BOJ's Massive Yen Intervention Yields Little Effect
From our latest @ForwardGuidance…”throwing good money after bad”… BOJ intervention >2x the size of recent Yen purchases with minimal impact. https://t.co/Unck13wfjJ
Ignore OPEC+ Rumors; Follow UAE’s Clear Official Stance
💠The sheer volume of nonsense being published about the UAE’s exit from OPEC+ and its supposed impact on the oil market is astounding. 💠The UAE’s official statements are crystal clear. Stick to them and pay close attention to the details. 💠Want to...
Alphabet Nears Top Spot, Closing on Nvidia
$GOOGL a few percentage points from overtaking $NVDA as the world's most valuable company @augurinfinity https://t.co/FYDdXsHxrP
Estée Lauder Posts 40% EPS Surge, Beats Estimates
$EL: nice results this morning w 40% EPS growth and net sales up 5% with GM beat and up 140bps y/y. China g USD and $1B in sales in Asia Pacific. Raised estimates. Beauty Reimagined strategy taking hold.
Dollar Softens as Markets Await US Leadership
May Day: Market Looks for US Leadership: In holiday-thinned markets, the dollar is mostly softer as North American leadership is awaited. In light of yesterday’s surge in the yen, and contrary to our expectation, it does appear that Japanese officials…...
Derivatives Trim BoC Rate Outlook by 22bps, Hikes Discounted
5 G10 central banks met this week and they all delivered to varying extents hawkish holds. The derivatives market adjusted expectations for this year’s course by 22 bp for the Bank of Canada. Two hikes are now...
BofA Sell‑Side Indicator Stays Neutral, Near Sell
BofA Sell Side Indicator was unchanged in April Strategists’ equity sentiment unchanged in April, “Neutral”, but closer to a “Sell” signal than a “Buy” https://t.co/pf5gAkdMLy
Interim Data Hint Weaker PFS; Selloff Caps Losses
Leerink's Daina Graybosch on $SMMT "... In our base case scenario of the company’s likely statistical design choices and enrollment timing, not hitting statistical significance at this interim suggests a degradation in PFS Hazard Ratio (HR) of ~10 percentage points...
AI Momentum Undermines Traditional “Sell in May” Strategy
Sell in May? Hard to make the case with this kind of AI momentum Look at that, a quote from yours truly @seekingalpha https://t.co/EYmeGHOPIc https://t.co/li4GQPEUvm
Households Shift to Short-Term Bonds After 2024 Rate Cuts
"Since the Fed started cutting interest rates in 2024, households have been buying the front end of the yield curve and selling the long end" -Apollo Slok
AI‑Driven Signal Generates Strong Long and Short Alpha
The alpha has been bountiful this week on both the Long and Short Side of our AI powered Signal Strength Stocks inventory Big moves in big names on that Quantamental List this morning include $AAPL, $TWLO, and $ROKU on the...
Google Poised to Become World’s Most Valuable Company
$GOOGL on its way to being the most valuable company in the world, set the pace for big tech earnings and has fueled this rally. 🚀 https://t.co/gQpoSgVPTa
Taiwan: World's Most Perilous Chokepoint Threatening Global Stability
NEW ODD LOTS: Taiwan is the world's most perilous chokepoint @tracyalloway and I talk to @eyckfreymann, author of the new book 'Defending Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War with China, about the high stakes and high risk if China moves on Taiwan...
Indra's Space Division Targets Over €400M Revenue, Iris2 Confirmed
.@IndraCompany: @Hispasat @hisdesat swell Q1 results; space division rev to be EUR 400M+ this year; @defis_eu #Iris2 "is real" following cost/sched/KPI negs that ended April 30. Defis: we'll announce results 'in due course.' @SES_Satellites @Eutelsat. https://t.co/uHyfoiggVO https://t.co/DcCAj3XunD
Brent Futures Up 85% YTD Challenges Price Hype
Lots of scare stories about how oil prices will rise indefinitely. None mention the fact that the front-month Brent future (pink) is up 85% so far this year. If you think prices should rise more, you first need to explain...
China's Q1 Gold Demand Hits Record 362 Tons
China's gold demand in Q1 just hit a RECORD HIGH of 362 tons. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/i4imHfn9jj
Japan Likely Intervened Heavily; Fed Remains Sole Cut Prospect
It is looking more likely that Japan did materially intervene yesterday and for a bit more than it did on average in 2024. Today's holiday has thinned activity. US leadership sought. Fed is still only major central bank where mkt...
