Invest Principal, Not Pay It: Use Interest‑Only Mortgage
The mortgage on our home is interest-only. Why? Because it’s much smarter to invest that principal instead of paying it back to myself every month. Unless you need a forced savings account to protect yourself from yourself, OR You don’t have good investment opportunities, an interest-only mortgage is a no-brainer. It’s actually not even close.
SaaS Growth Leaders Surge Amid Low Valuations
Anthropic’s new Mythos model hit SaaS hard. With valuations now near cycle lows, it may be a good time to look at the names where analysts still expect the strongest NTM revenue growth. Top 10 fastest-growing SaaS names based on NTM estimates: $PLTR...
Banks Fund Homes, Not Stocks—Know Why
The bank will lend you money to buy real estate. They won’t lend you money to buy stocks. They know which one is the safer bet. Do you?
Futures Trend-Following Up YTD, Weekly Dip Amid Volatility
Futures trend-following (our strat and futures universe. YTD up 3.3%; the strategy was down 2.2% for the week. The drawdown from all-time equity highs is 17.6%. TF is struggling amid elevated vol in all markets. Link in reply below. 👇...
Market Set to Erase Gains, Hit New Yearly Low
Unpopular opinion: the market next week will not only give back last week’s gains, but make a new low for the year. Fucked.
Light Data Week Ahead, Keep an Eye on Iran
This week looks like a lighter data week which watch Iran 🇺🇸 US -PPI -Beige Book -Empire State -Philly Fed 🇪🇺 EZ -EZ IP -EZ CPI Revisions 🇬🇧 GB GDP & IP 🇦🇺 AU -Jobs report -Inflation Expectations 🇳🇿 NZ PMI Composite & Services 🇨🇳 CN GDP, IP & Retail Sales
Trump Announces US Blockade of Hormuz Shipping
*TRUMP SAYS US WILL BEGIN BLOCKADE OF SHIPS TO AND FROM HORMUZ The shipping tourists can stop counting ships. It is now zero. https://t.co/1AQGj4UeEF
US Navy to Block All Strait of Hormuz Traffic
“Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz” (No LNG cargo has left the Persian Gulf in over a...
EchoStar Poised for Swing Trade Breakout Next Week
EchoStar is our favorite swing trade idea for next week. Lifting out of its base on Friday after a sluggish start to the week. The way we're trading it in the chart below and more details shared in the video: Watch...
Tech Firms' Record Margins Fuel Unstoppable Growth
“Tech stocks are in a bubble.” I disagree. Tech companies today are far more efficient than ever. Companies like NVIDIA are keeping ~$0.50 in profit for every $1 in revenue. That was unheard of decades ago. High margins allow companies to easily: - Outspend competitors - Acquire...
US‑India Deal Set to Boost Energy, Metals, Tech Trade
The US-India trade deal could expand energy, metals, aircraft, and technology trade while reducing tariff pressure. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/us-india-trade-deal-could-reshape.html
Focus, Not Timing: Concentrate on Few, Win Big
Buffett doesn't time the market. He times his attention. The best capital allocators I've studied don't work harder — they work on fewer things, longer. Concentration isn't just a portfolio strategy. It's a life strategy.
ADNOC Warns World Cannot Afford Hormuz Closure
Adnoc CEO: “The Strait of Hormuz has never been Iran’s to close or restrict… The world simply cannot afford it and must not allow it” (Adnoc hasn’t been able to export LNG for over a month to customers in Asia and...
Saudi Arabia Profits From Oil Surge, Resists Swift Peace
The biggest winner in this war may be Saudi Arabia, which is likely seeing its annual export revenues from oil rise substantially even with lower volumes thanks to the spike in prices. The Saudis have very little incentive to push...
Brent at $95, but US Embargo Could Push $125
My base case is for many weeks of messy negotiations with Iran, but that war has basically ended. That's what I think is priced into Brent at $95. If negotiations fail and the US does an embargo of Iranian oil,...
All Major Tech Indexes Hit Record Highs This Week
The Equally-weighted Technology Index Fund (RSPT) just closed the week at the highest level in history. The S&P600 Small-cap Tech Index just did the same thing. So did the S&P400 Mid-cap Tech Index. So did the Market-cap Weighted AND the...
Turkey Alone Cuts Central Bank Gold; Others Remain Flat
There's endless chatter central banks are selling gold. For the 3 central banks for which we have weekly data (India, Thailand, Turkey), only Turkey has seen gold holdings fall lots (-$20 bn). Gold holdings are flat for the other two....
