Iran Conflict Signals Next Phase of Global Cycle
Most people look at wars as isolated events. I look at them as part of a Big Cycle that has repeated many times, so for me watching what is happening is like watching a movie I've seen many times before. What we’re seeing now with Iran and the battle of the Strait of Hormuz is part of that cycle and is connected to and will have big implications for what happens all over the world. I explore these issues with those who run governments, geopolitical experts, and people around the world, and almost all agree that it will have big consequences for the monetary order, the domestic political order, and the international geopolitical order. That is why I believe it is important to see the war with Iran as part of a greater world war and see to how it is evolving as a big cycle. I created this condensed five-minute animation to provide an overview of these patterns and the cause-and-effect relationships behind them. For a deeper understanding, I have linked the full 45-minute video, “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order,” in the comments.
Equity Demand Soars; Markets Unfazed by Hormuz Blockade
Wall Street is choosing optimism. $SPY near record. $QQQ up 10 straight days. Oil falling. Gold rising. VIX at 18. The Strait of Hormuz blockade didn't break markets. That tells you more about modern equity demand than any single data...
One Belt One Road Lending Surges in 2025
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Check Your Portfolio Against Your Sleeping Point
How often do you inventory your investments to get a good idea of how invested you are, in what, your net, exposure to specific risks etc? I did this last week & found I was a bit more invested than my...
Enhanced Ltd to Debut on NYSE May, Reshaping Sports
Enhanced Ltd is expected to start trading in early May under the ticker $ENHA on the New York Stock Exchange, subject to customary closing conditions. For those of you interested in participating early: if you buy SPAC trust shares $APAD...
Option-Based ETFs Evolve: Insights From ISSB & ISBG
Moontower today is a change of pace...I reviewed 2 option-based ETFs, ISSB and ISBG, which are sub-advised by Convexitas. https://t.co/8FQPV4kgUm I learned a lot about ETFs writing this especially since there have been big changes the last few years vs when...
CF Industries Prioritizes US Farmers Over Profitable Exports
One of the big US fertilizer companies, CF Industries, has said it's "foregoing" more profitable exports, in favor of keeping nitrogen at home for US farmers this spring: https://t.co/Ch3Nd83bNR https://t.co/JwPgaISLb6
BIRD Soars 800% After Bizarre Strategy Pivot
$BIRD up 800% today on the weirdest business strategy pivot I've ever seen... my condolences to anyone that gets caught holding this bag https://t.co/FwfmPn7on8
Swing Trades Thrive; Short‑term Shorts Feel Painfully Stuck
Swings = amazing no complaints best I've done on any market correction to date (except I should have sold 0) ie: $INTC $META $SNPS $ORCL and many others (pretty much anything you bought worked didn't take skill) or like $IONQ...
Mortgage Applications Plunge; Sellers Must Slash Prices
Mortgage applications to buy a house fell again. They're back down to an index level of 159, which is more than 50% below the pandemic peak in early 2021. Not only that - they're now declining year-over-year, reversing a slight positive trend...
Bank of America Shines in Higher‑for‑longer Rate Environment
Thinking of playing higher-for-longer rates? Analysis says Bank of America ($BAC) could be a top pick due to its unique sensitivity. Strong deposit base & digital edge are key. Investing
Analyzing Iran War's Next Steps and Global Ripple Effects
Come for @RanaForoohar's take on what happens next with the Iran war. Stay for @LukeGromen's response on the far-reaching implications. https://t.co/mXUaZa7w04
Banks Beat Estimates; Future Guidance Holds Key Insight
$JPM beat by 9%. $GS, $BAC, $WFC all reporting this week. Banks are crushing estimates — but forward guidance is measured. In earnings season, what management says about the future matters more than what happened last quarter. https://t.co/d5vbf1nEBF
Pershing Square Admits Nike Turnaround Far Tougher than Anticipated
Pershing Square: "With Nike, we did not understand how much the prior CEO had really damaged the business, and how heavy the turnaround was going to be." https://t.co/YaLEkVXfp1
S&P 500 Rebounds, Ignoring War, Oil, Inflation
the s&p 500 has fully recovered to pre-iran war levels. the strait of hormuz is still effectively closed, disrupting global supply chains. oil is still near $100. inflation just hit a three-year high. the market has decided none of that...
US Petroleum Inventories Drop 9M Barrels, Crude Rally Stalls
US total commercial petroleum stocks fell by 9 million barrels last week. Crude was down by 0.9 MMbbl, gasoline by 6.3 MMbbl, and diesel by 3.2 MMbbl. Crude had been building faster than usual over the past month and appears to now...
NVMI Sees Massive ITM Call Buying, Bullish Surge
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Supply Gap Emerging as Last Hormuz Tankers Arrive
The tanker companies I spoke to last week confirmed that the last vessels that moved out of the Strait of Hormuz before the closure have reached their destinations at the end of March -- meaning the real supply gap is...