Japan's FX Interventions: Temporary Fixes Mask Denial
There's 2 problems with Japan's FX interventions. First, they're only a temporary fix and never reverse the falling trend of the Yen. Second, they signal a gov't that keeps repeating a failed strategy instead of doing what's right, i.e. they...
Massive 401(k) Flows Drive Equity Rally
The Flows If you don't have the humility to respect either the market or its flows, you'll get an education "As we have been tracking over the past several weeks, a large part of that move was supported by an estimated...
US Earnings Growth Surge Drives Bear Market Mauls
One of the main reason why bears are getting mauled is the massive re-acceleration in US Earnings Growth 302 of $SPX companies have reported an aggregate y/y EPS acceleration of +30% It was #Quad1 in Q1 Goldilocks,...
Chevron Beats Q1 Estimates Amid Higher Prices, Strong Refining
BIG OIL 1Q EARNINGS: In line with its peers, Chevron reports stronger-than-expected earnings, with higher prices offseting some output losses (in part due to shutdown in the neutral zone between Kuwait and Saudi Arabia). Interesting to note very strong refinery...
Breadth Guides Aggression, Yet Selective Wins Still Work
Breadth is still below the 5-day. But yesterday? A lot of swing setups worked. That’s the nuance: Breadth tells you how aggressive to be. It doesn’t mean nothing will work. → When weak: be selective, size down → When strong: press Yesterday was a perfect example. https://t.co/vfYr2yMoIt
Trendfollowing Shields Investors as Roblox Plummets 72%
Roblox $RBLX down -24% beating on Q1'26 EPS... another reason to be thankful for #trendfollowing so you don't yourself among the losers... the stock is down -72.1% from highs (barring a bounce from pre-market conditions) https://t.co/1qhz4AvBNd
U.S. Adjusts Petroleum Use After 1974 Arab Embargo
U.S. PETROLEUM supply and consumption and changes in response to the Arab oil embargo in the first quarter of 1974 (estimates taken from the report on Emergency Preparedness for Interruption of Petroleum Imports into the United States published by the...
July Brent Front-Month Sets Path to Wartime High
BRENT’s futures contract for July has replaced June as the front-month, temporarily reducing headline oil prices, but the trend remains upward as the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz causes oil supplies to tighten. In a strongly backwardated market,...
West Braces for Next Wave of Oil Rationing
Headed into month three of the oil crisis, the energy rationing that hit Asia and Africa is headed West. JPMorgan's commodity desk put out an internal memo recently that made the rounds. The Strait of Hormuz closure removed 13.7 million barrels...
Weigh Home Upgrade vs Investing: Choose Financially
You’re 42, Corporate Executive, Chicago. $650k income. Married, 3 kids, 1 on the way. $1.8M retirement, $600k brokerage. You can: Upgrade to a $2.5M home OR Stay put and invest the difference What do you do?
US Munitions Depend on China’s Rare‑earth Magnet Supply
My take @FortuneMagazine on China’s control over the replacement of US depleted weapons stockpile: "Replenishing these [US] munitions requires 5-10 metric tons of finished defense-grade rare earth magnets, more than 95% of which must come from China." https://t.co/M437EG5SfV
Meridian Q1 2026 Delivers 26
$MRDN Q1 2026! Small cap trading 4x EV/ADJ EBITDA whilst growing topline at 17% and ADJ EBITDA at 26% - Rebranding to Meridian is completed. - Best revenue growth in 4 quarters. - Strong ADJ EBITDA growth of 26%. - Net leverage ratio down...
PSON Shows Improving Valuation and Dividend Despite AI Risks
#PSON been in a pretty rough state for years, but recent updates do seem more promising, despite AI potential to disrupt. SharePad has fwd p/e 15.6 falling to 13.9 and fwd Divvy 2.5% rising to 2.7%. I don't hold.
Microsoft Beats Expectations
ICYMI - .@Microsoft beats expectations, but its guidance comes up light, disappointing investors https://t.co/IGFe4hYg5s. “Its cash flow remains positive despite the substantial spending on AI infrastructure, but investors will want to see this balance maintained in the coming quarters.” #Earnings
Pan Mine Boosts Cash Flow, Guides Strong Gold Production
Pan mine generating cash flow. Q1 2026 gold sales lifted unrestricted cash to $46 mil. 2026 guidance: 32-38koz Au at AISC US$1,850-2,000/oz. Pan cash flow to largely fund low-capex growth Stronger company FCF expected to ramp in 2027+ $maiff @MineraAlamos #goldproducer https://t.co/hCMCByPZir
Position Sizing Drives 70‑80% of Trading Success
"What I actually learned is that position sizing is probably 70 to 80 percent of the equation. It's not just about being right or wrong, it's about how much you make when you're right." — Stanley Druckenmiller https://t.co/S37S7hSPet
Build Your Edge Using Your Risk‑Reward Ratio
Understand your average risk-to-reward ratio and then build your trading system parameters around it to create a defined edge.