Ditch Classic RSI; Use Real‑Trend Indicator for Better Signals
Forget RSI 70/30. That’s retail thinking. 🚫 In real trends, RSI stays extended… and in ranges, it fakes you out. Use THIS instead 👇 Which one do you struggle with more? 1️⃣ Fading extremes (keep getting trapped) 2️⃣ Trend pullbacks (keep missing moves) Comment your number...
Turkey Sells $20bn Gold as Lira Faces Depreciation Risk
If negotiations with Iran fail, Turkey will be immediately back in the firing line of global markets. It sold and swapped 128 tons of gold to bolster its FX reserves by around $20 bn in recent weeks, a sign of...
Goldman's 7,600 S&P Target Now Seems Achievable
That Goldman 7600 S&P 500 year-end target looks more doable now vs a couple weeks ago https://t.co/ylS7dFh44o
Gold's 100% Surge Turns It Into Risk Asset
At its peak in January, gold was up 100% y/y. The bubble sucked in lots of new buyers, making gold and other precious metals trade like high-beta risk assets and not safe havens. The debasement trade made gold lose its...
Tech Exec Chooses Early Retirement or $10M Net Worth
You’re 41, Tech Executive, San Francisco. $900k income. Married, 2 kids. $2M retirement, $1M brokerage, $3M house, $1.2M mortgage. Do you retiring at 45 or pushing to a $10M+ net worth
S&P 500 Drops 0.7%,
S&P 500 indicated -0.7% on Hyperliquid vs 4pm Friday. Back to where it was Thursday morning. @augurinfinity https://t.co/DLgxS7SYsq
Druckenmiller: Use Liquidity, Not Valuation, to Time Markets
“I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction.” — Stanley Druckenmiller...
Vitol’s Star Trader Loses Hundreds of Millions in Iran War
A team at Vitol led by a star trader took a several hundred million dollar hit early in the Iran war after bets in the oil market went awry, people familiar with the matter said https://t.co/wVuSf1Bx1e
Vanguard UK Isn’t Cheapest—Still Worth Considering?
Vanguard UK don’t have the cheapest platform or cheapest funds. Actually - quite far from it. So, should you still use them? All this & more in my new video 👇 The Current State of Vanguard https://youtu.be/fBm0snyAMSU
Leadership Decisions Reflect Competing Geopolitical Pressures
Leaders don’t operate in isolation. Every major decision sits under layers of pressure: Allies. Opponents. Domestic expectations. Strategic constraints. And when those pressures pull in ditterent directions, outcomes become less clear... and less consistent. What looks like indecision is often competing forces at work. That’s the reality of high-stakes geopolitics. More...
Iran's SoH Blockade Remains Tehran's Ultimate Bargaining Chip
Point No. 1 was entirely to be expected. SoH blockade and the economic pain it is inflecting is Tehran’s biggest leverage. It will hold on to it till the very end. Why would the US think it would surrender it this early?...
17th‑Century London’s Coal Dependence Fueled Social Unrest
London’s Coal Supply in the 17th Century – A Case Study in Energy Security By the early seventeenth century, coal had replaced wood as the main fuel used in London and other towns in southeast England for domestic heating as well...
Offshore Drilling, Fewer Refinery Closures Could Lower California Gas Prices
Maybe just maybe if allowed offshore drilling and your looney tunes laws didn’t force so many refineries to close then gas in California wouldn’t be $6 you donut hole.
Balance Cash and Investments to Survive Market Swings
In a bull market, It feels risky to hold cash because prices keep rising, But the real risk is having no cash for when the inevitable drop comes. In a bear market, It feels risky to hold investments because prices keep falling, But the real...
SEM's Risky Rolled‑call Strategy Nets Big Trader Bonuses
Yep...SEM group basically running a not so covered call strategy then martingaling by repeatedly rolling into an insanely faded markets every day. Got a lot of options traders on NYMEX paid. Got my first big boy bonus thanks to them....
