Florida Housing Correction Softening in Multiple Regions
The intensity of Florida’s housing market correction is easing across many pockets of the state My latest for @ResidentialClub https://t.co/4ORe8qnyC1
Dumb Money Extreme Optimism; Expect Pullback Despite Greed
SPX: Dumb Money Confidence has entered the Extreme Optimism zone, a level that historically coincides with index consolidations or healthy pullbacks. Furthermore, the Fear & Greed Index sits at 67 (Greed), while Smart Money Confidence is neutral ahead of major...
Tesla’s 10‑Q Flags $260M Expense on 20M Vehicle Delivery
10-Q surprises First provision for a first milestone of the 2025 comp package, and I was wondering last week which one it would be. Well, like always, read the 10-Q: "Delivery of 20 million Tesla vehicles" it is. $260m were expensed. https://t.co/CAPAjFaaf7
Purchase Price Drives Yield More than Value‑add Returns
Majority of your yield is locked in at acquisition, which is why buying well is so important Even an accretive, high return-on-cost value-add action only represents a fraction of the purchase price - which is why having great deal flow (good...
Free 401k Guides for New Investors
If you are new and looking gor investment here are some free guides example for 401k https://www.investtofire.com/blog/2026-03-401k-calculator-guide-maximize-retirement
S&P Hits Record Highs Amid Weak Market Breadth
New all-time highs on the S&P 500, and breadth still won't confirm. NYSE advance-decline line is below its 13-week cumulative average, an entire quarter of narrowing participation. Time will tell.
European Power Costs Climb Even As Gas Prices Drop
European electricity prices increase despite falling gas prices #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/yh6Ywee30g https://t.co/ktltUXCLZn
Leverage, Not Slow Savings, to Control $300K Quickly
Yeah… just throw $500 a month into stocks and become a millionaire. Should only take you 34 years. Or you could control a $300K asset this year using none of your own money…
Balance Aggression and Defense to Optimize Portfolio Positioning
"The greatest way to optimize the positioning of a portfolio at a given point in time is through deciding what balance it should strike between aggressiveness and defensiveness." Howard Marks
Scottsdale Prices Soar as Californians Flee State
Scottsdale home prices make no sense until you realize they’re mainly bought by people fleeing California
Three Strategies to Ride the US Grain Bull Market
Three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices https://t.co/Ghz72lxQY3 Corn $ZC_F Soybeans $ZS_F Rapeseed $RS_F
476k NVDA $215 Daily Options Surge, Stock Hits $216
In case you don't respect #MOAB (Mother of All Bubbles) yet... Over 476,000 of the DAILY (Monday Expiration) $NVDA C$215s traded today The stock closed at $216
AI Exclusivity Ends; S&P Hits Record, Markets Mixed
Mon Apr 27 close. The S&P just stamped another record at 7,173.91 — but the Dow was red, only four of eleven sectors finished green, and the real news of the day wasn't the print. It was Microsoft and OpenAI...
Critical Metals Secures European Lithium, Targets $20 Rally
$CRML - "Critical Metals to buy European Lithium in $835M deal, taking full Tanbreez ownership" WOW, this daily chart looks good. Super high confluence setup here over that key 13 spot, and if we see higher lows forming over it in...
Tuesday's Packed Agenda: Rates, Trade, Earnings, Confidence
It was a quiet start to the week for scheduled event risk, but things are picking up fast. Tuesday holds: BOJ rate decision with quarterly outlook; Hong Kong trade balance; Coke and BP earnings and US Conference Board consumer confidence...
SNB Balance Sheet Exceeds GDP, Driven by Foreign Holdings
Meet the SNB balance sheet: 110% of GDP, most assets are foreign currency holdings, and there is a unique ratchet effect tied to the persistent disinflationary pressures. Big fiscal implications. Great piece by @BenignoGianluca https://t.co/5U8fazsXqT (h/t @M_C_Klein) https://t.co/BBRmXx74wL
Bab Al-Mandeb Oil Traffic Halves After Houthi Attacks
The Bab al-Mandeb Strait is a strategic waterway just 30km wide and about 100km long, connnecting the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean. As such, it is one of the busiest shipping lanes in the...
