IPhone Revenue Surges over 20% YoY, Two Quarters Running
Apple's iPhone Revenue grew by more than 20% YoY for the second quarter in a row
GEX Heat Map Guided 54% SPY Call Trade
Case study: +54% trade on $SPY today. Pre-trade plan: • $710 support, $715 resistance (GEX) • $715 was the MVC (on the GEX heat map) • Trigger: $712 break, Put/Call cross had no divergence. What happened: • Puts crossed Calls. No divergence. • Price broke $712....
US Stocks Surge to Best Month Since 2020
From the FT article, “US stocks hit record highs in Wall Street’s best month since 2020.” #economy #markets #stocks #investing #investors
Housing Inventory Rebounds, Nearing 2018 Levels by 2026
Active housing inventory by April: April 2018 -> 1,102,064 📉 April 2019 -> 1,137,198 📈 April 2020 -> 941,733 📉 April 2021 -> 435,663 📉 April 2022 -> 379,978 📉 April 2023 -> 562,966 📈 April 2024 -> 734,318 📈 April 2025 -> 959,251 📈 April 2026 ->...
EC Must Form Higher Low To
EC needs to flag on intraday (120) to form higher low in order to bust out upside of down-trending channel. OD up day on dailies a bit to digest. https://t.co/qriJgbms8O
Bunds Turn Overbought as ROC Flips up in Range
Bunds = OD up...quite a response for first flip up on ROC in trading range... https://t.co/fRfsIeT9Hd
Avoid New Senseonics Longs Until Post‑Offer Clarity
Senseonics priced $80M at $5 vs $6.61. Strong current ratio & 57% revenue growth but heavy cash burn and EPS miss. Risk: dilution/opex. Trade: avoid new longs until post-offer clarity. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
War Drags Emerging Economies, Growth Forecast Cut to 3.6%
In January, the World Bank projected 2026 emerging economy growth at 4.0%. Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, the World Bank has now REDUCED its projection for 2026 emerging economy growth to 3.6%. WAR = SLOW GROWTH. https://t.co/8gCFXCShzT
Lithium Prices Surge, Prompting Miner DSO Rush
We're now entering that phase of the lithium summer cycle where DSO makes its return. Resurgent lithium price sets miners scrambling to make lucrative DSO sales https://t.co/hnnHi7ZDud
Starcloud Eyes $2.2B Valuation Amid SpaceX Interest
Starcloud in Talks for $2.2 Billion Valuation as SpaceX Stirs Interest — The Information https://t.co/x8wmuzDcmW
Rivian Q&A Pivoted to Robotaxi, L4 Plans
Today's Rivian earnings call Q&A really shifted the narrative -- far fewer Qs re manuf / product. Today 8 of 12 analysts in Q&A asked about their robotaxi / L4 plans.
Overweight PSH to Boost EPS via Fee Cuts
Macro: fee-conscious markets. Key: PSH cuts performance fees by offsetting 20% of PSUS manager fees after $5bn IPO. Risk: IPO closing/AUM growth. Insight: overweight PSH for fee-driven EPS lift.— Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Cancel YouTube Premium Free Trial Before Billing
Tried the @YouTube Premium free trial for a month and aren't finding it's worth keeping? Not to worry, here's the fast and sure way to cancel service before the 💰 bill comes due: https://t.co/1AaZfLcUXn #youtube #youtubepremium https://t.co/PwOOjIJdRk
Seagate’s Premium May Pay Off With AI‑Driven Demand
Seagate’s high price tag might be worth it. 📈 They lead with HAMR tech, and as AI fuels data demand, this “overvalued” stock could outperform. Sometimes paying a premium for the right tech pays off. 🚀 Storage
US, China Economic Chiefs Air Grievances Before Trump‑Xi Summit
China, US economic chiefs raise complaints in 'candid' call ahead of Trump-Xi summit - https://t.co/6dolrnOyj0
Biggest Month Yet: Index Funds Thrive, Stay Invested
Almost 8 years of sharing our net worth growth and investing journey on social media. And this April was one of the biggest months we've had. The S&P and Nasdaq just had their best months since 2020. ...
Snap-On Trades at Discount, Potential Value Play
Snap-On (SNA) looks like it's trading at a clear discount right now. If the fundamentals hold up, this could be a solid value play for patient investors. 🛠️💼 ValueInvesting
US Wealth Overleveraged as S&P Pushes Faster Mega IPOs
Smoking in the Dynamite Shed The US economy and household wealth are way, way, I mean WAY dangerously levered to the stock market, and now this? *S&P MULLS INDEX RULE CHANGES TO SPEED UP ADDITION OF MEGA IPOS.
