Investing Social Media and Updates

Iran's Pre‑War Oil Output Peaks, Boosting Condensates for Asia
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Pre‑War Oil Output Peaks, Boosting Condensates for Asia

CHART OF THE DAY: Despite sanctions, ahead of the war, Iran's total oil production had hit a 46-year high. Although most of the attention is on crude, Iran has focused in expanding its output of condensates and natural gas liquids —...

By Javier Blas
Middle East War Triggers Unprecedented Global Oil Supply Disruption
SocialMar 21, 2026

Middle East War Triggers Unprecedented Global Oil Supply Disruption

The International Energy Agency in Paris reports “the war in the Middle East is creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market.” TRUMP & NETANYAHU'S WAR PLANNERS -- NOT THE SHARPEST KNIVES IN THE DRAWER --...

By Steve Hanke
Bear Pressure Builds, Yet Market Still Holds Firm
SocialMar 21, 2026

Bear Pressure Builds, Yet Market Still Holds Firm

Technical damage and bear sentiment is piling up. But we still haven't seen the kind of washout or capitulation that usually marks a cleaner turning point. We discuss what we're looking for in this week's video. 📺Watch: https://t.co/ieSqgIPzbx $SPY...

By Evan Medeiros
Brent's 54% Surge Signals Supply Shock Over Fed
SocialMar 21, 2026

Brent's 54% Surge Signals Supply Shock Over Fed

Brent crude: $110/barrel. Up 54% in a month. Let that sink in. Fifty-four percent. In thirty days. This isn't a price move. This is a supply shock. And supply shocks don't negotiate with Fed dot plots. Everything you think you know about 2026...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Try Red Dog Reversal for Calculated Risk Reversals
SocialMar 21, 2026

Try Red Dog Reversal for Calculated Risk Reversals

If you're looking to play reversals with calculated risk, check out the Red Dog Reversal: https://t.co/KlcskeDF4s

By Scott Redler
Spend 10 Minutes Daily, Manage Money Like a Pro
SocialMar 21, 2026

Spend 10 Minutes Daily, Manage Money Like a Pro

It’s wild how most people spend 2,080 hours/yr working to earn money, but almost 0 hours managing that money… It takes 10-20 minutes per day to learn: - budgeting - investing - optimizing your finances The earlier you start, the better off you'll be in...

By The Money Cruncher
Sanctions Waiver Undermines “Maximum Pressure” On Iran
SocialMar 21, 2026

Sanctions Waiver Undermines “Maximum Pressure” On Iran

Why on earth aren't major media outlets asking this obvious question? The Trump administration just issued a sanctions waiver allowing 140 million barrels of Iranian oil currently at sea to be sold. Meanwhile, Iran's oil exports have surged before the...

By Anas Alhajji
Prolonged High Oil Prices Harm Economy Over Time
SocialMar 21, 2026

Prolonged High Oil Prices Harm Economy Over Time

A look at #Oil prices, post 2010 we have been able to handle elevated prices, but elevated prices and rates aren't a positive when duration is applied #energy #Economics #Chartdaddy

By Logan Mohtashami
Chart Not Yet Bearish, Trend Still Unclear
SocialMar 21, 2026

Chart Not Yet Bearish, Trend Still Unclear

This is hardly the chart one could look at and say: "Wow, we are really in a bear trend" It may become a bear trend -- but it is NOT there yet $NQ_F

By Peter Brandt
Rising Junk‑Bond/Treasury Gap Threatens Stock Bulls
SocialMar 21, 2026

Rising Junk‑Bond/Treasury Gap Threatens Stock Bulls

"A big distribution pattern is carving out in the Junk Bonds vs. Treasuries ratio. A breakdown here would be the last thing stock market bulls want to see." -Alfonso De Pablos, All Star Charts

By DailyChartBook
Sulfur Squeeze Looms, Cavvy Energy Highly Exposed
SocialMar 21, 2026

Sulfur Squeeze Looms, Cavvy Energy Highly Exposed

This is from like two hours of my work as an amateur but in my opinion the sulfur squeeze could be immense and Cavvy Energy has the most exposure to sulfur prices

By Jack Farley
US LNG Seizes Market as Competitor Corridor Fails
SocialMar 21, 2026

US LNG Seizes Market as Competitor Corridor Fails

“Just enough damage to knock competing infrastructure offline. U.S. LNG steps into the gap. The competing corridor is gone before it opens.” US LNG stocks are outperforming as LNG glut is removed & US restructuring plans in GCC are quietly negotiated. #IranWar

By Samantha LaDuc
Most Claim They'll Buy the Dip, but Can't Afford It
SocialMar 21, 2026

Most Claim They'll Buy the Dip, but Can't Afford It

Everyone says they are ready for a correction. Some even say they want a correction. Very few will have the stomach or the cash to follow through on their intentions and buy when others are selling. It can happen over weeks, months,...

