little as...
Photonics Stocks Surge Over 1,000% This Year
Photonics stocks are going parabolic: • LITE +1621% • AAOI +1434% • COHR +529% • CRDO +377% • VIAV +353% • FN +281% • MTSI +189% • MRVL +186% • IPGP +136% • POET +127%
HSBC Reaffirms Buy on OKLO: Clean Balance Sheet, Near Revenue
HSBC just reiterated a buy thesis this morning on OKLO calling it a clean balance sheet with imminent first revenue. Discussed this name in yesterday's video as a swing trade setup (long) $OKLO https://t.co/8HMvCDQEhr
Valuation at Heart of Hedge Fund Tax Petition
Hedge Fund Head Petitions IRS on Charitable Contributions. If a "timely contemporaneous written acknowledgment and the qualified appraisal appropriately applied discounts... the central issue is likely to be valuation.” Great @TaxNotes A.J. Collins article https://t.co/s8CLOi8syQ
OKLO Gaps Up,
$OKLO filled a small gap overhead today from late Jan 2026. I put most into it ride but still have some trade shares.
NVDA Faces Overbought Gap; Unwinding Likely Needed
$NVDA daily chart note the Nov 2025 gap just overhead. Price might need to flag/base to gain the energy to get thru it. Note RSI and MACD overbought. Unwinding needed. https://t.co/oVgyNby7HZ
Roche Bets on Cancer and Obesity Drugs Amid Biosimilar Pressure
Roche, facing biosimilar threats, puts faith in new cancer and obesity drugs https://t.co/IIt0INA9sI @ByJonGardner $RHHBY
Option Margin Deep Dive with LLMs And
Moontower Thursday The meat is about option margin but a few rapid fire topics: 🌙Welcome to Scamerica 🌙LLMs for faster applied learning 🌙Slopstacks refs: @covered_call @DaveNadig @mjmauboussin https://t.co/kLbxfL2LTB https://t.co/GZ3UTIuriN
Daily VWAP Trade That Consistently Pays Off
The one trade I take every single morning… and it pays. 📈 Simple. Repeatable. Proven. 👇 Comment “SETUP” and I’ll send you the guide. #VWAP #DayTrading #FuturesTrading
Austin Housing Market Hits Stabilization, Near Bottom
#Austin housing market finally approaching bottom. CEO of Taylor Morrison 1Q26 earnings call: “Austin actually finally saw what I would say some stabilization in backlog, had the best sales month in quite some time, and cancelations seemed to stabilize.” Checks w/our analysis...
Cannabis Offers Low Competition, High Long‑Term Gains
I have never been so bullish on the opportunity in cannabis. Do the work, do your own due diligence. There are so few eyeballs on the space. It's amazing what you will find and the long-term opportunities available. You will...
Avis Budget Crashes 72% as Hedge Funds Clash
Hedge-Fund Meme-Stock Short-Squeeze Queen Avis Budget [CAR] Implodes by 72% in 26 Hours. “Stairs up, express elevator down” as hedge funds sock it to each other. https://t.co/eUZopg0LLd https://t.co/2QfJTVrZ5B
Governor's Yes Risks Investor Credibility Amid Rising Taxes
If the governor says "yes" to this, she should have no credibility with investors in the city's debt. New York's tax revenues are rising. If gimmicks like this are necessary now, what happens when tax revenues stop rising? https://t.co/KGqlxU5QuC https://t.co/0Eah2RLkKQ
AVGO Uptrend Continues, Holding Positions Amid Pullbacks
$AVGO daily updated chart. Moved up let it ride stops. I am still giving room for pullbacks and basing on most orders. https://t.co/HN21WZCjfN
Handling Near‑Miss Trades: Close, Wait, or Adjust Stop?
Do you close at a loss, wait or move your stop? What do you do when your trade misses the target by 2 pips (or 2 cents), which would have made you $3,500. https://t.co/faJBqUIctX
Strong Quarter Misses Expectations, AI Growth Debate Persists
$NOW: in show me mode which makes the May 4th analyst day a big one. Q was strong w RPO g +23.5%, sub revs +19%, OM 31.8% - but expectations were higher and guide underwhelmed. Debate will continue...
Today's Breadth Differs; Past Rally Won’t Repeat
I know, I know. You just watched a bunch of stocks rip higher without a pullback — and now you want to hold everything expecting a repeat. But the breadth regime from three weeks ago is not the same as the breadth...
TSLL Targets $12.44 on 15‑Minute Chart
$TSLL see my 15 min chart posted earlier.... I am watching 12.44 for next level.
IBM's Software Rebound Drives 19% EPS Surge
$IBM: solid Q getting caught up in software meltdown. EPS growth +19.4%, TR +9.5% and SW +11% with a reaccel from RHT. Consulting in line, Infra up 15% with a nice tailwind from M/F Z. GM...
COMPQ Stuck in Nosebleed Zone, Awaiting Lower Levels
$COMPQ daily chart. Many levels below to catch price. We stay in the nose bleed section for now. https://t.co/HckSuLMwfu
Patience and Proper Sizing Beat Momentum Traps
7133 SPX is to $CAR at 700 As $CAR at 240 is to SPX at ? Momo and short squeezes can run in your face a while. They've run in my face from 6980. Patience and right sized
High‑probability SPY Setup Could Force Qullamaggie’s Comeback
If this high probability $SPY set up works @Qullamaggie will have no choice but to come out of retirement and write "lol" https://t.co/xYiBmPVbcl
40% Expect Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalization After November
40% of oil and gas firms in the @DallasFed survey expect it'll be November or later before Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal. https://t.co/aNqqqDpuML
Buy‑and‑hold Global Index Outperforms Most Strategies over Life
When it's all said and done - if we're being totally honest - by the time one reaches a ripe old age, most stock investors will earn more money in a buy-and-hold total global equity index portfolio than doing anything...
SOX's 42% Surge Mirrors Rare Post‑Bear Rallies
$SOX(semiconductors) rallied 42% in the last 17 trading days. This happened only twice in its history: On April 30, 2001, after 14 months of bear market. On November 1, 2002, at the beginning of a new bull market, and after 31 months...
Sanofi Reports Strong Sales Amid Growing R&D Pressure
Sanofi posts upbeat sales as R&D pressure builds https://t.co/4WUccjXY5D by Kristin Jensen $SNY + 2% $REGN