Create Commercial Real Estate Value Through NOI, Upgrades, Retention
In commercial real estate, value isn’t given. It’s engineered. • Increase NOI • Upgrade the asset • Strengthen tenant retention Smart investors don’t wait for appreciation — they create it. #CommercialRealEstate #CREInvesting #cre #fyp #trending
Start These Habits Now for a Future‑Ready Life
What every teenager should be doing right now to set themselves up for the future.
Middle Eastern Funds to Own 38.5% of Paramount‑WBD
Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery Will Be 38.5% Owned by Middle Eastern Funds Following Close: Filing https://t.co/mg2Z2deDyN via @variety
Modern Gas Crisis Far Less Severe than 1979
Why This Gas Crisis Isn’t Hitting Like 1979 #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/EtZvmxCi20 https://t.co/ZE4aZ1dk3N
Berkshire’s Cash Cushion Fuels Massive AI Gamble
Totally random thought the Koala was discussing yesterday with @milken_cookies was on the Berkshire $BRK.A $BRK.B cash pile If Greg Abel threw $100 billion into Anthropic at $900 billion on a "maybe AI devours the white collar world, maybe it doesn't,...
Look Past the Numbers: Hidden Liabilities Define Safety
Ben Graham didn't just read financial statements. He interrogated them. Because the real liabilities are rarely on page one. They're in the footnotes, the MD&A, the off-balance-sheet disclosures. The margin of safety isn't a number. It's the gap between what the company...
FTSE250 Doji Signals Caution Near Support, Bullish EMAs
#FTSE250 doji Candle. Support 22087, 21557, 21000. Resistance 23231, 23844. RSI 53 just off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Top Bollinger Band 23193. Midpoint Line 22811. Bottom Band 22440.
S&P 500 Futures Breakout, Yet Internals Signal Weakness
S&P 500 futures hit 7,211 today on a breakout, but the internals are concerning. Areas of concern that the bears will point out are light volume on up-days and open interest declining into the rally. Looks a little more like...
US Winter Wheat Stable, Condition Index Drops, Protein Rises
The US winter #wheat crop was unchanged at 30% G/E, but my condition index score fell 3 points to 287, as P/VP jumped 2 points to 35%. #oatt
Good/Excellent Ratings Mask Worsening Wheat Condition
Why I don't just follow Good/Excellent ratings - Nebraska winter #wheat G/E rose 1 point this week, but its condition index score dropped 26 points because the percent rated Poor to Very Poor rose 20 points to 65% this week....
DAX Consolidates Near Resistance, Bullish EMAs Signal
#DAX doji Candle and Sideways. Resistance 24792. Support 23482, 23000. RSI 54 near Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Top Bollinger Band 24607. Midpoint Line 24225. Bottom Band 23832.
XTL Telecom Stock Soars
What a run by telecom… Said no one ever. Now trading at the 461.8% extension of the 2025 high to low. $XTL https://t.co/FVGJ4ZhiTl
ERAS Slides 10
$ERAS -10% AH. Reason(s), anyone? Chime in, please. Sell the news, or red flag in the data?
FOMC Looms, Charts Messy; I Scalp Through
Charts slick sucked today but it's expected with FOMC coming up. I scalped my way through
S&P Hits Record, Barely Climbs, Tightest Range
Fresh record high for the $SPX, but an absolute crawl with just a 0.1% advance and the smallest daily trading range since January 27th. Partly returning to the dead conditions before the US-Iran conflict, partly anticipation of FOMC and Mag...
China's Oil Demand Set to Fall Before 2030
What they know, but aren't saying, is that oil demand in China is set to decline soon, probably before 2030. Other Asian countries will follow soon after. Why don't ABDanielleSmith and BrianJeanAB know this? Wrong answers only. Let's have some fun with...
Spring Market Spikes: Highest Pending Sales Since 2022
Spring housing market showed real signs of life this week: ➡️Pending sales hit 96,000, the highest weekly count since 2022. 4-week average now growing vs last year for the first time in 2026 ➡️Inventory grew 2.8% to 990,000 homes, +4% YoY but...