By Ian Cassel
Four Weeks of Slow Market Bleed Erodes Wealth
SocialMar 21, 2026

Four Weeks of Slow Market Bleed Erodes Wealth

$SPY at 6,506. Four straight weeks of declines. Not a crash. Not a correction yet. Just a slow, grinding bleed that feels worse than a crash. The market doesn't need to collapse to destroy wealth. It just needs to stay down long...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Market's Ultra‑Low PE Ratios Signal Doom Forecast
SocialMar 21, 2026

Market's Ultra‑Low PE Ratios Signal Doom Forecast

Some next 12 month PE ratios: Bumble: 3.6x Shift4: 7.3x Novo Nordisk: 10.8x HelloFresh: 9.5x Prosus: 9.3x SK Hynix: 5.2x Is Mr Market pricing the end of the world already? $BMBL $FOUR $NVO $HFG $PRX

By Value Investigator
Treasury's “Stranded” Claim Exaggerated; Most Iranian Oil Headed to China
SocialMar 21, 2026

Treasury's “Stranded” Claim Exaggerated; Most Iranian Oil Headed to China

US Treasury says there are 140 million barrels of Iranian oil "stranded" on the water. That's misleading -- if not false. There're about 100 million barrels of Iranian oil on their way to China, and probably another 40 million on...

By Javier Blas
Six Companies Celebrate Over a Decade of Dividend Growth
SocialMar 21, 2026

Six Companies Celebrate Over a Decade of Dividend Growth

I review dividend increases as part of my monitoring process. There were 25 dividend increases over the past week Six of those companies have raised dividends for at least 10 years in a row. The companies include:

By Dividend Growth Investor
Supply Shock History Warns High‑Debt Nations of Crisis
SocialMar 21, 2026

Supply Shock History Warns High‑Debt Nations of Crisis

Last time the world faced a big supply shock - after COVID in 2022 - the Yen went into a depreciation spiral, Italy and Spain needed ECB bailouts and the Gilt market blew up in the UK. This environment is...

By Robin Brooks
TLT Hits New Yearly Low, Eyes Low‑80s Support
SocialMar 21, 2026

TLT Hits New Yearly Low, Eyes Low‑80s Support

$TLT - Made a new low for the year and is headed back to the low 80s. The next major support is the May 2025 low at 83.30. https://t.co/b3Nva3eIMx

By CyclesFan
Fuel Shortages Shut 40% of Laos Stations, Third in Cambodia
SocialMar 21, 2026

Fuel Shortages Shut 40% of Laos Stations, Third in Cambodia

Around 40% of gas stations in Laos and about a third in Cambodia have closed because of fuel shortages.

By Bryan Clagett
Oversold NDX/QQQ Bounce Signals Potential Reversal
SocialMar 21, 2026

Oversold NDX/QQQ Bounce Signals Potential Reversal

$NDX $QQQ remains in a DOWNTREND Our portfolio hedge triggered in early February (when price closed < red line). Yesterday, $NDX $QQQ bounced off November low. The market is very oversold and any good news will likely...

By Puru Saxena
Silver Below 20‑Week MA Signals Potential Drop to $50
SocialMar 21, 2026

Silver Below 20‑Week MA Signals Potential Drop to $50

$Silver - Closed the week below the 20 week MA. That may lead to further downside to the yearly pivot at 61.33. If it breaks below 61 we will likely see a crash to 50, the level of the major...

By CyclesFan
Outperform by Targeting Low‑Competition 5‑Year Horizon
SocialMar 21, 2026

Outperform by Targeting Low‑Competition 5‑Year Horizon

How to beat the market 101: "Only by looking further out than the short-term crowd can we expect to beat them." Nick Sleep understood that competition is highest in the 1-quarter window and lowest in the 5-year window. Excerpt from his letters...

By Rene Sellmann
Gold Below 20‑week MA; 4400 Break Could Trigger Crash
SocialMar 21, 2026

Gold Below 20‑week MA; 4400 Break Could Trigger Crash

$Gold - Closed the week below the 20 week MA for the 1st time since 2023. Since it didn't break the February low(4402), I'm not sure it's significant. It depends on whether it holds above 4400 or not. If it...

By CyclesFan
War and Policy Outlook Shape FX and Capital Markets
SocialMar 21, 2026

War and Policy Outlook Shape FX and Capital Markets

Week Ahead: The War and Anticipated Policy Responses Drive the Capital Markets: There are two main drivers in the foreign exchange market: war and the anticipated monetary policy response. May WTI peaked on March 9 near $113.40. Last week, the...