Apple Abandons Net‑cash‑neutral Goal Amid AI Push
Interesting that Apple dropped “net cash neutral” as a formal target after 7 years. With a new CEO coming and AI investment ramping, the flexibility to evaluate cash and debt independently makes sense. $AAPL
Turn Your IRA Into a Tax‑Efficient Legacy Vehicle
Your IRA was built for retirement… but is it optimized for wealth transfer? At ARH Global Advisors LLC, we design sophisticated strategies for high-net-worth individuals using premier solutions, including John Hancock life insurance products, to transform taxable assets into tax-efficient legacy...
Proactive Wealth Preservation Requires Ongoing Strategic Discipline
A Long-Term Perspective on Protection Wealth preservation is not reactive—it is proactive. It requires: * Ongoing evaluation * Strategic adjustments * Alignment with evolving goals Those who approach preservation with the same discipline as growth are better positioned to maintain and transfer wealth over time.
Four Key Levers for Valuation: Growth, Margins, Capital, Risk
Aswath Damodaran on the 4 levers to valuation 1. Revenue Growth 2. Operating Margins 3. Reinvestment (or Investment Capital Turnover) 4. Risk (Continuous and Discrete)
Dollaryuan Market Emerges as Key Global Currency Shift
There are lots of moving parts at the moment. But a key one involves the possible formation of a dollaryuan market (or will it be called a yuandollar market? Yet to be determined). https://t.co/NuEwX8HNB6
Keep Housing Costs Below 10% to Retire Early
MAX Mortgage or Rent you should pay based on salary: - $40K salary: $833 - $50K salary: $1,041 - $60K salary: $1,250 - $70K salary: $1,458 - $80K salary: $1,666 - $90K salary: $1,875 - $100K salary: $2,083 - $110K salary: $2,291 - $120K salary: $2,500 - $150K salary: $3,250 -...
Stop Waiting—Great Deals Exist at One‑third Price
People on this site are somehow still “waiting for the market to drop” meanwhile I’m about to submit an offer on a deal at 1/3rd the 2022 sale price If you’re not seeing deals right now, you have a problem
AVB Exploits Valuation Gaps with Classic REIT Recycling
$AVB is smartly playing valuation gaps in today’s market—buying where prices are low, selling where they’re high. Classic REIT capital recycling in action. 🔄 REITs
Netflix Keeps Discipline Amid $2.8B Fee and Board Exit
Netflix Q1 2026: discipline tested, discipline held. $2.8B termination fee. Engagement metric reframe. Reed Hastings exits the board. My breakdown: https://www.steadycompounding.com/investing/netflix-q1-2026/
Mayor Mamdani May Use DSA Rhetoric Over Bond Downgrade
We are still in city/state budget season and anything can happen. One potential "anything" is ... does Mamdani, like most mayors, run away from the prospect of any bond downgrade? Or does he employ this as part of a long-held...
Apple's Guidance Strong; Memory Costs Barely Hit Margins
$AAPL guide is as ripe as they come. 🤤 I guess that memory impact to margin wasn’t so bad. 😎
Record Highs, yet Tech Lags as Leadership Flips
April 30, 2026 close. The S&P 500 made a record high. The Nasdaq made a record high. And tech was the worst sector. Russell 2000 +2.16%, Dow +1.63%, S&P +0.99%, Nasdaq +0.93%. The leadership pattern that defined the last 18...
Mac Supply Constraints Shave 1‑2% Off Apple Guidance
More on the constraints. Cook says the availability of advanced modes in System on Chips (SoCs), not memory. The majority is on the Mac mini, Mac Studio and Mac Neo. Those products collectively account for about 3% of revenue. The...
Meta Tops Q1 Revenue Growth, All Tech Outpace S&P
Q1 Revenue Growth, YoY % Change... Meta $META: +33% Google $GOOGL: +22% Microsoft $MSFT: +18% Apple $AAPL: +17% Amazon $AMZN: +17% Netflix $NFLX: +16% Tesla $TSLA: +16% S&P 500 $SPY: +10%
Apple’s Modest Rise Hints at Future Growth Super‑cycle
$AAPL up 4% does not reflect how good the guide was. In a vacuum, I would have expected the stock to be up closer to 10% on that guide. I believe the reason is investors are thinking about what's after...