DGL Resumes Trading Amid Impairments and Resilient Earnings
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US Blockade Halts Iran's Oil Shipments to China, India
"The U.S. blockade of Iranian ports has all but stopped Iran-controlled or dark-fleet tankers moving Iranian oil to importers mainly China and India." https://t.co/UXsjqOp2by
SE Outpaces TikTok, Valued at 7x 2028 EBITDA
$SE -45% on TikTok + margin fears looks overdone - TikTok growth is slowing and expanding the mkt more than taking share, while SE still leads in scale - Pricing is rational and reinvestment is offensive, not defensive - ~7x ’28 EBITDA with...
US Oil Production Hits Record High Amid Hormuz Blockade
CHART OF THE DAY: The barrel of last resort. US total crude oil and refined petroleum products have surged to an all-time high of >12.7 million b/d. (And further highs are likely over the next few weeks as everyone turns...
Financial Repression Exposed: BOJ Carry Trade Fuels Inequality
OUT NOW - top economists don't talk about Financial Repression (FR). That ends today. @HannoLustig on: - Bank of Japan's ~¥600 Trillion carry trade - Who hurts/benefits from FR - Inequality & Debt Crises Apple 🔊https://t.co/sn51jDcuVT Spotify📽️https://t.co/SBbM4xNOY5 1/4 https://t.co/uu9WBxzeQe
FDA Peptide Meeting Signals $100B Market Boom
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SPX Holds Positive Gamma; 7025 OI Leads Upside
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Seeking SF Connections: Teaching, Funding Dev Tools Startups
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Active Stock Pickers Underperform When Deviating From Benchmarks
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Seeking Update on Tech-to-Industrials Rotation Status
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AXTI Calls
Big calls went off on $AXTI 15k August $115 calls hot on $AXTI Mizuho Optical Expert call on now $LITE $AAOI $AXTI
Record S&P Close Would Mark Fifth Fastest Rebound
If the S&P 500 closes at a record, it will be the 5th-quickest recovery from a deep pullback. The others weren't necessarily all-clear signs. https://t.co/RDoP06CRSs
Founders Can Earn Similar Returns Despite Later Exits
An early investment I made, I met with the CEO of a public company that wanted to buy them for $50m The startup hadn’t raised much, they said No Years later, they sold for almost $1B The founders made about...
Sales Rise Thanks to $400‑500K Volume Surge
We have slightly more sales in 2026 compared to 2025 in the Sacramento region, and the x-factor has been higher volume between $400K to $500K this year. Why do you think we've seen more sales in this price bucket?
TSM Boosts 2026 Outlook to More Bullish
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IonQ Beats Milestones, Becomes Scalable Quantum Leader
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Q1 Sales Volume Up Only 0.3%, Essentially Flat
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Nasdaq Rides 10-Day Streak, Five‑Wave Bullish Momentum
The Nasdaq has completed 10 days of consecutive gains and the hourly chart shows a possible five wave advance in progress. Once complete there could be a pullback but the larger trend should remain bullish #Nasdaq #StockMarket #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Indiacharts...
EURUSD Bulls Confront Tightening Resistance This Week
Quick video update on the #Euro levels. $EURUSD Bulls Face a Critical Test as Resistance Tightens This Week https://t.co/MdfmkmvkFB https://t.co/SgykRSBSRM
Avoid Shorting Low‑Float Recent DeSPACs, Especially AI
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Late Short Squeeze on IONQ, QBTS Prompted Quick Exit
I was short $IONQ and $QBTS from lower prices. I knew I was late to the short trade so fortunately they were extremely tiny positions. With the squeeze continuing at the open I covered them and quit the trade for...
60M QQQ Call Options Set to Expire Today
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Delivery-Month Trade: Potential Lcj/Lcm Upside Post-Correction
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QQQ Buyer Shifts 20k Calls, Signals Overbought
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AI-Generated Checklist Demystifies Taxes and Catches Errors
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AI Reorders Germany's DAX: Siemens Takes Lead
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Winning in CRE Requires Off‑Market Access, Not Public Listings
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One in Four Workers Lose Free 401k Match
Shocking stat: 1 in 4 workers miss out on the full 401k match by not contributing enough. That’s literally free money lost forever. Sign up for the full match and figure out how to live on the rest
Retail Adoption of Dollar Stablecoins Fuels Hyper‑Dollarization
It will be foreign sovereigns seeking to de-dollarize while their citizens seek to dollarize. place your bets...
Ex‑Druckenmiller Insider Reveals Hedge Funds’ Early AI Edge
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Millionaires Build Wealth with Real Estate, Index Funds, Businesses
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Trump Urges Xi; China Denies Arming Iran
Trump asked Chinese President Xi Jinping in a letter not to give Iran weapons, and Xi responded that China was not supplying Tehran https://t.co/60vaNXzDS1