IRS Extends Deadline for Appealing ERC Claim Denials
The #IRS announced a new procedure to extend the time to appeal #ERC claim disallowances https://t.co/7wgIqkWo1b https://t.co/Iazwffm4Zp
CRE Loans Shift From Extensions to Resolution Strategies
Fewer CRE loans are being extended, and more are moving toward resolution, whether through refinancing, asset sales, restructurings, or defaults. For CRE borrowers, the era of ‘extend and pretend’ is giving way to ‘resolve or reset.’ More in the blog: https://t.co/5Y55rpYdTU https://t.co/DEu6UC6bXE
Shorted Stock $ONDS Meets All Criteria, Ready to Trade
$ONDS hit my radar last night. Checked a lot of boxes. • Since mid-April, I've been focused on heavily shorted stocks ✅ • Printed an inside day — under this context, actionable through the inside day high ✅ • Weekly chart aligned ✅ •...
Focus Shifts to May Silver Futures Delivery Window
Silver futures update: Following the excitement and speculation ahead of the March silver futures expiry and concerns about available deliverable supply, attention has now shifted to the May contract, where the next notice (delivery) period is fast approaching.
Small Caps Lead US Returns, Beating Large Caps
Narrow breadth? YTD returns... US large caps +5.2% US small caps +13.8% International stocks +9.3% https://t.co/ch8YH720NS
Historic S&P Gains Question Future 17‑Year Growth
S&P 500 returns since 2009: 2009: 🟢 +22.57% 2010: 🟢 +13.24% 2011: 🟢 +0.97% 2012: 🟢 +14.23% 2013: 🟢 +29.08% 2014: 🟢 +14.69% 2015: 🟢 +1.40% 2016: 🟢 +13.67% 2017: 🟢 +20.80% 2018: 🔴 -5.18% 2019: 🟢 +31.32% 2020: 🟢 +17.40% 2021: 🟢 +30.63% 2022: 🔴 -18.63% 2023: 🟢 +26.79% 2024: 🟢 +25.73% 2025: 🟢 +18.14% 2026: 🟢...
NVDA Breakout Continues: Let It Ride
$NVDA nice mover since the end of March. Breakout on Friday with follow thru today. Moved up all let it ride stops.
Let Price Find Its Level, Adjust Stops Accordingly
$MU let it rides moved all of the stop orders. Good example of letting price seek its own level and me take care of the stops.
Skeptical on AMD, Short with Tight Stop, High Reward
I am skeptical of this move in $AMD. I think it gives back a lot of last week's gains. Back to $270. I got short a bit, $5 stop, $65 profit if I'm right. Not bad risk:reward.
NVDA Surge Raises Questions for SOXX, SMH
$NVDA +8% last two days... record high. But is that bearish for $SOXX $SMH? My thoughts... https://t.co/dRPc37eWjs https://t.co/Kt4G5qdi98
Nuclear Stocks Show Low Correlation with S&P 500
BofA: Nuclear power stocks have a low correlation to the S&P 500 $NUKZ $XLU https://t.co/t2mtNnwmGQ
ALM Software Turns Financial Planning Into Quantifiable Strategy
I created a video walkthrough of our new asset-liability matching software HourglassFP Pro. I know this methodology is new to most financial advisors, but I truly believe ALM is the way good financial planning should be done. This software helps you...
Europe Faces $32 B Extra Energy Costs From US‑Israel War
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, European countries have been forced to pay $32 BILLION MORE for oil and gas imports, according to the European Commission US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COLLATERAL DAMAGE. https://t.co/KypyJy56DS
Celsius Profits From Three‑brand Roll‑up, Not Just Drinks
Day 13 of 30: How $CELH Celsius Holdings actually makes money (which one should I do next?) Most people think it's an energy drink brand It's actually 3 brands stacked into a roll-up - and PepsiCo's trucks do most of the heavy lifting Here's...
SF Homes Routinely Sell Above Asking, Priced Low Strategically
Almost everything sells over the original asking price in San Francisco. The market is hot, and properties tend to be priced strategically low. Both things are true. https://t.co/5Zdk6OUhzn
BRM.V Gains Near-Term Visibility with Revenue, Backlog Growth
First time in a while that $BRM.V has had any kind of near-term visibility. Grew revenue and backlog.. very nice to see.