True Success Is Keeping Profit, Not Just Reporting It
The best businesses don't just report profits. They keep them. When earnings convert to cash and stack as retained equity, compounding quietly does the rest. That's not accounting. That's the whole game.
Apple’s Upbeat Guide Lifts Stock, Beats Revenue Forecasts
Strong guide from $AAPL. Stock now up 2%. June revenue growth target of 14-17% vs. Street at 9%. Gross margin at 47.5%-48.5% vs. Street at 47.6%.
Supply Limits Hit March Revenue, Guiding Outlook Positive
CFO Kevan Parekh says if not for supply constraints, revenue would have been higher in March. That's a good sign for the upcoming guide. Stock still down 1%. Investors want to hear the guide. $AAPL
Managed Futures Boosted Our Model Alpha This Year
Two words that have really added some alpha to our models this year Managed Futures
Global Rate Divergence Poised to Push Dollar Lower
We are in a new era of global central bank policy divergence. The rest of the world appears to have significantly more room to tighten financial conditions than the US. That divergence is likely to act as a major driver of further...
Cook Blames Supply Constraints for Weaker iPhone, Stock Unmoved
Cook says the iPhone would have been stronger if not for supply constraints. I'm surprised the stock did not move higher. $AAPL
Apple Posts Record Q1 Revenue, Net Income, Margins
Apple revenues increased 17% over the last year to a new Q1 record of $111 billion. Net Income grew 19% year-over-year to new Q1 record of $30 billion. Gross margins increased to 49% (from 47% a year ago), the highest...
Quant Rockets Thrive on Power and Resource Stocks
Oil cooled off, stocks rallied, and Quant Rockets still found its cleanest strength in power and resource names. Better backdrop, yes. Easy tape, not exactly. $POWL $UAMY $TTMI More on our trading from the day below 👇
US Commercial Petroleum Inventories Drop Amid Crude Shortage
Sprucing up some EIA charts. Latest on weekly stocks. The total US commercial petroleum inventories **ex-NGLs** is a particularly important adjustment in the current crude-starved environment. https://t.co/gAJ30n96JT
Google’s AI Bets Turn $3B Into $112B
Has anyone pulled out from $GOOGL earnings the AI as a business vs investment? Google put $3B into Anthropic in 2023 worth $112B on paper now. Their $1B SpaceX bet from 2015 is now worth $107B on paper now. Just askin'
IPhone Growth Likely Cycles: 10% Every Third Year
$AAPL investors need to start thinking about iPhone growth next year. This fiscal year iPhone will grow around 17%. Next year the Street is expecting 5%. The 5% is ahead of the growth we saw in 2023-2025. FY25 - 4% FY24...
U.S. Turns Net Crude Exporter Amid Overseas Surge
The surge in US crude oil overseas sales means the country was last week a net exporter of crude. (In the past, the US exported more crude oil *AND* refined products — combined — than it imported. But now it's an...
QQQ Climbs 0.9% as Non‑big‑tech Rallies 2%
the $QQQ was +0.9% today... $NVDA $META $MSFT detracted -1% from that number, leaving the other 97 tickers +2% on the day... h/t @KoyfinCharts https://t.co/xpa4W104Sd
Roblox Slashes FY Sales, Bookings Below Street Forecasts
Juuuuuuuust a bit outside: Roblox full year sales and booking guidance to ~$6B and ~$7.5B Street had 2026 sales and bookings at $6.6B and $8.4B, respectively https://t.co/w8SZ5OCN6O $RBLX via @paigehtml https://t.co/9TtSy4cF51
Roblox Cuts Bookings Guidance by $1 B After Safety Updates
New: Roblox lowered its full-year bookings guidance by about $1 billion after implementing child-safety updates that the company says slowed user growth. https://t.co/mdvtYDevtC
Apple Projects 10‑12% Revenue Rise, Margins Dip, AI Upside
For the $AAPL call. Revenue guide for June: I expect 10-12% ($104B-$106B) This has been a super cycle. Whats the encore in CY27? Margins: How will the component environment impact margins in the back half? Last quarter, Cook said changes are likely...
Amazon's Revenue Soars to $810B, 24% CAGR
Amazon Revenue (Billions) 2026 (est): 810 2025: 717 2024: 638 2023: 575 2022: 514 2021: 470 2020: 386 2019: 281 2018: 233 2017: 178 2016: 136 2015: 107 2014: 89 2013: 74 2012: 61 2011: 48 2010: 34 2009: 25 2008: 19 2007: 15 2006: 11 24% annualized growth over the last 20 years