Fear and Greed Index Climbs to 29, Easing Extreme Fear
The Stock Market Fear and Greed Index just moved up out of Extreme Fear into Fear now at a 29/100
Volatility Plummets to YTD Lows as Market Improves
$VIX $VIX9D Servepro, like it never happened/ Vol is having a fire sale near YTD lows because it's all better now https://t.co/sR8Qr60aaR
Invest in Data Center Supply Chain, Not Just Builders
Clip from My 2025 @GeoInvesting convo with @Mike10947310 (MultiBagger Mike). Gives shoutout to @citrini. “I tend to focus on 2nd order beneficiaries of large trends, like data centers getting built out. Am I interested in whoever is building the data centers,...
Let Winners Run, Trim Losers: Long‑Term Position Sizing
Francois Rochon on position sizing and activity "We typically hold 20 to 25 positions and our average holding period is close to seven years. While we'll cut back on a position that gets over 10% , for the most part our...
Dow's 1,000‑point Surges Mostly Occurred Under Trump
Today is the 25th time in history the Dow gained more than 1,000 points on an intraday basis. 23 of those happened under President Trump. https://t.co/huMO8XedSx
US Stocks Hit Daily Overbought RSI(5) First Since Year‑Start
U.S. stocks are RSI(5) overbought on the daily for the first time since the start of the year... left: $SPX right: $QQQ https://t.co/9R3C9smFf9
Short VIX Futures, Half‑Size SPX/NDX Put Spreads
Covered short in vix futures. Bought SPX and NDX put spreads at half max size. See you in a month.
ARK & Cathie Wood Praise Musk's Space Data Center Push
ARK discussing space-based data centers, and @CathieDWood excited that @elonmusk has set his mind to "focus on this space "
Owning Beats Renting in All Top 50 U.S. Metros
This person says "most places rent is more expensive than a mortgage." Reality: It's more expensive to own than rent in 100% of the top 50 metro cities in America In my experience, American homeowners REFUSE to run a simple buy...
These Stocks Could Triple Revenue Within Five Years
Stocks expected to more than 3X their revenue in the next 5 years: Nvidia $NVDA: +252% Broadcom $AVGO: +257% Oracle $ORCL: +294% Rocketlab $RKLB: +300% AMD $AMD: +314% Palantir $PLTR: +458% Iren $IREN: +1547% Ondas $ONDS: +3188% ASTS Spacemobile $ASTS +5471% Nebius $NBIS +6400%
AlphaMoon Dividend Expected Within the Next Few Weeks
Probably the right day to remind everyone AlphaMoon $AFM.V dividend declaration probably coming in the next couple weeks?
ETF Flows Reveal Growing Unease Amid Rising Volatility
In this week's video we offer up 3 charts on ETF positioning. As volatility rises, flows reflect unease both at the index, sector, and across asset classes. Thanks as always for watching. https://t.co/o7D2O6wslL
ETF Rush to Mimic QQQ Before SpaceX IPO
As ETF providers race to create QQQ substitutes ahead of the SpaceX IPO, I guess we're going to force-feed not one snake but an entire Medusa-head full of snakes. How all those snakes digest what looks to be one supersized rat...
Morgan Stanley Cuts ETF Fees Amid Strong HNW Demand
BIG: “We really wanted to show our commitment by having that lower fee,” Allyson Wallace, global head of ETFs at Morgan Stanley. “The demand, especially from the high-net-worth investors, has been quite high. Viewed at the firm level, this is...
Adjust Stops and Ride Gains on Gap‑Up Days
We know what to do on gap up days, right? If long already we move up stops and/or take some profit out of the market. I have moved many stops up and have put some partial holdings...
Oil Near Support Level; Buyers May Return Amid Ongoing Conflict
Oil is coming into a level of interest that has been support since the conflict began. $CL_F $USO It would not surprise me to see it find buyers in this area again as the conflict has not been solved just...
