Covered Calls Aren’t Income, They’re Position Reductions
Selling a covered call does not "generate income". It represents cash proceeds from reducing your position (the functional equivalent to selling), and paying a massive bid-ask spread to do so. https://t.co/evuVehJaQT
Oil Spikes 8% After Trump Blocks Iranian Ports
Oil prices have surged roughly 8% following news of President Trump's announced blockade of Iranian ports. Brent crude is currently trading around $102 per barrel. Was above $104 earlier.
Historical Oil Spikes Rarely Sustain Long‑term Gains
Hey Claude: What's the historical market track record when oil rises 50% in a month? Then falls 20% a week later Then rises 10% a week later Then falls 10% a week later Then rises 15% a week later No mistakes please
Japan’s Pre‑deal Hype Misleads; Fundamentals
I'm always interested in these pre event M&A trades in Japan where some legit media outlet publishes about M&A... and then months pass with silence and the speculators are forced to unwind... in Japan sometimes the passage of time does...
Globalization, Not Valuation, Drives Index Decline; Seek New NABOTS
One thing most misunderstand about “https://t.co/OjEtVHRmkY” is that the problem for the index was not valuation, but globalization. Asian hardware producers killed to US hardwareproducers in the zeroes. So “PE-analysts” has ever since missed the train because of misunderstood fear of...
ALAB Jumps 15% on Day 73 Research
$ALAB just surged 15% I covered this at Day 73 of my research series Get alerted for FREE when DVR stocks move like this next time → link in bio
Invest, Don't Just Spend: Harness Compounding Wealth
Most people buy things and don’t even think about investing… Remember, long-term investing can be a powerful way to build wealth 📈 Compounding is often called the “8th wonder of the world” for a reason For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Captive Insurance + PPLI: Tax‑Free Crypto Family Office
Captive insurance + PPLI = the crypto family office cheat code. Pay premiums to your own insurer, invest them in crypto, hedge funds, or real estate. Grow it tax-free. Borrow tax-free. Heirs inherit tax-free. It's straight from Buffett’s playbook.
Futures Slip 1% While Straddle Expects 0.81% Move
futures open down 1% and the straddle is currently pricing in a move of 0.81% no one cares about your middle east doom
Improving Breadth Isn’t the Same as Achieving Strong Breadth
Improving breadth is different than strong breadth.... Breadth is improving but it's far from strong. https://t.co/jhcybGcDj4
Bulls Return: SPY Gains Signal Bull Market Revival
$SPY - The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 41 The Bulls are Back In The Ring https://t.co/A64JrtLll6
Embrace Uncertainty: Don't Ignore Possibilities in Charting
Cheds, I never want to ignore a possibility. There are no certainties in charting. And, probability does not apply to individual slices of time. Not an ideal Compound Fulcrum. Let's follow the P&F work. See example of Copper from 50 years...
Bieber Halts Coachella Set To
still can’t believe Bieber paused his Coachella set to walk through his near and long-term projection for various commodity prices including WTI/Brent, helium and gold https://t.co/x22ztnRNNR
ServiceNow’s Cheap Valuation Hints at $67 Target
Hard to ignore $NOW if it goes to 67 which was 2022 bear market lows 🤔 Service Now has strong growth, solid margins & a cheap valuation of P/OCF of 15.95 below 5-Year Avg of 42.63
Second Inflation Wave Revives Commodity Prices
My latest monthly client memo: The Second Wave of Inflation and the Commodity Comeback https://t.co/4L7dEvdDn4 https://t.co/eRCYHTHapt
Supply Surges when Confidence Peaks, Not Real Demand
Supply enters when the market feels safest. That’s exactly when risk is highest. Most people think: Builders launch when demand is strong Reality? Builders launch when confidence is highest Not when demand is real. Let’s break this down 👇 Phase 1–3: Real demand leads the market At...