Buffett's Top Five Investments to Never Make
5 Things Warren Buffett Says To Never Invest In Or Buy (Avoid At All Costs) https://t.co/TWBI5722Bk
Munger's 7 Sacrifices Required for Future Wealth
7 Things You Must Sacrifice If You Want To Be Rich One Day, According To Charlie Munger https://t.co/VKcCbrv3um
Spending Nintendo Day Finishing Deep Dive for Release
Today is Nintendo day $NTDOY. I'm going to dedicate the next few hours to finishing my Nintendo deep dive (already 2 hours in) and will hopefully be able to release it later today.
Apple Poised for Golden Era Under New AI Strategy
Apple’s monster iPhone June growth guide, robust Services, and now the AI strategy ahead puts this tech stalwart into a potential golden era with Ternus taking the baton from the Hall of Famer Cook. $350 PT and all eyes on...
Short on Rejection, Not Panic: Wait for Retest
Don’t jump in when price is already dumping. Wait for price to break a key support level. Then wait for it to come back retest that level and fail. Enter short on rejection, not on panic. Trading tip of the...
AEG Management Undervalues Shares, Angers Investors
Management of #AEG should be very proud for shafting shareholders . Issuing stock at completely the wrong price 😡😡😡
Activist Oasis's Kao Board Challenge Fails, Pressure Remains
Have you heard the story of the battle between the "P&G of Japan", Kao Corporation, and one of the largest and most successful Japan-focused shareholder activists? This one has everything. Kao is a household name, with a...
Stop Blindly Trading Options—Understand Synthetic Futures First
Many people trade options blindly without even understanding what they’re looking at. Say for example...Nifty50 synthetic future @ 23807.65 7 days to expiry ATM IV ~13.93 You see this every day. >> But honestly… do you actually use it? Or just ignore it?🔥 Curious how you...
Free‑Market Reforms Spark Vietnam’s Exceptional Economic Boom
Thanks to free market reforms, the Vietnamese economy has BOOMED. VIETNAM = GROWTH EXCEPTIONALISM. https://t.co/K5IE3TS4jY
Tech Leads S&P to Record Amid Broad Sector Weakness
Five of eleven sectors are red on the year. The S&P just printed its tenth record of 2026 anyway. Intel +24% in a session. Tech now leads on every lookback for the first time this cycle. The whole rally is one sector deep. https://t.co/GoP96luvwI
EUR.AX Poised for Upside if Merger Stalls
This is a bit more speculative than I normally play but I have a med sized position in $EUR.AX (pending merger w/ $CRML). I think there's a pretty decent likelihood the original deal gets bumped (or you see a third party)...
EU Steel Demand Threatened by Early CBAM Import Advantage
EU steel demand faces CBAM timing risk as downstream imports may gain cost advantage before 2028. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/05/eu-steel-demand-faces-cbam-risk-before.html
China's De-Dollarization Is Just a Reserve Shift
1/4 Brad Setser explains why China didn’t truly de-dollarize—it just shifted its dollar holdings from official reserves at SAFE to less transparent state entities like banks and investment funds. @Brad_Setser https://t.co/xz6NMW6HWT
Zeta's 50% Revenue Surge Masks Ongoing Losses
$ZETA delivers 50% revenue growth and improving profitability — but why are operating losses still present? Revenue reached $396M, up nearly 50% YoY, marking another strong acceleration. Growth is being driven by the core platform, with direct platform revenue up over...
U.S. Crude Exports Poised to Fill Gulf Blockade Gap
Yardeni Research Chart of the Day (April 30, 2026) US crude exports may be stepping up to fill the supply void left by Arabian Gulf blockades. Can American producers realistically bridge that gap? https://t.co/QiqCnvCaRc
Master Apple Card Money Flow to Maximize Rewards
Just joining the complex Apple Card ecosystem? It's smart to learn how to move your money around, including funding your Apple Cash. Here's a primer that explains how everything interrelates and how to maximize your rewards: https://t.co/ZPP9OBmIZw #applecard #applecash #banking...