Low Fees Drive Better Returns: Why I Choose Vanguard
Many people ask why I love Vanguard funds: It's because they are cheap. Vanguard reduced expense ratios more than 2,000 times for their funds. Terrible charts, outdated app, but I don't care about that. I care about performance (low fees = better returns)
Seeking Fresh Fintwit Trade Analysis From Overworked Juniors
I would love to see an analysis of Fintwit trades over the past few weeks 🩸🩸 (So if you happen to have a junior analyst around with no life and excess capacity…)
AI Boom Persists; Top Growth Stocks Now Undervalued
The conflict in the Middle East has not derailed the AI revolution and other secular business trends. The leading businesses in these growth areas are now severely oversold and attractively valued.
Iran Tries to Impose Toll on Hormuz Shipping
🚨Iran demands fees for ships passing Hormuz during ceasefire🚨 This 'agreement' will confirm Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz 1️⃣Iran has ZERO authority to monitor what sails into or out of the Persian Gulf 2️⃣The requirement to sail through Iranian waters...
Premium Pre‑Market Outlook Highlights Game‑Changer, Cover, Rebuild Themes
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 4/8/2025 are up: https://t.co/54LnyEVP9m Themes: 1) Game CHANGER? 2) Take COVER 3) The REBUILD Among markets covered: $SPX $NDX $VIX $SMH $IDGT $XLE $GDX $EEM $ENOR $GLD $SLV $USO $BTC $TNX...
Bond Market and Mortgage Rates Enjoy Rare Rally
A good day for the #bond market and #mortgagerares for a change. #economics #housing #realestate
Broad Market Shifts Boost Bullish
significant changes in recent days across broad assets and most areas on my #doubledouble list, which refers to a #bullish #MACD position along with positive 13-day force... #INsyncFocus https://t.co/RnwRtuiMgP
Delaying Retirement Often Beats Planned Timing, Study Shows
Why Retirement Timing May Deserve A Larger Role In Retirement Risk Analysis 🔻🔻 A two-year shift can move retirees into a different return environment. This can be understood by separating retirement timing risk into two components: cohort risk and pure...
Six-Day S&P 500 Rally Rare: Only 2018 Fell Red
If the S&P 500 finishes higher today, that'll be six in a row in the green. Going back 20 years, only one year that had one of those finished in the red and it was 2018. Down years like 2011, 2015, and...
S&P 500 Nearing All‑Time High, Within 3% Opening Gap
The S&P 500 is set to open less than 3% from the late January all-time high.
Mag 7 Pullback Mirrors DeepSeek, Could Reclaim Lead
I know everyone tossed out large cap tech for staples trading at 25x earlier this year, but it feels a lot like the DeepSeek moment from last year. Mag 7 with a picture perfect pullback to the early 2025 peak. So...
China Boosts Gold Reserves, Heralding Deglobalization Shift
Nothing to see here. China adds to its gold reserves. The deglobalization toothpaste is already out of the tube — and the rush into neutral assets is only just beginning. https://t.co/oXGnVgwKfX https://t.co/VQE5YC3lrf
Switching Focus From SNDK to MU for Comfort
Yes $SNDK was the better long but I felt more comfortable long $MU from yesterday. Trim and trail and we’ll see how much of the gap up holds. Nice call from @StocksOnSpaces @WOLF_Financial https://t.co/sGXKsBC0mk
Transports Retest 2024 Peak, Accelerating Higher
Transports are an important group. Perfect retest of the late 2024 peak and now accelerating higher. Standard bull market action. https://t.co/7SrdPoEPnC
Fed Shifts Focus: From Reserve Supply to Demand Liquidity
The Fed’s Overton window appears to be changing. Recent speeches suggest a shift in thinking from supply-driven ample reserves to demand-driven liquidity. Details in my latest newsletter: https://t.co/pPOkB73y6o @vtg2 @NickTimiraos @Isabel_Schnabel @conksresearch https://t.co/RyKoxuTxMA
Trump‑linked Events Drive Outsized S&P Gains
"What started as a tongue-in-cheek observation that “Trump always chickens out” has become a consistently profitable pattern. Over the 300-plus trading sessions since Trump took the oath of office last year, 9 of the S&P 500’s 10 biggest gains have...
Deep‑Sea Mining Royalties Offer Capital‑Free, Long‑Term Gains
As a seed investor back in late 2022 and in the pre-IPO round in 2025, the Koala is very excited for this day for The Metals Royalty Company $TMCR and the team led by Brian Paes-Braga @bpaesbraga If you haven't...