By Marc Chandler
China's Decline Signals Overlooked Amid Chinese Century Narrative
SocialMar 21, 2026

China's Decline Signals Overlooked Amid Chinese Century Narrative

The Chinese Century is now the conventional wisdom. Previous narratives of China's peak and decline proved premature. But I see some definite signs that China is growing weaker, and only a few people seem to be paying attention. https://t.co/PUBIvyJcaw

By Noah Smith
Traders Lose Money on Exits, Not Entries
SocialMar 21, 2026

Traders Lose Money on Exits, Not Entries

Most traders lose money on exits, not entries. @tradesviz's Multi-Timeframe Analysis data that proves it. Look at this chart. One trade, 7 different exit simulations: 🥲Actual exit: $320 profit 🤯Best possible exit (same risk): $13,221 🔴 That's a 2.4% exit efficiency. The trader captured almost...

By S. Joseph Burns
Delayed Gratification Beats Impulse for Long-Term Success
SocialMar 21, 2026

Delayed Gratification Beats Impulse for Long-Term Success

Charlie Munger: "Lots of luck if you're an impulsive person who has to be gratified immediately. You're probably not going to have a very good life.” "The demand for immediate gratification is the way to ruin — and it may also...

By S. Joseph Burns
Earn >£50,270? Do These Two Crucial Steps
SocialMar 21, 2026

Earn >£50,270? Do These Two Crucial Steps

Earn >£50,270? These are the 2 most important things to do Comment ‘tax’ and I’ll send you my full end of tax year checklist 📋

By Making Money Simple
Sell When Stock Falters Despite Positive News
SocialMar 21, 2026

Sell When Stock Falters Despite Positive News

“If all the news is great and the stock is not acting well, GET OUT -- which is a pretty simple thing most analysts don't know.” — Stanley Druckenmiller https://t.co/u0DM4EvSZp

By S. Joseph Burns
EU Urges Immediate Gas Storage Refilling Across Member States
SocialMar 21, 2026

EU Urges Immediate Gas Storage Refilling Across Member States

EU tells member states not to wait to fill up gas storage https://t.co/QWu2AXIWUa via @johnainger https://t.co/iuJD7NDt15

By Zöe Schneeweiss
AI Strategies for Middle-Class Wealth Growth in 2026
SocialMar 21, 2026

AI Strategies for Middle-Class Wealth Growth in 2026

10 Ways The Middle Class Can Use AI To Build Wealth Instead Of Falling Behind In 2026 https://t.co/bXoFe6nfjf

By S. Joseph Burns
Patience Wins: Hold Quality Assets Through Downturns
SocialMar 21, 2026

Patience Wins: Hold Quality Assets Through Downturns

Stocks are down. Crypto is down. Gold is down. Unless all your money is in oil, you've felt the pain. I have been through many downturns over the past decade and I am here to remind you: They never last forever. We get too focused on...

By Pivato Investing
Iran's Escalation Risks Signal Broader Regional Instability
SocialMar 21, 2026

Iran's Escalation Risks Signal Broader Regional Instability

Iran Intelligence Briefing | 6 March 2026 In this latest intelligence briefing, David breaks down the evolving situation around Iran, the escalation risks that matter most, and the wider regional implications. When events are moving quickly, understanding the deeper pattern is just...

By David Murrin
Trump’s GSE MBS Boost Fades, Mortgage Rates
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trump’s GSE MBS Boost Fades, Mortgage Rates

All the manipulation impact of Trump "Instructing the GSE's" to buy 200BN in MBS has disappeared as OAS is now higher. Throw in higher vol and modestly higher 10's and you get higher mortgage rates. https://t.co/NKfe9Jq3vg

By Andy Constan
Germany's Real 10‑Year Yields Turn Positive After Decade
SocialMar 21, 2026

Germany's Real 10‑Year Yields Turn Positive After Decade

Good Morning from #Germany, where 10y govt bond yields have risen >3%, their highest level since 2011. The recent increase is driven disproportionately by higher long-term inflation expectations – meaning real 10y yields have fallen from 1.35% to 0.77%. The chart...

By Holger Zschaepitz
10‑Year Yield Near 4.4% Sparks Epic Week Ahead
SocialMar 21, 2026

10‑Year Yield Near 4.4% Sparks Epic Week Ahead

The 10-year approaching 4.4% and then we get this "drop" from the president. Another FAFO moment? This coming week will be epic.