SUTL Enterprise Trades Cheap, Cash‑rich After Keppel
SUTL Enterprise (SUTL SP): The market leader in Singapore's luxury marina industry. Trades at 7.1x 2028e with a solid cash pile once the acquisition of Marina at Keppel Bay goes through. https://t.co/phzy16ip8T
Panicked Barrel Rush Fuels Global Oil Market Turmoil
A panicked race for barrels is gripping the global oil market https://t.co/BFDckZshjd via @yongchang_chin @Bill_Lehane https://t.co/TY5ixVnnec
Pakistan Receives Fifth $5B Bailout, Repeats Dependency Cycle
#PakWatch🇵🇰: Saudi Arabia and Qatar just announced another $5B bailout package for Pakistan. This is the 5th major bailout since 1998. Pakistan passes the begging bowl again. Why wouldn’t it? It seems to work. FREE IMRAN KHAN. https://t.co/JEXSVNuiU1
Chinese City Land Sales Plunge 46% Year‑on‑year
Yicai: "300 cities auctioned 64.72 million square meters of land in the three months ended March 31, a 24 percent drop from a year ago. By value, sales plunged 46 percent to CNY215.4 billion. By floor area, they shrank 26...
China Railway Boosts Q1 Investment 5% to Spur Growth
Xinhua: "In the first three months of 2026, China State Railway completed 137.9 billion yuan in fixed-asset investment, a year-on-year increase of 5.1 percent. The company will implement the key railway construction tasks specified in the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030),...
Macquarie Ups Near‑Term Copper, Lithium Forecasts Amid Strong Financial Flows
Macquarie raised near-term copper and lithium forecasts as financial flows continue to outweigh soft physical signals. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/macquarie-near-term-copper-outlook.html
Israel's Inflation Hits Target, Money Supply On‑Track
Israel’s inflation is 2.0%/yr. That's w/i Israel’s 1%-3%/yr target. Israel’s broad money supply is growing at 8.08%/yr. That's WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 7.7%-9.7%/yr, a rate consistent w/ Israel’s 1%-3%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/lQDMrCEK46
Scale Small, Add Only to Winning Trades
Macro: markets favor trend & momentum; drivers: liquidity hunts, news pauses; risks: oversized entries, tight stops, averaging down. Trading insight: scale in small and add only to winners. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Oil's 64% Six‑Week Surge Reveals Hidden Market Signal
Oil just did a 64% roundtrip in 6 weeks and here is what nobody is talking about.
US‑Iran Talks Stall; European Gas Market Goes 21‑hour
The US and Iran fail to reach a deal after marathon talks in Pakistan ⚠️ 👀 All eyes will be on the European gas market, which for the first time will open early in Asia on Monday (in 19 hours) TTF...
Leveraged ETFs Require Active Timing, Not Long-Term Holding
Leveraged ETFs designed for trading, not holding. Compound losses during downtrends. Early 2X XRP ETF buyers currently underwater holding. Timing required. Many investors disqualified by advisors from leverage products. Volatility demands active management.
America's Secret Role as Global Tax Haven
I was interviewed by Reveal for their new podcast: “Inside America’s Race to Hide the World’s Money.” It’s about how the U.S. quietly became one of the best places in the world to park wealth. Out of reach and out of sight. If you...
Turned $8.19 Into 11x, Eyeing $65 Re‑entry
Bought 305 shares of $RKLB at $8.19. Sold 75% of my position for a 11x… and now I’m seriously considering buying back in at $65. With a Space X IPO this trade isn’t over
India Tackles Fuel Shortage with Export Tax, Not Ban
🇮🇳Several countries, including China, banned exports of petroleum products. India is doing the same using a different approach. India Raises Export Tax on Diesel, Jet Fuel Amid Energy Crisis
Automate Paycheck Splits to Save, Invest, Pay Bills
HOW TO SPLIT YOUR PAYCHECK Stop wasting your time sending money to different accounts every pay day. Here’s how to split up your paycheck — to save, invest, and pay bills — automatically. STEP 1 Make sure you have direct deposit set up...
Buy Dips, Hold Months—Day Trading Won’t Make You Rich
Talk to real 7 figure portfolio owners in the stock market and or crypto 1 thing will remain common and true amongst US ALL None of us got “rich” day trading instruments We all got here from buying dips holding Swing trading aka “pretty...
Housing Inventory Drops Negative Year‑Over‑Year, Explained
#housing inventory going negative year over year? This weekend’s tracker we discuss what is really going on! @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #economics #mortgagerates #realestate #chartdaddy
Oil Surge Triggers BOJ Hikes, Gold Targets New Highs
Domino Theory fourth iteration published on YouTube. Oil spike catalyst forces Bank of Japan rate hikes. Gold/silver retest previous all-time highs before continuing. Gold-oil peg ratio stabilizes currencies. Supply shock required for three-four digits.