Price tells more truth than any big brain who writes a lot of words ever can or will.

$qqq channel intact. Will today be easy and hold $605ish. Or back to low end of the box and range https://t.co/6H9MUXu9Oo

here's a weekly glance at our "all asset" list and the short, intermediate and long-term trend condition all sorted by YTD % change... #AssetWatch gold & silver leading the charge... https://t.co/3O0CHkZQj7

Canadian materials $XMA vs. Canadian energy $XEG stocks... a pullback in a (relative) uptrend... https://t.co/KAhY40ZLpO

5-year UST becoming the primary beneficiary of AI-driven disruption. Market pricing a 'lower for longer' rate environment, richening the belly. 2s5s10s 'fly https://t.co/7Rs11vfQp5

it's been 38-weeks, since the S&P 500 $SPX crossed 13/34-week EMA #bullish after the Feb/Mar/Apr '25 selloff... https://t.co/ySiLMnKjro
USDA confirms the sale of 125,000 metric tons of U.S. corn for delivery to Colombia in 2025/26.

Wild, the $17b that $IQMM took in on its first day of trading has it leading 1D, 1W and 1M flows instantly and is now 2nd in YTD. ProShares lined up all their funds and bought IQMM for each's cash...
Need to know where we are relative forecast-based policy setting. Neutral rate est at what it was a little less than 3%. The push to make policy on forecasts is something the administration’s nominee to replace Chair Powell has argued....
Nebius Group $NBIS price tgt raised to $232 at Northland Conservatively raising CY26 ending ARR estimate to $5.4B from $4B on strong 4Q25 incremental ARR and low end of CY26 capex plans. While we are not changing our...
Potential pivot by @federalreserve Gov Chris Walller - IF the next retail sales & labor data continue to show signs of further improvement, like we saw in Jan, then would support a pause in rate cuts after dissenting in Jan....
How low can mortgage rates go with tariff ruling and Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair? https://t.co/eEzHs3zcYh
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – Feb 23, 2026 🚨 🧠 Macro Headline: Markets digest Fed Waller + key U.S. data with durable goods and factory orders in focus. Growth vs slowdown narrative still in play. 📅 Economic Events: • 0800 – Fed’s Waller speaks •...

Big moves in currencies are made one small move at a time. The fact that USD didn't rally substantially after the SCOTUS decision is remarkable. After all, it fell a lot when reciprocal tariffs hit, so the fact that it...

🚨 2 Biggest Accident of the day 🚨 Hit Lower circuit in 2 stocks 🔻 1) IDFC first bank Ltd. (-16%) Down 2) UPL Ltd. (-14%) Down - IDFC first bank stock hit lower circuit due to fraud case of ₹590 Cr. -...
March cut may be a coin flip for Waller based on Feb payrolls, but it's not for the FOMC. Cut odds close to zero
Another beaut from @JoeSquawk . @SquawkCNBC Only on Fin TV can a moderator who works for a company (in this case Versant Media Group $VSNT (parent of CNBC)) suggest a pairs trade of being long Versant and short Warner....
Last weeks tariff news still has ripples reverberating through. While the volatility hit Bitcoin as yesterday saw 65k fall through. $NVO comes up short in a head to head trial with $LLY while the Gold and Silver trade looking like...

What are the hottest EMs in 2026? There are a handful of EMs that have monthly BoP flows. Those show a big rise in foreign investor inflows for Colombia (red), Chile (blue) and South Korea (purple). India (green) and Mexico...

Warren Buffett: “Success in investing doesn’t correlate with IQ once you’re above a certain level.” Takeaway: Temperament outweighs raw intelligence. Most investors don’t fail from low IQ — they fail from low discipline. 📉
Fed governor Chris Waller conditions his support for a March cut (or hold) on the February payroll data due for release on March 6. “As things stand today, I rate these two possible outcomes as close to a coin flip.” https://t.co/8ompstwgY9 If...
A tariff that expires in 150 days isn’t a long-run industrial policy. Firms invest on multi-year horizons. If the policy is temporary, the investment response will be, too: mostly none. (This was recorded when the tariff rate was 10%; it's...

Back to the 1970s again. History, Trump, the law and the balance of payments. Can the bofp be in deficit? Did a chartbook in response to the fascinating exchange between @Brad_Setser & @PhilWMagness https://t.co/ryYY7Z9OBm https://t.co/zySJwiEZN7

New @nberpubs: "A Theory of Subsidy Harvesting in Livestock Price Insurance" https://t.co/a2BTA7aoME "The subsidy harvest is a pure rent and costlier than a direct payment because it requires administrative oversight and federally-subsidized delivery" https://t.co/gmAA7SjVyG

New @nberpubs: "Industrial Policies for Multi-Stage Production: The Battle for Battery-Powered Vehicles" https://t.co/DX6XB7e1R0 "local content requirements... drive up costs and reduce subsidy uptake, undoing more than half of the EV adoption stimulus coming from pure buyer subsidies" 😲
I am seeing many market analysts include the accumulated copper stockpiles in the US in their global balance of copper stockpiles and therefore conclude that there are >1 million tonnes of available copper in global stockpiles today. I am not...