Brazilian Real Surges Toward 2022 Fair Value
The Brazilian Real today is strengthening sharply against the Dollar. $/BRL has fallen below where it was on Feb. 27, i.e. before the war with Iran began. The Real will now start a big strengthening cycle. Back to $/BRL fair...
Iran, US Mull Hormuz Toll; Oman Warns Legal Fallout
Iran and the US are considering imposing tolls on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, challenging the UN Law of the Sea's free passage principle. Oman opposes the tolls, raising legal and economic concerns that could impact global maritime norms...
Recent Sell‑off Lacks Low Expansion, New Highs Persist
the reality is the recent stock market selling didn't look anything like it did a year ago in '25... we didn't see the lows expanstion and we kept seeing highs throughout... here on Russell 1000 $IWB we can see (bottom)...
ByteDance Valuation Tops $600B After Equity Sale Push
ByteDance valuation exceeds US$600 billion after proposed equity sale: sources The seller originally had the valuation at US$550 billion, but raised the amount after multiple parties expressed interest. https://t.co/pL87pI2YJV via @scmpnews
Purchase Index Climbs 1% Weekly, Still 7% Below Year‑ago
"The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week and was 7 percent lower than the same week one year ago."
Read Volume Profiles, Not Just Price, to Predict Moves
Most traders stare at price… pros read the profile. D, P, b, and thin profiles tell you whether the market is balanced, trending, or about to reverse. Learn to read this and everything changes. Watch the full video breakdown to see exactly...
Klarman Sees Market Dip as Discount, Not Panic
Seth Klarman doesn't panic when markets fall. He gets interested. The crowd sees danger. He sees the price of future returns just dropped. Mr. Market is having another episode, and writing you a discount.
Sticking to the Process Pays Off with SPY
My BOS $SPY Tier #1 buy was about 7.8% off the ATH. It never reached my next zone, which was 12%–14% off the highs for Tier #2. It only got to around 9.8%. I had to stick to the process, but that...
Medical Outpatient Property Fundamentals Reach All‑Time High
Texas Medical Office Snapshot | Q1 - 2026 The fundamentals have never been better in medical outpatient properties. https://t.co/Kvf1F1VxFj
Oil Forecasts Collapse; Trump Needs War Ended
I spent recent weeks pushing back on $150 or $200 oil price forecasts. Those are now firmly off the table. Brent futures are down sharply and that's right. There's lots of open questions, but the big picture is that Trump...
NET's Record ARR Surge Drives Portfolio Dominance
Why is $NET the largest position in my portfolio? 🧵 Revenue growth accelerated to +33.6% YoY, RPO grew +47.9%, cRPO accelerated to +33.1%, and the company added a record level of net new ARR at $210M, up +76% YoY. Customer adds...
Veteran ERZ
Followed by everyone, and it does seem like everyone in EZ rate space, who has been long ERZ6 since 97 and change.
Iran Ceasefire Sends Oil Below $100, Stocks Surge
Iran ceasefire news just crushed oil under $100 and stocks are ripping higher. Risk-on mode is back in a big way. We'll be tracking these momentum moves live with the DOTS indicator in 2 hours to catch the best setups....
Taiwan Opposition Leader Visits China, Calls It Peace Mission
Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun arrived in China on Tuesday at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, in what she’s calling a “journey for peace” as Beijing pushes for the self-ruled island to come under its control. @EECastilloAP @SiminaMistreanu https://t.co/aJ3NijhPub
Will Excludes Malaysian Assets, Threatening $6M Investment
$6 million combined. Singapore home. Investment property in Malaysia. His Singapore will was thorough. It didn't cover a single Malaysian asset. Here's why this is a problem...
Normal Tanker Flows in 2‑3 Months; Products 6‑12 Months
If the ceasefire holds, expect 2–3 months before tanker flows and refinery feedstock delivery approach anything like normal, and 6–12 months before refined product markets (jet fuel, diesel, chemicals) fully normalize.
Pakistan‑brokered Ceasefire Fuels S&P Gap‑up Rally
Big news Tuesday night as Pakistan helped broker a two-week ceasefire, and Europe/Asia are broadly higher. $SPX futures +165 have us gapping into 6810–6840 major resistance, so we’ll see how much of the gap holds. Trim and trail into it,...