Hormuz Blockade Fuels Energy Surge Ahead of Fed Data
Middle East tensions are pushing energy prices higher as the Strait of Hormuz blockade hits markets. All eyes on inflation data and Fed speakers this week. 🟢 Open https://t.co/cLaM5AJanN
Read the Calendar Before Charts: 10‑Minute Market Primer
Most traders obsess over charts 📊 but ignore what actually moves markets first. Here’s the 10-minute morning routine I’ve used for 20+ years to read the calendar, headlines, and signals from bonds, oil, and gold before any trade 🎯 https://t.co/jEK13r3Nke https://t.co/jEK13r3Nke
Screen‑traded Crude No Longer Reliable Price Gauge
Tough news flow to start the overnight session, but I don’t think screen-traded crude is a useful indicator right now. Pretty much all asset classes have internalized the fact that a barrel delivered in a barrel in futures pricing are...
Stochastic Bullish Crossover Signals Crude Spike, SPX at Risk
#Oil: A bullish Stochastic crossover is forming, typically preceding multi-day spikes in #CL_F. The recovery of the 20DMA is concerning for #SPX bulls. The key weekly level is $101.4; if lost, the SPX could spike again. Otherwise, expect pressure on...
US Hormuz Blockade Sparks Surge in Oil, Gas Prices
US military says it’ll begin a Hormuz blockade at 10am ET Monday. Oil prices +8%, NatGas +13% early Monday in Asia. Also, vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz shows the “highest” volumes since the war began (“highest” is of course...
Authoritarianism’s Planning Edge: Democracies Must Adapt
China embraced capitalism, opened up to trade, invested in infrastructure, cracked down on corruption, and has the most human capital of any nation on earth. Authoritarianism did help in being able to create long term plans and execute on them....
Asia-Pacific Oil Prices Break $100 Barrier Again
As expected, oil prices are surging higher in Asia-Pacific trading, with both Brent and WTI quoted above $100 a barrel again. #markets #economy #oil #energy
Osaka Titanium Slashes Sales Forecast Amid Weak Demand
Osaka Titanium cut its sales forecast as aerospace inventory adjustment and weak industrial demand hurt titanium sponge sales. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/osaka-titanium-sales-forecast-cut.html
Family Offices Turn Wealth Into Strategic Impact Investing
I've seen both sides of wealth - making it and giving it away. Many overlook this: smart philanthropy via family offices is not charity. It’s about making strategic impact investments. They're not just writing checks, they're solving global problems while...
NQ Holds 25k Amid US Escalation Risk, Iran Threatens Downside
NQ found support at 25k, but heavy AF activity points to a US escalation. ⚔️ Market might shrug that off, BUT if Iran’s response leads to more damage in the Gulf, we’re trading lower. Watch the headlines. 📊🔥 https://t.co/9EMlv6Ot1R
Trump's Iran Oil Blockade Threatens Global Supply, Economy
Quoted alongside @reziemba in this @WSJ writeup on the implications of Trump’s threatened blockade of Iranian oil exports and what it means for the oil supply—and global economic—outlook. https://t.co/ndEafAkcaG
Domo Trades Under Half Its Guaranteed Revenue
Domo's enterprise value is $207M Domo's RPO is $438M It trades at 0.47x its guaranteed contractual revenue 🤯 https://t.co/38bLmYfxos
Australian EV Surge Won’t Lift Lithium Prices Soon
Australian electric vehicle boom won’t drive higher lithium prices in the near term: Wood Mackenzie https://t.co/D6uz3IGI8N
European Gas Spikes on Trump Threat, Yet Below Last Month
European natural gas prices jump after Trump threatened to blockade Hormuz 📈📈 Prices rose 18% in early Asia trading (The trading day expanded to 21 hours, from 10 hours, on Monday) Still, down from the highs of last month. Drop in Asian...
Oil Climbs Past $105 as US Blocks Iranian Ports
Oil prices surge above $105 as U.S. Navy to blockade Iran’s ports after peace talks fail: https://t.co/lRknunNbMI
Construction Costs Surge After Energy Shock, Builders Confirm
Good read from @_willparker_ on construction cost increases happening post-energy shock. Homebuilders we surveyed in early April noted similar sentiment (several quotes below). https://t.co/QBhJxv5lrC https://t.co/9ICS9qHWaR
Hormuz Closure Threatens Petrodollar for First Time in 50 Years
No deal this weekend. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed Oil prices are surging again. U.S. about to blockade New @moronomics podcast episode breaks down what this means and why this is the biggest threat to the “petrodollar” in 50 years...