By Marko Papic
Over Half of Chinese Car Dealers Lose Money in 2025
SocialMar 21, 2026

Over Half of Chinese Car Dealers Lose Money in 2025

Caixin: "The China Automobile Dealers Association said in a report that 55.7% of dealerships lost money last year, up 14 percentage points from 2024, as intense competition forced them to sell vehicles below cost." https://t.co/5TsYQRNMxx

By Michael Pettis
China's Trust Sector Abandons Risky Real‑Estate Debt Model
SocialMar 21, 2026

China's Trust Sector Abandons Risky Real‑Estate Debt Model

Caixin: "Driven by a regulatory crackdown on risk in the financial system, China's multitrillion-dollar trust industry is being forced to abandon its old, highly profitable model of funneling funds into non-standard debt for real estate projects and local governments." https://t.co/eN5eDafjR4

By Michael Pettis
Consistent Small Investments Outperform One‑Time Large
SocialMar 21, 2026

Consistent Small Investments Outperform One‑Time Large

The investor who puts in ₦5,000 every month without fail will always beat the investor who puts in ₦50,000 once and disappears. Consistency is the most underrated investing strategy. INVEST CONSISTENTLY

By The Prophetic Investor
China, US Pledge New Mechanisms to Boost Trade
SocialMar 21, 2026

China, US Pledge New Mechanisms to Boost Trade

People's Daily: "China and the US agreed to explore the establishment of working mechanisms to expand economic and trade cooperation, continue to make good use of the China-U.S. economic and trade consultation mechanism, strengthen dialogue and communication, properly manage differences,...

By Michael Pettis
Reduced Longs, Market Rose; Dips Now Look Promising
SocialMar 21, 2026

Reduced Longs, Market Rose; Dips Now Look Promising

I kind of knew the market would go lower when we posted that we reduced our longs by 30% when SPX was like 6800 and the next session when it went to 6830 we already had like ten people on...

By Citrini7 (pseudonymous)
China's Fixed-Asset Investment Grows 1.8% Early 2024
SocialMar 21, 2026

China's Fixed-Asset Investment Grows 1.8% Early 2024

1/8 Caixin: "China’s fixed-asset investment (FAI) returned to growth in the first two months of this year, rising 1.8% year on year, beating expectations as infrastructure spending jumped." https://t.co/cCOIgPDXNn

By Michael Pettis
Oil Shocks Trap Fed, Spark Volatility and Equity Losses
SocialMar 21, 2026

Oil Shocks Trap Fed, Spark Volatility and Equity Losses

The 1973 oil embargo lasted six months and triggered a 48% drawdown in the S&P 500. This conflict is three weeks old. Oil already up 40%. Supply-driven oil shocks create the same policy trap every time. The Fed can't ease because...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Trump's Iran Move Could Lift November Market Lows
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trump's Iran Move Could Lift November Market Lows

The stock market reaches its November low and President Trump considers ending the Iran conflict. Hopefully this war will end soon, enough lives lost already. Any good news and the stock market will be off to the races. $NDX $SPX...

By Puru Saxena
Bonds Outpace Stocks in 2026, Jan Trade Succeeds
SocialMar 21, 2026

Bonds Outpace Stocks in 2026, Jan Trade Succeeds

$TLT is up 1.10% YTD. $SPY is down 3%. Bonds are beating stocks in 2026. The same trade nobody wanted in January is the only one working in March. https://t.co/8oVDeeOfUe

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Trump's Iran Waiver Releases 140M Barrels, May Cut Prices
SocialMar 21, 2026

Trump's Iran Waiver Releases 140M Barrels, May Cut Prices

🟥TRUMP’S SURPRISE IRAN OIL U-TURN: 30-Day Waiver Unlocks 140M Barrels: ▪️Will IT LOWER OIL PRICES? (ask your company to subscribe) Link: https://t.co/XUVxhDoQuD

By Anas Alhajji
Bonds Outperform Stocks in 2026—Which Signal Wins?
SocialMar 21, 2026

Bonds Outperform Stocks in 2026—Which Signal Wins?

Bonds are beating stocks in 2026. The 20+ Year Treasury is up while the S&P 500 is down 3%. The same trade nobody wanted in January is the only one working in March. After three years of pain, Treasury investors are...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Middle East Crisis Disrupts Global Energy Distribution Networks
SocialMar 21, 2026

Middle East Crisis Disrupts Global Energy Distribution Networks

The Narrowing Straits: Why the Middle East Crisis is a Fault Line for Global Industry "..headlines focus on price of oil at the pump, a deeper story lies in dislocation of energy markets and the global breakdown in the traditional distribution...

By Dez Blanchfield