Former ECBer, Vitor Constancio, thinks the dollar debasement narrative is overstated. He says, yes, Trumpian policies are challenging the international monetary order, but they are not, as yet, leading it to crumble: "the dollar will continue to dominate for decades ahead". His...
The Weekly Market Signals have outperformed $SPX for 6 weeks. +3.3% YTD (no leverage). https://t.co/WO1W4p4jFI $SPY $TLT $GLD $DBC $VEU $IEF $UUP
Economic calendar for Mon. Feb 23. 8:00am - Fed’s Waller speaks 8:30 - Chicago National Activity Index for December: Expected -0.08; Prior -0.04 10:00 - Factory orders m/m for December: Expected -0.6%; Prior 2.7%
I'll be on @FoxBusiness this morning with @MariaBartiromo today at 7:10 am EST, talking markets, recent tariff developments & what's in store

When All is Said and Done in FX, Little has been Done: The US dollar was fairly resilient in the face of the softer than expected Q4 GDP reading and the Supreme Court’s tariff decision. However, it came under pressure...

Some volatility, yes, but net-net the $USD is little changed from the it settled at the end of last week. It was initially marked lower but is nearly flat now. Japan mkt were closed for a holiday, while a...

Armenia’s landlocked position between Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran has left Yerevan with few good options in the post-Soviet world. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/ZWXi1Pbh4h #armenia #geopolitics https://t.co/un8RUyVDaW

UNITED STATES exported an average of 14.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) by tanker and other 9.4 bcf/d by pipeline during the first eleven months of 2025. Total exports exceeded the combined consumption by households (12.0 bcf/d) and offices,...
Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update and new signals. https://t.co/ubChitFCXs $SPY $TLT $GLD $TLT

Bulls are in control, but not at extremes yet... Bull–Bear spread 44.2%, highest since Dec 2024. You need bulls for a bull market. The bulls have the edge. The only question is how far they can push it before it gets...

✅ 8 for 8 Bullish 🟢 Regime: Confirmed Bull Market The checklist stays fully green. 8 of 8. New weekly update is live. No paywall. Just data. Sign up to get it in your inbox each week. 👉 https://t.co/9fpj33clCJ This remains consolidation inside a confirmed bull...

the realized vol spread of the average single stock vs index just broke to the highest level on record with avg stock realizing ~25 vol points over gs via @zerohedge https://t.co/KVW5ZluLpt
#MONY results look solid but obviously the Hefalump in the Room is treats from AI. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 8.6 falling to 8.1 and fwd Divvy 8.6% rising to 8.9% and remember there are Buybacks as well. Low rating but...
#KLSO increased stake in #WRKS - says very undervalued and mentions an EV/EBITDA multiple of 1.65x. I hold neither.
Quite the investment from SoftBank. SoftBank is up 160% since April 6, 2025 when I wrote it up specifically because of its investment in OpenAI. $9984 $SFTBY

90% of Nifty option buyers don’t lose because of wrong direction. They lose because they don’t understand Implied Volatility. >> If you trade Nifty 50, read this thread carefully.... 🧵👇 #Nifty50 #OptionsTrading #IndianStockMarket

1/ The market is convinced that AI will kill SaaS. That seems overly simplistic. There's been carnage in Japan's SaaS sector, with babies clearly thrown out of the bathwater. That could signal opportunity. https://t.co/cmwPpqWG59
Rolls-Royce urges UK government to commit to subsidies for £3bn engine project via @FT https://t.co/LKMrDQaW6X

Trump is his own China desk (and his own USTR) Brilliant reporting from @dimi of the FT (Strikes me as a very fair summary of the inside DC debate on China) 1/ https://t.co/SYfGL5iROn
Early in my career, I recommended a hedge fund to five clients. Impressive track record. Global brand everyone would recognise. 28% annual returns for three years. I felt like I'd found something special. I was wrong.
Understanding cause & effect is a highly advanced skill for even concepts like personal finances. The majority of people I talk to cannot connect their individual behavior with their financial financial status Government-level c&e is so abstract, it’s virtually impossible...
China signals looser policy and faster green transition for 2026, supporting steel and non-ferrous demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/china-2026-economic-policy-direction.html

"our teams faced lower demand and aggressive local competition in Austin, San Antonio, parts of Florida, Northern California and Colorado. We deliberately chose to hold our ground in these markets and accept lower sales volumes as we look to the...
Kyle Chan: "China’s strength across multiple overlapping industries creates a compounding effect for its industrial policy efforts." https://t.co/1Z2o8dcRWq