RBOB Gasoline Futures Hover Around $3.20 After Volatile Swing
RBOB gasoline futures tagged $3.40 at the March peak... dropped to $2.90... now $3.20.. chopfest https://t.co/3gXzdFHSvH
WTI Oil Prices Return to March Range
WTI in the middle of the range back to the last week of March https://t.co/UJdTdFVoGT
Tech Valuations Halve, AI Bubble Shrinks to Pre‑hype Levels
Tech valuations in the US have declined from 40x to 20x. That's back to levels before the AI hype. AI BUBBLE = NOT NEARLY AS BIG AS IT USED TO BE. https://t.co/2ApBKLgFiI
Volatility Crush Fuels 3% S&P Rally, Hints Ahead
Last week's vol crush sent the S&P 500 surging 3%. Read up on the mechanics behind the rally — and what they could mean moving forward: https://t.co/Lv07xyrLge
From Debt to Freedom: Escape the Sunday Scaries
If you spent your 20s, 30s, or 40s financially f******cking up your life with debt, no savings, & no investments but now you’re ready to work towards financial freedom and becoming work-optional so you can cure yourself of the “Sunday...
Core Short Ideas Held Over 30 Days
INVESTING IDEAS (longer-term research product) Looking for Core Short Ideas tomorrow? We've held these for 30 days or more https://t.co/LF9BBqVzXP
Iran‑U.S. Talks Could Resume Within Days, WSJ Reports
WSJ on officials: A new round of talks between Iran and America may be held in days
Minnesota Dispensary Launch Signals Huge Market for GTBIF VREOF GRUSF
I heard that there were lines out the door for this new MN dispensary when it opened yesterday. MN is going to be a massive market for $GTBIF $VREOF and $GRUSF. https://t.co/9K8hUGrcZk
1970s Home Prices Outpaced 2020s Despite Higher Rates
Home prices rose faster from 1977 to 1979, with rates going from 8% to 13% than 2020 to 2022, when rates were sub 4% https://t.co/WlkyoI0JTr
From Sanctions Relief to Blockade in Three Weeks
I’m old enough to remember when the Trump administration eased US sanctions on Iranian oil. “In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels against Tehran to keep the price down,” US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said at the time....
U.S. to Block All Iranian Port Shipping Monday
U.S. says will start blockading all maritime traffic from Iranian ports (both in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman) from Monday, April 13, at 10am Eastern Time.
Safety Lies in Capital Structure, Not Just Stock Price
A bad year tests a business. High leverage ends one. Earnings recover. Dilution doesn't. Bankruptcy doesn't. The equity you owned before the rescue round doesn't. Margin of safety isn't just about price. It's about capital structure.
Most Millionaires Earn Wealth Through Assets, Not Salaries
1 in 3 American millionaires never earned a six figure salary. They built wealth through assets. Not income. Your paycheck isn’t the answer.
S&P 500 Posts First Consecutive >3% Weekly Gains Since Oct 2022
First back-to-back weekly gains of >3% for the S&P 500 since the start of the bull market in October 2022 $SPY https://t.co/gEOHlfB0W1
China's Quiet Push Toward Energy Independence Accelerates
China is the most at risk and oddly silent during all of this chaos 🤔 Solar, nuclear and EV investments are obviously paying off for them. Expect them to redouble their already staggering efforts to be energy independent https://t.co/d92Cg4sy4B
Iranian Envoy Says Pakistan Talks Mark Ongoing Process
Iranian's Pakistan envoy says Islamabad talks not a one-off event but the start of a process
Forint Surges 1.9% to Three‑year High Post‑Orbán
#Hungary’s Forint jumped 1.9% against the Euro to a 3y high after voters ousted Orbán. https://t.co/k3NT819BFI https://t.co/UvqaDvox2t